• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.17-24
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• 2017

Shear wave velocity (or shear modulus) of rock filled zone of CFRD is very important factor in the evaluation of performance of CFRD under the load such as earthquake. A shear wave velocity profile can be determined by surface wave method but this profile has been uncertainty caused by spatial variation of material property in rock filled zone. This uncertainty in shear wave velocity profile could be evaluated by the reliability based analysis which uses a coefficient of variation of material property to consider uncertainty caused by spatial variation of material property. In this paper, the possible 600 shear wave velocity profiles in rock filled zone of CFRD were generated using the method based on harmonic wavelet transform and 8 shear wave velocity profiles by HWAW method in the field, and the coefficients of variation of shear wave velocity with depth were evaluated for the rock filled zone of CFRD in Korea.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.31-39
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• 2020

Shear wave velocity (or shear modulus) is very important in the evaluation of seismic performance of a fill dam under an earthquake. A shear wave velocity profile can be determined by surface wave method such as HWAW and SASW methods but this profile has uncertainty caused by spatial variation of material property in a fill dam. This uncertainty in shear wave velocity profile could be considered using a coefficient of variation of material property in the reliability based analysis. In this paper, the possible 600 shear wave velocity profiles in the core and rockfill zone of fill dam were generated by the random shear wave velocity profile generation method, proposed by Hwang and Park, based on the field shear wave velocity profiles determined by the HWAW and SASW methods. And, through the statistical analysis of generated shear wave velocity profiles in the fill dam, the coefficient of variation (COV) of shear wave velocity with depth were evaluated for the core and rock filled zone of fill dam in Korea.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2011.04a
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• pp.362-365
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 통계적인 방법을 이용하여 점탄성 제진재인 합성고무의 물성에 대한 변동성을 평가하는 방법을 제안하고 측정데이터를 이용하여 합성고무에 대한 평가를 수행하였다. 고무 물성의 불확실성 인자로는 외기 온도의 변화와 실험 데이터의 오차 및 점탄성 제진모델의 오차를 고려하였다. 고무는 분수차 미분 모델로 표현되었고 온도의 영향은 비선형 이동계수모델을 도입하여 복소계수로 나타내어 동강성과 감쇠를 표현하였다. 이러한 물성모델을 바탕으로 고무에 대한 물성 실험데이터와 물성계수의 확률밀도함수 사이에 정의된 우도함수를 최대화하는 통계적 보정방법을 이용하여 물성모델의 물질계수들에 대한 변동성을 추정하였다.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.13 no.11
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• pp.43-50
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• 2012

In this research, the value of consolidation index was investigated. The range of the investigated standard deviation was analyzed and the deviation based settlement was calculated. Also, the compression index, which is the effect of the uncertainty in the ground was analyzed using the flimsy ground construction method. The settlement behavior in each embankment compaction stage was analyzed by applying the precompression load method, drainage expediting method, and displacement method through numerical analysis. In addition to the above, the settlement behavior was studied by analyzing the Piled Raft method which is stable for long term settlement. As a result, the final settlement amount based on average analysis results was that the settlement based on each of the average interpretation value, mean value of the maximum and minimum value and average compression index was different. The result of the comparison shows the difference in variation coefficient by the difference in time. Amongst them, the Piled Raft method shows the most consistent variation coefficient regardless of time and it also was least affected by the compression index of uncertainty.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.383-389
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• 2011

In this paper, a statistical calibration method is proposed in order to identify the variability of complex modulus for a rubber material due to operational temperature and experimental/model errors. To describe temperature- and frequency-dependent material properties, a fractional derivative model and a shift factor relationship are used. A likelihood function is defined as a product of the probability density functions where experimental values lie on the model. The variation of the fractional derivative model parameters is obtained by maximizing the likelihood function. Using the proposed method, the variability of a synthetic rubber material is estimated and applied to a rubber mount problem. The dynamic characteristics of the rubber mount are calculated using a finite element model of which material properties are sampled from Monte Carlo simulation. The calculated dynamic stiffnesses show very large variation.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.73-88
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• 2009

Geotechnical variability is a complex feature that results from many independent sources of uncertainties, and is mainly affected by inherent variability and measurement errors. This study evaluates the coefficient of variation (COV) of soil properties and soil layers at Song-do region in Korea. Since soil variability is sensitive to soil layers and soil types, the Cays by soil layers (reclaimed layer and marine layer) and the COVs by soil types (clay and silt) were separately evaluated. It is observed that geotechnical variability of marine layer and clay is relatively smaller than that of reclamation layer and silt. And, the highly weathered rock and soil show the higher cays in the interpretation of the strength parameters of the fresh and weathered rock. And the proposed COV of Songdo area can be used for the reliability-based design procedure.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.247-257
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• 2011

In this study the infinite slope model, one of the physical landslide models has been suggested to evaluate the susceptibility of the landslide. However, applying the infinite slope model in regional study area can be difficult or impossible because of the difficulties in obtaining and processing of large spatial data sets. With limited site investigation data, uncertainties were inevitably involved with. Therefore, the probabilistic analysis method such as Monte Carlo simulation and the GIS based infinite slope stability model have been used to evaluate the probability of failure. The proposed approach has been applied to practical example. The study area in Boeun area been selected since the area has been experienced tremendous amount of landslide occurrence. The geometric characteristics of the slope and the mechanical properties of soils like to friction angle and cohesion were obtained. In addition, coefficient of variation (COV) values in the uncertain parameters were varied from 10% to 30% in order to evaluate the effect of the uncertainty. The analysis results showed that the probabilistic analysis method can reduce the effect of uncertainty involved in input parameters.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.51-57
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• 2001

지하수위의 상승에 따른 간극수압의 증가는 사면의 불안정을 야기할 수 있다. 그러나 모델링 오차, 계측오차, 모델변수의 불확실성 등과 같은 오차로 인하여 사면에서의 지하수위 변동을 예측하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 이러한 불확실성을 극복하고 지하수위 변동을 평가하기 위한 최적의 모델변수를 구하기 위하여 역해석 기법이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 사면에서의 지하수위 변동을 예측하기 위하여 포화대에서의 지하수 흐름과 불포화대에서의 지하수 흐름을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 수치해석 모델과 변수예측기법을 적용하였다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 포화투수계수($K_{s}$ ), 포화흡인력($\psi$$_{e}$) 및 불포화 투수계수의 함수에 사용되는 경험적인 상수(b)를 주요 매개변수로 선정하여 역해석을 실시하였다. 그리고, 역해석 기법 가운데 Maximum Likelihood(MK), Maximum-A-Posterior(MAP) 및 Extended Bayesian Method(EBM)에 대하여 비교연구를 실시하였다. 위의 세가지 방법 가운데 EBM은 가상의 변수(Hyperparameter) $\beta$를 도입함으로써 현장계측치와 사전정보를 가장 잘 조화시키는 방법으로 다른 ML, MAP 보다 탁월한 방법인 것을 알 수 있었다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.11
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• pp.933-944
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• 2010

This study compares the CEM and SGS methods which are geostatistical stochastic simulation methods for assessing the uncertainty by spatial variability in the estimation of the spatial distribution of probability rainfall. In the stochastic simulations using CEM and SGS, two methods show almost similar results for the reproduction of spatial correlation structure, the statistics (standard deviation, coefficient of variation, interquartile range, and range) of realizations as uncertainty measures, and the uncertainty distribution of basin mean rainfall. However, the CEM is superior to SGS in aspect of simulation efficiency.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.39 no.8 s.169
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• pp.659-668
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• 2006

The uncertainty of the risk of failure of hydraulic structures can be determined by estimating the variance of the risk of failure based on the methods of moments, probability weighted moments, and maximum likelihood assuming that the underlying model is the Gumbel distribution. In this paper, the variance of the risk of failure was derived. Monte Carlo simulation was peformed to verify the characteristics of the derived formulas for various sample size, design life, nonexceedance probability, and variation coefficient. As the results, PWM showed the smallest relative bias and root mean square error than the others while ML showed the smallest ones for relatively large sample siBes regardless of design life and nonexceedance probability. Also, it was found that variation coefficient does not effect on the relative bias and relative root mean square error.