• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모의 순환계

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Water temperature prediction of Daecheong Reservoir by a process-guided deep learning model (역학적 모델과 딥러닝 모델을 융합한 대청호 수온 예측)

  • Kim, Sung Jin;Park, Hyungseok;Lee, Gun Ho;Chung, Se Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2021
  • 최근 수자원과 수질관리 분야에 자료기반 머신러닝 모델과 딥러닝 모델의 활용이 급증하고 있다. 그러나 딥러닝 모델은 Blackbox 모델의 특성상 고전적인 질량, 운동량, 에너지 보존법칙을 고려하지 않고, 데이터에 내재된 패턴과 관계를 해석하기 때문에 물리적 법칙을 만족하지 않는 예측결과를 가져올 수 있다. 또한, 딥러닝 모델의 예측 성능은 학습데이터의 양과 변수 선정에 크게 영향을 받는 모델이기 때문에 양질의 데이터가 제공되지 않으면 모델의 bias와 variation이 클 수 있으며 정확도 높은 예측이 어렵다. 최근 이러한 자료기반 모델링 방법의 단점을 보완하기 위해 프로세스 기반 수치모델과 딥러닝 모델을 결합하여 두 모델링 방법의 장점을 활용하는 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다(Read et al., 2019). Process-Guided Deep Learning (PGDL) 방법은 물리적 법칙을 반영하여 딥러닝 모델을 훈련시킴으로써 순수한 딥러닝 모델의 물리적 법칙 결여성 문제를 해결할 수 있는 대안으로 활용되고 있다. PGDL 모델은 딥러닝 모델에 물리적인 법칙을 해석할 수 있는 추가변수를 도입하며, 딥러닝 모델의 매개변수 최적화 과정에서 Cost 함수에 물리적 법칙을 위반하는 경우 Penalty를 추가하는 알고리즘을 도입하여 물리적 보존법칙을 만족하도록 모델을 훈련시킨다. 본 연구의 목적은 대청호의 수심별 수온을 예측하기 위해 역학적 모델과 딥러닝 모델을 융합한 PGDL 모델을 개발하고 적용성을 평가하는데 있다. 역학적 모델은 2차원 횡방향 평균 수리·수질 모델인 CE-QUAL-W2을 사용하였으며, 대청호를 대상으로 2017년부터 2018년까지 총 2년간 수온과 에너지 수지를 모의하였다. 기상(기온, 이슬점온도, 풍향, 풍속, 운량), 수문(저수위, 유입·유출 유량), 수온자료를 수집하여 CE-QUAL-W2 모델을 구축하고 보정하였으며, 모델은 저수위 변화, 수온의 수심별 시계열 변동 특성을 적절하게 재현하였다. 또한, 동일기간 대청호 수심별 수온 예측을 위한 순환 신경망 모델인 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory)을 개발하였으며, 종속변수는 수온계 체인을 통해 수집한 수심별 고빈도 수온 자료를 사용하고 독립 변수는 기온, 풍속, 상대습도, 강수량, 단파복사에너지, 장파복사에너지를 사용하였다. LSTM 모델의 매개변수 최적화는 지도학습을 통해 예측값과 실측값의 RMSE가 최소화 되로록 훈련하였다. PGDL 모델은 동일 기간 LSTM 모델과 동일 입력 자료를 사용하여 구축하였으며, 역학적 모델에서 얻은 에너지 수지를 만족하지 않는 경우 Cost Function에 Penalty를 추가하여 물리적 보존법칙을 만족하도록 훈련하고 수심별 수온 예측결과를 비교·분석하였다.

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The Estimation of Soil Moisture Index by SWAT Model and Drought Monitoring (SWAT 모형을 이용한 토양수분지수 산정과 가뭄감시)

  • Hwang, Tae Ha;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Seoh, Byung Ha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4B
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    • pp.345-354
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    • 2006
  • Drought brings on long term damage in contrast to flood, on economic loss in the region, and on ecologic and environmental disruptions. Drought is one of major natural disasters and gives a painful hardship to human beings. So we have tried to quantify the droughts for reducing drought damage and developed the drought indices for drought monitoring and management. The Palmer's drought severity index (PDSI) is widely used for the drought monitoring but it has the disadvanges and limitations in that the PDSI is estimated by considering just climate conditions as pointed out by many researchers. Thus this study uses the SWAT model which can consider soil conditions like soil type and land use in addition to climate conditions. We estimate soil water (SW) and soil moisture index (SMI) by SWAT which is a long term runoff simulation model. We apply the SWAT model to Soyang dam watershed for SMI estimation and compare SMI with PDSI for drought analysis. Say, we calibrate and validate the SWAT model by daily inflows of Soyang dam site and we estimate long term daily soil water. The estimated soil water is used for the computation of SMI based on the soil moisture deficit and we compare SMI with PDSI. As the results, we obtained the determination coefficient of 0.651 which means the SWAT model is applicable for drought monitoring and we can monitor drought in more high resolution by using GIS. So, we suggest that SMI based on the soil moisture deficit can be used for the drought monitoring and management.

A Study on The Virtuous Cycle of The Value Chain and Value System in Korean Photovoltaic Industry (한국 태양광산업의 가치사슬과 가치시스템 선순환 구조 분석)

  • Park, Sung-Hwan;Park, Min-Hyug;Park, Jung-Gu
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2014
  • This study has analyzed whether the virtuous cycle of value-added between the processes within the company has formed and whether the virtuous ecosystem between the processes within the industry has been built through the analysis of value chain(VC) and value system(VS) targeting the Korean photovoltaic companies. For a study method, after conducting a survey on the companies, a regression analysis was performed on the causal relationship between the process within the VC and VS. Based on the results of the analysis, for the VC of the Korean photovoltaic industry, an increase in the R&D support from the government has led to the increase in the investment of R&D for the related industry, and the increase in the investment of R&D has contributed to the increase in the growth of its productivity, and the growth in the productivity of R&D has influenced the increase in the production of solar products. In addition, the reduction of photovoltaic production cost for the company has influenced the increase of recurring profit margin compared to the sales. However it was shown that the increase in the company's production volume does not contribute to the reduction of production cost. Meanwhile, the increase in recurring profit margin compared to the sales were influencing the increase in the production volume but it was shown that the increase in the company's investment of R&D was not a contributing factor thus it was not included in the virtuous cycle. It was analyzed that the VS was shown not to influence all other processes within the industry except for the module companies where the increase in the recurring profit margin compared to the sales was influenced by the increase in the recurring profit margin compared to the sales of solar cell companies. This shows that the virtuous industrial ecosystem which should be made under the mutual cooperation by the ingot, wafer, solar cell, module and system companies are yet incomplete.

Statistical Characteristics of East Sea Mesoscale Eddies Detected, Tracked, and Grouped Using Satellite Altimeter Data from 1993 to 2017 (인공위성 고도계 자료(1993-2017년)를 이용하여 탐지‧추적‧분류한 동해 중규모 소용돌이의 통계적 특성)

  • LEE, KYUNGJAE;NAM, SUNGHYUN;KIM, YOUNG-GYU
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.267-281
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    • 2019
  • Energetic mesoscale eddies in the East Sea (ES) associated with strong mesoscale variability impacting circulation and environments were statistically characterized by analyzing satellite altimeter data collected during 1993-2017 and in-situ data obtained from four cruises conducted between 2015 and 2017. A total of 1,008 mesoscale eddies were detected, tracked, and identified and then classified into 27 groups characterized by mean lifetime (L, day), amplitude (H, m), radius (R, km), intensity per unit area (EI, $cm^2/s^2/km^2$), ellipticity (e), eddy kinetic energy (EKE, TJ), available potential energy (APE, TJ), and direction of movement. The center, boundary, and amplitude of mesoscale eddies identified from satellite altimeter data were compared to those from the in-situ observational data for the four cases, yielding uncertainties in the center position of 2-10 km, boundary position of 10-20 km, and amplitude of 0.6-5.9 cm. The mean L, H, R, EI, e, EKE, and APE of the ES mesoscale eddies during the total period are $95{\pm}104$ days, $3.5{\pm}1.5cm$, $39{\pm}6km$, $0.023{\pm}0.017cm^2/s^2/km^2$, $0.72{\pm}0.07$, $23{\pm}21TJ$, and $588{\pm}250TJ$, respectively. The ES mesoscale eddies tend to move following the mean surface current rather than propagating westward. The southern groups (south of the subpolar front) have a longer L, larger H, R, and higher EKE, APE; and stronger EI than those of the northern groups and tend to move a longer distance following surface currents. There are exceptions to the average characteristics, such as the quasi-stationary groups (the Wonsan Warm, Wonsan Cold, Western Japan Basin Warm, and Northern Subpolar Frontal Cold Eddy groups) and short-lived groups with a relatively larger H, higher EKE, and APE and stronger EI (the Yamato Coastal Warm, Central Yamato Warm, and Eastern Japan Basin Coastal Warm eddy groups). Small eddies in the northern ES hardly resolved using the satellite altimetry data only, were not identified here and discussed with potential over-estimations of the mean L, H, R, EI, EKE, and APE. This study suggests that the ES mesoscale eddies 1) include newly identified groups such as the Hokkaido and the Yamato Rise Warm Eddies in addition to relatively well-known groups (e.g., the Ulleung Warm and the Dok Cold Eddies); 2) have a shorter L; smaller H, R, and lower EKE; and stronger EI and higher APE than those of the global ocean, and move following surface currents rather than propagating westward; and 3) show large spatial inhomogeneity among groups.

Long-term Changes in Soil Chemical Properties in Organic Arable Farming Systems in Korea (작물의 지속적인 유기 재배가 토양의 이화학적 특성변화에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Yun-Jeong;Choe, Du-Hoi;Kim, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Min;Lee, Yong-Hwan;Lee, Byung-Mo;Kim, Tae-Wan
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.228-234
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    • 2004
  • In organic farming, nutrients for the crop production are mostly supplied by compost containing various organic materials. The long-term organic cultivation would result in continuous changes of soil chemical properties and fertility. The aim of this study was to investigate the contribution of long-term organic cultivation to the soil fertility in Korea focusing on the chemical properties of soil. Soil samples were collected from organic farms that had been cultivated for 8-10 years after certification of organic product through the conversion periods of 2-3 years. Thereby each organic farm had acquired optimal cultivating techniques and soil condition. We separated organic farms into three groups by cultivating crops, i.e. leaf vegetables, fruit vegetables and fruit trees. In each group, five representative farms were chosen in order to investigate the relationships between application rate of compost and nutrient contents in soil. The application rate of compost was approximately $10-15Mg\;10a^{-1}$ for the first 2-3 years at the beginning of organic farming and then reduced to a rate of $3-4Mg\;10a^{-1}$ after stabilization of organic matter content in soil with $30-50g\;10a^{-1}$. However, the continuous organic farming for 8-10 years resulted in accumulation of nutrients, especially of P, in soil probably due to the excessive amounts of compost applied. In conclusion, we suggest that the application rate and organic sources of compost should be decided on the basis of P content in soil by soil testing and thereafter the lack of soil N content for crop cultivation should be compensated by crop rotation with such as legumes. This might be an approach to the original meaning of organic farming as an environmental friendly agriculture.

Applications of "High Definition Digital Climate Maps" in Restructuring of Korean Agriculture (한국농업의 구조조정과 전자기후도의 역할)

  • Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2007
  • The use of information on natural resources is indispensable to most agricultural activities to avoid disasters, to improve input efficiency, and to increase lam income. Most information is prepared and managed at a spatial scale called the "Hydrologic Unit" (HU), which means watershed or small river basin, because virtually every environmental problem can be handled best within a single HU. South Korea consists of 840 such watersheds and, while other watershed-specific information is routinely managed by government organizations, there are none responsible for agricultural weather and climate. A joint research team of Kyung Hee University and the Agriculture, forestry and Fisheries Information Service has begun a 4-year project funded by the Ministry of Agriculture and forestry to establish a watershed-specific agricultural weather information service based on "high definition" digital climate maps (HD-DCMs) utilizing the state of the art geospatial climatological technology. For example, a daily minimum temperature model simulating the thermodynamic nature of cold air with the aid of raster GIS and microwave temperature profiling will quantify effects of cold air drainage on local temperature. By using these techniques and 30-year (1971-2000) synoptic observations, gridded climate data including temperature, solar irradiance, and precipitation will be prepared for each watershed at a 30m spacing. Together with the climatological normals, there will be 3-hourly near-real time meterological mapping using the Korea Meteorological Administration's digital forecasting products which are prepared at a 5 km by 5 km resolution. Resulting HD-DCM database and operational technology will be transferred to local governments, and they will be responsible for routine operations and applications in their region. This paper describes the project in detail and demonstrates some of the interim results.

Coarse Woody Debris (CWD) Respiration Rates of Larix kaempferi and Pinus rigida: Effects of Decay Class and Physicochemical Properties of CWD (일본잎갈나무와 리기다소나무 고사목의 호흡속도: 고사목의 부후등급과 이화학적 특성의 영향)

  • Lee, Minkyu;Kwon, Boram;Kim, Sung-geun;Yoon, Tae Kyung;Son, Yowhan;Yi, Myong Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.108 no.1
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2019
  • Coarse woody debris (CWD), which is a component of the forest ecosystem, plays a major role in forest energy flow and nutrient cycling. In particular, CWD isolates carbon for a long time and is important in terms of slowing the rate of carbon released from the forest to the atmosphere. Therefore, this study measured the physiochemical characteristics and respiration rate ($R_{CWD}$) of CWD for Larix kaempferi and Pinus rigida in temperate forests in central Korea. In summer 2018, CWD samples from decay class (DC) I to IV were collected in the 14 forest stands. $R_{CWD}$ and physiochemical characteristics were measured using a closed chamber with a portable carbon dioxide sensor in the laboratory. In both species, as CWD decomposition progressed, the density ($D_{CWD}$) of the CWD decreased while the water content ($WC_{CWD}$) increased. Furthermore, the carbon concentrations did not significantly differ by DC, whereas the nitrogen concentration significantly increased and the C/N ratio decreased. The respiration rate of L. kaempferi CWD increased significantly up to DC IV, but for P. rigida it increased to DC II and then unchanged for DC II-IV. Accordingly, except for carbon concentration, all the measured characteristics showed a significant correlation with $R_{CWD}$. Multiple linear regression showed that $WC_{CWD}$ was the most influential factor on $R_{CWD}$. $WC_{CWD}$ affects $R_{CWD}$ by increasing microbial activity and is closely related to complex environmental factors such as temperature and light conditions. Therefore, it is necessary to study their correlation and estimate the time-series pattern of CWD moisture.

Immediate Reoperation for Failed Mitral Valve Repair (승모판막성형술 실패 직후에 시행한 재수술)

  • Baek, Man-Jong;Na, Chan-Young;Oh, Sam-Se;Kim, Woong-Han;Whang, Sung-Wook;Lee, Cheol;Chang, Yun-Hee;Jo, Won-Min;Kim, Jae-Hyun;Seo, Hong-Ju;Kim, Wook-Sung;Lee, Young-Tak;Park, Young-Kwan;Kim, Chong-Whan
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.36 no.12
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    • pp.929-936
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    • 2003
  • We analysed the surgical outcomes of immediate reoperations after mitral valve repair. Material and Method: Eighteen patients who underwent immediate reoperation for failed mitral valve repair from April 1995 through July 2001 were reviewed retrospectively. There were 13 female patients. The mitral valve disease was regurgitation (MR) in 12 patients, stenosis (MS) in 3, and mixed lesion in 3. The etiologies of the valve disease were rheumatic in 9 patients, degenerative in 8, and endocarditis in 1. The causes of reoperation was residual MR in 13 patients, residual MS in 4, and rupture of left ventricle in 1. Fourteen patients had rerepair for residual mitral lesions (77.8%) and four underwent replacement. Result: There was no early death. After mean follow-vp of 33 months, there was one late death. Echocardiography revealed no or grade 1 of MR (64.3%) in 9 patients and no or mild MS in 11 patients (78,6%). Reoperation was done in one patient. The cumulative survival and freedom from valve-related reoperation at 6 years were 94% and 90%, respectively. The cumulative freedom from recurrent MR and MS at 4 years were 56% and 44%, respectively. Conclusion: This study suggests that immediate reoperation for failed mitral valve repair offers good early and intermediate survival, and mitral valve rerepair can be successfully performed in most of patients. However, because mitral rerepair have high failure rate, especially in rheumatic valve disease, adequate selections of valvuloplasty technique and indication are important to reduce the failure rate of mitral rerepair.

A Study on the Daesoon Cosmology of the Correlative Relation between Mugeuk and Taegeuk (무극과 태극 상관연동의 대순우주론 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-hwan
    • Journal of the Daesoon Academy of Sciences
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    • v.33
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    • pp.31-62
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this article is to study on the Daesoon Cosmology of the Correlative Relation between Mugeuk and Taegeuk. Daesoon cosmology is a cosmology based on the juxtaposition between the Gucheon Sangje and the world. In this article, I would like to say that this theory in Daesoon Thought was developed in three stages: the phase of the Mugeuk Transcendence of Gucheon Sangje, the stage of the Taegeuk Immanence, and the phase of the Grand Opening of the Later World between Mugeuk and Taegeuk as a correlative gentle reign. First of all, the phase of the Mugeuk Transcendence of Gucheon Sangje has been revealed as a yin-yang relationship. The stage of the Taegeuk Immanence represents the togetherness of harmony and co-prosperity between yin and yang, and the phase of the Grand Opening of the Later World between Mukeuk and Taegeuk refers to the unshakable accomplishment of its character and energy. It will be said that this is due to the practical mechanism in the correct balance of yin-yang making a four stage cycle of birth, growth, harvest, and storage. In addition, the Daesoon stage of the settlement of yin and yang is revealed as a change in the growth of all things and the formation of the inner circle. The mental growth reveals the characteristics of everything in the world, each trying to shine at the height of their own respective life as they grow up energetically. The dominant culture of cerebral communion renders a soft and elegant mood and combines yin and yang to elevate the heavenly and earthly period through transcendental change into sympathetic understanding. The stage of the Grand Opening of the Later World between Mugeuk and Taegeuk is one of the earliest days of the lunar month and also the inner circle of Taegeuk. It is in line with Ken Wilbur's integrated model as a step to the true degrees to develop into a world with brightened degrees. It is a beautiful and peaceful scene where celestial maidens play music, the firewood burns, and the scholars command thunder and lightning playfully. Human beings achieve a state of happiness as a free beings who lives as gods upon the earth. This is the world of theGrand Opening of the Later World between Mugeuk and Taegeuk. Daesoon Thought was succeeded by Dojeon in 1958, when Dojeon emerged as the successor in the lineage of religious orthodoxy and was assigned the task of handling Dao in its entirety. In addition, Daesoon is a circle and represents freedom and commonly shared happiness among the populous. Cosmology in the Daesoon Thought will enable us to understand deep dimensions and the identity of members as individuals within an inner circle of correlation between transcendence and immanence. This present study tries to analyze the public effects philologically and also the mutual correlation by utilizing the truthfulness of literature and rational interpretation. The outlook for the future in Daesoon Thought also leads to the one-way communication of Daesoon as a circle.