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Future Trend Impact Analysis Based on Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS 접근방식에 의한 미래 트랜드 충격 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Gil;Moon, Kyung-Il;Choi, Se-Ill
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.499-505
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    • 2015
  • Trend Impact Analysis(: TIA) is an advanced forecasting tool used in futures studies for identifying, understanding and analyzing the consequences of unprecedented events on future trends. An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is a kind of artificial neural network that integrates both neural networks and fuzzy logic principles, It is considered to be a universal estimator. In this paper, we propose an advanced mechanism to generate more justifiable estimates to the probability of occurrence of an unprecedented event as a function of time with different degrees of severity using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System(: ANFIS). The key idea of the paper is to enhance the generic process of reasoning with fuzzy logic and neural network by adding the additional step of attributes simulation, as unprecedented events do not occur all of a sudden but rather their occurrence is affected by change in the values of a set of attributes. An ANFIS approach is used to identify the occurrence and severity of an event, depending on the values of its trigger attributes. The trigger attributes can be calculated by a stochastic dynamic model; then different scenarios are generated using Monte-Carlo simulation. To compare the proposed method, a simple simulation is provided concerning the impact of river basin drought on the annual flow of water into a lake.

Empirical evaluation of the heating performance by a heat pump system with surplus heat from a greenhouse (온실 태양잉여열을 이용한 히트펌프시스템의 난방 성능평가에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Jeon, Byung-Yong;Park, Youn-Cheol;Ko, Gwang-Soo
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2017
  • This study evaluated the heating performance of a hybrid heat pump system. The system was installed in a $100-m^2$ greenhouse to utilize surplus solar energy. A hybrid heat pump system was installed at Jocheon-ri, Jeju Island, for an empirical evaluation of the performance. The system consists of a heat storage tank and plate heat exchangers for several heat exchanges between the greenhouse and heat pump or storage tank. The system uses R410a as the working fluid and is controlled automatically by a defined set temperature of the greenhouse. This system incorporates two kinds of heat sources: outdoor air and a storage tank that collects heat from the topside of the greenhouse. The results showed that the heating capacity was 19.9 kW in the outdoor air source mode and 21.4 kW with direct heating from hot water in the thermal storage tank. These results are very similar to those of a previous study.

Design and Implementation of a Single-Chip 8-Bit Microcontroller (단일 칩 8비트 마이크로컨트롤러의 설계 및 구현)

  • Ahn, Jung-Il;Park, Sung-Hwan;Kwon, Sung-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we first define a total of 64 instructions that are considered to be essential and frequently used, construct a datapath diagram, determine the control sequence using a finite state machine, and implement an 8-bit microcontroller using FPGA in VHDL. In the past, only functional simulation results of a rudimentary microcontroller were reported, the microcontroller lacked interrupt handling capability, or it was not implemented in hardware. We have designed a self-contained 8-bit microcontroller such that it can perform data transfer, addition, and logical operations, as well as stack and external interrupt operations. Following timing simulation of the designed microcontroller, we implemented it in an FPGA and verified its operation successfully. The design and implementation has been done under the Altera MAX+PLUS II integrated development environment using the EP1K50TC144-3 chip. The maximum operating frequency, the total number of logic elements used, and the logic utilization were found to be 9.39 MHz, 2813, and 97%, respectively. The result can be used as a microcontroller IP, and as needs arise, the VHDL code can be modified accordingly.

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Framework for Developing Mobile Embedded Convergence Software using CBD (컴포넌트 기반 모바일 임베디드 컨버전스 소프트웨어 개발 프레임워크)

  • Kim, Haeng-Kon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 2008
  • Computing systems in the modern era are expanding rapidly to include mobile-based businesses that make us of the various convergence distributed business process. This has lead to growing interest in the field of mobile embedded software development methodology, which has in turn lead to the proliferation of the embedded mobility. The use of CBD (Component Based Development) provides reusability, maintainability and portability, all of which are very important and focus issues to the business process. It also comes with the inherent productivity, quality and reliability of CBD. To make efficient use of CBD, though, clarified interface definitions for component integration are necessary. These definitions should be made up of collaborative hierarchical and horizontal architecture layers. Successful definitions should apply an effective framework made up of the architecture and process. In this paper, we describe an interface specification for small grained mobile embedded components(MEC) for the mobile embedded domain to meet maximum user requirements. We build and deploy the reconfigurable design patterns and components (in business domain categories) to make a component hierarchy and business logics for mobile embedded software. Proposed components specification plays a major role in development of the software for handling inconsistency in existing specification. It also includes plenty of specification information, using semantics and modeling based mechanisms to support business processes. We propose a development model of mobile embedded software using CBD for very complex and dynamic mobile business. We can apply it in a plug and play manner to develop the software. We verify that our framework supports very good productivity, quality and maintainability to meet the user's requirements in mobile business.

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Performance Metrics for EJB Applications (EJB 어플리게이션의 성능 메트릭)

  • 나학청;김수동
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.29 no.12
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    • pp.907-925
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    • 2002
  • Due to the emersion of J2EE(Java 2, Enterprise Edition), many enterprises inside and outside of the country have been developing the enterprise applications appropriate to the J2EE model. With the help of the component model of Enterprise Java Beans(EJH) which is the J2EE core technology, we can develop the distributed object applications quite simple. EJB application can be implemented by using the component-oriented object transaction middleware and the most applications utilize the distributed transaction. EJB developers can concentrate on the business logic because the EJB server covers the middleware service. Due to these characteristics, EJB technology became popular and then the study for EJB based application has been done quite actively However, the research of metrics for measuring the performance during run-time of the EJB applications has not been done enough. Tn this paper, we explore the workflow for the EJB application service on the run-time and classify the internal operation into several elements. We propose the metrics for evaluating the performance up to the bean level by using the classified elements. First, we analyze the lifecycle according to the bean types which comes from the EJB application on the run-time as to extract each factor used in performance measurement. We also find factors related to a performance and allocate the Performance factors to the metrics as the bean types. We also consider the characteristics like the bean's activation and message passing which happens during bean message call and then analyze the relations of the beans participating in the workflow of the application to make the workflow performance measurement possible. And we devise means to bring performance enhancement of the EJB application using the propose.

LISI Repository Development Framework based on J2EE for Interoperability Assessment Information Management (상호운용성 평가 정보 관리를 위한 J2EE 기반의 LISI 저장소 개발 프레임워크)

  • 조정희;정병훈;염근혁
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.31 no.11
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    • pp.1439-1454
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    • 2004
  • Recently, Levels of Information Systems Interoperability (LISI) that are used for assessing the information systems interoperability are defined according to the importance of interoperability among information systems. At that time, it is necessary to the construction of an assessment information repository to store and retrieve the interoperability assessment data efficiently. An LISI repository constructed for storing and retrieving an assessment information should support assessment systems that are developed in various Platforms and provide its functions by a standardized way. Business logics of LISI repository should be developed as distributed components, and we need to modify existing software design methods to show characteristics of LISI repository in addition to the standardized LISI data expression. Also a concrete method to recognize various implementation technologies and to apply them to implementation of LISI repository is needed. This paper provides a design method for developing an LISI repository that is considering the characteristics of LISI repository by three concerns, and an implementation scheme that can apply to the integration of the various repository implementation technologies systematically, as the LISI repository development framework for constructing the LISI repository. These help developers to construct the LISI repository effectively by providing concrete guidelines for considerations and appliable methods to construct the LISI repository.

A EJB Component-based WAP Application Generator (EJB 컴포넌트 기반 WAP 응용 생성기)

  • Eum, Doo-Hun;Kang, I-Zzy
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2005
  • Mobile e-business is in wide use with the rapid growth of wireless internet users. To meet the growing requests for mobile e-business the productivity of mobile applications has been demanded. The WAPSiteGen, introduced in this paper, automatically generates a 3-tier WAP application that needs a new application database or that already has an application database to increase the productivity. The WAPSiteGen generates the EJB components that handle business logic and the JSP Web components that process user-made queries and the WAP Push feature. For a presentation layer, it also generates the HTML forms for an application manager and the WML decks for end users, which consists of many cards. The WAPSiteGen enhances extendibility, reusability and portability of generated 3-tier applications by comprising such component technologies as EJB and JSP. Furthermore, it supports the WAP Push services for generated applications that provide necessary information to wherever and at whenever a user wants. Since the applications generated by the WAPSiteGen provide the information on an interested entity as well as the information on all the directly or indirectly related entities to the interested one, it shows faster information accessibility. In this paper, we explain the functionality and implementation of the WAPSiteGen and then show its merits by comparing the WAPSiteGen to commercial WAP application generators.

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The Study on the Elaboration of Technology Valuation Model and the Adequacy of Volatility based on Real Options (실물옵션 기반 기술가치 평가모델 정교화와 변동성 유효구간에 관한 연구)

  • Sung, Tae-Eung;Lee, Jongtaik;Kim, Byunghoon;Jun, Seung-Pyo;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.732-753
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    • 2017
  • Recently, when evaluating the technology values in the fields of biotechnology, pharmaceuticals and medicine, we have needed more to estimate those values in consideration of the period and cost for the commercialization to be put into in future. The existing discounted cash flow (DCF) method has limitations in that it can not consider consecutive investment or does not reflect the probabilistic property of commercialized input cost of technology-applied products. However, since the value of technology and investment should be considered as opportunity value and the information of decision-making for resource allocation should be taken into account, it is regarded desirable to apply the concept of real options, and in order to reflect the characteristics of business model for the target technology into the concept of volatility in terms of stock price which we usually apply to in evaluation of a firm's value, we need to consider 'the continuity of stock price (relatively minor change)' and 'positive condition'. Thus, as discussed in a lot of literature, it is necessary to investigate the relationship among volatility, underlying asset values, and cost of commercialization in the Black-Scholes model for estimating the technology value based on real options. This study is expected to provide more elaborated real options model, by mathematically deriving whether the ratio of the present value of the underlying asset to the present value of the commercialization cost, which reflects the uncertainty in the option pricing model (OPM), is divided into the "no action taken" (NAT) area under certain threshold conditions or not, and also presenting the estimation logic for option values according to the observation variables (or input values).

VOQL* : A Visual Object Query Language with Inductively-Defined Formal Semantics (VOQL* : 귀납적으로 정의된 형식 시맨틱을 지닌 시각 객체 질의어)

  • Lee, Suk-Kyoon
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2000
  • The Visual Object Query Language (VOQL) recently proposed for object databases has been successful in visualizing path expressions and set-related conditions, and providing formal semantics. However, VOQL has several problems. Due to unrealistic assumptions, only set-related conditions can be represented in VOQL. Due to the lack of explicit language construct for the notion of variables, queries are often awkard and less intuitive. In this paper, we propose VOQL*, which extends VOQL to remove these drawbacks. We introduce the notion of visual variables and refine the syntax and semantics of VOQL based on visual variables. We carefully design the language constructs of VOQL* to reflect the syntax of OOPC, so that the constructs such as visual variables, visual elements, VOQL* simple terms, VOQL* structured terms, VOQL* basic formulas, VOQL* formulas, and VOQL* query expressions are hierarchically and inductively constructed as those of OOPC. Most important, we formally define the semantics of each language construct of VOQL* by induction using OOPC. Because of the well-defined syntax and semantics, queries in VOQL* are clear, concise, and intuitive. We also provide an effective procedure to translate queries in VOQL* into those in OOPC. We believe that VOQL* is the first visual query language with the well-defined syntax reflecting the syntactic structure of logic and semantics formally defined by induction.

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Decision Algorithm of Natural Algae Coagulant Dose to Control Algae from the Influent of Water Works (정수장 유입조류 전처리를 위한 천연조류제거제(W.H.)의 최적주입농도 결정)

  • Jang, Yeo-Ju;Jung, Jin-Hong;Lim, Hyun-Man;Yoon, Young H.;Ahn, Kwang-Ho;Chang, Hyang-Youn;Kim, Weon-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.38 no.9
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    • pp.482-496
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    • 2016
  • Algal blooms of cyanobacteria (blue-green Algae) due to the eutrophication of rivers and lakes can cause not only the damage by its biological toxins but also the economic loss in drinking water treatment. The natural algae coagulant, a commercial product known as W.H. containing the algicidal and allelopathic material derived from oak, can control algal problems proactively through the coagulation flotation process. However, because there have been no applications of the process for pre-treatment in drinking water plants, we could find no report on the optimum injection dose of W.H.. In this study, we have conducted several sets of jar-tests while changing W.H. dose and concentration of chl-a for (1) Han-river samples and (2) subcultured cyanobacteria samples, and monitored the removal mechanisms of algae intensively. Based on these jar-test results, two linear equations with variables of chl-a and turbidity have been deduced to predict the optimal W.H. dose after the multiple regression analysis using IBM-SPSS. Also, prototypes of automatic control logic have been suggested to inject the optimal W.H. dose promptly in response to the variation of water quality.