• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 평가관리

Search Result 194, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

An analysis on the Investment Determinants for Urban Business Hotel Development (도심 비즈니스호텔 개발사업의 투자결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung-huhn;Jeong, Moonoh;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.107-117
    • /
    • 2015
  • As the demand for urban business hotel has increased in the recent years due to the sharp rise in overseas tourists, the potential of business hotel development has gained in financial attention for the real estate investment. However, its concept and business domain has not been defined, and none of investment guidance for the development has not been clarified. Accordingly, this report intends to define the concept of urban business hotel in perspective of real estate investment through prior case studies and literature review, and provide the structure of determinants which control its investment decisions. Furthermore, this study develops the weight of determinants depending on the type of investment, and evaluate the two actual projects in urban area of Seoul, differed from investment type: direct and indirect, based on AHP and Fuzzy methodologies. Research finding indicate that the financial factors affecting the sales and tour business condition factors are critical determinants regardless of investment type. And it is notable that the direct investment perspective pays more attention on the finance and investment associated determinants while the indirect one more focuses on the regional and environmental ones. From the analysis of case evaluation, it is also noteworthy that the direct investors turn out to be more conservative than indirect investors due to the risk of equity capital investment.

The Continuity of Operation (COOP) Application to a Local Government for Disaster Risk Reduction

  • Jang, Young-Jin;Wang, Won-joon;Jung, Jae-Wook;Seo, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.24 no.12
    • /
    • pp.157-166
    • /
    • 2019
  • Globally, various disasters such as typhoons, floods, earthquakes, fires, explosions have caused work to be halted. If there is a large-scale disaster at public institutions in charge of major national affairs and their works are interrupted, not only will there be property damage, but there will also lead to a decline in national credibility and direct and indirect impacts on the people. Therefore, it is necessary to ensure continuity of operation by minimizing the interruption period of critical operations due to disasters. Overseas advanced countries such as the United States and Japan developed guidelines for Continuity of Operation (COOP) to prevent unexpected work disruptions caused by disasters. Recognizing the necessity of COOP in South Korea, a relevant law has been newly established in 「the Framework Act on the Management of Disasters and Safety」 to enable public institutions to establish the COOP in response to this situation. In this study, the definition, the necessity and overseas cases of COOP were investigated and described. Using the templates developed by these results, operational impact analysis, risk assessment, operational continuity strategies and operational continuity procedures were applied to "A" City Hall in Gyeonggi-do province and those results were described. The objective of this study is to substantially contribute to the introduction of COOP to local governments through their pilot application and implications of COOP.

Volatility, Risk Premium and Korea Discount (변동성, 위험프리미엄과 코리아 디스카운트)

  • Chang, Kook-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-187
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper tries to investigate the relationships among stock return volatility, time-varying risk premium and Korea Discount. Using Korean Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) return from January 4, 1980 to August 31, 2005, this study finds possible links between time-varying risk premium and Korea Discount. First of all, this study classifies Korean stock returns during the sample period by three regime-switching volatility period that is to say, low-volatile period medium-volatile period and highly-volatile period by estimating Markov-Switching ARCH model. During the highly volatile period of Korean stock return (09/01/1997-05/31/2001), the estimated time-varying unit risk premium from the jump-diffusion GARCH model was 0.3625, where as during the low volatile period (01/04/1980-l1/30/1985), the time-varying unit risk premium was estimated 0.0284 from the jump diffusion GARCH model, which was about thirteen times less than that. This study seems to find the evidence that highly volatile Korean stock market may induce large time-varying risk premium from the investors and this may lead to Korea discount.

  • PDF

An Analysis of Concentrate Competency in Bidding Process for Overseas Project of Domestic Construction Companies (국내건설기업의 해외 프로젝트 입찰단계 우선집중역량 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Hyung;Kim, Yea Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2014
  • Overseas construction orders of domestic companies had been increased significantly in a short period from $10.9 billion in 2005 to $64.9 billion in 2012. However experts are concerned that quality of growth will not support quantitative growth. This study suggest concentrate competencies for not only winning in bid but also successful execution of domestic companies. 4 Steps which are Pre-Marketing, Bid-Preparation, Bidding, Contract Phase are defined for competency assessment. After drawing specific tasks by phase, survey asking importance and capability of the tasks to the person in charge of bidding and site was conducted by utilizing Likert 7 point scale. According to the result of IPA analysis, domestic construction companies need to ensure internal competencies; Project risk review, Bid team organization, and external competencies; Client needs grasp, Localization strategy, Cooperation establishment. Hearafter domestic construction companies will be able to utilize the result of the study for setting bidding strategy for winning in bid and improving earning rate.

The Characteristics and Improvement Directions of Regional Climate Change Adaptation Policies in accordance with Damage Cases (지자체 기후변화 적응 대책 특성 및 개선 방향)

  • Ahn, Yoonjung;Kang, Youngeun;Park, Chang Sug;Kim, Ho Gul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.296-306
    • /
    • 2016
  • There is a growing interest in establishing a regional climate change adaptation policy as the climate change impact in the region and local scale increases. This study focused on the analysis of 32 regions on its characteristics of local climate change adaptation plans. First, statistic program R was used for conducting cluster analysis based on the frequency and budgets of adaptation plan. Further, we analyzed damage frequency from newspapers regarding climate change impacts in eight categories which were caused by extreme weather events on 2,565 cases for 24 years. Lastly, the characteristics of climate change adaptation plan was compared with damage frequency patterns for evaluating the adequacy of climate change adaptation plan on each cluster. Four different clusters were created by cluster analysis. Most clusters clearly have their own characteristics on certain sectors. There was a high frequency of damage in 'disaster' and 'health' sectors. Climate change adaptation plan and budget also invested a lot on those sectors. However, when comparing the relative rate among regional governments, there was a difference between types of damage and climate change adaptation plan. We assumed that the difference could come from that each region established their adaptation plans based on not only the frequency of damage, but vulnerability assessment, and expert opinions as well. The result of study could contribute to policy making of climate change adaptation plan.

Domain Knowledge Incorporated Local Rule-based Explanation for ML-based Bankruptcy Prediction Model (머신러닝 기반 부도예측모형에서 로컬영역의 도메인 지식 통합 규칙 기반 설명 방법)

  • Soo Hyun Cho;Kyung-shik Shin
    • Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.105-123
    • /
    • 2022
  • Thanks to the remarkable success of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) techniques, a new possibility for its application on the real-world problem has begun. One of the prominent applications is the bankruptcy prediction model as it is often used as a basic knowledge base for credit scoring models in the financial industry. As a result, there has been extensive research on how to improve the prediction accuracy of the model. However, despite its impressive performance, it is difficult to implement machine learning (ML)-based models due to its intrinsic trait of obscurity, especially when the field requires or values an explanation about the result obtained by the model. The financial domain is one of the areas where explanation matters to stakeholders such as domain experts and customers. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to incorporate financial domain knowledge into local rule generation to provide explanations for the bankruptcy prediction model at instance level. The result shows the proposed method successfully selects and classifies the extracted rules based on the feasibility and information they convey to the users.

Proposing the Method for Improving the Forecast Accuracy of Loan Underwriting (대출심사의 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 방법 제안)

  • Yang, Yu-Young;Park, Sang-Sung;Shin, Young-Geun;Jang, Dong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1419-1429
    • /
    • 2010
  • Industry structure and environment of the domestic bank have been changed by an influx of large foreign-banks and advanced financial products when the currency crisis erupted in Korea. In a competitive environment, accurate forecasts of changes and tendencies are essential for the survival and development. Forecast of whether to approve loan applications for customer or not is an important matter because that is related to profit generation and risk management on the bank. Therefore, this paper proposes the method to improve forecast accuracy of loan underwriting. Processes in experiments are as follows. First, we select the predictor variables which affect significantly to the result of loan underwriting by correlation analysis and feature selection technique, and then cluster the customers by the 2-Step clustering technique based on selected variables. Second, we find the most accurate forecasting model for each clustering by applying LR, NN and SVM. Finally, we compare the forecasting accuracy of the proposed method with the forecasting accuracy of existing application way.

The Global Trends in the Private Security Industry and the Strategies for the South Korean Private Security Industry : Focusing on the U. S. Security Industry (해외 시큐리티 산업의 동향과 한국의 대응전략 : 미국 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Chang-Moo
    • Korean Security Journal
    • /
    • no.12
    • /
    • pp.271-289
    • /
    • 2006
  • Private security industry in South Korea has rapidly been growing in recent years. However, such a rapid growth is being criticized for its focus on external results, which has produced a number of problems. The continued growth of private security industry can be only based upon substantive and qualitative development. In this aspect, it is necessary to consider the global trends of the private security industry, particularly the recent trends of the U. S. security industry which has led the global security industry. This is because the recent trends of the U. S. private security industry would guide the future direction of the private security industry in South Korea. The U. S. private security industry has been replacing the role of law enforcement agencies including the police, from crime prevention to investigation and disaster management, not to mention asset protection and loss prevention. The recent trends of the U. S. security industry appears to be summarized by such characteristics as variety, specialty, and integration, which might account for the structural problem of the private security industry in South Korea. In short, the substantive and qualitative development of the private security industry in South Korea should be accomplished by strengthening its specialty and integration, and also widening its variety.

  • PDF

Legal Issues in Clinical Trial on Minor (미성년자 대상 임상시험에 관한 법적 문제점)

  • Song, Young-min
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.125-144
    • /
    • 2016
  • All forms of Clinical trial should be fully equipped with protection systems for experimental subjects considering their uncertainty and various risks. Existing laws have some regulations in pharmaceutical affairs act and medical device act. Nonetheless, there is a limit to protect the subjects considering law objective to perform administration of medicine. Furthermore, the clinical trial on minor has no direct regulations in pharmaceutical affairs act, but prescribes certain portion in clinical trial assessment guideline on infants or medicine clinical trial management standard, however there is a limit because that is just recommendation not having legal effectiveness. The legislative solution would be possible for legal problems of clinical trial on minor by examining treatment system on minor in organ transplant act and clinical trial on minor in other foreign laws stronger than usual medical practice in terms of degree of human body invasion. I suppose that the control system of clinical trial being done focusing on the pharmaceutical affairs act, medical device act and other guidelines in existing laws system should be resolved by legislating 'trial subject protection law', in addition, this would be well balanced in organ transplant act on protection system of minor organ donors. Furthermore, the judgement on the consent ability and spontaneity in clinical trial on minor should be judged considering maturity and mentality of minor by clinical trial institutional review board based on legislative solution mentioned above.

  • PDF

Pollutant Monitoring of Abandoned Mines using the Leaching Test with Soils and Tailings (토양 및 광미의 용출실험을 이용한 폐광산오염수준의 모니터링)

  • Kang, Mee-A;Kim, Kwang-Tae
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.419-424
    • /
    • 2007
  • The contents were investigated by the monitoring survey from the soils and tailings caused by numerous abandoned mines in Korea. Cause heavy metals due to abandoned metal mines are raising significant environmental problems. But it is an important key such as a leaching and a transfer mechanism to evaluate contamination levels caused by abandoned mines. In this study the column test was carried in order to calculate a leaching level from soils and tailings. It was demonstrated that the leaching of Pb, Cd and Mn was expressed with similar behaviors and that of As and Cu was expressed with similar behaviors. For Zn, the leaching behavior was shown a serious leaching level with 40 mg/kg during the 45days. This was explained by Zn high contents of soils Zn in a natural world and ORP conditions where the leaching of Zn was occurred easily. Hence it was necessary that the survey of ORP was a key as well as total contents for the management of abandoned metal mines. We could estimate the chemical forms of heavy metals using the physical index such as ORP and pH and reduce the risk from heavy metals caused by abandoned metal mines.