• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2007.12a
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• pp.259-260
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• 2007

The forecast of a container traffic has been very important for port plan and development Generally, statistic methods, such as regression analysis, ARIMA, have been much used for traffic forecasting. Recent research activities in forecasting with artificial neural networks(ANNs) suggest tint ANNs am be a promising alternative to the traditional linear methods. In this paper, a hybrid methodology that combines both ARIMA and ANN models is proposed to take advantage of the unique strength of ARIMA and ANN models in linear and nonlinear modeling. The results with port traffic data indicate tint effectiveness can differ according to the ch1racteristics of ports.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.147-155
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• 2010

A prediction model of resilient modulus($E_R$) was developed for recycled crushed-rock-soil mixtures. The evaluation of $E_R$, using the "orthodox" repeated loading tri-axial test, is not feasible for such a large-size gravelly material. An alternative method was proposed hereby using the subtle different modulus called nonlinear dynamic modulus. The prediction model was developed by utilizing in-situ measured shear modulus($G_{max}$) and its reduction curves of modeled materials using the large free-free resonant column test. A pilot evaluation of the model parameters was carried out for recycled crushed-rock-soil-mixture at a highway construction site near Gimcheon, Korea. The values of the model parameters($A_E,\;n_E,\;{\varepsilon}_r\;and\;{\alpha}$) were proposed as 9618, 0.47, 0.0135, and 0.8, respectively.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.1A
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• pp.45-54
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• 2006

To obtain realistic stress-strain relation in concrete, it is necessary to improve the constitutive model for creep and shrinkage of concrete. This study is made up with predicting model of creep using rheological approach and mathematical development which is solution for phenomenon of concrete creep. Long-term deformation components are combined based on traditional 4-parameters model. Creep deformation is obtained adequately using 4-parameters determined by considering aging effect and microprestress among gels. And coefficient of effective viscosity is able to represent both basic creep and total creep included drying creep. This study attempt to establish mathematical model considering effects of aging, hydration, and variations of pore humidity. It can predict both basic creep and total creep. Values of result between prediction and experiment have greater than correlation factor 99%. Additionally experimental results report bad consentaneity with highway design specification adopting FIB MC 90. Rather than those are similar to FIB MC 90 rev.99.

• Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.8 no.6
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• pp.223-234
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• 1996

The purpose of this paper is to present an analysis method by using the finite element method which can exactly analyze load-deflection relationships, crack propagations. and stresses and strains of reinforcements, tendons, and concrete in behaviors of elastic. inelastic and ultimate ranges of reinforced and prestressed concrete slabs under monotonically increasing loads. For t h i s purpose, the m a t e r i a l and geometric nonlinearities are taken into account in this study. The total Lagrangian formulation based upon the simplified Von Karman strain expressions is used to take into account the geometric nonlinearities of the structure. The material nonlinearities are taken into account by comprising the tension, compression. and shear models of cracked concrete and models for reinforcements and tendons in the concrete : and also a so-called smeared crack model is incorporated. The reinforcements and t,endons are assumed to be in a uniaxial stress state and are modelled as smeared layers of equivalent thickness. For the verification of application and validity of the method proposed in this paper, several numerical examples are analyzcd and compared with experimental results. As a result, this method can successfully predict the nonlinear and inelastic behaviors throughout the fracture of reinforced and prestressed concrete slabs.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.607-612
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• 2007

Early cost estimation promote efficient budget plan by comparing alternatives and presenting cost information However it is hard to predict accurate cost because of vague cost standard and lack of available information in the early stage. The precious cost model has limitations in the accuracy because they are simple linear model which uses the unit cost per kilometer. This study presents the framework of early cost estimation for road construction projects to overcome the limitation of previous cost model. This study analyzed domestic and foreign cost model and cost data of previous road construction project to present method of cost model framework.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.98-98
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• 2021

동역학파 기반 순간단위도 (Dynamic wave-based Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph)를 이용하여 유역에서의 강우에 의한 유출을 예측하는 기법을 개발하였으며, 국내 실제 자연 유역에 적용하여 기법의 타당성과 적용성을 검증하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 '동역학파 기반 순간단위도 방법'은 물리기반 수치모형인 동역학파 강우유출모형과 개념적 순간단위도 방법을 결합하여 사용함으로써 물리적으로 정확하면서도 빠르고 안정적으로 강우-유출을 예측하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 유역의 순간단위도는 유역의 지형, 조도계수와 동역학파 강우유출모형인 tRIBS-OFM을 이용하여 계산된 S-수문곡선을 수치적으로 미분함으로써 유도되며, 유도된 순간단위도는 강우강도에 따라 변화하므로 회선적분을 통한 유출수문곡선 예측 시 강우-유출 관계의 비선형성을 고려할 수 있다. 본 연구에서 유도된 순간단위도의 첨두 값과 첨두 발생시간은 강우강도 값과 각각 양과 음의 상관관계를 가졌으며 강우강도 값과 멱 함수 (power function)의 관계를 가졌다. 이는 Paik and Kumar (2004) 등 기존 연구들에서 밝힌 순간단위도의 특성과 일치하였으며, 본 연구에서는 더 나아가 멱함수의 지수를 산정한 후 임의의 강우강도 값에 대응하는 순간단위도를 멱함수 관계를 이용하여 보간할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 실제 유역에 대한 적용은 강원도 인제군에 위치한 내린천 유역을 대상으로 수행하였다. 유역을 여러 개의 소유역으로 분할하여 강우의 공간적 분포를 고려하였으며, 각 소유역에서의 유출량을 동역학파 기반 순간단위도를 이용해 계산한 뒤 물리기반의 하도추적모형을 이용하여 전체 유역에서의 유출수문곡선을 예측했다. 예측된 유출수문곡선을 관측 유출 자료와 비교해본 결과 NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient)가 0.6 이상으로 측정되어 적절히 유출을 예측한 것으로 판단되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2000.04b
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• pp.283-285
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• 2000

본 논문에서는 계량경제학적인 유가예측 모형과 전문가시스템을 결합한 중장기 유가예측 시스템을 설계 및 구현하였다. 즉, 계량 데이터를 기초로 유가예측 모형을 구성하고, 산유국 동향과 OPEC 정책 등과 같은 비계량적인 요인에 대한 실무자의 경험적인 지식은 지식베이스로 구축함으로써, 유가예측과 관련된 다양한 요인들을 폭넓게 고려할 수 있는 통합된 시스템을 개발하였다. 유가예측 모형으로는 수급과 대표 유종의 유가예측을 위한 동태적 선형연립 모형과 유종간 가격차를 예측하기 위한 Fully Modified 공적분 회귀분석 모형을 구성하였으며, 유가예측 모형에서 반영하기 어려운 산유국 동향, OPEC 정책, 선물시장 동향 등은 실무자의 경험적인 지식을 바탕으로 시스템 예측변수로 설정하여 유가예측에 반영되도록 지식베이스를 구축하였다. 또한, 본 시스템은 유가예측 이외에 석유 수급을 전망하고, 유가 및 수급과 관련된 관련 다양한 정보를 제공하고 관리하는 기능을 제공한다.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.191-198
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• 2005

This study was carried out to investigate quantitatively the relationship between the degree of rebar corrosion and the strength of reinforced concrete beams. After producing equations for the relationship between both the tensile properties of rebars and bond properties and the corrosion percentage of rebars, finite element analysis and bending tests were conducted for RC beams damaged by corrosion of tension main rebar. As a result, it was made that the strength of RC beams damaged by corrosion could be practically simulated by FEM analysis using experimentally determined material properties representing the bond and the mechanical characteristics of corroded rebars.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.179-184
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• 2020

Cellular automata (CA), which is known as a pseudo random number generator due to its excellent randomness, has various applications. Cho et al. designed a CA-based shrinking generator to generate a long period of nonlinear sequence. In addition, chaotic cat maps have been studied by many researchers as the complex nonlinear dynamics systems with sensitivity in initial conditions and unpredictable characteristics. In this paper, we propose a new image encryption method using nonlinear sequence generated by CA-based shrinking generator with maximum period and 3D chaotic cat map for high security.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.48 no.8
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• pp.565-571
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• 2020

In this paper, precision and efficient nonlinear structural analysis for the aircraft wing-box model is developed. Herein, nonlinear shell element based on the co-rotational (CR) formulation is implemented. Then, parallel computing algorithm, the element-based partitioning technique is developed to accelerate the computational efficiency of the nonlinear structural analysis. Finally, computational performance, i.e., accuracy and efficiency, of the proposed analysis is evaluated by comparing with that of the existing commercial software.