• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.25-39
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• 2008

The objective of this study is to forecast the operational continuous ability using Artificial Neural Networks in battalion defensive operation for the commander decision making support. The forecasting of the combat result is one of the most complex issue in military science. However, it is difficult to formulate a mathematical model to evaluate the combat power of a battalion in defensive operation since there are so many parameters and high temporal and spatial variability among variables. So in this study, we used company combat power level data in Battalion Command in Battle Training as input data and used Feed-Forward Multilayer Perceptrons(MLP) and General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) to evaluate operational continuous ability. The results show 82.62%, 85.48% of forecasting ability in spite of non-linear interactions among variables. We think that GRNN is a suitable technique for real-time commander's decision making and evaluation of the commitment priority of troops in reserve.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.262-262
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• 2011

최근 들어 지구환경 변화에 따른 이상기후의 영향으로 태풍 및 집중호우로 인한 하천범람 등 홍수재해에 의한 인명과 재산의 피해가 급증하고 있다. 특히 한반도 지역에서는 집중호우와 태풍과 같은 이상강우로 인한 홍수피해의 발생이 매년 나타나고 있으며 홍수피해의 빈도와 강도는 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이러한 상황에서 극심한 기상이변으로 인하여 발생되는 이상홍수의 예측에 관한 사항은 치수 이수는 물론 친수관점에서 볼 때 하천관리의 측면에서 매우 중요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 특히 홍수예측은 주민의 대피 및 통제, 시설물의 보호 등을 위해 충분한 선행시간을 확보할 수 있는 실시간적 관점에서의 홍수예측 및 관리가 중요하다. 기존의 수문학적 강우-유출 모형은 비선형성이 강하고 유역의 지형학적 인자와 기후학적 인자의 영향을 포함하기 때문에 정확한 예측이 어렵고 유출량을 계산하기 위한 유역추적, 저수지추적 및 하도추적의 각 추적과정에서 크고 작은 오차들이 발생하고 그것들이 누적되어 유출 모형의 해석 결과에는 많은 오차들이 포함되어 있다는 문제점이 있다. 또한 주로 유역 면적이 크고 홍수의 도달시간이 긴 대하천의 홍수예측에는 기존의 강우-유출 모형이 적당한 방법임에도 불구하고 유역면적이 작은 중소하천에 적용됨으로써 많은 불확실성을 포함하고 있으며 충분한 선행시간을 확보하지 못하는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 중소하천에서의 기존의 홍수예경보가 가지고 있는 문제점을 해결하기 위해 실시간 수위측정 자료 및 강우자료를 이용한 간단한 입력자료 만으로도 홍수예측이 가능한 뉴로-퍼지(Neuro-Fuzzy) 모형을 구축하여 충분한 선행시간을 확보함으로써 중소하천에서 의 실시간 홍수예측이 가능한 시스템을 구성하여 실시간으로 구동되는 효율적인 홍수예경보 시스템을 개발하고자 하였다. 임진강 유역을 대상으로 기존의 강우-유출 모형이 요구하는 유역의 물리적, 지형 자료 및 매개변수와 같은 광범위한 양의 자료를 배제하고, 유역의 강우 자료와 수위자료만으로 유역의 중요지점에 대한 홍수위 및 홍수량을 예측할 수 있는 뉴로-퍼지 모형을 구축하고 대상 유역에 적용하여 실측치와 비교 검증하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.264-264
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• 2020

최근 기후변화로 우리나라는 과거에 비해 태풍이나 국지성 집중호우 및 가뭄 등 극심한 수문현상이 빈번하게 발생하고 그 피해가 더욱 커지고 있는 추세이다. 특히 우리나라의 경우 산지가 많으며 대부분의 하천이 유역면적이 작고 유로연장이 짧아 단시간에 유출이 발생하며 수문학적 특성이 연중 큰 편차를 보이고 있다. 이러한 이상기후에 따른 수문현상 파악 및 피해 경감을 위해 신뢰성 있는 수문자료는 매우 중요하다. 따라서 수문자료에 대한 품질관리는 필수적이지만 자료 결측 및 오측에 대한 신뢰성 높은 품질관리가 이뤄지지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 현재 수위자료의 결측이 발생한 경우 해당 관측소의 수위 자료를 사용해 선형보간 및 운형자법으로 수정하거나 상·하류 관측소의 관계를 이용하여 회귀분석을 통해 자료 결측의 수정 및 보완을 수행하는 등 담당자의 주관적 판단에 의존하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 신뢰성 높은 수문자료의 결측치 보완 및 예측을 위한 방안을 제시하고자 상류의 관측소의 수문자료를 이용한 하류의 단시간 수문 자료예측에 관한 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 자료지향형 모델인 적응형 뉴로-퍼지 기법(Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System, ANFIS)을 이용한 모형을 적용하였다. 기존의 연구에서 가장 일반적으로 사용되는 물리적 모형은 수문자료를 활용하여 수위 및 유출을 산정함에 있어 매개변수의 결정이 어렵고 많은 오차들을 내포하고 있다. 본 연구에서 사용한 ANFIS는 입력자료와 출력자료만을 고려하여 구축할 수 있기 때문에 자료 수집단계에서 유역의 물리적 자료 및 지형 자료와 같은 방대한 양의 자료 수집이 필요가 없다. 이후 모형이 구축이 된다면 입·출력 자료만을 이용하여 신뢰성 높은 결과를 획득할 수 있지만 입력 자료의 품질에 따라 결과가 좌우되기 때문에 자료의 구성이 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 ANFIS를 통해 무주남대천 유역의 무주군(여의교) 관측소의 수위자료를 입력자료를 사용하여 하류에 위치한 무주군(취수장) 관측소의 수문자료의 결측 보완 및 예측하는 모형을 구축하고 모형의 구조 변화를 통해 가장 정확도 높은 모형을 결정하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.8
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• pp.807-823
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• 2008

This paper presents a technique for estimating discharge rating curve parameters. In typical practical applications, the original non-linear rating curve is transformed into a simple linear regression model by log-transforming the measurement without examining the effect of log transformation. The model of pseudo-likelihood estimation is developed in this study to deal with heteroscedasticity of residuals in the original non-linear model. The parameters of rating curves and variance functions of errors are simultaneously estimated by the pseudo-likelihood estimation(P-LE) method. Simulated annealing, a global optimization technique, is adapted to minimize the log likelihood of the weighted residuals. The P-LE model was then applied to a hypothetical site where stage-discharge data were generated by incorporating various errors. Results of the P-LE model show reduced error values and narrower confidence intervals than those of the common log-transform linear least squares(LT-LR) model. Also, the limit of water levels for segmentation of discharge rating curve is estimated in the process of P-LE using the Heaviside function. Finally, model performance of the conventional log-transformed linear regression and the developed model, P-LE are computed and compared. After statistical simulation, the developed method is then applied to the real data sets from 5 gauge stations in the Geum River basin. It can be suggested that this developed strategy is applied to real sites to successfully determine weights taking into account error distributions from the observed discharge data.

• Journal of Venture Innovation
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.101-115
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• 2020

In the era of the 4th Industrial Revolution customers living began to come out, not inside the purchase funnel. Due to the diversity of product selection and the increase in digital channels, the way customers search for information and purchase it is changing innovatively. So, the customer journey in the digital age is much more complicated than the traditional funnel model suggests. Unlike many previous studies, this study was conducted for 1,200 customers in four product groups of fashion, automobile, cosmetics, and online shopping malls. As a result of the study, we investigated how digital self-efficacy plays a role in purchasing in a series of processes in which digital experience affects customer satisfaction and finally affects purchase. As a theoretical implication, as a result of introducing and testing digital self efficacy as moderated mediation effect. the digital self-efficacy between customer satisfaction and customer loyalty were determined to play a moderated mediation effect role. As a practical implication, it was necessary to actively utilize digital marketing for customers with high digital self-efficacy, but it was suggested that customers with low digital self-efficacy need to be careful about digital marketing fatigue.

• Journal of IKEEE
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• v.8 no.1 s.14
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• pp.96-107
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• 2004

In this paper, a new integral variable structure regulation controller(IVSRC) is designed by using a special integral sliding surface and a disturbance observer for the improved regulation control of highly nonlinear robot manipulators with prescribed output performance. The sliding surface having the integral state with a special initial condition is employed in this paper to exactly predetermine the ideal sliding trajectory from a given initial condition to origin without any reaching phase. And a continuous sliding mode input using the disturbance observer is also introduced in oder to effectively follow the predetermined sliding trajectory within the prescribed accuracy without large computation burden. The performance of the prescribed tracking accuracy to the predetermined sliding trajectory is clearly investigated in detail through the two theorems together with the closed loop stability. The design of the proposed IVSRC is separated into the performance design and robustness design in each independent link. The usefulness of the algorithm has been demonstrated through simulation studies on the regulation control of a two link manipulator under parameter uncertainties and payload variations, in view of no reaching phase, no overshoot, predetermined response with prescribed accuracy, easy change of output performance, separation of design phase, and so on.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.83-90
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• 1989

A runoff model was estabilished for the direct runoff hydrograph at each subareas by obtaining the storage coefficient based on stream magnitudes of geomorphic parameters. For this, the relationship between flowsection and channel distance from the outlet of each subareas was assumed as nonlinear equation, and compared with linear one. The applicability of the runoff model to the real watershed was tested for the Bochung river basin. The results of the analysis show that the model was approved to be used for the prediction of small watershed having no runoff records and a linear equation between flowsection and channel distance from the outlet of each subareas was more similar to the observed data for the upper subarea with a steep slope and small area, on the other hand, nonlinear equation for the lower subarea with mild slope and relatively large area.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.25 no.9
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• pp.77-92
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• 2009

In the present paper, a numerical study was carried out for a reasonable and realistic evaluation of tension loads in piles during deep excavation in Singapore soft soil applying pile-plugged jet grouted slab. Based on 2-dimensional finite element analyses using linear elastic-perfectly plastic soil model obeying Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion, effects of pile-plugged jet grouted slab on the stability during excavation were examined, and a parametric study was also conducted to investigate critical influencing parameters in the estimation of reliable pile tension loads. Finally, based on the Modified Cam-Clay model, pile tension loads were estimated by considering on-going consolidation state of the Singapore clay deposit and the range of critical parameters observed during laboratory tests.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.21-30
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• 2004

This study deals with free vibrations of laminated composite structures with a channel section using finite element method. In this paper, the mixed finite element method using Lagrangian and Hermite interpolation functions is adopted and a high-order plate theory is used to analyze laminated composite non-prismatic folded plates with a channel section more accurately for free vibration. The theory accounts for parabolic distribution of the transverse shear stress and requires no shear correction factors supposed in the first-order plate theory. An 32×32 matrix is assembled to transform the system element matrices from the local to global coordinates using a coordinate transformation matrix, in which an eighth drilling degree of freedom (DOF) per node is appended to the existing 7-DOF system. The results in this study are compared with those of available literatures for the conventional and first-order plate theory. Sample studies are carried out for various layup configurations and length-thickness ratio, and geometric shapes of plates. The significance of the high-order plate theory in analyzing complex composite structures with a channel section is enunciated in this paper.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.161-168
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• 2009

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the variation of probability flood according to the flow regulation by multi-purpose dams (Soyang and Chungju) in the Han-river basin, Korea. SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Korea) was used in order to generate regulated and unregulated daily streamflows upstream of Paldang dam. Simulated flow regulated by the Soyang and Chungju dams was calibrated by comparison with the observed inflow data at Paldang reservoir. Generally the ratio of flood flows to daily streamflows is known to decrease with drainage area in a watershed. Regulated and unregulated flood flows were obtained from the relationship between flood flows and daily streamflows. Extreme Type-I distribution was applied for flood frequency analysis and L-moment method was used for parameter estimation. This is a novel approach capable of understanding the variation in flood frequency with dam operation for the relatively large watershed scale, and this will helps improve the applicability of daily stream flow data for use in flood control as well as in water utilization.