• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크분석

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The Analysis of the Major Cost-increasing Risk Factors from the Perspective of Construction Management -Focusing on Pre-construction Phases- (건설사업관리자 관점에서의 주요 사업비 초과 리스크 요인 분석 -시공 전(前)단계를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Byung-Yong;Kim, Yea-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2012
  • Recently, various construction projects are invested with plenty capital, manpower and resources. The advanced methods of the construction management is introduced to Korea. However, the cases which get involved in excessive cost frequently occur. We can explain it means that the cost management in the entire phases and the risk factors in its works has not been done yet as expected. Thus, it is necessary to unearth risk factors relative to cost management and analyse them for preventing cost-increasing and the success of projects. In this point of view, this study aims to identify the risk factors of the cost management focused on pre-construction stages from the perspective of construction management which is possible to take part in the whole phases and works in cost management. Also, the impact priority and grade of risk factors to cost-increasing are evaluated by using FMEA.

Pension Risk Analysis in DC plans using Stochastic Simulation (시뮬레이션을 활용한 DC형 퇴직연금의 Pension Risk 분석)

  • Han, Jong-Hyun;Sung, Joo-Ho;Seo, Dong-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2014
  • This study calculates the employee receives severance pay scale are paid from the company in the DC system. In addition, by utilizing the reserve growth model were studied in accordance with shortfall risk levels generated by stochastic asset allocation. For the analysis, from 2004 to 2013 using the KOSPI returns and total bond yields were simulated. Scenario 1 is when compared to the severance reserve is insufficient. Scenario 2 is the same as if toy reserve this severance pay. During one period, depending on the asset allocation of stocks and bonds was confirmed that the probability pension risk does not occur. And we suggest that members of DC pension risk endeavor with the government and companies to avoid.

Urban Flood Risk Assessment Considering Climate Change Using Bayesian Probability Statistics and GIS: A Case Study from Seocho-Gu, Seoul (베이지안 확률통계와 GIS를 연계한 기후변화 도시홍수 리스크 평가: 서울시 서초구를 대상으로)

  • LEE, Sang-Hyeok;KANG, Jung-Eun;PARK, Chang-Sug
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

A Decision Support Model for the Exchange Risk Management of Overseas Construction Projects (해외 건설 프로젝트의 환리스크 관리를 위한 의사결정 지원 모델)

  • An, Chi-Hoon;Yoo, Hyun-Seok;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2012
  • Overseas construction project orders have shown steady increase since 2001, and it took 44.5% of the total construction project orders in 2010. Overseas construction project needs more complex risk management because it is affected by more various circumstance factors than the domestic construction is. Previous studies have centered on the internal risk factors to assist the decision-making, but there are few researches on the importance and techniques of foreign exchange risk management. Inadequate management of foreign exchange risk has been found to cause huge damages due to the lacking recognition on the importance of foreign exchange risk management. Therefore, current study designed a foreign exchange risk manage model to help efficient management and decision-making. This model was developed as a technique to meet the demand of the increasing overseas construction projects for the efficient management of foreign exchange risk, and the technique will lower the risk with more and more accurate outcome by accumulating the data of profit-and-loss.

Introduction of the M(i,j,k)BCP and Risk Assessment of Underground Limestone Mine (재난관리체계(M(i,j,k)BCP) 제안과 석회석광산의 리스크 평가)

  • Lee, Seong Min;Kim, Sun-Myung;Lee, Yeon Hee
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2012
  • This study introduces $M_{(i,j,k)}BCP$ (Mining Business Continuity Planning) which is the smart management system of mine disasters to achieve the safe and eco-friendly mining. Where, 'i' is mine kinds, 'j' is mining processes, and 'k' is risks at process respectively. By specifically setting 'i=1=limestone mine', this study also suggests that $M_{(i,j,k)}BCP$ is the smart management system of limestone mine. Mining risks used in this study were obtained from professional survey and literature review. This study classified these risks by five different mining processes and reduced risk numbers approximately 60 to 26. And they were all allocated into $M_{(i,j,k)}BCP$ and assessed. To do assess risks, this study used four risk indexes which are probability, casualty, facility loss, and discontinuity respectively. By the results of the assessment of risks, results could be four specific groups based on their causes and impacts. In addition, one of the results showed that the most possible risks at limestone mine was the roof-fall and rock-fall in digging process. This result means that $M_{(1,2,1)}BCP$ should be established as a first priority at limestone mine.

Analysis of Risk Factors for the Importance in Vietnam's Public-Private Partnership Project Using SOM(Self-organizing map) (SOM(Self-organizing map)을 활용한 베트남 민관협력사업 리스크 요인 중요도 분석)

  • Yun, Geehyei;Kim, Seungho;Kim, Sangyong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.347-355
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    • 2020
  • The economic growth rate and the urban population of the Vietnam are steadily increasing. As a result, the size of the Vietnam's construction market for infrastructure development is expected to increase. However, Vietnam is adopting PPP(Public-Private Partnership) to solve this problem because the government lacks the financial and administrative capacity for infrastructure development. PPP is a business that lasts more than 10 years, so risk management is very important because it can be a long term damage in case of business failure. This study proposes a self-organization map (SOM) for analyzing the impact of risk factors and determining the priority of them. SOM is a visualization analysis method that analyzes the inherent correlation through the color pattern of each factor.

A Study on the Risk Reduction Plan of Cryptocurrency Exchange (암호화폐거래소 위험성 경감방안 연구)

  • Lim, Myungim;Jang, Hangbae
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2020
  • We propose a plan to reduce the operational risk of domestic cryptocurrency exchanges for protecting cryptocurrency exchange users and establishing a stable operating environment. For market participants using cryptocurrency exchanges, cryptocurrency exchange risk is greater than the price risk. In the cryptocurrency market, illegal transactions using the anonymity of cryptocurrency are occurring frequently. In addition, loss accidents due to cybercrimes and insider corruptions are continuing. And the resulting losses are passed on to the users of the exchange. In terms of operational risk, we analyze the current situation of domestic cryptocurrency exchanges and present the direction of development of each exchange platform to attract and protect users.

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Identification of Contractual Risk Factors for Application in the Overseas Construction Projects based on FIDIC Red Book 1999 Edition (해외건설공사관련 계약적 리스크 인자에 대한 연구 - FIDIC Red Book 1999년판 기준 -)

  • Hyun, Hak-Bong;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1153-1160
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    • 2016
  • There have been many studies on the subject of risks in the Construction Industry and many useful results have been produced. However, risk studies on the conditions of contract, which is the most critical contract documents, has not been tried despite of its contractual function in the overseas projects. In this study, various contractual risks are identified for proper and reasonable evaluation of the contractual risks possibly encountered in the Tender and/or Contract stages of the Projects. For development of study, FIDIC Red Book 1999 Edition which is world widely recognised as a standard conditions of contract prepared for the projects designed by the Employer. Contractual risks are divided into three levels and applicable clauses are assigned to each appropriate risk factors. And table of major contractual risk factors are made using the classified levels of each factors with evaluation criteria as a result of this study. As this study is made only for the conditions of contract which is prepared for the construction contracts designed by the Employer, further studies for other types of contracts such as Design-Build (FIDIC Yellow Book), EPC/Turnkey (FIDIC Silver Book) and recently developed Design, Build and Operate type of contract (FIDIC Gold Book) are required to cover various types of projects executed in the world construction markets.

A Study on Application Structure for IT Operational Risk in Financial Institute (금융기관의 IT운영리스크 관점에서의 응용프로그램 구조에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Seong-Cheol;Nam, Cho-Yee;Lee, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.705-719
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    • 2014
  • Recently the importance of operational risk is gradually increasing in risk management of financial institute. Especially the service interruption caused by system failure can lead to customer complaints, decrease of profit and customer secession. Thus, financial industry makes diverse effort to minimize the impact caused by the system failure of IT application. Common modules are used in IT system in financial industry to exclude redundant development and to use the system efficiently. However, when a failure in common module is occurred, the risk that affects all the tasks using the common module exists. In this study, the damage affected by a failure in application program is prevented separating common module which has a large risk by task in the perspective of IT operational risk. In order to cope with damage, the research on the factors related to common module is conducted and proposes the separating common module standard for decrease of operational risk of the financial IT.

An Effective Management of Construction Insurance (건설공사보험의 효율적 관리방법)

  • Yang Jin-Kook;Kim Soo-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2003
  • There is much more possibilities of encounter of critical problems and uncertain factors in construction project it is very important to analyze various risk factors of the project in its first stage. Because of the uncertainty, we need to study about the construction insurance scheme for risk-transfer within construction management method. This research methodology has been devised through analysis of characteristic of classified domestic construction insurance as well as some related foreign insurance system.

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