• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비선형 예측

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A study on improving efficiency in computational procedure of finite element nonlinear analysis of plane frame structures (평면 프레임 구조물의 유한요소 비선형 해석을 위한 효율적인 수치해석 방법에 관한 연구)

  • 구정서;이병채;곽병만
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.631-641
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    • 1988
  • Computational procedures associated with finite element nonlinear analysis of plane frame structures were examined and new solution schemes were suggested. Element stiffness matrix was derived from the principle of virtual displacements. Geometric and material nonlinearities were considered in the formulation. Solution method was based upon the constant displacement length method in conjunction with the Newton-Raphson method. New solution schemes were introduced in determining the initial load increment and the sign of load increments and predicting the length of displacement increment to improve user convenience, efficiency and stability. Numerical experiments were performed for several typical problems and suggested schemes were found efficient and convenient for analyzing nonlinear frame structures.

Evaluation of Surface Mechanical Properties of Electro-formed Fe-Ni-Co Thin Foil by Dynamic Nano-indentation and Finite Element Methods (Fe-Ni-Co 박판의 동적 나노 압침법과 유한 요소법에 의한 표면 기계적 특성 평가)

  • Gang, Bo-Gyeong;Choe, Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.124-124
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    • 2017
  • Fe-Ni-Co 합금 박막(<$100{\mu}m$)을 황화물계 용액에서 전주공정으로 제조하였다. XRF로 측정한 박판의 평균 조성은 Fe-34 wt.% Ni-3 wt.% Co 이다. AFM으로 측정한 표면 조도는 35.2 nm 이다. 표면의 나노 경도는 평균 5.4 GPa 이었다. Oliver 모델을 적용한 구리 박막의 탄성하강강성도는 약 75 이었다. Alekhin 모델을 적용한 구리 박막의 마찰계수, 피로한계는 각각 0.134, 0.027 이었다. 유한요소법으로 평가한 Berkovich 형 나노압침선단의 하중분포를 이차원 선형 및 비선형 해석하면 1 [mN]의 정적하중을 가한 Fe-Ni-Co 박막은 약 576 [mN]로 예측되었다. 압침선단의 하중집중정도는 표면탐침현미경으로 관찰한 압흔의 변형정도와 유사한 경향을 보였다.

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A Study on the Practical Estimation of Nonlinear Hemodynamic Variables for the Moving-Actuator type Total Artificial Heart (인공심장의 비선형 혈류 역학 변수 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 엄경식;안재목
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 1998
  • It is needless to say that the nonlinear hemodynamic variables estimation is a very important study for the artificial heart. Even though it is important, there have not been satisfactory results which can be applied to the real world situations, In this paper, the problem of hemodynamic variables estimation for the moving-actuator type total artificial heart(MA-TAH) was studed. Multidimensional linear interpolation(MDI)scheme was used for the estimation. Proposed method was verified by in vitro test and showed good performance.

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Linear Model Predictive Control of 6-DOF Remotely Operated Underwater Vehicle Using Nonlinear Robust Internal-loop Compensator (비선형 강인 내부루프 보상기를 이용한 6자유도 원격조종 수중로봇의 선형 모델예측 제어)

  • Junsik Kim;Yuna Choi;Dongchul Lee;Youngjin Choi
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2024
  • This paper proposes a linear model predictive control of 6-DOF remotely operated underwater vehicles using nonlinear robust internal-loop compensator (NRIC). First, we design a integrator embedded linear model prediction controller for a linear nominal model, and then let the real model follow the values calculated through forward dynamics. This work is carried out through an NRIC and in this process, modeling errors and external disturbance are compensated. This concept is similar to disturbance observer-based control, but it has the difference that H optimality is guaranteed. Finally, tracking results at trajectory containing the velocity discontinuity point and the position tracking performance in the disturbance environment is confirmed through the comparative study with a traditional inverse dynamics PD controller.

Development of hybrid activation function to improve accuracy of water elevation prediction algorithm (수위예측 알고리즘 정확도 향상을 위한 Hybrid 활성화 함수 개발)

  • Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.363-363
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    • 2019
  • 활성화 함수(activation function)는 기계학습(machine learning)의 학습과정에 비선형성을 도입하여 심층적인 학습을 용이하게 하고 예측의 정확도를 높이는 중요한 요소 중 하나이다(Roy et al., 2019). 일반적으로 기계학습에서 사용되고 있는 활성화 함수의 종류에는 계단 함수(step function), 시그모이드 함수(sigmoid 함수), 쌍곡 탄젠트 함수(hyperbolic tangent function), ReLU 함수(Rectified Linear Unit function) 등이 있으며, 예측의 정확도 향상을 위하여 다양한 형태의 활성화 함수가 제시되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기계학습을 통하여 수위예측 시 정확도 향상을 위하여 Hybrid 활성화 함수를 제안하였다. 연구대상지는 조수간만의 영향을 받는 한강을 대상으로 선정하였으며, 2009년 ~ 2018년까지 10년간의 수문자료를 활용하였다. 수위예측 알고리즘은 Python 내 Tensorflow의 RNN (Recurrent Neural Networks) 모델을 이용하였으며, 강수량, 수위, 조위, 댐 방류량, 하천 유량의 수문자료를 학습시켜 3시간 및 6시간 후의 수위를 예측하였다. 예측정확도 향상을 위하여 입력 데이터는 정규화(Normalization)를 시켰으며, 민감도 분석을 통하여 신경망모델의 은닉층 개수, 학습률의 최적 값을 도출하였다. Hybrid 활성화 함수는 쌍곡 탄젠트 함수와 ReLU 함수를 혼합한 형태로 각각의 가중치($w_1,w_2,w_1+w_2=1$)를 변경하여 정확도를 평가하였다. 그 결과 가중치의 비($w_1/w_2$)에 따라서 예측 결과의 RMSE(Roote Mean Square Error)가 최소가 되고 NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe model Efficiency coefficient)가 최대가 되는 지점과 Peak 수위의 예측정확도가 최대가 되는 지점을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 현재 Data modeling을 통한 수위예측의 정확도 향상을 위해 기초가 되는 연구이나, 향후 다양한 형태의 활성화 함수를 제안하여 정확도를 향상시킨다면 예측 결과를 통하여 침수예보에 대한 의사결정이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Estimation of the Spillovers during the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기 동안 전이효과에 대한 추정)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.17-37
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the global spillover effects through the existence of linear and nonlinear causal relationships between the US, European and BRIC financial markets after the period from the introduction of the Euro, the financial crisis and the subsequent EU debt crisis in 2007~2010. Although the global spillover effects of the financial crisis are well described, the nature of the volatility effects and the spread mechanisms between the US, Europe and BRIC stock markets have not been systematically examined. A stepwise filtering methodology was introduced to investigate the dynamic linear and nonlinear causality, which included a vector autoregressive regression model and a multivariate GARCH model. The sample in this paper includes the post-Euro period, and also includes the financial crisis and the Eurozone financial and sovereign crisis. The empirical results can have many implications for the efficiency of the BRIC stock market. These results not only affect the predictability of this market, but can also be useful in future research to quantify the process of financial integration in the market. The interdependence between the United States, Europe and the BRIC can reveal significant implications for financial market regulation, hedging and trading strategies. And the findings show that the BRIC has been integrated internationally since the sub-prime and financial crisis erupted in the United States, and the spillover effects have become more specific and remarkable. Furthermore, there is no consistent evidence supporting the decoupling phenomenon. Some nonlinear causality persists even after filtering during the investigation period. Although the tail distribution dependence and higher moments may be significant factors for the remaining interdependencies, this can be largely explained by the simple volatility spillover effects in nonlinear causality.

Marginal Effect Analysis of Travel Behavior by Count Data Model (가산자료모형을 기초로 한 통행행태의 한계효과분석)

  • 장태연
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2003
  • In general, the linear regression model has been used to estimate trip generation in the travel demand forecasting procedure. However, the model suffers from several methodological limitations. First, trips as a dependent variable with non-negative integer show discrete distribution but the model assumes that the dependent variable is continuously distributed between -$\infty$ and +$\infty$. Second, the model may produce negative estimates. Third, even if estimated trips are within the valid range, the model offers only forecasted trips without discrete probability distribution of them. To overcome these limitations, a poisson model with a assumption of equidispersion has frequently been used to analyze count data such as trip frequencies. However, if the variance of data is greater than the mean. the poisson model tends to underestimate errors, resulting in unreliable estimates. Using overdispersion test, this study proved that the poisson model is not appropriate and by using Vuong test, zero inflated negative binomial model is optimal. Model reliability was checked by likelihood test and the accuracy of model by Theil inequality coefficient as well. Finally, marginal effect of the change of socio-demographic characteristics of households on trips was analyzed.

Dam Inflow Prediction using Deep Learning Model based on Continuous Simulation (연속형 모의 기반의 딥러닝 모델을 활용한 댐 유입량 예측 및 평가)

  • Heo, Jae-Yeong;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.122-122
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    • 2021
  • 전 세계적인 기후변화로 인해 태풍과 집중호우의 빈도와 규모가 증가하고 있으며 그로 인해 수재해 대응과 수자원 관리에 많은 어려움이 따른다. 댐 운영은 이러한 수자원 관리의 중요한 요소이며 정확한 댐 유입량의 예측은 효율적인 댐 운영과 관리의 필수적인 부분이다. 최근에는 여러 분야에서 활용되고 있는 딥러닝 모델을 활용하여 댐 유입량 예측에 관한 다수의 연구들이 수행되고 있다. 특히, 수문 시계열의 장기적인 특성과 비선형적인 관계를 고려하기 위해 연속형 모의를 기반으로 하는 딥러닝 모델의 적용 및 평가와 관련 연구의 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 연속형 모의를 기반으로 하는 딥러닝 모델을 활용하여 댐 유입량 예측을 수행하고자 하며 이의 적용성을 평가하고자 한다. 적용 대상 지역으로는 안동댐 상류 유역을 선정하였으며 2006년부터 2020년까지의 시 단위 강우 및 댐 유입량 자료를 활용하였다. 선행시간(1~6시간)별 예측 유입량과 관측 유입량의 비교를 통한 정량적 평가를 수행하였다. 또한 입력 자료에 대한 과거 기간, 모델 구성, 손실함수 등에 대한 조건별 평가를 통해 예측 정확도의 변화에 대한 분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구결과를 통해, 딥러닝 기반의 댐 유입량 예측 정확도에 대한 향상과 실시간 예측을 위한 딥러닝 모델의 활용성 증대에 기여할 것으로 기대된다. 향후, 강우 예보 자료를 연계한 딥러닝 기반의 실시간 댐 유입량 예측 기법을 제안하고 이의 활용성을 평가하고자 한다.

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Noise Reduction Method Using Randomized Unscented Kalman Filter for RGB+D Camera Sensors (랜덤 무향 칼만 필터를 이용한 RGB+D 카메라 센서의 잡음 보정 기법)

  • Kwon, Oh-Seol
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.808-811
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    • 2020
  • This paper proposes a method to minimize the error of the Kinect camera sensor by using a random undirected Kalman filter. Kinect cameras, which provide RGB values and depth information, cause nonlinear errors in the sensor, causing problems in various applications such as skeleton detection. Conventional methods have tried to remove errors by using various filtering techniques. However, there is a limit to removing nonlinear noise effectively. Therefore, in this paper, a randomized unscented Kalman filter was applied to predict and update the nonlinear noise characteristics, we next tried to enhance a performance of skeleton detection. The experimental results confirmed that the proposed method is superior to the conventional method in quantitative results and reconstructed images on 3D space.

Finite Element Analysis for Plastic Large Deformation and Anisotropic Damage (소성 대변형 및 이방성 손상의 유한요소해석)

  • I.S. Nho;S.J. Yim
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 1993
  • An improved analysis model for material nonlinearity induced by elasto-plastic deformation and damage including large strain response was proposed. The elasto-plastic-damage constitutive model based on the continuum damage mechanics approach was adopted to overcome limitations of the conventional plastic theory, which can manage the anisotropic tonsorial damages evolved during time-independent plastic deformation process of materials. Updated Lagrangian finite element formulation for elasto-plastic damage coupling problem including large deformation, large rotation and large strain problems was completed to develop a numerical model which can predict all kinds of structural nonlinearities and damage rationally. Finally, a finite element analysis code for the 2-dimensional plane problem was developed and the applicability and validity of the numerical model was investigated through some numerial examples. Calculations showed reasonable results in both geometrical nonlinear problem due to large deformation and material nonlinearity including the damage effect.

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