• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.73-82
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• 2012

In order to carry out efficient investment and successful business in national geo-spatial industry, economic assessment on the field of 3D geo-information has recently emerged as a serious issue. Therefore, this study is intended to offer cost-effective evaluation scheme which are proper for 3D geo-spatial information, especially focusing on development of orthophoto and DEM. The study is organized as follows. The first section clarifies preliminary rules for feasibility by defining target work and category in order to estimate benefit. Then, this paper will be limited to consideration of production of digital mapping for target business which is expected to create high value and its benefit from cost reduction is suggested. Drawing from the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) methods, this study comprehensively described final result and implication to examine business value. Consequently, this study can suggest economical evaluation methods on 3D geo-spatial information industry, which takes up a considerable part of immaterial benefit and has difficulties in economic assessment and estimation. preventing a variety of errors in system operation in advance.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.274-282
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• 2014

The Korean government is considering the implementation of the marine debris pollution abatement technology program (MDPATP) to mitigate the negative impacts of marine debris and systematically manage marine debris through scientific researches such as monitoring and environmental impact assessment of marine debris. In this regard, this study attempts to analyze the economic feasibility of the MDPATP in order to provide policy-maker with useful information. To this end, the indices for economic feasibility such as net present value (NPV), benefit/cost (B/C) ratio, and internal rate of return (IRR) are presented. The results show that NPV, B/C ratio, and IRR are computed to be 45.7 billion won, 2.72, and 17.12%, respectively, which are bigger than 0, 1.0, and 5.5%, and that the MDPATP passes the cost-benefit analysis. Thus, it is concluded that it is socially profitable to conduct the MDPATP.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.1-22
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• 2017

Analysis of future business or investment opportunities, such as business feasibility analysis and company or technology valuation, necessitate objective estimation on the relevant market and expected sales. While there are various ways to classify the estimation methods of these new sales or market size, they can be broadly divided into top-down and bottom-up approaches by benchmark references. Both methods, however, require a lot of resources and time. Therefore, we propose a data-based intelligent demand forecasting system to support evaluation of new business. This study focuses on analogical forecasting, one of the traditional quantitative forecasting methods, to develop sales forecasting intelligence systems for new businesses. Instead of simply estimating sales for a few years, we hereby propose a method of estimating the sales of new businesses by using the initial sales and the sales growth rate of similar companies. To demonstrate the appropriateness of this method, it is examined whether the sales performance of recently established companies in the same industry category in Korea can be utilized as a reference variable for the analogical forecasting. In this study, we examined whether the phenomenon of "mean reversion" was observed in the sales of start-up companies in order to identify errors in estimating sales of new businesses based on industry sales growth rate and whether the differences in business environment resulting from the different timing of business launch affects growth rate. We also conducted analyses of variance (ANOVA) and latent growth model (LGM) to identify differences in sales growth rates by industry category. Based on the results, we proposed industry-specific range and linear forecasting models. This study analyzed the sales of only 150,000 start-up companies in Korea in the last 10 years, and identified that the average growth rate of start-ups in Korea is higher than the industry average in the first few years, but it shortly shows the phenomenon of mean-reversion. In addition, although the start-up founding juncture affects the sales growth rate, it is not high significantly and the sales growth rate can be different according to the industry classification. Utilizing both this phenomenon and the performance of start-up companies in relevant industries, we have proposed two models of new business sales based on the sales growth rate. The method proposed in this study makes it possible to objectively and quickly estimate the sales of new business by industry, and it is expected to provide reference information to judge whether sales estimated by other methods (top-down/bottom-up approach) pass the bounds from ordinary cases in relevant industry. In particular, the results of this study can be practically used as useful reference information for business feasibility analysis or technical valuation for entering new business. When using the existing top-down method, it can be used to set the range of market size or market share. As well, when using the bottom-up method, the estimation period may be set in accordance of the mean reverting period information for the growth rate. The two models proposed in this study will enable rapid and objective sales estimation of new businesses, and are expected to improve the efficiency of business feasibility analysis and technology valuation process by developing intelligent information system. In academic perspectives, it is a very important discovery that the phenomenon of 'mean reversion' is found among start-up companies out of general small-and-medium enterprises (SMEs) as well as stable companies such as listed companies. In particular, there exists the significance of this study in that over the large-scale data the mean reverting phenomenon of the start-up firms' sales growth rate is different from that of the listed companies, and that there is a difference in each industry. If a linear model, which is useful for estimating the sales of a specific company, is highly likely to be utilized in practical aspects, it can be explained that the range model, which can be used for the estimation method of the sales of the unspecified firms, is highly likely to be used in political aspects. It implies that when analyzing the business activities and performance of a specific industry group or enterprise group there is political usability in that the range model enables to provide references and compare them by data based start-up sales forecasting system.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2011.10a
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• pp.2192-2204
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• 2011

Recently, The government is actively transit road-oriented Traffic System to the eco-friendly and high-efficiency railroad-oriented transportation system for the sustainable green growth. The second plan of Nationwide Railway Network which has been officially announced rearrange to integration, multi-core, open architecture country by the railway network and integrate to the one mega city that rink an important city in one hour 30 minute. But the railroad industry is disadvantageous when it compares with the road industry on the ground that railroad industry peculiarities(a cost-benefit analysis, an environment value, etc) have not reflected in the (preliminary) feasibility study for SOC industry. The government establish Improved methodology of Rail Investment Rating System and improved preliminary feasibility study in railroad project by introduction many content(analysis periods, rate of discount, the benefits of shortening of transit hours, the estimation of traffic accident reduction benefits, investment cost of vehicle substitution and operation and maintenance cost of high speed rail) about the Improved methodology of Rail Investment Rating System. This study is intended to consideration the key content that was included in the Improved methodology of Rail Investment Rating System. In addition, the points to be considered for additional study have been reviewed in this study. We hope we will carry out make a reasonable and objective Rail Investment Rating System and to perform the railway industry of the virtuous cycle such improvement plans are reflected at a hereafter railroad section.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.249-254
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• 2007

The main bodies of housing markets of today need to carry out a systematic and objective feasibility analysis even from the step of planning in order to succeed in a diverse and complex market environment. Therefore, it is meaningful to understand this housing market environment and propose a necessary model for the feasibility analysis of hosing business. In this vein, the aim of this study was to extract an actual and practical feasibility analysis factor and its importance for housing market, and then present and apply a feasibility analysis factor model to an on-site example, in order to verify the model's validity. For this, the investigator interviewed with and carried out a questionnaire survey of experts in housing development projects. Study findings are as follows:First, the feasibility analysis factor, derived in this study, could provide a ground to evaluate the feasibility of subject projects in the planning of development through an analysis index. Second, when feasibility is under the level of carrying out the projects, it is possible to reexamine the projects through extracting analysis factors of which points are under the standard and via a feedback process for improvable analysis factors. Therefore, the result of applying the feasibility analysis model of this study to actual housing development projects analytically shows that the model could provide a practical evaluation criterion to the person in charge of project development through an analysis index.

• Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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• 2009.12a
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• pp.398-401
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• 2009

민간 주도형 사회간접자본 (social overhead capital :SOC) 사업은 BOT(build-operate-transfer)를 비롯하여 대상 프로젝트의 정부 정책 등의 여러 환경의 변경에 따라 다양하게 변형되어 적용되어 BTL(build-lease-transfer), BOO (build-own-operate)등의 여러 기법들을 사용된다. 민간 SOC 사업은 프로 젝트의 규모와 장기에 걸친 공사의 불확실성 때문에 프로젝트의 경제성 분석을 하는 것은 복잡하다. 일반적으로 사용하고 있는 현금흐름 할인모형(discount cash flow model; DCF)은 미래의 불확실성 변수들을 적절히 반영하지 못한다는 한계점을 가지고 있지만 현실적으로 많이 쓰이고 있는 방식이다. 본 논문은 옵션기반모형에 근거한, BOT-옵션가치평가(BOT-OV)모형을 국내 민간 SOC 사업의 경제성 분석을 위해 적용한다. BOT-OV모형을 적용하는 것이 기존 순현재가치(net present value; NPV)방식을 통하여 프로젝트 가치 평가 할 때보다 더 정밀한 경제적 타당성 평가를 할 수 있다는 것을 확인하여 기존의 NPV 평가방식의 방법을 대체할 수 있는 가능성을 확인하는데 의의가 있다고 할 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.8 no.6
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• pp.155-160
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• 2008

The BTL project, 4 years since its operation. has benchmarked the PFI Project in Japan and has been introduced. Given the evaluation step to select a preferred bidder, in a technological factor, the basic plans are corrected and complemented, whereas in a price factor, the low price bidding system is being enforced. There is concern that how to select preferred bidders and how to operate project costs during operation and management period may be problematic. Thus, in this study, using the Analytic Hierarchy Process, the method of deciding the priority to select preferred bidders in an early stage of the project and the evaluation model to evaluate the validity of BTL project expenses in process of project enforcement are established. Targeting the group composed of experts who have experiences in the BTL project. Then, the levelling of evaluation factors and grouping have been carried out as following : LCC analysis and disbursement for government including two more detailed factors.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.217-244
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• 2003

As energy industry is undergoing a rapid structural changes, economic feasibility analysis based on the conventional discounted cash flow (DCF) method has limitations to incorporate management's flexibilities. We present a real options pricing method (ROPM) which can be applied to an energy sector as an alternative. In order to examine the usefulness of ROPM, this study compares the result of DCF method applied to the investment of cogeneration power plant with that based on the ROPM incorporating the value of real of options inherent in the project. The simulation results show that the value of investment opportunities improves using ROPM compared to that with the conventional DCF methods. Therefore, a specific project which appears to be unprofitable from the conventional point of view could be, actually, an economically feasible one based on ROPM method, when properly incorporating the management's flexibilities inherent in the project.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.131-136
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• 2015

The feasibility study is an evaluation and analysis of the potential of a proposed project. It is based on extensive investigation and research to support the process of decision making. A systematic approach to determining the optimum use of scarce resources, involving comparison of two or more alternatives in achieving a specific objective under the given assumptions and constraints. Economic analysis takes into account the opportunity costs of resources employed and attempts to measure in monetary terms the private and social costs and benefits of a project to the community or economy. Cost-benefit analysis (CBA), sometimes called benefit-cost analysis (BCA), is a systematic approach to estimating the strengths and weaknesses of alternatives that satisfy transactions, activities or functional requirements for a business. It is a technique that is used to determine options that provide the best approach for the adoption and practice in terms of benefits in labor, time and cost savings etc. The CBA is also defined as a systematic process for calculating and comparing benefits and costs of a project, decision or government policy and projects.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.336-346
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• 2014

Recently interest and concern about the effectiveness of the transportation investment policy have been increasing because lots of transportation projects reflected to the National Transportation Plan are suspended or delayed during pre-feasibility study. For instance, the criticism such as overlap and deficiency in consistency in appraisal system were aroused because of the waste of budget, time and man-power etc. This is because the Korea government adopted pre-feasibility study for the purpose of efficient use of national budget, but the methodology and the appraisal contents are similar to the existing feasibility study. Also, the feasibility appraisal study was adopted in 1999 for the purpose of establishing efficient transport networks but the feasibility study has been substituting the function which should be conducted by feasibility-appraisal study. In this study, by reviewing the current situation and the purport of introducing these policies, the understanding of these policies could be increased. Then, the plans for improving the efficiency of transportation appraisal system are suggested in the context of strengthening the connectivity between these policies. This study is expected to play an important role in increasing the rationality, consistency and efficiency of transportation investment policies.