• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 관리계획

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Multidimensional Analysis of Unstructured Data and Trends in Architectural Review Opinions of Small and Medium-Sized Apartment Projects (다차원 분석방법을 활용한 중소규모 공동주택 건축심의 의견의 경향과 비정형 데이터로서의 특성분석)

  • Kim, Jinhee;Hwang, Taeeon;Kim, Jae-Sik;Huh, Youngki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.74-80
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    • 2023
  • This study examines the characteristics of architectural review opinions as unstructured data, focusing on the most challenging risk for developers of small and medium-sized apartment projects in response to the increasing number of single-person households in Korea. Using multidimensional analysis methods, the study analyzes the review opinions of 25 projects in B City. Correspondence analysis and MDS (Multidimensional Scale) analysis show that, consistent with prior research, the keywords related to 'structure' and 'planning' dominate architectural review opinions in B City. While the MDS model's stress is very poor at 34.4%, correspondence analysis reveals that this is due to the characteristics of unstructured data in architectural reviews. In addition, the non-structured data analyzed in this study, such as architectural review opinions, exhibited a probability distribution with low kurtosis and high skewness, as they involved various combinations and occurrences of data depending on the discretion of the review committee members and the specific formats of different local governments. This often led to the emergence of keywords that differed significantly from commonly mentioned terms. Although the study has some limitations, it provides a foundation for future detailed analysis by identifying the characteristics of architectural review opinions as unstructured data.

Review of Real Options Analysis for Renewable Energy Projects (실물옵션 기법을 활용한 신재생에너지사업 경제성분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyeongseok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2017
  • Due to climate change, countries around the world are actively investing in renewable energy, reducing fossil fuel use. 23.7% of world electricity is supplied by renewable energy. As the technology continues to develop, it is in a level to compete in terms of power generation cost, and investment conditions are improving. However, investment in renewable energy projects is not easy. This study analyzed trends of domestic and international researches on economics assessment applying real options analysis to investment decisions of hydro, solar, and wind power projects, which account for a large portion of renewable energy. This study provides (1) the difference between the traditional economic method and the real options analysis, (2) the application process, and (3) the uncertainty elements and option type of the renewable energy project presented by many studies. The real options analysis is suitable for the detailed investment strategy by considering the uncertainties of the renewable energy project and applying the option to improve the profit or to avoid the risk.

am vulnerability assessment based on a climate stress test (기후 스트레스 테스트 기반 댐 취약성 평가)

  • Kim, Tae Hyeong;Kang, Boo Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.415-415
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    • 2022
  • IPCC 제5차 보고서('14) 및 세계위험보고서('15) 등에서 기후변화에 대한 과학적 근거를 제시하였으며, 상위 위험요소로 '수자원 위기'를 꼽았다. 전 세계적으로 기후변화로 인한 이상 기상현상이 발생하고 있으며, 국내에서도 최근 기후변화에 따른 수문사상의 변화로 극한홍수 및 극한가뭄 등으로 인한 피해가 지속적으로 발생하고 있다. 물 관리에서 기후변화는 가장 큰 리스크 요인이므로 물관리 계획 수립 과정에서 기후변화 영향을 고려한 대책을 수립할 필요가 있다. 기후변화에 대한 댐 취약성 평가 관련 연구가 이루어지고 있으나, 미래 기후변화의 불확실성을 충분히 고려했다고 보기 어렵기 때문에 현업에서 의사결정 도구로 활용하기에는 한계가 있다고 볼 수 있다. 이에 따라 과거 수문자료 및 특정 기후모델에 의존하지 않고 댐 인프라의 취약성을 평가할 수 있는 새로운 방법론이 필요하다고 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구를 통해 기후변화의 불확실성에 대비한 댐 취약성 평가 방법론을 정립하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 기존에 진행된 IPCC 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 댐 취약성 평가 연구사례 및 한반도의 기후변화 영향 및 수문변화를 조사하였다. 그리고 기후 스트레스 시나리오 기반 취약성 평가 체계 및 방법론을 정립한 뒤, 월 강우량을 4분위로 나누어 각 분위별 강우량과 기온을 변경하여 기후 스트레스 시나리오를 생성하였다. 생성된 기후 스트레스 시나리오와 IPCC 기후변화 시나리오 기반 취약성 평가를 유출 및 저수지 모형을 결합하여 충주댐, 용담댐, 합천댐, 섬진강댐에 실시하였다. 그 결과 기후 스트레스에 따른 유출 취약성 평가는 20분위 수 갈수량을 이용해 연중 보장확률을 나타내는 것이 효율적이며, 온도의 영향보다는 강우의 변동이 댐 이수안전도 취약성 평가에 더 큰 영향을 주는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

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A Study on the Establishment of Business Continuity Management Systems of the Organization During a Pandemic Outbreak (Focusing on the finance correspond case) (유행병 발병 시 조직의 비즈니스연속성 관리체계 구축에 관한 연구(금융회사 사례 중심으로))

  • Kim, Dae Jin;Yang, Seung Weon;Choi, Deok Jae;Kim, Gi Won;Jang, Hyun Min;Kim, Dong Heon;Eun, Min Gyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2016
  • In recent years, epidemics have raged with a 6-7 years period such as SARS (2002), Swine Flu (2009), MERS (2015). When an epidemic arises, the first advice is the isolation of infected patients and disease areas. Because it appears after a certain incubation period, the peoples worked with Infected (infection cause) staff and the place are largely exposed to the epidemic Risk. If you have an epidemic in the workplace, even if you close it, the business plan should be ready to continue the safety and protection measures for employees and the organization's core business. In this study We present the corresponding measures to protect the safety of the employees and to continue the core business during a pandemic outbreak and the introduction of BCP mainly corresponding practices of financial companies.

Proposed Sustainability Risk Framework through the Analysis of Advanced Donor Countries' International Development Cases (선진 공여국의 국제개발 사례 분석 기반 지속가능성 리스크 프레임워크 제안)

  • Lee, Kyung-Tae;Kim, Ju-Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.12-23
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    • 2023
  • The goal of international development projects is to assist sustainable development in recipient countries through foreign aid from donor countries. However, despite the need for both countries to negotiate and work together from the initial stages to maintain sustainability after the project, clear guidelines or standards have not been established. Additionally, despite the need for donor countries, which are relatively advanced, to understand the situation of recipient countries, many projects are donor-centric and fail to prioritize the value of sustainability. Therefore, this study extracted economic, social, and environmental risks that threaten sustainability through literature review and proposed a sustainability framework based on these criteria. To validate framework, actual international development cases conducted by advanced donor countries such as Australia, the United States, and Japan, in collaboration with South Korea, were analyzed by applying content analysis with the reports, which covers the overall contents from the planning stage to the operation stage. Analysis of sustainability perspectives focused on economy, society and the environment, advanced donor countries emphasized (1) the importance of pre-assessment, (2) the need for coordination with the local population and communities despite the existence of donor-specific values, and (3) addressing economic considerations such as pre-operational and maintenance costs, social communication with the local population, and environmental considerations starting from the initial stages of construction regarding the treatment of pollutants as values to be improved. Compared to other advanced donor countries, the Republic of Korea should also focus on consultation with local residents to achieve social integration, and improve sustainability by deployment the managers in local sites for better negotiation.The proposed framework in this study will serve as a tool to enhance communication among the countries and the locals, with the expectation of increasing project efficiency and sustainability.

A Study on Duration Calculation Method for Eco-Friendly Remodeling Demolition Work Using Productivity Analysis (생산성 분석에 기초한 친환경 리모델링 철거공사 기간 산출 방안)

  • Woo, Joong-Pyung;Cha, Hee-Sung;Kim, Kyung-Rai;Shin, Dong-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 2013
  • An influx of the population to the city has soared due to industrialization. As times go by, cities become densely populated so Korean government started to construct a number of buildings including apartment housings. Because they have become functionally, structurally, esthetically deteriorated over the past two decades. some improvements are needed. There are mainly two ways to improve old buildings: remodeling and reconstruction. Between the two, the first one is more popular as it is less time-consuming and more eco-friendly. Demolition work comes first for both of them and it should not give negative effects since it is regarded as a CP(Critical path) in the overall process. For this reason, a thorough construction management must be done. The reality, however, demolition is managed by the construction manager's experiences and decisions. If the key factor of demolition which is the planning of manpower and machine equipment, is determined by unscientific and subjective judgments, its period and risk also will increase. In particular, eco-friendly demolition can be more risky because it's been rarely conducted. Therefore, scientific and objective ways of demolition management are needed. In this context, this paper aims at analyzing productivity in each process of demolition focusing on manpower and machinery equipment which are the main parts of demolition assuming that the demands of eco-friendly remodeling demolition projects will be increasing. At the same time, by estimating working period through the output, this paper would be helpful to set up the plans for overall project in earlier stage.

A Study on the Prediction of Initial Sales Rate on Apartment Housing Projects (민간 아파트 사업의 초기계약률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seongsoo;Kim, Leeyoung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2015
  • Apartment developers consider the initial sales rate as an important indicator for their success of apartment development projects. They tried to achieve a secure level of initial sales rate. In spite of its importance, there is little research on the initial sales rate because of the difficulties in gathering proper data for analysis. This study, however, collects the data in initial sales rates in Su-won from various sources such as construction companies, marketing companies, sales companies and so on. By using this rare data, this study analyses the initial contract rate of apartment and estimates the initial contract rate by sales price. The result of this study shows that important of land area ratio, brand, and distance to park. It is expected that the proposed model will be used for apartment developers in sales planning phase.

The Characteristics and Improvement Directions of Regional Climate Change Adaptation Policies in accordance with Damage Cases (지자체 기후변화 적응 대책 특성 및 개선 방향)

  • Ahn, Yoonjung;Kang, Youngeun;Park, Chang Sug;Kim, Ho Gul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.296-306
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    • 2016
  • There is a growing interest in establishing a regional climate change adaptation policy as the climate change impact in the region and local scale increases. This study focused on the analysis of 32 regions on its characteristics of local climate change adaptation plans. First, statistic program R was used for conducting cluster analysis based on the frequency and budgets of adaptation plan. Further, we analyzed damage frequency from newspapers regarding climate change impacts in eight categories which were caused by extreme weather events on 2,565 cases for 24 years. Lastly, the characteristics of climate change adaptation plan was compared with damage frequency patterns for evaluating the adequacy of climate change adaptation plan on each cluster. Four different clusters were created by cluster analysis. Most clusters clearly have their own characteristics on certain sectors. There was a high frequency of damage in 'disaster' and 'health' sectors. Climate change adaptation plan and budget also invested a lot on those sectors. However, when comparing the relative rate among regional governments, there was a difference between types of damage and climate change adaptation plan. We assumed that the difference could come from that each region established their adaptation plans based on not only the frequency of damage, but vulnerability assessment, and expert opinions as well. The result of study could contribute to policy making of climate change adaptation plan.

An Analysis and Improvement of Free Form Building's Construction Productivity - Focused on Exposed Concrete Work - (비정형 건축물 공사의 생산성 분석 및 향상방안 - 노출콘크리트 공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Eun-Young;Kim, Yea-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2014
  • The Global's top five Design Firms selected from BauNetz a German architectural magazine in 2007 designed free form building design which was 25% of the overall design by 2006-2010. Free form building is a landmark of the city and the country so its social and economic impacts are very large. In case of Korea, free form buildings such as Tribowl in Incheon, KINTEX Exhibition hall 2 and Dongdaemun Design Plaza have increased. However, those the increase in design trends and, the needs due to the lack of free form building design and construction management experience, free form building projects can't be expected to profitability and have a number of problems after completion. Especially, there are many excessive quality problems and the rising cost due to design changes frequently and lack of experience and data. Thus an initial plan regardless of considering of free form building's characteristics can be a huge risk because of the difference with the plan and actual projects, yet there aren't free form building project's performance data and case studies related to productivity. In this study, through selection of low-construction productivity works and an analysis of the work process and productivity data, hope to propose an actual field productivity of free form building and the ways to improve productivity.

A Study on the ICAO international aviation safety policy, a change of paradigm and the government response to the direction (ICAO 국제항공안전정책 패러다임의 변화 분석과 우리나라 신국제항공안전정책 검토)

  • Chang, Man-Heui;Hwang, Ho-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2013
  • ICAO's Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme (USOAP) was initially launched in January 1995, in response to widespread concerns about the adequacy of aviation safety oversight around the world. The recent reduction in aircraft accidents and effective role that is evaluated on the basis of these results, and in 2013 the existing 'snapshot approach' to 'regular monitoring system (USOAP-Continuous Monitoring Approach)' was converted to. ICAO aviation safety assessment of the state in today's international community 'aviation safety credibility' as objective indicators to judge the enormous impact on the aviation industry, the state is not satisfactory, especially if the results of the evaluation and expansion of code-share airline ban, reduced international air transit passengers, including premium increases business and economic penalties should. In addition, ICAO implementation of the existing laws and regulations(Prescriptive Approach), but based on the Risk-based prevention model, Proactive Approach introduced the concept of aviation safety system, including international aviation safety policy has been to switch paradigms. This new ICAO international aviation safety policy also applies to the Government of the Republic of Korea in line with the aviation safey policies have changed. In particular, the systematic implementation of safety management for the existing laws and regulations in the center of the safety oversight system of risk-based introduction of the concept of proactive safety management, and According to international standards ICAO aviation service providers operate their own Safety Management System was set out in Aviation Law ever. In addition, the aviation safety is at the center of the field of the safety of aircraft operations and maintenance for the promotion is promoting various safety policies. This new paradigm shift in the international aviation safety policy in line with our state in the international community with the most exemplary aviation safety system firmly established itself as a model, the Government will strengthen the competitiveness of our aviation plans to support. To do this, the government, airlines, aviation officials try all the practical effect would be expected.

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