• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.401-410
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• 2009

Due to the characteristics of 3 ${\times}$ 3 Latin square design which is composed of two block effects and one main effect, powers of rank transformed statistic for testing the main effect are very superior to powers of parametric statistic without regard to the type of population distributions. By order of when all three effects are fixed, when on one block effect is random, when two block effects are random, the rank transform statistic for testing the main effect shows relatively high powers as compared with the parametric statistic. Further when the size of main effect is big with one equivalent size of block effect and the other small size of block effect, powers of rank transformed statistic for testing the main effect demonstrate excellent advantage to powers of parametric statistic.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.437-465
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• 2019

In this study, we propose a new method to forecast long-term energy demand in Korea. Based on Chang et al. (2016), which models the time varying long-run relationship between electricity demand and GDP with a function coefficient panel model, we design several schemes to retain objectivity of the forecasting model. First, we select the bandwidth parameters for the income coefficient based on the out-of-sample forecasting performance. Second, we extend the income coefficient using the functional principal component analysis method. Third, we proposed a method to reflect the elasticity change patterns inherent in Korea. In the empirical analysis part, we forecasts the long-term energy demand in Korea using the proposed method to show that the proposed method generates more stable long term forecasts than the existing methods.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.221-237
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• 1995

When we apply parametric models to the movement of stock prices, we don't know whether they are really correct specifications. In the paper, any prior conditional mean structure is not assumed. By applying the nonparametric model, we see if it better performs (than the random walk model) in terms of out-of-sample prediction. An interesting finding is that the random walk model is still the best. There doesn't seem to exist any form of nonlinearity (not to mention linearity) in stock prices that can be exploitable in terms of point prediction.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.36 no.6
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• pp.561-571
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• 2023

Volatility of a time series is defined as the conditional variance on the past information. In particular, for financial time series, volatility is regarded as a time-varying measure of risk for the financial series. To capture the intrinsic asymmetry in the risk of financial series, various asymmetric volatility processes including threshold-ARCH (TARCH, for short) have been proposed in the literature (see, for instance, Choi et al., 2012). This paper proposes a volatility function featuring non-zero origin in which the origin of the volatility is shifted from the zero and therefore the resulting volatility function is certainly asymmetric around zero and achieves the minimum at a non-zero (rather than zero) point. To validate the proposed volatility function, we analyze the Korea stock prices index (KOSPI) time series during the Covid-19 pandemic period for which origin shift to the left of the zero in volatility is shown to be apparent using the minimum AIC as well as via parametric bootstrap verification.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.66-76
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• 2019

Recently, natural disasters such as floods and droughts are frequently occurred due to climate change and the damage is also increasing. Wetland is known to play an important role in reducing and minimizing the damage. In particular, water level variability needs to be analyzed in order to understand the various functions of wetland as well as the reduction of damage caused by natural disaster. Therefore, in this study, we fitted water level series of Upo wetland in Changnyeong, Gyeongnam province to a proper time series model and residual test was performed to confirm the appropriateness of the model. In other words, ARIMA model was constructed and its residual tests were performed using existing nonparametric statistics, BDS statistic, and Close Returns Histogram(CRH). The results of residual tests were compared and especially, we showed the applicability of CRH to analyze the residuals of time series model. As a result, CRH produced not only accurate randomness test result, but also produced result in a simple calculation process compared to the other methods. Therefore, we have shown that CRH and BDS statistic can be effective tools for analyzing residual in time series model.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.263-279
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• 2008

This study is concerned with the optimization of models using MM5 and WRF mesoscale numerical models to simulate strong sea surface winds, such as that of typhoon Shanshan on 17 September 2006, and the Siberian high event on 16 December 2006, which were selected for displaying the two highest mean wind speeds. The model optimizations for the lowest level altitude, physical parameters and horizontal resolution were all examined. The sea surface wind values obtained using a logarithmic function which takes into account low-level stability and surface roughness were more accurate than those obtained by adjusting the lowest-level of the model to 10 m linearly. To find the optimal parameters for simulating strong sea surface winds various physical parameters were combined and applied to the model. Model grid resolutions of 3-km produced better results than those of 9-km in terms of displaying accurately regions of strong wind, low pressure intensities and low pressure mesoscale structures.

• Asia Marketing Journal
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.23-47
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• 2007

A new chi-square test is proposed to assess significance of attributes for nonparametric conjoint models. The key idea is to form subsets of rankings and test the dependence between the attribute levels and the sets of rankings. The null hypothesis states that the rankings for profiles with the focal attribute are distributed randomly among the sets of rankings. The approach is simple, easy to use, and can be applied at the individual level as well as at the aggregate level. It can be used for the trade-off approach as well as for the full profile approach.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.735-744
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• 2009

In this paper, we introduce a fast approach for Bayesian detection of change points in long-memory processes. Since a heavy computation is needed to evaluate the likelihood function of long-memory processes, a method for simplifying the computational process is required to efficiently implement a Bayesian inference. Instead of estimating the parameter, we consider selecting a element from the set of possible parameters obtained by categorizing the parameter space. This approach simplifies the detection algorithm and reduces the computational time to detect change points. Since the parameter space is (0, 0.5), there is no big difference between the result of parameter estimation and selection under a proper fractionation of the parameter space. The analysis of Nile river data showed the validation of the proposed method.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.25-44
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• 2001

본 논문의 목적은 양분선택질문형 비시장가치평가법을 통한 편익추정에 사용되는 제 함수의 적합성 여부를 검증하기 위해 사용될 수 있는 방법론들을 비교 검토하는 것이다. 여가수렵의 환경적 요인의 변화에 따른 편익추정에 사용된 함수의 적합성을 판단하기 위해 변이계수접근법, 함수설정 오류 테스트, 그리고 비모수접근법 등이 각 함수에 적용되었다. 결과에 따르면, 편익추정에 이용된 세 가지 로짓함수(선형, 로그, 쉐어모형) 모두 적합한 것으로 판정되었다. 주어진 함수형태에 적용된 세 방법론간에 밀접한 일치성을 보였으며 경우에 따라서는 상호보완적이라는 함축성을 보이기도 하였다 이와 같은 결론은 로짓함수로부터 추정된 값들에 Krinsky-Robb 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 구축한 신뢰구간의 함수간 비교를 통해서도 확인되었다. 주어진 환경 시나리오에 대해 각 함수로부터 도출된 평균 추정치의 신뢰구간이 모두 충분히 중복되었기 때문에 편익추정과 관련하여 함수형태간에 유의적 차이가 없음이 입증된 것이다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.181-188
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• 2009

This paper discusses the covariance structures of data collected from an experiment with a nested design structure, where a smaller experimental unit is nested within a larger one. Due to the nonrandomization of repeated measures factors to the nested experimental units, compound symmetry covariance structure is assumed for the analysis of data. Treatments are given as the combinations of the levels of random factors and fixed factors. So, a mixed-effects model is suggested under compound symmetry structure. An example is presented to illustrate the nesting in the experimental units and to show how to get the parameter estimates in the fitted model.