• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수명분포

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The Shelf-life Prediction of Single-Base Propellants by applying the Kinetic Model of n-th Order (n차 반응속도 모델을 적용한 단기추진제의 저장수명 예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Bong;Seo, Jung-Wha;Choi, Kyeong-Su;Kim, Sung-Bok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.3633-3642
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    • 2015
  • Single-base propellants contain a single energetic component: nitrocellulose. Accurate predictions of propellant shelf-life should result in cost savings in terms of human and material resources. This study derived an optimized kinetic model reaction order that described stabilizer consumption and estimated propellant shelf-life. High temperature accelerated aging tests gave an optimum reaction order value of 1.15481, from which the minimum standard error of a linear regression estimate of 16.284 was obtained. At normal storage temperature of $21-30^{\circ}C$, propellants should have a safe shelf-life of 140 years, and a minimum of 35 years. It is necessary to consider the temperature range in ammunition storage areas to predict propellant shelf-life more accurately.

Influence of Flexible Pin for Planets on Service Life of Wind Turbine Gearboxes (풍력 발전기용 증속기의 유연 핀이 수명에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Park, Young-Jun;Lee, Geun-Ho;Nam, Yong-Yun;Kim, Jeong-Kil
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.9
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    • pp.953-960
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    • 2012
  • An overhung mounted carrier with flexible pins is applied to the planetary gear train of a wind turbine gearbox to investigate the influence of the self-aligning effect by means of the deflection of the planet spindle and the flexible pin on the lifetime of the planet gear for a wind turbine gearbox. To analyze the load distribution of planet gears, both Euler theory and commercial software are employed. By applying an overhung mounted carrier with flexible pins in the wind turbine gearbox, we can improve the misalignment performance, face load factor, and service life of the planet gears. In particular, it was confirmed that a service life of more than 20 years could be realized for wind turbine gearboxes by applying a flexible pin to the overhung mounted carrier.

A Study on Insulation Degradation Diagnosis Using a Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 절연 열화진단에 관한 연구)

  • 박재준
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we purpose automatic diagnosis in online, as the fundamental study to diagnose the partial discharge mechanism and to predict the lifetime by introduction a neural network. In the proposed method, we use AE(acoustic emission) sensing system and calculate a quantitative statistic parameter by pulse number and amplitude. Using statically parameters such as the center of gravity(G) and the gradient if the discharge distribute(C), we analyzed the early stage and the middle stage. the quantitative statistic parameters are learned by a neural network. The diagnosis of insulation degradation and a lifetime prediction by the early stage time are achieved. On the basis of revealed excellent diagnosis ability through the neural network learning for the patterns during degradation, it was proved that the neural network is appropriate for degradation diagnosis and lifetime prediction in partial discharge.

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Study for the Deformation and Fatigue Life of a PEMFC (고분자 전해질 연료전지 막의 변형 및 피로수명)

  • Yang, Jeong-Hwan;Park, Jung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.400-407
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    • 2011
  • The stress distribution and stress amplitude of a membrane are major factors to decide the mechanical fatigue life of PEMFC (Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Fuel Cell). In this paper, mechanical stresses under operating hygro-thermal condition of the membrane are numerically modelled. Contact analysis between gas diffusion layer (GDL) and the membrane is performed under various temperature-humidity conditions. The structural model has nonlinear material properties depending on temperature and relative humidity. Several geometric conditions are applied to the model. The numerical analysis results indicate that deformations of the membrane are strongly related with assembly conditions of the fuel cell. The fatigue life is predicted for practical operating condition through experimental data.

On a bivariate step-stress life test (두 개의 부품으로 구성된 시스템의 단계적 충격생명검사에 관한 연구)

  • 이석훈;박래현;박희창
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.193-209
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    • 1992
  • We consider a Step Life Testing which is deviced for a two-component serial system with the considerably long life time. In the modelling stage we discuss the bivariate exponential distribution suggested by Block and Basu as the bivariate survival function for the two-component system, and develope the cumulative exposure model introduced by Nelson so that it can be used under the bivariate function. We consider inference on the component life time when the components are at work in the system by combining the information from system life test and that from the component tests carried out separately under the controlled environment. In data analysis, maximum likelihood estimators are discussed with the initial value obtained by an weighted least square method. Finally we discuss the optimal time for changing the stress in the simple step stress life testing.

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A Study on Cluster Head Election Mechanism using Fuzzy Logic in Wireless Sensor Networks (무선 센서 네트워크에서 퍼지 논리를 이용한 클러스터 헤드 선출 메커니즘에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Myoung;Park, Seon-Ho;Han, Young-Ju;Chung, Tai-Myoung
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.936-940
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 무선 센서 네트워크의 에너지 효율적인 운영을 위해 무선 센서 네트워크 환경에 적합한 클러스터 헤드 선출 메커니즘을 제안한다. LEACH 와 같은 기존의 확률 모델 기반의 클러스터 헤드 선출 메커니즘들은 각 라운드마다 클러스터 헤드로 선출될 확률과 라운드 횟수 등을 바탕으로 클러스터 헤드를 선출한다. 그러나 이와 같은 방법은 각 노드의 상황을 고려하지 않아 네트워크의 수명을 단축시킬 수 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해서는 각 센서 노드의 에너지 및 노드 분포 상황을 고려하여 클러스터 헤드를 선출해야 한다. 하지만 실제 무선 센서 네트워크 환경에서는 클러스터 헤드 선출을 위해 정확한 정보를 수집하고 이를 계산하는데 있어 큰 오버헤드가 발생하는 문제점이 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 정보 수집 및 계산에 있어서 오버헤드를 줄이고 네트워크의 수명을 극대화하기 위하여 퍼지 논리를 이용한 퍼지 논리 기반의 클러스터 헤드 선출 메커니즘을 제안한다. Matlab 을 통한 시뮬레이션 결과 LEACH 에 비해 퍼지 논리 기반의 클러스터 헤드 선출 메커니즘을 이용했을 경우 네트워크 수명이 약 16.3% 향상되었다.

A bivariate extension of the two-parameter exponential distribution (위치모수를 가지는 이변량지수분포의 개발)

  • 홍연웅
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 1998
  • A bivariate extension of the two-parameter exponential distribution is proposed as a model for certain problems in system level life testing. In particular, it applies to two-component shared parallel systems having a minimum guarantee time. Various statistical properties of the model are investigated, including maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs), modified MLEs, and unbiased estimators of the parameters and their distributions.

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Analysis of The Partial Discharge Pattern in XLPE using Statistical Distribution (분포통계를 이용한 XLPE의 부분방전 패턴해석)

  • Kim, Tag-Yong;Hong, Jin-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2006
  • 최근 전기에너지의 사용비율은 해가 거듭될수록 증가되고 있으며, 경량화 소형화로 인한 전력기기의 스트레스가 증가되었다. 또한 고압송전으로 인해 전기적 사고는 대형사고를 유발하므로 전력기기의 수명예측은 매우 중요한 과제이다. 이에 본 논문에서는 XLPE 절연체의 보이드 유무에 따른 부분방전 패턴을 K-means 분포통계함수를 이용하여 부분방전 패턴의 그룹화를 시도하였다. 또한 전하량과 방전빈도수의 분포를 비교하기 위해 위상-전하랑 및 위상-전하량-빈도수에 의한 그룹의 centroid 이동 변화에 대하여 조사하였다. 그 결과 보이드가 존재하는 경우 전하량의 높은 점에서 중심점을 형성하였고, 방전발생위상의 차이는 크지 않았다. 또한 위상-전하량의 클러스터보다 위상-전하량-빈도수의 클러스터에서 객체간 편차가 더 커짐을 발견하였다.

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Statistical Analysis using Weibull Distribution on the Dielectric Breakdown Strength of High Density Polyethylene Films (HDPE필름 절연파괴강도의 Weibull분포에 의한 통계적 해석)

  • Kang, Moo-Sung;Kang, Dae-Yong;Park, Dae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07e
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    • pp.1702-1704
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    • 1997
  • 본 논문은 HDPE 필름의 절연성능을 평가하기 위하여 절연파괴강도의 결과를 Weibull분에 적용하였다. 각 절연파괴강도의 Weibull분포로부터 형의 모수를 구하였다. 또한 Weibull분포의 활용은 2개 및 3개의 모수법을 각각 적용시켜 절연파괴강도의 평가를 하였다. HDPE 필름을 열화시켜, 형의 모수변화를 비교하였다. 이와같은 Weibull분포의 활용은 절연성능과 수명의 평가를 통계적으로 평가코져 한다.

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A comparative study on learning effects based on the reliability model depending on Makeham distribution (Makeham분포에 의존한 신뢰성모형에 근거한 학습효과 특성에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Cheul, Shin-Hyun
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.496-502
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we investigated the comparative NHPP software model based on learning techniques that operators in the process of software testing and development of software products that can be applied to software test tool. The life distribution was applied Makeham distribution based on finite fault NHPP. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is larger than automatic error that is usually well-organized model could be established. This paper, a trust characterization of applying using time among failures and parameter approximation using maximum likelihood estimation, after the effectiveness of the data through trend examination model selection were well-organized using the mean square error and $R^2$. From this paper, the software operators must be considered life distribution by the basic knowledge of the software to confirm failure modes which may be helped.