• Title/Summary/Keyword: 배출량 추정

Search Result 382, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Economic Feasibility of REDD Project for Preventing Deforestation in North Korea (북한 산림전용 방지수단으로서의 REDD 사업의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Jo, Jang Hwan;KOO, Ja Choon;Youn, Yeo Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.100 no.4
    • /
    • pp.630-638
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study aims to verify the economic validity of the REDD project in North Korea by estimating the potential carbon credits and the cost of REDD project. The REDD potential credits of North Korea are estimated based on the international statistics of forest area and population from 1990 to 2010, and the cost of REDD project is estimated indirectly by annual land opportunity cost of agriculture assuming that South Korea will aid the food production per area in North Korea. When the 25% reduction scenario was applied to the annual deforestation rate in North Korea, the potential REDD credits were estimated to be $4,232million{\sim}5,290milliontCO_2eq.$ for 20 years. It would account for 28~35% of South Korea's national medium-term greenhouse gas reduction target. On the other hand, the break-even price of REDD project was calculated as the profit of agriculture in the land available by forest conversion in North Korea. It was estimated to be 19.19$/$tCO_2eq.$ when the non-permanence risk of forest conserved through a REDD contract is assumed to be 20%. This price is higher than the price of REDD carbon credit 5$/$tCO_2eq.$ dealt in the 2010 voluntary carbon market, leading to no economic feasibility. However, REDD project provides co-benefits besides climate mitigation. As previous studies indicate, the break-even price is lower than 20$/$tCO_2eq.$, which is the social marginal cost of greenhouse gas emissions by loss of forest. Therefore REDD in North Korea can be justified against the social benefits. The economic feasibility of REDD project in North Korea can be largely influenced by the risk percentage. Thus, North Korean REDD project needs a strong guarantee and involvement by the government and people of North Korea to assure the project's economic feasibility.

Nitrogen Budgets of Agriculture and Livestock in South Korea at 2010 (2010년도 대한민국 농업 및 축산업지역의 질소 유입 및 유출 수지)

  • Nam, Yock-Hyun;An, Sang-Woo;Jung, Myung-Sook;Park, Jae-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.204-213
    • /
    • 2012
  • The objectives of this research were to estimate nitrogen budgets in agriculture and livestock in 2010, and to evaluate nitrous oxide ($N_2O$) emission by a local government. Input-output budgets for nitrogen were categorized into two sections including agriculture and livestock. Fertilizer, deposition, fixation, compost, irrigation, and feed were used as the nitrogen inputs while crop production, crop uptake, denitrification, volatilization, leaching, compost, and ocean disposal were used as the nitrogen outputs. Annual nitrogen input and output for agriculture and livestock were 1,148,848 N ton/yr and 610,380 N ton/yr respectively indicating the decrease of the nitrogen input and output, compared to our previous researches in 2005 and 2008. Total nitrogen input in 16 local government was estimated resulting that $N_2O$ emission was the highest for Jeonnam (2,574 ton/yr) and the lowest for Seoul (7 ton/yr).

Uncertainty Assessment of Emission Factors for Pinus densiflora using Monte Carlo Simulation Technique (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 소나무 탄소배출계수의 불확도 평가)

  • Pyo, Jung Kee;Son, Yeong Mo;Jang, Gwang Min;Lee, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.102 no.4
    • /
    • pp.477-483
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to calculate uncertainty of emission factor collected data and to evaluate the applicability of Monte Carlo simulation technique. To estimate the distribution of emission factors (Such as Basic wood density, Biomass expansion factor, and Root-to-shoot ratio), four probability density functions (Normal, Lognormal, Gamma, and Weibull) were used. The two sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and cumulative density figure were used to compare the optimal probability density function. It was observed that the basic wood density showed the gamma distribution, the biomass expansion factor results the log-normal distribution, and root-shoot ratio showd the normal distribution for Pinus densiflora in the Gangwon region; the basic wood density was the normal distribution, the biomass expansion factor was the gamma distribution, and root-shoot ratio was the gamma distribution for Pinus densiflora in the central region, respectively. The uncertainty assessment of emission factor were upper 62.1%, lower -52.6% for Pinus densiflora in the Gangwon region and upper 43.9%, lower -34.5% for Pinus densiflora in the central region, respectively.

A Monitoring Strategy on Dispersion of Particulate Matter emitted from Domestic Limestone Open Pit Mines (국내 노천 석회석 광산먼지 확산 모니터링 방안)

  • Yoon, Jinho;Lee, Sang-hun;Seo, Eui Young;Baek, Seunghan
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.54 no.4
    • /
    • pp.475-482
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study proposed a strategy with literature review on effective monitoring of dispersion of the particulate matters (PM) emitted from domestic open pit lime mines. The mines generally produced a large amount of PM through the mine processes such as crushing and transportation of raw or crushed ores. The PM emission from mine facilities or transportation can be assessed using empirical equations which was prepared through the experimental tests to produce PM from ores. For effective monitoring of mine PM dispersion, this study showed a preliminary application of the monitoring network with multiple low-cost sensors around a main PM emission source for each mine site. Therefore, two domestic limestone mine sites were selected for this study, and install the monitoring network with low-cost PM sensors and LTE (Long-term evolution) data communication. Then, preliminary resultant PM data plotted according to monitoring duration showed typical PM dispersion patterns. The quantification of the PM dispersion patterns should be roughly prepared by a PM size-dependent dispersion modeling.

An Assessment of Environmental Carrying Capacity by Analyzing the Emission and Concentration of Urban Atmospheric Pollutants (대기오염을 고려한 도시의 환경적 수용력 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho;Jeong, Yeun-Woo
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.2 no.4
    • /
    • pp.517-528
    • /
    • 2011
  • Indiscreet developments cause environmental problems in major cities of Seoul Metropolitan Area. Among the environmental problems, the air pollution leads the citizens' physical and economic damages. Therefore, it needs to predict how much air pollutant which is emitted from human activities can be carried by urban environment, then to examine the reasonable level of urban development This study assumed that the air pollution is represented differently by the amount of emission. With the assumption, the acceptable air pollutant emission which keeps the air quality under the environmental standard is estimated, then the proper population is calculated in the case of Gwacheon, Gyeonggi. The result is as follow: First, air pollution concentrations of CO, $NO_2$, $SO_2$ which are estimated by using IDW interpolation of GIS don't excess the air environmental standard. Second, the result of correlation analysis between air pollutant emission and air pollution concentration shows that CO and $NO_2$ has high correlationship with total source of pollution and linear source of pollution, and $SO_2$ with linear source of pollution. Third, the results of regression analysis show that the acceptable population is bigger that the real population in the case of CO, and with the estimation of $NO_2$ and $SO_2$, the current population in the urban center and boundaries where the residential and commerce land uses are concentrated is bigger than the acceptable population. The consequence of this study is that the estimation of carrying capacity can suggest the acceptable human activities which keep the air quality under the environmental standard. This can leads the sustainable urban development by control the human activities under the carrying capacity of urban environment.

Studies on the Methodology of a Hybrid Model for Emission Dispersion Analysis (대기오염 확산분석을 위한 복합모형 방법론 연구)

  • Yang, Choong Heon;Koo, Youn Seo;Kim, In Su;Sung, Jung-Gon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.69-79
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study suggests a specific methodology to analyze how emission impacts on regional emission concentrations in accordance with the change of weather conditions, and the need of its application. The suggested methodology was applied to a transportation network of Pochun area in Gyenggido as an example. The methodology contains two types of analytical models; 1) dispersion analysis based on emission from traffic, and 2) dispersion analysis based on the combination between emission from traffic and existing emission in the air. By doing so, it is expected that the comprehensive influence of emission on traffic network and its surrounding areas can be identified. In addition, it might be useful for us to apply environmental risk assessment based on the effect of emission on the people.

Estimation of non-point source pollutant in Cheongmi basin under consideration of climate change (기후변화를 고려한 청미천 유역에서의 비점오염원 추정)

  • Son, Minwoo;Kim, Sang Ug;Chung, Eun-Sung;Byun, Jisun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.572-572
    • /
    • 2016
  • 청미천 유역은 다양한 수계로 구성된 대유역에 해당되며 농업 및 공업활동에 따른 오염원을 가진다. 본 연구에서는 오염원 중 비점오염원이 가지는 특성을 기후변화 시나리오에 따라 모의 및 분석한다. 비점오염원의 모의를 위해서는 SWAT 모형이 이용된다. 기후변화 시나리오로는 RCP4.5 및 RCP8.5 시나리오가 적용된다. SWAT 모형은 유역 모의를 위한 모형으로 대규모의 복잡한 유역에서의 장기간 모의를 수행할 수 있으며 다양한 조건의 토양 및 토지이용 상태를 고려할 수 있는 장점을 가진다. 본 연구에서는 강유-유출모형과 수질모형 등을 GIS와 연계한 호환모형을 이용하며 유출에 따른 비점오염원의 거동을 해석하고자 한다. SWAT 모형을 이용한 모의를 위해 필요한 매개변수는 관측소 현황, 강우, 기온, 습도, 일사량, 풍속 등이다. 이중 일사량에 대한 정보를 가정하여 본 연구를 수행하였고 나머지 매개변수는 청미천 유역의 특성치를 조사하여 입력하였다. 청미천 유역의 수질 오염원에 대한 기여도를 분석하기 위해서 시설용량이 일정 크기 이상인 하수처리장을 조사하였고, 이에 대한 정보가 모의시 검토되었다. 청미천 유역 전체 오염원에 대한 점오원의 비율을 검토한 결과 홍수기에 점오염원의 영향이 낮다는 점을 확인할 수 있다. 이는 홍수기에 불특정 지점에서 유출되는 비점오염원의 기여도가 큰 것으로 이해할 수 있다. 하지만 소규모 산업단지의 배출량 등에 대한 자료가 보완될 때 보다 신뢰성 있는 모의 결과를 얻을 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 총질소와 총인의 경우에도 하계 홍수기에 크게 증가하는 사실을 확인할 수 있으며 부유물질의 경우는 그 변동 폭이 다른 항목에 비해 크게 나타나며 9월에도 증가하는 경향을 나타낸다. 본 연구를 보다 고도화하기 위해서는 다양한 알고리즘을 통해 매개변수를 보정하는 과정이 필요하며 점오염원을 포함하여 다양한 오염원에 대한 정확한 정보가 구축되는 과정 역시 중요하다.

  • PDF

A Case Study on the Ventilation and Heat Environment in a Underground Limestone Mine with Rampway (Rampway 설치 석회석 광산내 환기 현황 및 열환경 분석 사례연구)

  • Kim, Doo-Young;Lee, Seung-Ho;Jeong, Kyu-Hong;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.163-172
    • /
    • 2012
  • As more diesel engines have been employed in underground limestone mines with large cross section, underground space environment is worsened by diesel exhausts and heat flow. This paper aims for the ultimate goal to optimize the work place environment through assuring the optimal required ventilation rate based on the analysis of the airflow, diesel exhaust gas concentrations and the effects of mechanization and deepening working face on temperature and humidity. Due to the insufficient capacity of the main exhaust fan and poor airway management, stagnant airflows were observed at various locations, while the flow direction was reversed instantly with passing diesel equipment and the flow reversal was also made by the seasonal variation of the outside surface weather. During the loading operation, CO concentration measurements were found to be frequently higher than the threshold limit of 50 ppm, and most of the $NO_2$ measurements during drilling and loading operations shows even more serious levels surpassing the permissible limit of 3 ppm. The actual ventilation quantity was considerably less than the required quantity estimated by the mine health and safety law, and this shortage problem was less serious in colder winter showing more effectiveness of the natural ventilation.

A Demand forecasting for Electric vehicles using Choice Based Multigeneration Diffusion Model (선택기반 다세대 확산모형을 이용한 전기자동차 수요예측 방법론 개발)

  • Chae, Ah-Rom;Kim, Won-Kyu;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Kim, Byung-Jong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.10 no.5
    • /
    • pp.113-123
    • /
    • 2011
  • Recently, the global warming problem has arised around world, many nations has set up a various regulations for decreasing $CO_2$. In particular, $CO_2$ emissions reduction effect is very powerful in transport part, so there is a rising interest about development of green car, or electric vehicle in auto industry. For this reason, it is important to make a strategy for charging infra and forcast electric power demand, but it hasn't introduced about demand forecasting electric vehicle. Thus, this paper presents a demand forecasting for electric vehicles using choice based multigeneration diffusion model. In this paper, it estimates innovation coefficient, immitation coefficient in Bass model by using hybrid car market data and forecast electric vehicle market by year using potential demand market through SP(Stated Preference) experiment. Also, It facilitates more accurate demand forecasting electric vehicle market refelcting multigeneration diffusion model in accordance with attribute progress in development of electric vehicle. Through demand forecasting methodology in this paper, it can be utilized power supply and building a charging infra in the future.

Design of an algorithm to calculate the amount of energy consumed during cycling (자전거 운동 시 소비되는 에너지량 계산 알고리즘 설계)

  • Lim, Myoung-Seong;Jeong, Jin-Hyoung;Lee, Sang-Sik;Jang, Jee-Hun
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.78-90
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to develop the mathematic algorithm for energy expenditure calculation during cycling as a part of the development of a higher value-added cycle. Participants were 60 university students (male 30, female 30). Energy expenditure was measured with breathing gas at 10 sec intervals by gas analyzer connected with stationary cycle ergometer. Values presented by commercial speedometer and preceding researches were used for verification of actual measurement values in this study. In conclusion, the mathematic algorithms for energy expenditure calculation during cycling were as follows. For male, energy expenditure(Kcal)=5.048×cycling time(min)-2.258, energy expenditure(Kcal)=(0.05×cycling velocity(kph))×(4.750×cycling time(min)+0.091). For female, energy expenditure(Kcal)=4.466×cycling time(min)-1.605, energy expenditure(Kcal)(cycling velocity≤20kph)=(0.05×cycling velocity(kph))×(4.151× cycling time(min)-0.736), energy expenditure(Kcal)(cycling velocity>20kph)=(0.04×cycling velocity(kph)) ×(4.151×cycling time(min) -0.736). And it is suggested that the developed algorithm with cycling time and velocity should be applied for the development of a higher value-added cycle.