• Title/Summary/Keyword: 범죄 통계

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A study to Predictive modeling of crime using Web traffic information (웹 검색 트래픽 정보를 이용한 범죄 예측 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Min;Chung, Young-Suk;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2015
  • In modern society, various crimes is occurred. It is necessary to predict the criminal in order to prevent crimes, various studies on the prediction of crime is in progress. Crime-related data, is announced to the statistical processing of once a year from the Public Prosecutor's Office. However, relative to the current point in time, data that has been statistical processing is a data of about two years ago. It does not fit to the data of the crime currently being generated. In This paper, crime prediction data was apply with Naver trend data. By using the Web traffic Naver trend, it is possible to obtain the data of interest level for crime currently being generated. It was constructed a modeling that can predict the crime by using traffic data of the Naver web search. There have been applied to Markov chains prediction theory. Among various crimes, murder, arson, rape, predictive modeling was applied to target. And the result of predictive modeling value was analyzed. As a result, it got the same results within 20%, based on the value of crime that actually occurred. In the future, it plan to advance research for the predictive modeling of crime that takes into the characteristics of the season.

A Study on the Disability Hate Crime: Convergent Approach of Correction and Welfare (장애인 증오범죄에 대한 탐색적 연구 : 교정과 복지의 융복합적 접근)

  • Shin, Sook-Kyung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2019
  • Recently, hate crime is emerging as a new social problem in Korea, as well as in many countries, as a growing number of cases of aversion to specific groups including people with disabilities. This paper was to review the concept and current status of hate crime in order to notify the seriousness of increasing hate crime, especially hate crime against persons with disabilities. Finally, This paper proposed some suggestions from the welfare point of persons with disabilities in terms of how to reduce these crimes utilizing the reports of related organizations and newspapers as well as relevant national and international studies.

Analysis of relationship between frequency of crime occurrence and frequency of web search (범죄 발생 빈도수와 웹 검색 빈도수의 관계 분석 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Min;Park, Koo-Rack;Chung, Young-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2018
  • In modern society, crime is one of the major social problems. Crime has a great impact not only on victims but also on those around them. It is important to predict crimes before they occur and to prevent crime. Various studies have been conducted to predict crime. One of the most important factors in predicting crime is frequency of crime occurrence. The frequency of crime is widely used as basic data for predicting crime. However, the frequency of crime occurrence is announced about 2 years after the statistical processing period. In this paper, we propose a frequency analysis of crime - related key words retrieved from the web as a way to indirectly grasp the frequency of crime occurrence. The relationship between the number of frequency of crime occurrence and frequency of actual crime occurrence was analyzed by correlation coefficient.

A Study for Working Quality of Apartment Guard (아파트 경비원의 직무특성에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Han, sang-am;Kim, jung-gyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.179-180
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    • 2011
  • 아파트 경비원을 대상으로 직무환경에 관한 설문조사를 실시한 결과를 통계적으로 분석하여 범죄예방에 관한 업무의 증대, 범죄 대응체제강화, 노령층의 아파트 경비원에 대한 직업적 인식, 아파트 경비에 적합한 임금특례 모색의 필요성을 도출했다.

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Design and Implementation of Crime Analysis GIS (범죄분석 지리정보시스템의 설계와 구현)

  • 박기호
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.213-232
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    • 2000
  • It is important to scrutinize spatial patterns in crime analysis since crime data has geographical attribute in itself. We focus on the development of ¨Crime Analysis GIS¨ prototype which can discover spatial patterns in crime data by integrating mapping functions of GIS and spatial analysis techniques. The structure of this system involves integration of DBMS and GIS, and the major functions of the system include (i) exploring spatial distribution of point data, (ii) mapping hot-spot, (iii) clustering analysis of crime occurrence, and (iv) analyzing aggregated areal data. The process of design and implementation of this system is based on object-oriented methodologies. A web-based extension of the prototype using 3-tier architecture is currently under development.

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Moderating Effect of Population Drop in the Relationship Between Demographic Changes and Crime Decline (인구통계학적 구조 변화와 범죄 감소 간의 관계에 있어서 인구 감소의 조절 효과 검증)

  • Soo-Chang Lee;Dae-Chan, Kim
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to empirically verify the moderating effect of population drop on the relationship between demographic changes and crime decline in local cities facing population decline in Korea. The study employs changes in the population of young adults, men, elderly, foreign residents, and population movement as factors of demographic changes, including types of the city as a control variable in the research model. The rate of change in population drop is used as a moderator variable and the rate of change in crime decline as a dependent variable. Data are collected from 155 cities with declining populations from 2010 to 2022 through KOSIS, the National Statistics Portal, and information disclosure requests. Data collected are analyzed using moderated regression analysis. In the first and second stages of the analysis, they show that changes in the population of young adults, population movement, foreign people, population drop, and the type of city affect the change in crime. Moderated regression analysis shows that only the interaction terms among changes in the population of young adults, changes in population movement, and changes in the population of foreigners and the population drop affects change in crime significantly.

Spatio-temporal analysis with risk factors for five major violent crimes (위험요인이 포함된 시공간 모형을 이용한 5대 강력범죄 분석)

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok;Seo, Jung-In
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.619-629
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    • 2022
  • The five major violent crimes including murder, robbery, rape·forced indecent act, theft, and violence are representative crimes that threaten the safety of members of society and occur frequently in real life. These crimes have negative effects such as lowering the quality of citizens' life. In the case of Seoul, the capital of Korea, the risk for the five major violent crimes is increasing because the population density of Seoul is increasing as a large number of people in the provinces move to Seoul. In this study, to reduce this risk, the relative risk for the occurrence of the five major violent crimes in Seoul is modeled using three spatio-temporal models. In addition, various risk factors are included to identify factors that significantly affect the relative risk of the five major violent crimes. The best model is selected in terms of the deviance information criterion, and the analysis results including various visualizations for the best model are provided. This study will help to establish efficient strategies to sustain people's safe everyday living by analyzing important risk factors affecting the risk of the five major violent crimes and the relative risk of each region.

Criminal Profiling Using Hierarchical Clustering of Unstructured Data (비정형 데이터의 계층적 군집화를 이용한 범죄 프로파일링)

  • Kim, YongHoon;Chung, Mokdong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2016.04a
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    • pp.335-338
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    • 2016
  • 최근 디지털 정보들은 각종 매체에 저장되어 다양하게 활용되고 있다. 그 중 범죄관련 비정형데이터의 분석과 활용은 범죄수사에 유용한 자료로 활용될 수 있다. 그러나 기존의 범죄통계 자료의 분석 및 활용은 정형데이터를 이용한 제한적 접근에 그치고 있다. 따라서, 본 논문은 수사 자료 중 처리되지 못한 비정형데이터를 분석, 저장, 처리하여, 수사 자료로 활용할 수 있도록 정형데이터화 함으로 범죄 프로파일링에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

Research on Fear of Criminal Victim of the Elderly Based on Risk Interpretation Model (위험해석모델에 따른 노인의 범죄피해 두려움에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, So-Young;Kim, Chang-Ho
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.45
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    • pp.221-242
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    • 2015
  • Verification for the causality of factors affecting fear of criminal victim which has a bad influence on the senior's quality of life and directions to prevent the crimes against the elderly have been suggested. This study proves the applicability for fear of crime to old people especially based on risk interpretation model consisting of perceived risk of crime, behavioral response and fear of crime. Analysis results are as follows. First, disorder factors as social characteristics showed statistically significant influences on perceived risk of crime, behavioral response and fear of crime. Second, direct experienced crime victimization only affected perceived risk of crime while indirect experienced crime victimization had an effect on perceived risk of crime and fear of crime as well. Third, perceived risk of crime influenced fear of crime. Fourth, perceived risk of crime was concerned with fear of crime. Fifth, behavioral response was affiliated with fear of crime. These results reveal that risk interpretation model can be applied to senior's fear of crime. Moreover, disorder factor as social characteristic and experienced crime victimization as individual characteristic help the elderly perceive the risk of crime, bring behavioral response. Consequently, they play a role of factors affecting fear of crime. It is emphasized that support policy is required for the elderly who had experienced crime and stabilization of community environment if necessary to improve the quality of life.

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Jeju Type of Crime Analysis and the Strategic Direction of the Corresponding (제주지역 범죄발생 유형 분석 및 전략적 대응 방향)

  • Kim, Jung-Wan;Jo, Hyun-Bin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 2012
  • It is the fact that crime has always co-existed with human history;that preventive measures have always been taken while it has been transformed and developed in some forms. We, in the meantime;should not be negligent in the matter that our preventive measures are rather short sighted, and non strategic in many ways. Now then, would we be able to question, if our modern crime preventive measures have been modernized and become more strategic? Certain point has been raised to myself;especially regarding (community oriented policing cop); this has been one of the strategic crime preventive measures co-performed by the central police;Jeju-special independent province maybe an appropriate example; which has become special self rule province in July, 2007; establishing not only independant police but also have established police station addition to already existing police stations. To proof my opinion; I have tried to compare and contrast the statistics of the crime rates and types of the Jeju area before and after the establishment of the self police and police station; also to see how patterns changed.(if there has been any.) I have also tried to analyse if there is any special type of crime statistics in Jeju province, by analysing current crimes in accordance to populations. Altough it has not much reached my initial expectations, I hope it still is meaningful to have been able to show some ways to prevent crimes in Jeju-strategically.