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A Time Series Forecasting Model with the Option to Choose between Global and Clustered Local Models for Hotel Demand Forecasting (호텔 수요 예측을 위한 전역/지역 모델을 선택적으로 활용하는 시계열 예측 모델)

  • Keehyun Park;Gyeongho Jung;Hyunchul Ahn
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2024
  • With the advancement of artificial intelligence, the travel and hospitality industry is also adopting AI and machine learning technologies for various purposes. In the tourism industry, demand forecasting is recognized as a very important factor, as it directly impacts service efficiency and revenue maximization. Demand forecasting requires the consideration of time-varying data flows, which is why statistical techniques and machine learning models are used. In recent years, variations and integration of existing models have been studied to account for the diversity of demand forecasting data and the complexity of the natural world, which have been reported to improve forecasting performance concerning uncertainty and variability. This study also proposes a new model that integrates various machine-learning approaches to improve the accuracy of hotel sales demand forecasting. Specifically, this study proposes a new time series forecasting model based on XGBoost that selectively utilizes a local model by clustering with DTW K-means and a global model using the entire data to improve forecasting performance. The hotel demand forecasting model that selectively utilizes global and regional models proposed in this study is expected to impact the growth of the hotel and travel industry positively and can be applied to forecasting in other business fields in the future.

A Meta-Evaluation of the Evaluation Project at the Family Support Center (가족센터 평가사업에 대한 메타평가)

  • Kang, bogjoeng
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study was to identify issues in the family support center evaluation project by analyzing the differences in perception between evaluators and the family Support center using a meta-evaluation analysis model and seeking improvement alternatives. The results revealed a significant difference in group average: the evaluator group scored 4.21 out of 5 points, and the family center group scored 3.20 points. The improvement alternatives for each meta-evaluation item are as follows. In the evaluation environment, it is necessary to specify the purpose and utilization of evaluation within the guidelines of the Ministry of Gender Equality and Family. Evaluation input required the establishment of an evaluation support organization within the Korean Institute for Healthy Family. During the evaluation process, it was necessary to improve the use of the integrated family support information system and diversify communication channels. The evaluation results required the strengthening of follow-up education for family centers. In terms of evaluation utilization, it was necessary to strengthen support for various incentives and subcenters. This study provides implications for improving the evaluation system for various policy service delivery systems.

An Exploratory Study of on the Crime Patterns and Risk of Climate Gentrification (기후 젠트리피케이션으로 인한 범죄양상과 위험성에 관한 시론적 연구)

  • Sei Youen Oh
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.601-608
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to predict the criminal patterns and risks of conflicts caused by inequality such as weakening regional ties and social exclusion caused by climate change and present basic policy data to solve them. Method: This study was mainly conducted through analysis of contents and cases through the use of media information such as the Internet and newspapers, and some literature research. Result: The crime patterns and characteristics of climate gentrification are as follows. First, rising sea levels caused by climate change will temporarily increase crimes related to real estate speculation. Second, social exclusion due to public service and environmental inequality will intensify, leading to terrorist crimes such as riots and hate crimes. Third, due to the weakening of regional ties, young people in poverty in the region will participate in organized violence crimes such as drugs and gangs or become crime victims. Conclusion: Therefore, it is necessary to prepare policy countermeasures through cooperation with institutions. In particular, it is necessary to explore ESG policy measures in police activities in consideration of environmental factors in the future.

A Study on the Analysis and the Improvement of the MyData System from a Consumer Behavior Perspective (소비자행동 측면에서의 마이데이터 제도 분석 및 개선방안 연구)

  • Young-Jong Lee;Seong-Yeob Lee
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2024
  • MyData is a new entity that strengthens the rights of information subjects through the 'right to data portability' and utilizes data to enable hyper-personalized services using personal information. Korea's MyData system is recognized globally as an outstanding system in that it is creating a new MyData industry by granting the right to information self-determination through the 'right to request data transmission'. Now in its third year, this study evaluates Korea's MyData system from a consumer behavior perspective and identifies issues for improvement. To this end, this study reviewed previous research on the relationship between regulatory policy and consumer behavior to determine the applicability of a consumer behavior perspective in institutional evaluation. In addition, in a study on consumer behavior related to MyData, variables that affect the use of MyData were investigated and evaluation items from a consumer behavior perspective were derived. As a result of evaluating Korea's MyData system from a consumer behavior perspective, it was found that the factors considered important by consumers were appropriately reflected in the system. However, in cases where there are dual values of ease of use and personal information protection, regulatory aspects tend to take priority. Therefore, in order to revitalize the MyData industry, it is essential to implement market-friendly system improvements without compromising consumer rights. This study is differentiated from existing studies in that it attempted to derive a plan for system improvement by combining empirical consumer behavior research and regulatory policy research.

Design and Implementation of a Fault-Tolerant Caching System for Dynamic Heterogeneous Cache Server Networks (동적 이기종 캐시 서버 네트워크에서의 내결함성 캐싱 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Hyeon-Gi Kim;Gyu-Sik Ham;Jin-Woo Kim;Soo-Young Jang;Chang-Beom Choi
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.458-464
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    • 2024
  • This study proposes a fault-tolerant caching system to address the issue of caching content imbalance caused by the dynamic departure and participation of cache servers in a heterogeneous cache server network, and validates it in both real and virtual environments. With the increase of large-scale media content requiring various types and resolutions, the necessity of cache servers as key components to reduce response time to user requests and alleviate network load has been growing. In particular, research on heterogeneous cache server networks utilizing edge computing and low-power devices has been actively conducted recently. However, in such environments, the irregular departure and participation of cache servers can occur frequently, leading to content imbalance among the cache servers deployed in the network, which can degrade the performance of the cache server network. The fault-tolerant caching algorithm proposed in this study ensures stable service quality by maintaining balance among media contents even when cache servers depart. Experimental results confirmed that the proposed algorithm effectively maintains content distribution despite the departure of cache servers. Additionally, we built a network composed of seven heterogeneous cache servers to verify the practicality of the proposed caching system and demonstrated its performance and scalability through a large-scale cache server network in a virtual environment.

A Study of Collaboration between the Census and GIS for Urban Analysis: Modification of Digital Maps and Establishment of Census Tracts (도시분석을 위한 인구주택센서스와 GIS의 연계활용방안 연구: 수치지도의 보완과 센서스트랙의 결정)

  • Koo, Chamun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.27-44
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    • 1999
  • Digital maps produced in Korea are various in scale and include a lot of geographic and attribute data. In this study, it is argued that, to reduce the production cost and the difficulties for renewal, it is necessary to establish the already nationally drawn 1:5,000 scale digital maps as the base maps and simplify them as much as the TIGER files in the U.S. The comprehensive data included in the digital maps in Korea are mostly land use information, which are supposed to be established separately from the digital maps. The land use information system could be maintained and updated cheaply and frequently at the local government level. In response to common needs, the land use information could be imported to GIS and used for analyses. As technologies and societies changes, the Census questions and methodologies should be changed for better uses. Along with GIS, the Census would be developed and processed more reliably and efficiently. Also, it is recommended for Korean government to develop the Census Tract and Block Group system. Current Eup, Myon, Dong as basic units for Census information may not be useful or effective for micro level urban analyses and public service planning activities because of their large population and land areas. It is recommended that optimum population of a Census Tract be 5,000 and a Block Groups 1,500, and one Census Tract includes 1~9 Block Groups. It is recommend that Census Tract and Block Group boundary lines be decided flexibly in light of population, physical features, socio-economic attributes, and tradition. For urban analyses using GIS, socio-economic census data, city government's information such as parcel data and building permit data, survey data, and satellite image data could also be used. The existence of Census Tracts and Block Groups as well as GIS could help for the data and methods to be useful for urban analyses and public service provisions.

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Types of business model in the 4th industrial revolution (4차 산업혁명시대의 비즈니스 모델 유형)

  • Jung, Sang-hee;Chung, Byoung-gyu
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2018
  • The 4th Industrial Revolution is making a big change for our company like the tsunami. The CPS system, which is represented by the digital age, is based on the data accumulated in the physical domain and is making business that was not imagined in the past through digital technology. As a result, the business model of the 4th Industrial Revolution era is different from the previous one. In this study, we analyze the trends and the issues of business innovation theory research. Then, the business innovation model of the digital age was compared with the previous period. Based on this, we have searched for a business model suitable for the 4th Industrial Revolution era. The existing business models have many difficulties to explain the model of the digital era. Even though more empirical research should be supported, Michael Porter's diamond model is most suitable for four cases of business models by applying them. Type A sharing outcome with customer is a model that pay differently according to the basis of customer performance. Type B Value Chain Digitalization model provides products and services to customers with faster and lower cost by digitalizing products, services and SCM. Type C Digital Platform is the model that brings the biggest ripple effect. It is a model that can secure profitability by creating new market by creating the sharing economy based on digital platform. Finally, Type D Sharing Resources is a model for building a competitive advantage model by collaborating with partners in related industries. This is the most effective way to complement each other's core competencies and their core competencies. Even though numerous Unicorn companies have differentiated digital competitiveness with many digital technologies in their respective industries in the 4th Industrial Revolution era, there is a limit to the number of pieces to be listed. In future research, it is necessary to identify the business model of the digital age through more specific empirical analysis. In addition, since digital business models may be different in each industry, it is also necessary to conduct comparative analysis between industries

TV Anytime and MPEG-21 DIA based Ubiquitous Consumption of TV Contents in Digital Home Environment (TV Anytime 및 MPEG-21 DIA 기반 콘텐츠 이동성을 이용한 디지털 홈 환경에서의 유비쿼터스 TV 콘텐츠 소비)

  • Kim Munjo;Yang Chanseok;Lim Jeongyeon;Kim Munchurl;Park Sungjin;Kim Kwanlae;Oh Yunje
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4 s.29
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    • pp.557-575
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    • 2005
  • Much research in core technologies has been done to make it possible the ubiquitous video services over various kinds of user information terminals anytime anywhere in the way the users want to consume. In this paper, we design plototypesystem architecture for the ubiquitous TV program content consumption based on user preference via various kinds of intelligent information terminals in digital home environment, and present an implementation and testing results for the prototype system. For the system design, we utilize the TV Anytime specification fur the consumption of TV program contents based on user preference in TV programs, and also use the MPEG-21 DIA (Digital Item Adaptation) tools which are the representation schema formats in order to describe the context information for user environments, user terminal characteristics, user characteristics for universal access and consumption of the preferred TV program contents. The proposed ubiquitous content mobility prototype system is designed to make it possible to seamlessly consume contents by a single user or multiple users via various kinds of user terminals for the TV program contents they watch together. The proposed ubiquitous content mobility prototype system in digital home environment consists of a home server, a display TV terminal, and an intelligent information terminal. We use 42 TV programs contents in eight different genres from four different TV channels in order to test our prototype system.

Korean Space Activities and Its Policies : Present and Future (한국(韓國)의 우주산업(宇宙産業) 활동(活動)과 정책(政策) : 현재(現在)와 미래(未來))

  • Hong, Soon-Kil
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.8
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    • pp.231-248
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    • 1996
  • 이 논문(論文)은 한국(韓國)의 우주(宇宙) 산업(産業) 발달(發達)과 그 과정(過程)을 고찰(考察)하고 현재 진행 중인 통신위성(通信衛星)의 개발(開發)과 그 사업(事業)을 뒷받침해 주는 국가(國家)의 정책(政策)을 살펴보고 있다. KOREASAT라고 명명(命名)된 통신위성(通信衛星) 개발(開發)에 현재 여러 기관이 관계(關係)하고 있으나 그 중 KARI(한국항공우주연구소(韓國航空宇宙硏究所)), ETRI(전자통신연구소(電子通信硏究所)), SERI(시스템공학연구소(硏究所)), KAIST(한국과학기술연구소(韓國科學技術硏究所)) 등이 중추적인 연구(硏究)를 하고 있다. 특히 이 논문(論文)에서는 아래와 같은 문제(問題)를 다루고 있다 첫째, 최근(最近) 한국우주개발(韓國宇宙開發) 상황(狀況) 둘째, 장기(長期) 우주개발(宇宙開發) 계획(計劃) 셋째, 현재(現在) 우주개발(宇宙開發) 상황(狀況)과 미래(未來) 우주개발(宇宙開發)에 관련한 정책(政策)적 문제(問題) 넷째, 한국(韓國) 우주개발(宇宙開發)과 정책(政策) 방향(方向)에 대한 의견(意見) 최근의 한국우주개발(韓國宇宙開發) 상황(狀況)은 크게 한국(韓國)의 통신위성(通信衛星) 사업(事業)인 Koreasat program과 다목적 위성사업(衛星事業)인 KOMSAT로 나타나는데 한국(韓國)의 최초 상업용(商業用) 위성(衛星)인 Koreasat는 1호가 1995년도에 발사(發射)되었으나 정상궤도(正常軌道) 진입(進入)에 문제(問題)가 발생하여 발사업체(發射業體)로부터 보상문제(補償問題)가 제기(提起)되기도 하였으나 2호는 성공리에 발사(發射)되었다. 미국항공우주회사(美國航空宇宙會社)와 공동(共同)으로 개발(開發)중인 새로운 과학위성(科學衛星)인 KOMSAT는 한국우주과학기술(韓國宇宙科學技術)을 한단계 더 발전(發展)시킬 수 있을 것이고 1999년도에 발사(發射) 계획(計劃)이다. 한국항공우주연구소(韓國航空宇宙硏究所) 중심(中心)의 장기(長期) 우주개발(宇宙開發) 계획(計劃)에서 제시(提示)하는 4가지 우주개발(宇宙開發)의 기본목표(基本目標)는 첫째, 우주산업응용산업(宇宙産業應用産業)의 상호협조개발(相互協助開發)에 의한 우주산업(宇宙産業) 육성(育成) 둘째, 한국(韓國)의 현재 우주산업상황(宇宙産業狀況)에 알맞은 특정분야(特定分野)를 선정(選定)하고 이 분야(分野)에서 최단기에 세계(世界) 최고의 기술수준을 성취(成就)하도록 집중(集中) 셋째, 외국과 긴밀한 협조(協助)로 선진기술(先進技術)의 습득(習得) 넷째, 체계적이고 통합(統合)된 장기우주산업발전(長期宇宙産業發展) 계획(計劃) 성립(成立) 등이다. 이러한 계획(計劃)에 주요 사안(事案)으로는 2015년까지 19기의 인공위성(人工衛星) 보유(保有)를 위한 제작계획(製作計劃)과 2010년까지 발사체(發射體) 개발(開發)을 마련하는 것이다 현재 우주활동(宇宙活動)에 관련된 문제(問題)는 주로 Koreasat의 서비스와 사용계획(使用計劃)에 대한 것으로 위성개발사업(衛星開發事業)에 있어서 관련 정부부서간(政府部署間)에 의견(意見)을 달리하고 있는 형태이다. 한국통신(韓國通信)과 정보통신부(情報通信部)는 위성(衛星)의 DBS 트랜스폰더에 대해 디지털 방식(方式)을 적용(適用)할 것을 제안(提案)했지만 공보처(共報處)는 반대(反對)의 입장(立場)을 표명(表明)한 것과 방송국(放送局)의 관리(管理)와 통제(統制)는 공보처(共報處)에 있고 무선통신표준(無線通信標準)에 대한 면허(免許)는 정보통신부(情報通信部)에 있기 때문에 방송국(放送局)에 대한 면허(免許)는 각기 다른 두 단계(段階)로 구성(構成)되는 문제(問題)가 발생(發生)한다. 또한 DBS 서비스에서 사기업(私企業)의 참여(參與)와 관련하여 재벌(財閥)의 참여(參與)를 허용(許容)하느냐의 여부(與否)의 논쟁(論爭)이다. 다음으로 미래(未來) 우주산업개발(宇宙産業開發)에 관한 정책문제(政策問題)를 살펴보면 국가적(國家的) 차원(次元)에서 조직적(組織的)인 육성책(育成策)에 대한 문제(問題)로 현재 주관 부처가 과학기술처(科學技術處)와 통상산업부(通商産業部)로 나뉘어 추진(推進)되고 있다는 점이다. 그리고 차세대(次世代) 통신위성개발(通信衛星開發) 계획(計劃)에 대한 문제(問題)로 최소 2${\sim}$4개의 궤도확보(軌道確保)와 이미 정상궤도(正常軌道) 진입(進入) 실패(失敗)에 따른 Koreasat 1호의 생명단축(生命短縮)으로 새로운 통신위성(通信衛星)을 4년이내에 발사(發射)해야 한다는 문제(問題)이다. 결론적으로 장기(長期) 우주개발계획정책(宇宙開發計劃政策)에 있어서 첫째, 국제적 우주개발사업(宇宙開發事業)에 대한 적극적(積極的) 참여(參與), 둘째, 우주(宇宙)에서 독립적(獨立的)인 활동(活動)을 할 수 있는 국가안보체제(國家安保體制)의 개발(開發), 셋째, 국가(國家) 위상(位相)의 발전(發展)과 우주개발(宇宙開發)을 위한 인력활용(人力活用)의 개발(開發), 넷째, 무한한 우주(宇宙)에 도전(挑戰)할 수 있는 우수(優秀)한 인재(人才)의 교육(敎育), 다섯째, 21세기를 대비(對備)하여 한국(韓國)의 우주개발정책(宇宙開發政策)의 결정(決定) 등이 고려(考慮)되어야 할 5가지 요소(要所)들이다. 그리고 막대(莫大)한 비용(費用)이 드는 우주개발사업(宇宙開發事業)을 효율적으로 추진(推進)하기 위해서는 국가(國家) 최고(最高) 지도자(指導者)의 직접지휘(直接指揮)를 받는 정부기구(政府機構)가 수립(樹立)되어 정부차원(政府次元)에서 추진(推進)하되 산학연(産學硏)이 협조(協助)하여 우주개발계획(宇宙開發計劃)을 추진(推進)하여야 할 것으로 본다.

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A cluster analysis of the audit result on quality management system in architectural design and engineering firms (설계 및 엔지니어링분야의 품질경영시스템 심사결과에 대한 유형분석)

  • Bae Dae-kwon;Kim Soo-Yoo;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.2 s.24
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    • pp.120-128
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    • 2005
  • ISO 9001, the quality management system issued by the International Organization for Standardization, is being used by architectural design and engineering firms in order to strengthen the capability of business activities through the implementation of the international and advanced quality management systems. However, there have been significant problems in stable implementation and settlement of ISO 9001 in construction industry, which seem to be caused by key employees' lack of proper recognition and comprehension. The purpose of this research, accordingly, is to find and analyze nonconformity results which were found when the third party registrars audited the conformity of companies' quality management systems for ISO 9001 certification especially in architectural design and engineering firms. For this purpose this research was conducted by a cluster analysis of 647 audit reports out of representative 15 architectural design and engineering firms that have been audited periodically from 1997 to 2003 by the third party registrars. The analysis showed that the most frequent problems were generated in the areas of $\ulcorner$Design and Development$\lrcorner$ , $\ulcorner$production and Service Provision$\lrcorner$ , and $\ulcorner$General requirements$\lrcorner$ of the quality management system. The following, the areas of $\ulcorner$Monitoring and Measurement$\lrcorner$ and $\ulcorner$purchasing$\lrcorner$ were also analyzed as main factors which caused frequent nonconformity results. This research also shows that the corrective actions for nonconformity results are closely connected with the whole management activities in architectural design and engineering firms. Consequently, corrective actions for disposition of nonconformities should be implemented more specifically in order to settle and activate the quality management systems in architectural design and engineering firms.