• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.49-60
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• 2004

In this paper, when the observations are distributed as inverse gaussian, we developed the noninformative priors for ratio of the parameters of inverse gaussian distribution. We developed the first order matching prior and proved that the second order matching prior does not exist. It turns out that one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a first order matching criterion. Some simulation study is performed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.1121-1124
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• 2008

저수분석(low flow analysis)은 수자원공학에서 중요한 분야 중 하나이며, 특히 저수량 빈도분석(low flow frequency analysis)의 결과는 저수(貯水)용량의 설계, 물 수급계획, 오염원의 배치 및 관개와 생태계의 보존을 위한 수량과 수질의 관리에 중요하게 사용된다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 저수량 빈도분석을 위한 점빈도분석을 수행하였으며, 특히 빈도분석에 있어서의 불확실성을 탐색하기 위하여 Bayesian 방법을 적용하고 그 결과를 기존에 사용되던 불확실성 탐색방법과 비교하였다. 본 논문의 I편에서는 Bayesian 방법 중 사전분포(prior distribution)와 우도함수(likelihood function)의 복잡성에 상관없이 계산이 가능한 Bayesian MCMC(Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 방법과 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 사용하기 위한 여러과정의 이론적 배경과 Bayesian 방법에서 가장 중요한 요소인 사전분포를 구축하고 이를 비교 및 평가하였다. 고려된 사전분포는 자료에 기반하지 않은 사전분포와 자료에 기반한 사전분포로써 두 사전분포를 이용하여 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 수행하고 그 결과를 비교하여 저수량 빈도분석에 합리적인 사전분포를 선정하였다. 또한 알고리즘의 수행과정에서 필요한 제안분포(proposal distribution)를 적용하여 그에 따른 알고리즘의 효율성을 채택률(acceptance rate)을 산정하여 검증해 보았다. 사전분포의 분석 결과, 자료에 기반한 사전분포가 자료에 기반하지 않은 사전분포보다 정확성 및 불확실성의 표현에 있어서 우수한 결과를 제시하는 것을 확인할 수 있었고, 채택률을 이용한 알고리즘의 효용성 역시 기존 연구자들이 제시하였던 만족스러운 범위를 가지는 것을 알 수 있었다. 최종적으로 선정된 사전분포는 본 연구의 II편에서 Bayesian MCMC 방법의 사전분포로 이용되었으며, 그 결과를 기존 불확실성의 추정방법의 하나인 2차 근사식을 이용한 최우추정(maximum likelihood estimation)방법의 결과와 비교하였다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.405-414
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• 2002

We consider the problem of estimating the error variance of in a two-way mixed-effects ANOVA model using noninformative priors. First, we derive Jeffreys' prior, a reference prior, and matching priors. We then provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide graphs of marginal posterior densities of the error variance and credible intervals for the error variance in two real data set and compare these credible intervals.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.103-118
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• 2024

The horseshoe prior is notably one of the most popular priors in sparse regression models, where only a small fraction of coefficients are nonzero. The parameter space of the horseshoe prior is much smaller than that of the spike and slab prior, so it enables us to efficiently explore the parameter space even in high-dimensions. However, on the other hand, the horseshoe prior has a high computational cost for each iteration in the Gibbs sampler. To overcome this issue, various MCMC algorithms for the horseshoe prior have been proposed to reduce the computational burden. Especially, Johndrow et al. (2020) recently proposes an approximate algorithm that can significantly improve the mixing and speed of the MCMC algorithm. In this paper, we compare (1) the traditional MCMC algorithm, (2) the approximate MCMC algorithm proposed by Johndrow et al. (2020) and (3) its variant in terms of computing times, estimation and variable selection performance. For the variable selection, we adopt the sequential clustering-based method suggested by Li and Pati (2017). Practical performances of the MCMC methods are demonstrated via numerical studies.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.1
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• pp.35-47
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• 2008

The low flow analysis is an important part in water resources engineering. Also, the results of low flow frequency analysis can be used for design of reservoir storage, water supply planning and design, waste-load allocation, and maintenance of quantity and quality of water for irrigation and wild life conservation. Especially, for identification of the uncertainty in frequency analysis, the Bayesian approach is applied and compared with conventional methodologies in at-site low flow frequency analysis. In the first manuscript, the theoretical background for the Bayesian MCMC (Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo) method and Metropolis-Hasting algorithm are studied. Two types of the prior distribution, a non-data- based and a data-based prior distributions are developed and compared to perform the Bayesian MCMC method. It can be suggested that the results of a data-based prior distribution is more effective than those of a non-data-based prior distribution. The acceptance rate of the algorithm is computed to assess the effectiveness of the developed algorithm. In the second manuscript, the Bayesian MCMC method using a data-based prior distribution and MLE(Maximum Likelihood Estimation) using a quadratic approximation are performed for the at-site low flow frequency analysis.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.91-105
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• 1990

Several practical prior distributions are derived using the maximum entropy principle. Also, an interactive method for estimating a prior distribution which uses the minimum cross-entropy principle is proposed when there are many prior informations. The consistency of the prior distributions obtained by the entropy principles is discussed.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.285-298
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• 2022

Continuous shrinkage priors, as well as spike and slab priors, have been widely employed for Bayesian inference about sparse regression coefficient vectors or covariance matrices. Continuous shrinkage priors provide computational advantages over spike and slab priors since their model space is substantially smaller. This is especially true in high-dimensional settings. However, variable selection based on continuous shrinkage priors is not straightforward because they do not give exactly zero values. Although few variable selection approaches based on continuous shrinkage priors have been proposed, no substantial comparative investigations of their performance have been conducted. In this paper, We compare two variable selection methods: a credible interval method and the sequential 2-means algorithm (Li and Pati, 2017). Various simulation scenarios are used to demonstrate the practical performances of the methods. We conclude the paper by presenting some observations and conjectures based on the simulation findings.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2002.11a
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• pp.169-174
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• 2002

본 연구는 k개 지수분포 모수들의 기하평균에 대한 베이지안추정 방법을 제시하였다. 이를 위해 Tibshirani가 제안한 직교변환법으로 비정보적 사전확률분포를 도출하여 모수들의 결합사후확률분포를 유도해 내었으며, 이 분포 하에서 가중 몬테칼로 방법을 사용하여 기하평균을 추정하는 절차를 제안하였다. 모의실험과 실제자료의 예를 통해 제안된 베이지안 추정의 유효성 및 효용성을 보였으며, 본 연구에서 제안한 사전확률분포가 전통적인 포함확률을 기준으로 볼 때, Jeffrey의 사전확률분포 보다 더 유효한 추정을 함을 보였다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.491-505
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• 2021

We consider linear regression models in high-dimensional settings (p ≫ n) and compare various classes of priors. The spike and slab prior is one of the most widely used priors for Bayesian regression models, but its model space is vast, resulting in a bad performance in finite samples. As an alternative, various continuous shrinkage priors, including the horseshoe prior and its variants, have been proposed. Although each of the above priors has been investigated separately, exhaustive comparative studies of their performance have been conducted very rarely. In this study, we compare the spike and slab prior, the horseshoe prior and its variants in various simulation settings. The performance of each method is demonstrated in terms of the regression coefficient estimation and variable selection. Finally, some remarks and suggestions are given based on comprehensive simulation studies.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.4 no.4
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• pp.47-52
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• 1999

In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the reliability of stress-strength system under the Burr-type X distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Bayesian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It turns out that the reference prior is a first order matching prior. The propriety of posterior under matching prior is provided. The frequentist coverage probabilities are given for small samples.