• Title/Summary/Keyword: 빈곤감소

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Asymptotic Variance of Flood Quantiles from the Generalized Logistic Distribution using the Method of Maximum Likelihood (Generalized Logistic 분포형의 최우도법을 이용한 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산)

  • Shin, Hong-Joon;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1522-1526
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    • 2007
  • 최근 영국의 Institute of Hydrology에서는 Generalized logistic (GL) 분포형을 홍수빈도해석시 GEV 분포형을 대체하는 분포형으로 추천한 바 있으며, 그로 인해 GL 분포형의 사용이 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 하지만 아직 그 사용빈도에 반하여 분포형 자체의 특성, 그 중에서도 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산에 관한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 최우도법을 이용하여 GL 분포형의 확률홍수량에 대한 근사적 분산에 관한 연구를 수행하였으며, 이를 표본 크기, 재현기간, 매개변수들의 함수로 나타내었다. 또한 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산의 적용성을 검토하기 위해 Monte Carlo 모의실험을 수행하였으며, 모의실험은 형상 매개변수$(\beta)$$\pm0.5$이면 gamma function으로 인하여 표본 크기에 관계없이 분산값이 무한대에 가까워지므로 형상매개변수의 범위는 $-0.5{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$로 제한하였다. 모의결과 최우도법에 의해 계산된 분산식은 형상매개변수 $-0.25{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$의 범위에서 비교적 잘 맞는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 기존에 알려진 대로 표본크기가 크면 클수록 정확해지는 것을 알 수 있다. 또한 표본크기가 작은 경우 형상매개변수 전 범위에서 정확도가 떨어지는 것을 확인할 수 있으며, 최우도법의 경우 표본크기가 작은 경우를 제외하고 $-0.25{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$ 범위에서 quantile 산정시 quantile이 약간 과다추정되는 경향이 있는 것을 알 수 있으며, 이는 분산이 과다 추정되는 결과를 초래하며 이로 인해 해석해보다 약간씩 큰 값을 나타내는 것으로 판단되었다..이 극단적인 선정적인 폭력성에 탐닉하게 되는 경향이 있다. 현실은 결코 아름답지 못하고, 행복하게 살 수 없다는 것에 대한 깨달음에서 기인한다. 욕구불만의 강도가 심해질수록 폭력성은 더욱 강하게 나타나는데 개인에게서 뿐만 아니라 가족, 동료, 사회 단체나 종교, 국가간에도 집단적으로도 발생하게 된다. 사회적으로 볼 때 폭력은 용인되는 것이 아니므로 도덕적으로 절제를 하거나 상대방과 적절한 타협과 조정을 필요로 한다. 그러나 절제의 한계를 넘어선다고 생각되거나, 조정의 노력이 불가능하거나, 실패했을 때 폭력적인 행동으로 나타나게 된다. 리차즈(I.A Richards)는 분노와 공포는 일단 겉잡을 수 없는 경향이 있다고 하면서 오늘날 폭력에 대한 요구가 일상의 정서 생활에 있어, 억압을 통한, 빈곤함을 반영하고 있지 않은지 생각해봐야 할 것이라고 충고한다. 조성 가이드라인(안)을 제시하였다.EX>$\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와의 비교를 해보면 상 중 하품의 통합 9개소가 삭제되어 있고, $\ulcorner$동국여지승람$\lrcorner$(東國與地勝覽) 에서는 자기소와 도기소의 위치가 완전히 삭제되어 있다. 이러한 현상은 첫째, 15세기 중엽 경제적 태평과 함께 백자의 수요 생산이 증가하자 군신의 변별(辨別)과 사치를 이유로 강력하게 규제하여 백자의 확대와 발전에 걸림돌이 되었다. 둘째, 동기(銅器)의 대체품으로 자기를 만들어 충당해야할 강제성 당위성 상실로 인한 자기수요 감소를 초래하였을 것으로 사료된다. 셋째, 경기도 광주에서 백자관요가 운영되었으므로 지방인 상주지역에도 더 이상 백자를 조달받을 필요가 없이, 일반 지방관아와 서민들의

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Pollution Status for Agricultural Reservior in Chungbuk Province (충북지역 농업용 저수지의 오염실태 조사연구)

  • Oh, Kwang-Young;Kim, Jin-Soo;Song, Chang-Sub;Kwon, Sung-Ill;Song, Chul-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.987-992
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    • 2007
  • 충청북도 내의 농업용 저수지중 26개소를 선정하여 관개초기, 홍수기 및 비관개기의 연 3회에 걸쳐 저수율을 파악하고 채수를 실시하였다. 또한, 현장(수온, pH, DO, EC)과 실내 수질분석(Cd, As, Cn, Hg, 유기인, Pb, $Cr^{+6}$ PCB, ABS, COD, SS, TP, TN)을 실시하여 저수지의 오염도를 평가하였다. 저수율 측정결과, 홍수기(97%)가 관개초기(72%)나 비관개기(66%)보다 높게 나타났다. pH 값의 측정결과, 수질기준$(6.0{\sim}8.5)$을 만족하고 있는 저수지의 비율은 35%(9개소)의 낮은 값을 보였다. EC와 DO 및 SS농도의 측정결과, 거의 모든 저수지에서 수질기준을 만족하고 있었으며, COD, TN, TP농도 측정결과, 수질기준 만족도는 관개초기 100%, 홍수기 81%, 비관개기 65%로 나타나, 저수량이 많은 관개초기보다 저수량이 적은 비관개기에 질소와 인의 관리가 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 사람의 건강항목(CN, Hg, 유기인, PCB, Cd, 비소As, Pb, $Cr^{6+}$, ABS)은 모든 저수지에서 관개 초기, 홍수기 및 비관개기에 모두 수질기준을 만족하였다. 점오염원을 관리하기 위해서는 저수지 상류유역에 있는 마을하수도를 정비하고, 축산분뇨처리시설 등을 설치하여 저수지로의 유입부하량을 저감할 필요가 있다. 또한, 비점원오염을 관리하기 위한 대책으로서, 질소농도를 저감시키기 위해서는 용존성 성분을 제공하는 비료의 시용량을 줄여야하며, TP농도를 저감시키기 위해서는 강우시 입자성 인의 유출을 제어할 필요가 있으며, 이를 위해서는 비가 많이 오는 여름철에 나지(裸地)나 밭에 식생이나 멀칭(mulching) 등으로 토양침식을 방지할 필요가 있다.가용한 장 단기간의 관측자료와 물수지 분석 연산식의 추정치를 바탕으로 관측자료에 의한 물수지 분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과로 산지 소하천 유역인 설마천 시험유역의 각 수문요소의 물이동간의 정량적인 값을 알 수가 있었으며, 앞으로 추가적이고 지속적인 수문모니터링이 운영되고 물순환 해석 모형에 의한 검증이 수행된다면 정량적인 물순환 관계를 규명할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 이와 관련된 수문요소기술을 확보할 수 있을 것이다.절한 타협과 조정을 필요로 한다. 그러나 절제의 한계를 넘어선다고 생각되거나, 조정의 노력이 불가능하거나, 실패했을 때 폭력적인 행동으로 나타나게 된다. 리차즈(I.A Richards)는 분노와 공포는 일단 겉잡을 수 없는 경향이 있다고 하면서 오늘날 폭력에 대한 요구가 일상의 정서 생활에 있어, 억압을 통한, 빈곤함을 반영하고 있지 않은지 생각해봐야 할 것이라고 충고한다. 조성 가이드라인(안)을 제시하였다.EX>$\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와의 비교를 해보면 상 중 하품의 통합 9개소가 삭제되어 있고, $\ulcorner$동국여지승람$\lrcorner$(東國與地勝覽) 에서는 자기소와 도기소의 위치가 완전히 삭제되어 있다. 이러한 현상은 첫째, 15세기 중엽 경제적 태평과 함께 백자의 수요 생산이 증가하자 군신의 변별(辨別)과 사치를 이유로 강력하게 규제하여 백자의 확대와 발전에 걸림돌이 되었다. 둘째, 동기(銅器)의 대체품으로 자기를 만들어 충당해야할 강제성 당위성 상실로 인한 자기수요 감소를 초래하였을 것으로 사료된다. 셋째, 경기도 광주에서 백자관요가 운영되었으므로 지방인 상주지역에도 더 이

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An Analysis of Liquidity of Social Work Practice in Korea throuth Bauman's Theory of Modernity (바우만(Bauman)의 근대성 이론을 통한 한국사회복지실천의 유동성 분석)

  • Kim, Giduk;Choi, Myungmin
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.53-75
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    • 2014
  • The current status of Korean social work can be summarized as multiple complexities and ambiguities not only in ideological but in practical aspects. Although they have long been considered as an unique feature of social work as one of representative human service professions, the extent of such complexities are now reaching the culmination enough to raise the questions about the very nature of social work practice. This study aims to analyse such ambiguities and complexities around the field of social work in a systematic ways with the theory of liquid modernization, an creative framework for modern society, coined by Zygmunt Bauman who is now considered as one of the leading sociologist and thinker. The study shows clearly that social work in Korea is nowadays entering the phase of liquid modern society and specific features of liquidity of modern society such as consumerism, privatization, corruption of publicity etc are founded in the areas of social work. To make it worse, social work are thinking about the anachronical response to this flow of liquidity by selecting the strategies useful in solid modern era, not in the liquid one. In this context, the study suggests that social work practice have to prepare to adequate measures to secure its own autonomy and sustain genuine identification from the ruthless melting power of liquid modern society.

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A Case Study on the Retirement Preparation of the Small and Medium-sized Company Workers (중소기업 근로자의 은퇴준비에 관한 사례연구)

  • Lee, Hyung-Jong;Lee, Han-Duck
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.449-465
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    • 2017
  • Small and medium-sized company workers are ill-prepared for retirement due to low wages and poor working conditions, as result, are likely to get into poverty in retirement. The purpose of this study is to conduct a case study on the current status of financial and non-financial retirement preparation of the small and medium-sized company workers. The main findings are as follows. First, the small and medium-sized company workers show the anxiety about retirement. Many pre-retirees worry that their retirement savings may not generate enough income in retirement, and the level of benefits paid in public pension is inadequate. Second, they are preparing for retirement in the areas of finance, health, working after retirement and social activity. Third, they are realistic and practical in retirement decisions makings. they are considering household budget downsizing, cutting education costs, the low-waged job choice and cash flow preference in retirement. The safety and reality in preparation for retirement are top considerations. In conclusion, this case study shows that pre-retirees of small and medium-sized companies are seeking diverse retirement solutions. We need to design integrated and practical retirement planning programs to support their specific retirement needs.

Trajectories of Drinking problems of the elderly: A Longitudinal Multi-level Growth Curve Model for Change (노인의 음주문제 발달궤적의 예측요인 : 다수준 성장곡선 모형의 적용)

  • Ahn, Jun Hee;Jang, Soo Mi
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.389-411
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    • 2012
  • A new era of research has focused on examining the growth of change in drinking problems among the elderly. Thus, the purpose of the present study was two fold: (1) to investigate trajectories of drinking problems(CAGE) among the Korean elderly(age$${\geq_-}65$$); and (2) to identify the predicting factors for the intercept and the slope of alcohol problems using multi-level growth curve model. Data come from three waves(1st wave(2006)~3rd wave(2008) of the Korea Welfare Panel(KWP) study. The results indicated that the levels of drinking problems decreased over time and that age, gender, marital status, religion, poverty, self-rated health, and social relationship satisfaction were associated with the baseline CAGE. Further analysis showed that social relationship satisfaction affected the declining slope of drinking problems over time. Specifically, among those who satisfied social relationship, there was a sharp decline of CAGE over time. Overall findings highlight the importance of developing and implementing effective alcohol prevention programs for the elderly in the community settings to mitigate the harmful effects of various psycho-social stressors. Especially, programs to maintain and form healthy social support network are suggested as critical interventions for prevention as well as recovery of alcohol problems in late life.

A Study of the Experiences and Changes of the Self-Sufficient Centers that Converted the Centre Corporation into Social Cooperative (지역자활센터의 사회적협동조합 전환과정과 변화에 대한 연구)

  • Baek, Hakyoung;Kim, KyoungHuy;Han, Kyounghoon
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.265-299
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    • 2018
  • The pilot project for type diversification of self-sufficient support center that convert the centre corporation into social cooperative was introduced in 2015. That aimed to increase the number of participants of self-sufficient programmes and to create more jobs for the working poor through expanding the center's autonomy of usage of budget and arrangement of self-sufficient programmes. This study analyzed the organization transmitting processes and changes of the centers took part in the pilot project, then aimed to suggest the improvement schemes to be helpful for reinforcing positive efforts and removing obstacles in the process converting. The results show that converting into social cooperative is a choice for the sustainability of the centers led by surroundings rather than self-initiated plan. There are some positive changes that are increasing the enterprising spirit and obligation of the center staff. Further more, the cooperation with other community organizations is enhanced based on achieving regional recognition, and support of local governments and the opportunity for new businesses are expanded. However, these are very limited in the regions where social economy is undeveloped. Eventually, we should seek the development schemes of the pilot project considering the reduction of the number of participants in self-sufficient programmes and decreasing of their ability to work, even if some positive aspects are revealed.

The Characteristic and Stigma of Children and Adolescents in NPO's Fundraising Advertisement Videos in Korea (국내 비영리단체 후원모금 광고영상에 나타난 아동·청소년의 특징과 낙인)

  • Kim, Jua;Hyun, Eunja
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.424-437
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics and stigma of children and adolescents, and the message types for them in NPO's fundraising advertisement videos in Korea. The subjects are 152 children and adolescents in 147 videos from seven major non-profit organizations. The analysis tools were constructed based on prior studies, and it was carried out after preliminary study. The results are as follows. First, the characteristics of children and adolescents indicated that the ratio of children and infants, main-role, poverty situation, one-parent family, and ward-role appeared the most. Second, 'general' was the highest in the stigma format, and 'hazard' and 'mark' was high in the challenge format. Third, the stigma message was the highest in message type. Finally, as of 2014, the ratio of stigma message and value-exclusion message increased, and the ratio of challenge message and mixed message decreased. The research suggests that a paradigm shift in the format of NPO's typical fundraising advertisement videos is necessary, as the videos may not protect the human rights of children and adolescents and may have negative effects such as stigma.

The Suggestions for Sustainable Credit Provision Policy System to Overcome Financial Exclusion in Korea (지속가능한 정책서민금융체계를 위한 정책방안 연구)

  • Song, Chi-Seung;Park, Jaesung James
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.87-110
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    • 2019
  • The structural and sustainable implementation of the microfinance policy is required to be successful. To this end, the government should focus on availability and accessibility of the public microfinance, away from providing the beneficial financing (financial benefits)featured by the combination of the welfare and finance in the past. In addition, the government-sponsored microfinance needs to aim for performance-oriented evaluation that leads to stabilization of financial life of ordinary people or increase of income, moving away from conventional funding based on the scale and the quantity for the poor. It is necessary to implement the following policies in order for the Moon's administration to take the government-sponsored microfinance to the next level. The government-sponsored microfinance must be in the market failure domain, but nonetheless, it is required to be managed by structural and sustainable ways so that it complies with the market principles and does not crowd out the private microfinance. Last but not least, making the best use of the capital market function can be a way to fund social enterprises or social economy enterprises. This aims to enable catalyst capital in the capital market to play a prime role for the inflow of private capital for the purpose of creating the social value.

Outlier Detection and Labeling of Ship Main Engine using LSTM-AutoEncoder (LSTM-AutoEncoder를 활용한 선박 메인엔진의 이상 탐지 및 라벨링)

  • Dohee Kim;Yeongjae Han;Hyemee Kim;Seong-Phil Kang;Ki-Hun Kim;Hyerim Bae
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2022
  • The transportation industry is one of the important industries due to the geographical requirements surrounded by the sea on three sides of Korea and the problem of resource poverty, which relies on imports for most of its resource consumption. Among them, the proportion of the shipping industry is large enough to account for most of the transportation industry, and maintenance in the shipping industry is also important in improving the operational efficiency and reducing costs of ships. However, currently, inspections are conducted every certain period of time for maintenance of ships, resulting in time and cost, and the cause is not properly identified. Therefore, in this study, the proposed methodology, LSTM-AutoEncoder, is used to detect abnormalities that may cause ship failure by considering the time of actual ship operation data. In addition, clustering is performed through clustering, and the potential causes of ship main engine failure are identified by grouping outlier by factor. This enables faster monitoring of various information on the ship and identifies the degree of abnormality. In addition, the current ship's fault monitoring system will be equipped with a concrete alarm point setting and a fault diagnosis system, and it will be able to help find the maintenance time.

Multiple Trajectories of Depressive Symptoms Among Older Adults (노년기 우울의 다중변화궤적에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Eun-Na;Choi, Jae-sung
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.387-407
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to identify the multiple trajectories of depressive symptoms and the characteristics of each trajectory group among the elderly. This study uses five waves of longitudinal data from the Korean Welfare Panel Study (KWPS, 2006-2010). Subjects were older adults aged 60 and over who had completed at least three waves between 2006 and 2010. A total of 4,181 respondents were analyzed. The latent growth mixture model and the multiple logistic regression model were mainly used for data analysis. The major findings were as follows: After controlling for the variables of gender, age, education, marital status, self-assessed health, and poverty, this study identified four different trajectory classes: stable low depressive symptoms (71.8%), high but decreased depressive symptoms (10.6%), moderate but increased depressive symptoms (7.9%), and an increased, then a decreased pattern of depressive symptoms (9.7%). The characteristics of theses trajectories as compared to previous studies were a lower percentage of 'stable low depressive symptoms', no 'persistently high depressive symptoms', and higher level of depressive symptoms. Also, the elderly in the stable low trajectory group had better health status, higher self-esteem and a good relationship with family members, having longer working periods, and more living in non-poverty. In addition, chronic health problems, loss of spouse, and household income differentiated the increased and then decreased pattern from the low stable pattern. Also, age and public pension differentiated the moderated but increased pattern from the low stable pattern. Based on the findings of this study, the researchers suggested political and practical implications for reducing depressive symptoms in later life.