• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비모수적 추정

Search Result 344, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

A Comparison of Parametric and Non-parametric Approaches Dealing with Zero Responses in CVM Research (조건부 가치측정법에서 영(0)의 응답처리를 위한 모수적 추정법과 비모수적 추정법의 비교연구)

  • Lee, Joosuk;Choi, Eun-Chul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.281-307
    • /
    • 2013
  • There has been some debates about zero willingness to pay in contingent valuation method research. Therefore, this paper tries to estimate and compare the results of various models to handle zero willingness to pay responses. For this purpose, we have employed parametric estimation such as the mixed model and the spike model, as well as non-parametric estimations. As a result, these models derived WTP estimate different from conventional model, but they also show some weakness. Therefore, in future research, more conservative estimate of the model should be to use rather than specific model.

On asymptotics for a bias-corrected version of the NPMLE of the probability of discovering a new species (신종발견확률의 편의보정 비모수 최우추정량에 관한 연구)

  • 이주호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.341-353
    • /
    • 1993
  • As an estimator of the conditional probability of discovering a new species at the next observation after a sample of certain size is taken, the one proposed by Good(1953) has been most widely used. Recently, Clayton and Frees(1987) showed via simulation that their nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator(NPMLE) has smaller MSE than Good's estimator when the population is relatively nonuniform. Lee(1989) proved that their conjecture is asymptotically true for truncated geometric population distributions. One shortcoming of the NPMLE, however, is that it has a considerable amount of negative bias. In this study we proposed a bias-corrected version of the NPMLE for virtually all realistic population distributions. We also showed that it has a smaller asymptotic MSE than Good's extimator except when the population is very uniform. A Monte Carlo simulation was performed for small sample sizes, and the result supports the asymptotic results.

  • PDF

A comparison on coefficient estimation methods in single index models (단일지표모형에서 계수 추정방법의 비교)

  • Choi, Young-Woong;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1171-1180
    • /
    • 2010
  • It is well known that the asymptotic convergence rates of nonparametric regression estimator gets worse as the dimension of covariates gets larger. One possible way to overcome this problem is reducing the dimension of covariates by using single index models. Two coefficient estimation methods in single index models are introduced. One is semiparametric least square estimation method, which tries to find approximate solution by using iterative computation. The other one is weighted average derivative estimation method, which is non-iterative method. Both of these methods offer the parametric convergence rate to normal distribution. However, practical comparison of these two methods has not been done yet. In this article, we compare these methods by examining the variances of estimators in various models.

Reliability Analysis Using Parametric and Nonparametric Input Modeling Methods (모수적·비모수적 입력모델링 기법을 이용한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kang, Young-Jin;Hong, Jimin;Lim, O-Kaung;Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-94
    • /
    • 2017
  • Reliability analysis(RA) and Reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) require statistical modeling of input random variables, which is parametrically or nonparametrically determined based on experimental data. For the parametric method, goodness-of-fit (GOF) test and model selection method are widely used, and a sequential statistical modeling method combining the merits of the two methods has been recently proposed. Kernel density estimation(KDE) is often used as a nonparametric method, and it well describes a distribution function when the number of data is small or a density function has multimodal distribution. Although accurate statistical models are needed to obtain accurate RA and RBDO results, accurate statistical modeling is difficult when the number of data is small. In this study, the accuracy of two statistical modeling methods, SSM and KDE, were compared according to the number of data. Through numerical examples, the RA results using the input models modeled by two methods were compared, and appropriate modeling method was proposed according to the number of data.

Estimation of the joint conditional distribution for repeatedly measured bivariate cholesterol data using nonparametric copula (비모수적 코플라를 이용한 반복측정 이변량 자료의 조건부 결합 분포 추정)

  • Kwak, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.689-700
    • /
    • 2016
  • We study estimation and inference of the joint conditional distributions of bivariate longitudinal outcomes using regression models and copulas. For the estimation of marginal models we consider a class of time-varying transformation models and combine the two marginal models using nonparametric empirical copulas. Regression parameters in the transformation model can be obtained as the solution of estimating equations and our models and estimation method can be applied in many situations where the conditional mean-based models are not good enough. Nonparametric copulas combined with time-varying transformation models may allow quite flexible modeling for the joint conditional distributions for bivariate longitudinal data. We apply our method to an epidemiological study of repeatedly measured bivariate cholesterol data.

Model selection for unstable AR process via the adaptive LASSO (비정상 자기회귀모형에서의 벌점화 추정 기법에 대한 연구)

  • Na, Okyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.32 no.6
    • /
    • pp.909-922
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this paper, we study the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for the unstable autoregressive (AR) model. To identify the existence of the unit root, we apply the adaptive LASSO to the augmented Dickey-Fuller regression model, not the original AR model. We illustrate our method with simulations and a real data analysis. Simulation results show that the adaptive LASSO obtained by minimizing the Bayesian information criterion selects the order of the autoregressive model as well as the degree of differencing with high accuracy.

Comparison of parametric and nonparametric hazard change-point estimators (모수적과 비모수적 위험률 변화점 통계량 비교)

  • Kim, Jaehee;Lee, Sieun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.27 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1253-1262
    • /
    • 2016
  • When there exists a change-point in hazard function, it should be estimated for exact parameter or hazard estimation. In this research, we compare the hazard change-point estimators. Matthews and Farewell (1982) parametric change-point estimator is based on the likelihood and Zhang et al. (2014) nonparametric estimator is based on the Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard estimator. Simulation study is done for the data from exponential distribution with one hazard change-point. The simulated data generated without censoring and the data with right censoring are considered. As real data applications, the change-point estimates are computed for leukemia data and primary biliary cirrhosis data.

IRT 모수 추정에서 초기값에 관한 연구

  • Park, Yeong-Seon;Cha, Gyeong-Jun;Jang, Chang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.05a
    • /
    • pp.7-12
    • /
    • 2003
  • 문항반응이론(IRT)에서 문항특성곡선(ICC)의 모수를 추정하는 경우에 발생되는 초기값(initial value) 문제를 비선형 로지스틱모형을 선형 회귀모형으로 근사화하여 해결하고자 하였다. 특히, 신규 또는 잡음이 섞인(local fluctuation) 문항의 직접적인 평가와 소규모집단별 검사가 이루어질 수 있는 현실적 문제에서 모수추정의 대안으로서 그 의의가 있을 수 있다.

  • PDF

쪽거리와 장기기억

  • Lee, Il-Gyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-17
    • /
    • 1995
  • 경제에 미친 충격이 경제에 일시적 영향을 미치고 사라지며 그 영향력이 곧 소멸하고 마는 경우와 영구히 존속하는 경우가 있을 수 있다. 경제에 불현듯 다가와 영향력을 행사한 충격이 일시적으로 존재하고 사라지느냐 아니면 영원히 또는 장기적으로 존재하느냐 하는 것은 경제 현상을 시계열적으로 파악하고 이해하는 데 중요한 요소이다. 충격이 경제 내에 장기기억으로 존재한다면 경제 현상은 경제가 시작되는 순간부터 현재까지의 충격들의 결합적 집합이라 할 수 있을 것이다. 이 논문에서는 적분확률과정의 모수 d가 정수를 갖지 않고 비정수를 갖을 때의 ARIMA(p, d, g)process, 즉 ARFIMA(p, d, q)process의 비정수차분 모수 d를 추정 하고자 한다. 그리고 이 비정수차 분모수의 추정과 검정을 통하여 우리나라의 주가가 충격을 받았을 때 이 충격을 금시 해소시키고 버리는지, 또는 장기적으로 기억하여 항상 주가에 반영시키고 있는지의 여부를 검증하였다. 이 논문에서는 periodogram 방법과 lag window 방법을 다같이 사용하여 차분모수 d를 추정하고 표준오차를 계산하여 d의 추정치에 대한 기각여부를 검정한 우리나라의 주식시장은 충격에 대한 장기기억을 보유하고 있다는 것을 발견하였다. 이와 같은 발견은 충격적이다.

  • PDF