• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산사태 발생

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A Feasibility Study of a Rainfall Triggeirng Index Model to Warn Landslides in Korea (산사태 경보를 위한 RTI 모델의 적용성 평가)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Choi, Junghae;Jeong, Hae Keun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.235-250
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    • 2016
  • In Korea, 70% of the annual rainfall falls in summer, and the number of days of extreme rainfall (over 200 mm) is increasing over time. Because rainfall is the most important trigger of landslides, it is necessary to decide a rainfall threshold for landslide warning and to develop a landslide warning model. This study selected 12 study areas that contained landslides with exactly known triggering times and locations, and also rainfall data. The feasibility of applying a Rainfall Triggering Index (RTI) to Korea is analyzed, and three RTI models that consider different time units for rainfall intensity are compared. The analyses show that the 60-minute RTI model failed to predict landslides in three of the study areas, while both the 30- and 10-minute RTI models gave successful predictions for all of the study areas. Each RTI model showed different mean response times to landslide warning: 4.04 hours in the 60-minute RTI model, 6.08 hours in the 30-minute RTI model, and 9.15 hours in the 10-minute RTI model. Longer response times to landslides were possible using models that considered rainfall intensity for shorter periods of time. Considering the large variations in rainfall intensity that may occur within short periods in Korea, it is possible to increase the accuracy of prediction, and thereby improve the early warning of landslides, using a RTI model that considers rainfall intensity for periods of less than 1 hour.

Influences of Cumulative Number of Days of Rainfall on Occurrence of Landslide (강우량의 누적일수가 산사태 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Won-Seok;Ma, Ho-Seop;Jeon, Kwon-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.2
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2016
  • In relation to the impact of cumulative rainfall on landslides in accordance with the cumulative number of days, for the more than 100 mm rainfall, the 3 days cumulative rainfall experienced 64.9% of the total points, which is 986 points out of the 1520 points. The 5 days cumulative rainfall period experienced 60% of the total landslides, which is 846 points out of 1520 points analyzed. The 3 days or 5 days cumulative rainfall thus had a greater effect on landslides than the other days. In addition, for the 101-200 mm rainfall, more landslides occurred in the 10 days cumulative number of days, for the 201-300 mm, more landslides occurred in the 14 days cumulative number of days, whereas the 18 days cumulative number of days had more landslides for the 301-400 mm rainfall. Thus, it is imperative to take into consideration cumulative rainfall and the cumulative number of days of rainfall in the establishment of forecasting and warning systems for landslides, to minimize the damage caused to life and property by landslides.

Analysis of the Occurrence Characteristic of Earthquake-Induced Landslide through a Media Report : Focus on International Cases Reported in Domestic Media During the 10 years (2009-2018) (언론보도를 통한 지진에 의한 산사태 발생특성 분석 : 최근 10년(2009-2018)간 국내 언론에 보도된 국외사례를 중심으로)

  • Kang, Minjeng;Kim, Kidae;Seo, Junpyo;Woo, Choongshik;Lee, Changwoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.440-448
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Most of the studies in the country on earthquake-induced landslide predict the displacement of the slope. Until now, no studies have been conducted on the occurrence of landslides and damage characteristics by earthquakes. Therefore, this study was conducted to obtain basic data of landslides caused by earthquakes. Method: In order to analyze the characteristics of earthquake-causing landslides, we have collected data reported in the media over the past decade. Landslides in foreign countries were analyzed separately by cause of occurrences such as rainfall and earthquake. Landslides from abroad were analyzed according to the cause of the occurrence, and landslides caused by earthquakes were further analyzed as follows: the magnitude of an earthquake, year of occurrence, number of occurrences by continent, damage status, etc. Result: In the past 10 years, a total of 608 landslides have been reported from overseas, and the cause is the highest with 340 landslides due to rainfall. There were 70 cases of landslides caused by earthquakes, and it was analyzed as the second cause of landslides. The average magnitude for earthquakes that caused landslides was 6.5, and the minimum and maximum magnitude were 4.4 and 8.2 respectively. The earthquake-induced landslides were the most occurrence in 2011yr and 2012yr, and the continent was the most common in Asia. Also, It was analyzed that if an earthquake caused landslides, the number of casualties increased and the size of the damage increased. Conclusion: Currently, earthquakes are steadily increasing in Korea, and the possibility of strong earthquakes is also increasing. Earthquake-induced landslides are beyond human control due to natural disasters but can minimize damage through active prevention and response. It is expected that the results of this study will be used as basic data in establishing measures for earthquake landslides to reduce property and human damage in the future.

Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall for Landslide-triggering in 2011 (2011년 집중호우로 인한 산사태 발생특성 분석)

  • Kim, Suk-Woo;Chun, Kun-Woo;Kim, Jin-Hak;Kim, Min-Sik;Kim, Min-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2012
  • Rainfall is widely recognized as a major landslide-triggering factor. Most of the latest landslides that occurred in South Korea were caused by short-duration heavy rainfall. However, the relationship between rainfall characteristics and landslide occurrence is poorly understood. To examine the effect of rainfall on landslide occurrence, cumulative rainfall(mm) and rainfall intensity(mm/hr) of serial rain and antecedent rainfall(mm) were analyzed for 18 landslide events that occurred in the southern and central regions of South Korea in June and July 2011. It was found that all of these landslides occurred by heavy rainfall for one or three days, with the rainfall intensity exceeding 30 mm/hr or with a cumulative rainfall of 200 mm. These plotted data are beyond the landslide warning criteria of Korea Forest Service and the critical line of landslide occurrence for Gyeongnam Province. It was also found that the time to landslide occurrence after rainfall start(T) was shortened with the increasing average rainfall intensity(ARI), showing an exponential-decay curve, and this relation can be expressed as "T = $94.569{\cdot}exp$($-0.068{\cdot}ARI$)($R^2$=0.64, p<0.001)". The findings in this study may provide important evidences for the landslide forecasting guidance service of Korea Forest Service as well as essential data for the establishment of non-structural measures such as a warning and evacuation system in the face of sediment disasters.

Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics and Landslides at the West Side Area of Gangwon Province (강원 영서지역 산사태 및 강우특성 분석)

  • Yoo, Namjae;Yoon, Daehee;Um, Jaekyung;Kim, Donggun;Park, Byungsoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2012
  • This paper is the results of analysis for the causes and characteristics of landslide according to heavy rain occurred in west area of Gangwon province which is affected by typhoon such as Ewiniar and Bilis in 2006. West side of Gangwon province is topographically weak for the landslide and debris flow since it is covered by soil of weathered rock such as Gneiss and Granite. From the results of analysis for the rainfall characteristics, it was found that landslide occurrence is closely related to the accumulated rainfall amount less than 3 days. Furthermore, it was found that regional difference of occurrence frequency is effected by 1-hour maximum rainfall intensity. From the results of analysis for the landslide data of 860 locations occurred in west side, it was shown that failure mode was changed from transition slide to liquidity slide. Occurrence frequency was high at the slope angle of $20{\sim}30^{\circ}$ slope length of 11~20, and slope width of 6~10. Landslide of west side is the typical landslide of Gneiss and Granite and the type of small scale which has narrow slope width.

Development of the Score Table for Prediction of Landslide Hazard - A Case Study of Gyeongsangbuk-Do Province - (산사태 발생위험 예측을 위한 판정기준표의 작성 -경상북도 지역을 중심으로-)

  • Jung, Kyu-Won;Park, Sang-Jun;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.3
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    • pp.332-339
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    • 2008
  • This study was carried out to develop the score table for prediction of landslide hazard in Gyeongsangbuk-Do province. It was studied to 172 places landslided in 23 cities and counties of Gyeongsangbuk-Do province. An analyze of the score table for landslide hazard was carried out through the multiple statistics of quantification method (I) by the computer. Factors effected to landslide occurrence quantity were shown in order of slope position, slope length, bedrock, aspect, forest age, slope form and slope. As results of the development of score table for prediction of landslide hazard in Gyeongsangbuk-Do province, total score range was divided that 107 under is stable area (IV class), 107~176 is area with little susceptibility to landslide (III class), 177~246 is area with moderate susceptibility to landslide (II class), above 247 area with severe susceptibility to landslide (I class).

Landslide Hazard Evaluation using Geospatial Information based on UAV and Infinite Slope Stability Model (UAV 기반의 공간정보와 무한사면해석모형을 활용한 산사태 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Choi, Yun-Woong
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2015
  • The influence of climate change on rainfall patterns has triggered landslide and debris flow with casualties and property damage. This study constructed DSM and Orthophoto by using UAV surveying technique and evaluated landslide risk area by applying GIS data into the infinite slope stability model. As a result of the estimation of slope stability in a site, the slope instability has $SI{\leq}1.0$ with cover area 46,396m2, and the distribution percentage was 18.2%. The most dangerous section has $SI{\leq}0.0$ with its cover area 7,988m2, and the ratio was 0.8%. The reviews regarding the risk of landslide and debris flow risk by stability index and river channel analysis respectively help being able to designate the hazard zone due to heavy rainfall. Therefore the analysis result of this study will need to reinforce soil slope and plan their safety measures in the future.

소규모 개발지역의 토사재해예측에 관한 연구

  • Park, Ki-Bum;Park, Eun-Yeong;Cha, Sang-Hwa;Kim, Sung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.512-515
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    • 2012
  • 최근의 재해 발생은 하천에 의한 범람, 제방의 붕괴 등에 의한 피해발생보다는 일정지역에 국한적으로 내수배제 불량, 토사유출, 산사태 등으로 인한 피해의 발생이 증가하고 있다. 특히나 도시지역과 신규개발지역을 중심으로 집중호우로 인한 토사유출 등으로 인한 배수로 막힘, 산사태등의 2차적인 피해가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 2011년의 서울의 우면산 산사태 등과 같은 도시중심에서의 피해와 강원도 등의 신규개발지역에서의 토사로 인해 2차, 3차 피해는 국지적이고 예측이 불가능한 곳에서 발생되고 있다. 이러한 토사유출, 산사태에 의한 예측기법은 최근의 정보기술의 발달로 인해 보다 다양한 방법의 접근들이 시도되고 있으며, 이에 대한 정량적인 평가기법들이 개발되고 적용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 산지지형의 소규모 개발지의 토사재해의 위험성을 평가하기 위하여 GIS 기술을 이용한 사면의 안정성과 산사태 위험성을 평가하는 대표적인 방법으로 Pack et al. (1998)이 제안한 수리적 무한사면 안정모델과 결합하여 사면안정분석을 위해 개발된 SINMAP을 이용하여 소규모 개발지역의 토석류 해석과 사면의 안정성 검토 그리고 범용토양공식을 이용하여 토사유출량을 산정하여 개발지역내 사면 및 토사재해의 위험성을 평가하였다. GIS를 이용한 지형적 특성에 따른 사면의 위험성과 토사유출량 해석 결과를 이용하여 소규모 개발지역의 토사재해의 위험성을 정량적이고 다각적으로 평가하여 재해발생에 따른 위험성을 노출하고 이에 대한 대책 수립에 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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Landslide Vulnerability Mapping considering GCI(Geospatial Correlative Integration) and Rainfall Probability In Inje (GCI(Geospatial Correlative Integration) 및 확률강우량을 고려한 인제지역 산사태 취약성도 작성)

  • Lee, Moung-Jin;Lee, Sa-Ro;Jeon, Seong-Woo;Kim, Geun-Han
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.21-47
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    • 2013
  • The aim is to analysis landslide vulnerability in Inje, Korea, using GCI(Geospatial Correlative Integration) and probability rainfalls based on geographic information system (GIS). In order to achieve this goal, identified indicators influencing landslides based on literature review. We include indicators of exposure to climate(rainfall probability), sensitivity(slope, aspect, curvature, geology, topography, soil drainage, soil material, soil thickness and soil texture) and adaptive capacity(timber diameter, timber type, timber density and timber age). All data were collected, processed, and compiled in a spatial database using GIS. Karisan-ri that had experienced 470 landslides by Typhoon Ewinia in 2006 was selected for analysis and verification. The 50% of landslide data were randomly selected to use as training data, while the other 50% being used for verification. The probability of landslides for target years (1 year, 3 years, 10 years, 50 years, and 100 years) was calculated assuming that landslides are triggered by 3-day cumulative rainfalls of 449 mm. Results show that number of slope has comparatively strong influence on landslide damage. And inclination of $25{\sim}30^{\circ}C$, the highest correlation landslide. Improved previous landslide vulnerability methodology by adopting GCI. Also, vulnerability map provides meaningful information for decision makers regarding priority areas for implementing landslide mitigation policies.

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Application of Regional Landslide Susceptibility, Possibility, and Risk Assessment Techniques Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 광역적 산사태 취약성, 가능성, 위험성 평가 기법 적용)

  • 이사로
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.385-394
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    • 2001
  • There are serious damage of people and properties every year due to landslides that are occurred by heavy rain. Because these phenomena repeat and the heavy rain is not an atmospheric anomaly, the counter plan becomes necessary. The study area, Ulsan, is one of the seven metropolitan, and largest cities of Korea and has many large facilities such as petrochemical complex and factories of automobile and shipbuilding. So it is necessary assess the landslide hazard potential. In the study. the three steps of landslide hazard assessment techniques such as susceptibility, possibility, and risk were performed to the study area using GIS. For the analyses, the topographic, geologic, soil, forest, meteorological, and population and facility spatial database were constructed. Landslide susceptibility representing how susceptible to a given area was assessed by overlay of the slope, aspect, curvature of topography from the topographic DB, type, material, drainage and effective thickness of soil from the soil DB, lype age, diameter and density from forest DB and land use. Then landslide possibility representing how possible to landslide was assessed by overlay of the susceptibility and rainfall frequency map, Finally, landslide risk representing how dangerous to people and facility was assessed by overlay of the possibil. ity and the population and facility density maps The assessment results can be used to urban and land use plan for landslide hazard prevention.

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