• Title/Summary/Keyword: 순이동률

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Analysis on the Dynamic Characteristics of Migration and Regional Economic Growth between Regions (지역 간 인구이동과 지역경제성장의 동태적 특징에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Woo;Lee, Du-Heon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.310-321
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    • 2021
  • The influence of regional economic growth on migration may also differ by age and generation age due to individual lifestyle. Therefore, this study analyzes an effects of changes in regional economic growth on migration between regions by age group. The result shows that the increase in the growth rate of the regional economy and job creation increased the net migration rate, regardless of age group. Second, it is found that the growth rate of the regional economy and job creation have a greater effect on the net migration rate for the youth population than for the middle-aged group. Third, it is found that the gap between regions in the level of individual income in the 25 to 29 years old and the level of land price fluctuations in the 40 to 64 years old affect the net migration rate. This implies that regional economic growth is still an important factor in the migration between regions, and has a great influence on the youth population.

Stochastic projection on international migration using Coherent functional data model (일관성 함수적 자료모형을 활용한 국제인구이동의 확률적 예측)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.517-541
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    • 2019
  • According to the OECD (2015) and UN (2017), Korea was classified as an immigration country. The designation as an immigration country means that net migration will remain positive and international migration is likely to affect population growth. KOSTAT (2011) used a model with more than 15 parameters to divide sexes, immigration and emigration based on the Wilson (2010) model, which takes into account population migration factors. Five years later, we assume the average of domestic net migration rate for the last five years and foreign government policy likely quota. However, both of these results were conservative estimates of international migration and provide different results than those used by the OECD and UN to classify an immigration country. In this paper, we proposed a stochastic projection on international migration using nonparametric model (FDM by Hyndman and Ullah (2007) and Coherent FDM by Hyndman et al. (2013)) that uses a functional data model for the international migration data of Korea from 2000-2017, noting the international migration such as immigration, emigration and net migration is non-linear and not linear. According to the result, immigration rate will be 1.098(male), 1.026(female) in 2018 and 1.228(male), 1.152(female) in 2025 per 1000 population, and the emigration rate will be 0.907(male), 0.879(female) in 2018 and 0.987(male), 0.959(female) in 2025 per 1000 population. Thus the net migration is expected to increase to 0.191(male), 0.148(female) in 2018 and 0.241(male), 0.192(female) in 2025 per 1000 population.

Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) for Age-Specific Migration Characteristics : A Case Study on Daegu Metropolitan City (연령별 인구이동 특성에 대한 탐색적 공간 데이터 분석 (ESDA) : 대구시를 사례로)

  • Kim, Kam-Young
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.590-609
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of the study is to propose and evaluate Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) methods for examining age-specific population migration characteristics. First, population migration pyramid which is a pyramid-shaped graph designed with in-migration, out-migration, and net migration by age (or age group), was developed as a tool exploring age-specific migration propensities and structures. Second, various spatial statistics techniques based on local indicators of spatial association(LISA) such as Local Moran''s $I_i$, Getis-Ord ${G_i}^*$, and AMOEBA were suggested as ways to detect spatial dusters of age-specific net migration rate. These ESDA techniques were applied to age-specific population migration of Daegu Metropolitan City. Application results demonstrated that suggested ESDA methods can effectively detect new information and patterns such as contribution of age-specific migration propensities to population changes in a given region, relationship among different age groups, hot and cold spot of age-specific net migration rate, and similarity between age-specific spatial clusters.

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Population Projections for Busan Using a Biregional Cohort-Component Method (이지역 코호트-요인법을 이용한 부산광역시 장래 인구 추계)

  • Cho, Dae-Heon;Lee, Sang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.212-232
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    • 2011
  • The main objective of this study is to establish a population projection method based on the biregional cohort-component method and to apply it to population projections for Busan. Some drawbacks of using the net migration cohort-component method in a regional or local level population projection are demonstrated. A biregional cohort-component method, a variant of the interregional cohort-component method, is established as an alternative where in-migration and out-migration are separately considered and then are combined to produce a projection for the migration component. Predicated on the established method, population projections for Busan are undertaken for the period of 2005~2030 under three different scenarios. Considerably different projection results are obtained between the net migration and biregional methods; among others, the trend of population decline is more severe in the former than in the latter. An investigation of the temporal trend of the projected population shows that the proposed method is highly reasonable. In conclusion, the proposed method based on the biregional cohort-component method seems not only to be theoretically more robust than the net migration cohort-component method but also to be very effective in the real world application.

Gender Difference in Job Mobility in Korean Labor Markets (한국노동시장의 남녀 직장이동 요인별 차이와 직장이동 유형별 임금 변화)

  • Lee, Woojeong;Choi, Minsik
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.117-146
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    • 2012
  • This study demonstrates the gender difference in the factors that affect job changes and the resulting wage changes in the recent Korean labor market. By using the KEAPS (2003-2007), we found that male workers uniquely tend to stay longer at their current jobs when they have families to support. After controlling self-selection bias, we also found that wage changes resulting from switching jobs differ between male and female workers during this studied period.

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Cyanine 및 Merocyanine색소의 분광특성 및 광전특성(2)

  • 손세모;권태선;김성훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Printing Society Conference
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    • 1995.11a
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    • pp.13-17
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    • 1995
  • 헤테로원자(X=O, S, Se)의 변환에 따라 용액상에서 Merocyanine색소 및 Cyanine색소의 헤테로원자X는 p궤도의 원자보다 d궤도의 원자가 공명에 관여하여 공역계확장에 기여하였고, 유전률이 큰 용매 일수륵 Merocyanine색소는 장파장으로 흡수극대치가 이동하였다. 또 Cyanine색소의 기저상태는 $I^-$이온과 정전하 발색단을 가진 이온성 화합물로 되어 있으므로 극성용매에서 $I^-$ 이온의 전하가 색소본체로 전하 이동전이가 발생하여 단파장화 하였다. 고상에서 색소의 농도가 높을 수록 색소분자간의 거리가 가까워져 색소 상호작용이 변화하여 흡수스펙트럼에서는 전체적으로 폭이 넓은 형태로 나타났으며 이것은 농도가 높을 수록 색소분자간의 거리가 가까워져 색소 상호작용이 변화한 때문이라고 생각된다. 또한 3차원 형광의 저농도에서 보이지 않는 새로운 스펙트럼이 Cyanine색소에서 나타났으며 이 스펙트럼은 색소고유의 흡수에 기인한 것으로 Eximer형광으로 생각된다. 광전특성에 있어서는 Merocyanine색소가 Cyanine색소보다 활성화에너지가 낮아 전하이동도가 커짐에 따라 높은 광전특성을 나타내었다. 그리고 Merocyanine색소 헤테로원자(X)의 비교에서 광전특성은 O

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An Empirical Study of the Trading Rules on the basis of Market Anomalies and Technical Analysis (시장이상현상과 기술적 분석을 이용한 거래전략에 관한 연구)

  • Ohk, Ki-Yool;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • This study validates the trading rules based market anomalies and technical analysis in the Korean stock market. For the analysis, we built decile portfolios on the basis of corporate characteristics factors that clearly demonstrate specific patterns of stock returns including the firm size, book-to-market equity, and accruals. This portfolio was used to develop a portfolio based on the moving average trading strategy which was used for popular technical analysis tools, and then that was evaluated using the Sharpe ratio. We also created a zero-cost portfolio to identify the profitability and success rate of the moving average trading strategy. We lastly sought to ensure a more robust evaluation by calculating the Sortino ratio of the portfolio based on the moving average trading strategy with various lags. Key findings from this validation are as follows. First, a smaller firm size, a higher book-to-market equity, and lower accruals led to larger average returns. Second, the risk-adjusted performance of the moving average trading strategy was the highest in terms of the firm size, followed by book-to-market equity and accruals. Third, the returns of the zero-cost portfolios all had a positive value, with its overall success rate hovering over 68.8%, demonstrating the successfulness of the moving average trading strategy. Fourth, various evaluations revealed the economic usefulness of our trading strategy that used market anomalies and technical analysis.

Impact assesment of zooplankton by turbine of tidal power plant in Uldolmok waterway, Korea (울돌목 해역에서 조류발전 시설 터빈 가동에 따른 동물플랑크톤의 피해 영향)

  • Yoo Jeong-kyu;Nam Eun-jung;Myung Chul-soo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.507-511
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    • 2005
  • 울돌목은 조류발전의 세계적인 최적지로 꼽히고 있으며 서해와 남해의 점이 지대로서 조류에 의해 해양 생물 군집의 대량 이동이 빈번한 곳이라 할 수 있다. 조류 발전 시설인 터빈의 가동은 물리적인 충격에 의해 해양 생물의 생태-생리 반응에 영향을 미칠 가능성이 있다. 네트를 이용한 1차 조사에서 터빈 가동에 의한 동물플랑크톤의 순 사망률은 $44.3\%$로 나타났다. 1차 조사 이 후 다이아프램 펌프를 이용한 조사 결과 중 출현 개체수가 높았던 조사에서 전체 동물플랑크톤의 순 사망률은 각각 $7.3\%,\;5.8\%$를 나타내었고, 요각류는 각각 $4.4\%,\;5.2\%$를 나타냈다. 물리적인 충격을 인위적으로 가한 실험에서 스트레스를 받은 요각류 Acartia hongi의 알 생산은 스트레스를 받지 않은 것보다 $1.8\~2.3$배 낮은 경향을 보였다. 본 조사에서 동물플랑크톤이 낮은 사망률을 보골 이유는 작은 크기의 생물이 우점하였기 때문이며 조사 결과에서 몸체가 비교적 단단하고 크기가 작은 요각류는 상대적으로 약한 부유유생보다 높은 생존율을 보였다. 울돌목 조사 해역에서 출현한 동물플랑크톤은 크기가 작아 터빈의 물리적인 충격에 의한 사망률은 낮을 수 있으나 순간적으로 강한 스트레스를 받는다면 재생산을 포함한 생리활동이 저하될 수 있음을 보였다. 네트 및 펌프를 이용한 조사 결과에서 네트에 의한 채집은 터빈의 영향뿐만 아니라 빠른 유속으로 인하여 네트가 받는 압력에 의해 생물체가 손상되는 양상이 높아 사망률이 높았던 것으로 보인다. 그러나 다이아프램 펌프는 생물 채집 시 오류를 최소화하는 장점은 있으나 채집의 장시간에 비해 매우 적은 생물량이 채집되는 단점을 보였다TEX>$96.5\%$에 미달하는 문제는 식물성 원료유로 제조한 고순도 바이오디젤과 혼합 사용하거나 감압 증류 공정을 통해 고농도의 폐식용유 바이오디젤을 제조하여 해결 가능하다. 대전시 신성동 소재의 음식점에서 수거한 폐식용유를 원료로 하여 생산한 바이오디젤의 차량 배출가스 실증 테스트 결과 경유 차량의 주 오염물질인 PM과 Soot 및 기타 오염물질의 배출량은 감소하였으나 NOx의 배출량은 약간 증가하는 것으로 나타났다구와 이해를 바탕으로 보존대책이 마련되어야 한다.되었다. 이런 모든 시편들을 각 탈염방법에 따라 탈염처리한 후 XRD와 SEM-EDS으로 분석한 결과 인철광과 침철광은 어떠한 변화도 보이지 않았고, 다만 적금광으로 동정된 시편만이 잔존하지 않았다. 철기 제작별 $Cl^-$ 이온 추출량과 탈염효과에 대한 비교 실험은 이온 크로마토그래피 분석 결과와 마찬가지로 단조 철제유물이 주조 철제보다 $Cl^-$ 이온을 많이 가지고 있었으며, 탈염 처리 후에는 $Cl^-$ 이온은 전혀 발견되지 않았다. 이상의 결과 $K_2CO_3$와 Sodium 용액은 탈염처리에서 가장 적합한 탈염처리 용액으로 알수가 있었으며 특히 어떠한 탈염 용액으로 유물을 처리한다 해도 철제유물에 생성된 부식물은 제거되지 않는다는 것을 알게 되었다. 따라서 보존처리자는 유물 표면의 부식 상태만을 보고 처리하기 보다는 철기제작물로 고려하여 처리하는 것이 필요하다. 또한 금속에 부식을 야기시키는 $Cl^-$ 이온과 부식물을 완전하게 제거하여 탈염처리를 하는 것이 유물 부식을 최대한 지연시킬 수 있는 것이라 생각된다.TEX>$88\%$)였다.(P=0.063). 결론: 본

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Exports Trends by Major Ports·Airports and Future Development Direction (주요 항만·공항별 수출액 동향과 향후 발전 방향)

  • Choi, Soo-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the trend of export growth rate and rate of change by each port/airport in Korea. And to analyze which each port/airport are showing a high growth rate. To this end, Incheon Airport, Busan, Incheon, Ulsan, Gwangyang and Pyeongtaek were selected in order of export value. The analysis period for each port/airport was 200 monthly data from September 2001 to April 2018. Pyeongtaek, Incheon and Gwangyang are relatively larger than Busan and Ulsan in the rate of increase and change. This is because export to China and Southeast Asia has increased more than in the US and Japan. As a result of the analysis, exports from Busan, Incheon Airport and Ulsan have recently been shifted to Incheon Airport, Incheon, Gwangyang and Pyeongtaek. In addition, the export portion of Incheon International Airport, which is an aviation logistics service, is growing more and more. In the west coast era, interest and investment in Incheon, Pyeongtaek and Gwangyang seem to be more needed in preparation for import and export to China, Southeast Asia and North Korea.

Effects of Oxygen Enrichment on the Structure of Premixed Methane/Fluorinated Compound Flames (메탄-불소계 화합물의 예혼합화염 구조에서 산소 부화의 효과)

  • Lee, Ki-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.839-845
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    • 2011
  • We performed numerical simulations of freely propagating premixed flames at atmospheric pressure to investigate the influence of trifluoromethane on $CH_4/O_2/N_2$ flames under oxygen enrichment. Trifluoromethane significantly contributed toward a reduction in flame speed, the magnitude of which was larger in terms of the physical effect than the chemical effect. More trifluoromethane could be added and consumed on oxygen-enriched $CH_4/O_2/N_2$ flames. $CHF_3$ was decomposed primarily via $CF_3{\rightarrow}CF_2{\rightarrow}CF{\rightarrow}CF:O{\rightarrow}CO$ and $CHF_3+M{\rightarrow}CF_2+HF+M$ played an important role in oxygen-enhanced flames. When an inhibitor was added to oxygen-enriched flames, the position of the maximum concentration of active radicals was shifted to a relatively low temperature range, and the net rate of OH became higher than that of H.