• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.59-72
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• 2017

As the part of study which handles the measure to use the individual vehicle information of taxi GPS data on signal controls in order to overcome the limitation of Loop detector-based collecting methods of real-time signal control system, this paper conducted series of evaluations and improvements on link travel time, queue vehicle time estimates and traffic condition decision algorithm from the research introduced in 2016. considering the control group and the other, the link travel time has enhanced the travel time and the length of queue vehicle has enhanced the estimated model taking account of the traffic situation. It is analyzed that the accuracy of the average link travel time and the length of queue vehicle are respectably both approximately 95 % and 85%. The traffic condition decision algorithm reflected the improved travel speed and vehicle length. Smoothing was performed to determine the trend of the traffic situation and reduce the fluctuation of the data, and the algorithms have refined so as to reflect the pass period on overflow judgment criterion.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.226-235
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 추종 모형을 이용한 미시 교통류 시뮬레이션 모형을 개발하고, 이 모형을 통한 시뮬레이션을 통하여 단속류에서 검지기의 설치 위치에 따른 검지 특성을 알아보고, 교통정보 수집용의 검지기의최적 위치에 대해 평가하였다. 검지기로부터 발생하는 교통량, 점유율, 속도 자료중 링크의 통행시간을 가장 잘 반영하는 것은 점유율에 의한 검지기의최적위치는 정지선으로부터 150∼250m이다. 점유율 다음으로 통행시간을 잘 반영하는 자료는 지점속도로서 점유율보다는 상관관계가 낮지만, 양호한 설명력을 가지는 것으로 보인다. 교통량 자료는 상관관계가 낮으며, 교통량에 의한 위치 선정은 각 모의 실험 결과에서 일관적이지 않아 적절한 설명변수가 아니라고 판단하였다. 모든 경우에서, 정지선이나 링크 최상류에 위치한 검지기로부터의 자료는 통행시간과 독립적이므로 이러한 검지기는 교통정보 수집용을 사용할 수 없으며, 일반적인 검지기의최적 위치는 정상상태의 교통류 뿐만 아니라 대기행렬내에 존재하여 매우 혼잡한 상태를 경험할 수 있는 위치라고 할수 있다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.451-454
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• 2006

텔레매틱스 서비스 중 가장 중요한 서비스는 운전자가 요청하는 교통 상황 정보를 신속하고 정확하게 전달해 주는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 GPS 단말기를 장착한 차량들을 통해 수집된 자료를 활용한다. 가까운 과거의 패턴 자료를 이용하여 필터링 범위를 산정한 후, 실시간으로 비정상적인 GPS 자료를 제거하여 링크의 대표 속도 값을 산출하는 방법을 제시한다.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.8 no.6
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• pp.23-35
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• 2009

This study proposes a methodology for estimating representative section travel times using individual vehicle travel information under the ubiquitous transportation environment (UTE). A novel approach is to substantialize a concept of dynamic node-links in processing trajectory data. Also, grouping vehicles was conducted to obtain more reliable travel times representing characteristics of individual vehicle travels. Since the UTE allows us to obtain higher accuracy of vehicle positions, travel times for each lane can be estimated based on the proposed methodology. Evaluation results show that less than 10% of mean absolute percentage error was achievable with 20% of probe vehicle rate. It is expected that outcome of this study is useful for providing more accurate and reliable traffic information services.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.4 no.3 s.8
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• pp.51-59
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• 2005

To improve the quality of bus service, providing bus ravel time information to passenger through station screen. Generally, bus travel time information predict by using previous bus data such as neural network, Kalman filtering, and moving average algorithms. However, when they got a difficulty about bus travel time information because of the missing previous bus data, they use pattern data. Generally, nevertheless the difference of range is big. Hence in this research to calculate the bus travel time information when the bus information is missed, use queue detector's data which set up in link. The application of several factors which influence in bus link travel time, we used CORSIM Version 5.1 simulation package.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.145-154
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of on-line departure time-based link travel time estimates. For this, accuracy (i.e. estimation error) and timeliness (i.e. degree of time lag) are proposed as MOE of the quality of on-line link travel time estimates. Then the relationship between quality of link travel time estimates and link length and level of congestion is analyzed. It was found that there is trade-off between the accuracy and timeliness of link travel time estimates. The estimation error was modeled to consist of two components: one is systematic error and the other is mean square error which reflects level of congestion. further, time lag was again segmented into three parts for the analysis purpose. There are minimum one, congestion-related one, and update interval-related one. From the real-world data using AVI system, it was revealed that regardless of the link length and level of congestion, 10 minutes of time lag occurs in general.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.117-131
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• 1998

지체함수는 교통량과 속도의 관계를 단조 증가함수로 단순화하여 교통수요예측의 교통배정모형에 사용되게 된다. 이 지체함수를 구하는 방법은 두가지로 구분할 수 있는데, 첫째는 교통배정을 통해 구해지는 추정 링크통행량과 실측 교통량을 비교해 가면서 정산하는 방법이고 둘째는 교통량-속도 관계로부터 직접 구하는 방법이다. 첫째 방법은 구해진 O/D 통행량표의 부정확성과 모형에 내재하는 오류가 이 지체함수에 포함될 가능성이 매우 높은 단점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 교통량-속도 관계로부터 직접 도로유형별 지체함수를 구하여 교통배정에 적용하는 새로운 방법을 정입하였다. 교통망 전체에 대하여 단일 지체함수를 적용하는 기존의 방법은, 교통량 변화에 따른 통행시 간의 변화가 보다 둔감한 고급도로에 변화는 고급도로일수록 둔감하게 나타나며, 교통배정에 도로유형별 지체함수를 적용할 경우 단일 지체함수 적용시에 비하여 고급도로에 더 많은 교통량이 배정되게 된다. 본 연구의 결과, 교통망상에서 보다 현실적인 도로유형별 분담을 이룰 수 있는 방안이 정립됨으로써, 지금까지 교통배정에 있어 상대적으로 과소평가되어 왔던 고속도? 등 고급도로의 실제 타당성을 반영할 수 있게 되어 도로의 기능적 배차구조가 확립된 효율적인 교통망을 구성할 수 있는 계기를 마련한 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국ITS학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.69-74
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• 2004

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.23 no.4 s.82
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• pp.71-79
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• 2005

Existing arterial link travel time estimation methods relying on either aggregate point-based or individual section-based traffic data have their inherent limitations. This paper demonstrates the utility of data fusion for improving arterial link travel time estimation. If the data describe traffic conditions, an operator wants to know whether the situations are going better or worse. In addition, some traffic information providing strategies require predictions of what would be the values of traffic variables during the next time period. In such situations, it is necessary to use a prediction algorithm in order to extract the average trends in traffic data or make short-term predictions of the control variables. In this research. a multi-step ahead prediction algorithm using Data fusion was developed to predict a link travel time. The algorithm performance were tested in terms of performance measures such as MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MARE(mean absolute relative error), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), EC(equality coefficient). The performance of the proposed algorithm was superior to the current one-step ahead prediction algorithm.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.91-102
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• 2003

There are two goals in this paper. The one is development of existing CA(Cellular Automata) model to explain more realistic deceleration process to stop. The other is the application of the updated CA model to forecasting simulation to predict short term link travel time that takes a key rule in finding the shortest path of route guidance system of ITS. Car following theory of CA models don't makes not response to leading vehicle's velocity but gap or distance between leading vehicles and following vehicles. So a following vehicle running at free flow speed must meet steeply sudden deceleration to avoid back collision within unrealistic braking distance. To tackle above unrealistic deceleration rule, “Slow-to-stop” rule is integrated into NaSch model. For application to interrupted traffic flow, this paper applies “Slow-to-stop” rule to both normal traffic light and random traffic light. And vehicle packet method is used to simulate a large-scale network on the desktop. Generally, time series data analysis methods such as neural network, ARIMA, and Kalman filtering are used for short term link travel time prediction that is crucial to find an optimal dynamic shortest path. But those methods have time-lag problems and are hard to capture traffic flow mechanism such as spill over and spill back etc. To address above problems. the CA model built in this study is used for forecasting simulation to predict short term link travel time in Kangnam district network And it's turned out that short term prediction simulation method generates novel results, taking a crack of time lag problems and considering interrupted traffic flow mechanism.