• Title/Summary/Keyword: 순서형로짓모형분석

Search Result 35, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Comparative Analysis of Elderly's and Non-elderly's Human Traffic Accident Severity (고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 인적교통사고 심각도 비교분석)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Jeung, Woo Dong;Woo, Yong Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.11 no.6
    • /
    • pp.133-144
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study focused on estimating influential factors of traffic accidents and analyzing traffic accident severity of elderly and non elderly using traffic accident data. In order to reclassify elderly and non elderly traffic accident by a statistical method from entire traffic accident data, multiple discriminant analysis was applied. Also ordered logit model was applied for analyzing traffic accident severities using traffic accident severities as an independent variable and transportation facilities, road conditions and human characteristics as dependent variables. As results of the comparison between elderly and non elderly traffic accident, the traffic accident severity was affected by the age, types of traffic accidents, human characteristics and road conditions as well. Also, transportation facilities and road conditions affected to more elderly traffic accident than non elderly. Therefore, traffic accident severity would be decreased with the improvement of transportation facilities and road conditions for the elderly.

Analysis on the Car Ownership Structure Considering Household Car Ownership Pattern (가구별 차량보유패턴을 고려한 차량 보유구조 분석)

  • Lee, Jeong Hun;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.667-675
    • /
    • 2016
  • The goal of this study is to be used as baseline data for transportation demand management. At the present time the number of registered car and householding car is increasing, so there is a need to analyze the car ownership pattern through household car hold status. Also, it is necessary to analyze the factor of increasing car. The research is proceeded with classifying as the household which is holding private cars or holding passenger cars and non passenger cars based on the result of the research of the household travel survey data. The result of this study is shown as follows. According to car ownership pattern, there are more households holding passenger cars only when they are holding less than 2 cars. Otherwise there are more households holding passenger car and non passenger car when they are holding more than 3 cars. Using the Ordered Logit Model, there are more differences in factors affects holding cars by variables of housing type and household properties.

Life Satisfaction of Urban-to-Rural Migrants in South Korea - Income vs. Nature - (귀농·귀촌인의 소득만족도와 자연환경만족도 비교 분석)

  • Jung, Jin Hwa;Kim, Sae Bom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.65-76
    • /
    • 2019
  • 농촌인구의 급격한 감소와 고령화 속에서 농촌의 지속가능성을 위한 방안으로 귀농·귀촌의 확대가 부각되고 있다. 본 연구는 귀농·귀촌인의 생활만족도 결정요인을 분석함으로써 도시민의 농촌 이주와 성공적인 정착을 촉진하기 위한 정책적 시사점을 제공하고자 한다. 본 연구는 특히 귀농·귀촌의 주요 동기가 소득이나 농촌의 자연환경이라는 점에서, 생활만족도를 자연환경만족도와 소득만족도로 구분하여 비교 분석하는 데 목적이 있다. 분석에는 순서형 로짓모형과 일반화 로짓모형을 사용하였고, 분석자료는 2016년 「귀농귀촌실태조사」 원자료이다. 분석결과, 귀농·귀촌인의 자연환경만족도는 상당히 높으나 소득만족도는 보통 수준에 미치지 못하였다. 귀농·귀촌의 이유가 자연환경이거나, 귀농·귀촌 시 가족의 지지가 있었거나, 귀농·귀촌 이후 주변 이웃들과 좋은 관계를 유지하거나, 지자체로부터 귀농·귀촌 지원을 받은 경우, 귀농·귀촌인의 소득만족도와 자연환경만족도가 모두 높았다. 이러한 공통적인 요인 이외에 귀농·귀촌인의 소득만족도와 자연환경만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인은 뚜렷한 차이를 보였다. 소득만족도는 현재 가구소득이나 귀농·귀촌 전·후 소득 변화와 같은 경제적 요인에 의해 영향을 받으나, 자연환경만족도는 귀농·귀촌 시 배우자의 동행 여부나 지역사회 참여와 같은 사회적 요인에 의해 주로 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다.

Satisfaction on Marital Relationship of Husband and Wife in Old Age (노년부부가구 남편과 부인의 부부관계 만족도)

  • Kim, Cheong-Seok;Choi, Hyung-Ju
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.34 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-15
    • /
    • 2011
  • The prolongation of life expectancy has expanded the duration of marriage in old age. In the meanwhile, the change of life style emphasizing privacy and sociodemographic environment favoring independent living has increased the number and proportion of the elderly living with spouse only. This study, focusing on those aged 60 and over who live with spouse only the elderly, explores their marital relationship. The study pays a special attention to compare whether and how the satisfaction on the relationship with spouse would differ between husband and wife. The ordered logit model analysis is conducted based on the nationwide survey '2008 Korean National Survey of Welfare Need in the Elderly'. The results show that the marital relationship satisfaction of husbands is influenced by their own characteristics but hardly affected by his wife's. In contrast, the satisfaction of wife is influenced by husband's characteristics as well as hers. These finding reflect that women are more strongly family-centered and dependent on their husband.

An Analysis on the Preference and Use-Demand Forecasting of Bus Information (버스정보의 선호도 및 이용수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Won Gyu;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.28 no.6D
    • /
    • pp.791-799
    • /
    • 2008
  • To build the system which has high utilization and usefulness for users, it is necessary to know the information type and use-demand that the use want. The purpose of this study is to forecast the preference and demand of utilization for bus information when bus information is offered through cellular phon. The accomplishments of this research are as follow : Firstly, importance on the level of individual factor and the value of change's figure can be evaluated, using preference analysis on bus information by conjoint analysis. Secondly, by establishing the use-demand model bus information using binary logit model, influence factor on whether or not the use of the user. Finally, ordered probit model was built by use behavior model in payment per call or per month of potential user of bus information. Through call times and sensitive analysis by payment methods, elasticity point, optimal payment fee, and use probability was analyzed. This study make application as basic to efficient bus information policy and to improve use rate of bus information in future because this study make it possible to get preference analysis, use-demand analysis and estimation of optimal payment fee which is reflecting various requirement in use of bus information user.

An Analysis on Determinants of Farmers' Perception to Climate Change in Korea (기후변화에 대한 농업인의 인식에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Park, Guen Ah;Lee, Sang Ho;Kim, Myung Hyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.37-46
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the determinants affecting Korean farmers' perception to climate change using multinomial logit and ordered logit model. The major findings of this study are summarized as follows. First, the results indicate that 85.7 percent of farmers have perceived climate change and 85.8 percent of farmers have anticipated that the impact of climate change on agriculture within 10 years. Second, the results show that farming experience, successor to farming, use of computer have a significant impact on expectation to climate change. Finally, the findings also indicate that sex, age, and education have a significant impact on expectation of the mean temperature to climate change.

SNS 프로필 사진이 대출상환에 미치는 영향: 카카오톡 메신저 사진을 중심으로

  • Jeong, Won-Hun;Ha, Gyu-Su
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2020.11a
    • /
    • pp.127-130
    • /
    • 2020
  • 금융시장 환경이 점차 변화하고 있다. 흔히 지점이라 불리는 오프라인 환경에서 애플리케이션을 이용하거나 웹페이지를 이용하는 온라인 비대면 환경으로 이동함에 따라 기존의 정형 정보를 중심으로 한 소비자 행동 예측 방법보다 더 나은 방법을 모색하기 이르렀다. 이에 따라 주관적 비정형 정보의 중요하게 된 것이다. 본 연구는 비대면 대출시장에서 주관적 비정형 정보의 하나인 SNS 프로필 사진과 대출상환에 영향을 미치는 변인을 파악하는 것을 목표로 한다. SNS 프로필 사진은 자신의 감정이나 상태를 표현하는 도구로 떠오르고 있으며, 이러한 차입자의 SNS 프로필사진을 분석함으로써 정보비대칭의 최소화로, 대출심사를 위한 신용평가에 유의적 요소들을 규명하는데 목적이 있다. 본 연구에서는 대출자들이 차입자에 대한 평가의 중요 고려 요소들을 규명하고 탐색하는데 초점을 맞춰 SNS 대안 신용평가만을 심사기준으로 이용한 대출인 텐스페이스의 AI LOAN 대출자중에서 2020년 2월부터 2020년 2월까지 대출자료를 확보할 예정이다. 이러한 자료 중에서 2020년 12월 30일을 기준으로 상환기일이 도래한 대출상환 자료 중 SNS사진을 순서형 로짓회귀모형을 이용해 분석하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Reasons for Violation of the Self Carfree Day Policy (승용차요일제 준수와 위반에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Bin, Mi-Yeong;Jeong, Ui-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.61-73
    • /
    • 2010
  • This research is to analyze reasons for violation of the Self Carfree day policy. It also analyzes satisfaction of the policy participation incentives. The results are that the violation rate is increasing if the drivers live in a zone which is highly energy consuming, which has low potential demand per bus stop and low trip generation per number of houses, which therefore requires more bus routes and bus services, and in which the drivers pay more car operating fees and show less tendancy towards participation even with the 5-10% oil price increase. The results are significant at the 0.05 level.

An Analysis of Factors Influencing on Satisfaction Level of Agricultural and Rural Polices (농업인의 농업·농촌 정책 만족도 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Seon-Ae;Moon, Seung Tae
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1105-1147
    • /
    • 2013
  • To investigate farmers' satisfaction level and factors influencing on various agricultural and rural policies, an interview survey has been carried out in Jeonnam and Jeonbuk agricultural area, and collected 750 survey questionnaires from farmers. Satisfaction level was low in average ranging from 2.71 to 3.09 in five point Likert-scale on 22 agricultural-rural related policies. Ordered logit model results showed that satisfaction level decreased when farmers are older, had higher income, and had higher number of attendance in agricultural education programme. In addition, satisfaction level decreased when farms had main source of income from rice farming, dry-field farming, livestock farming, or facility horticulture. Lower satisfaction level was also related to location of farm. On the contrary, satisfaction level increased when the farmer had greater owned land. Among 22 agricultural and rural policies, practices that farmers prefer include Direct Payment for Rice Farming Income Compensation, Environment-Friendly Farming Service, Farmland Banking Services in order. Since direct payment policies that farmers prefer may not contribute in development of agriculture, policies can induce both farm income and agricultural development may increase farmer satisfaction level and finally resolve the income gap between the urban workers and farmers.

Analyzing Community CPTED Perception of Local Residents in the School Areas (학교 주변 커뮤니티 CPTED에 관한 지역 주민의 인식 연구)

  • Ko, Eun Bi;Lee, Jae Song;Chung, Seung Yun;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.37 no.5
    • /
    • pp.891-903
    • /
    • 2017
  • In recent days, school violence has been rising as a significant social problem. The occurrence of school violence can be fueled by a wide range of social and environmental contexts, thus it is very difficult to come up with the ultimate solution. Community CPTED program is one of the more comprehensive set of efforts that has been developed to prevent crime in general, and the primary focus of the study is to investigate suitable components of CPTED to prevent school violence based on the physical conditions of communities as well as the perception of residents outside of school grounds, in the vicinity of schools. Three sets of analyses in series were employed in the research. First, Ward's minimum-variance cluster analysis was used to classify the places where school violence can occur outside of school grounds based on the physical conditions recognized by local residents. Next, Importance-Performance Analysis was performed to analyze the perception of local residents about the importance and the effectiveness of CPTED components in preventing school violence. Subsequently, Ordered Logit Model was used to analyze the local residents' awareness on safety regarding school violence in their community space. Combining the results of the analyses, the priority of the community CPTED applications to prevent school violence outside of school was derived. Reflecting the local residents' perception on safety of students in their community, the sense of security in communities against school violence can be reinforced by the communities' sensible efforts in creating safer environment for their students.