• Title/Summary/Keyword: 레이더 강우자료

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Applicability of Spatial Interpolation Methods for the Estimation of Rainfall Field (강우장 추정을 위한 공간보간기법의 적용성 평가)

  • Jang, Hongsuk;Kang, Narae;Noh, Huiseong;Lee, Dong Ryul;Choi, Changhyun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.370-379
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    • 2015
  • In recent, the natural disaster like localized heavy rainfall due to the climate change is increasing. Therefore, it is important issue that the precise observation of rainfall and accurate spatial distribution of the rainfall for fast recovery of damaged region. Thus, researches on the use of the radar rainfall data have been performed. But there is a limitation in the estimation of spatial distribution of rainfall using rain gauge. Accordingly, this study uses the Kriging method which is a spatial interpolation method, to measure the rainfall field in Namgang river dam basin. The purpose of this study is to apply KED(Kriging with External Drift) with OK(Ordinary Kriging) and CK(Co-Kriging), generally used in Korea, to estimate rainfall field and compare each method for evaluate the applicability of each method. As a result of the quantitative assessment, the OK method using the raingauge only has 0.978 of correlation coefficient, 0.915 of slope best-fit line, and 0.957 of $R^2$ and shows an excellent result that MAE, RMSE, MSSE, and MRE are the closest to zero. Then KED and CK are in order of their good results. But the quantitative assessment alone has limitations in the evaluation of the methods for the precise estimation of the spatial distribution of rainfall. Thus, it is considered that there is a need to application of more sophisticated methods which can quantify the spatial distribution and this can be used to compare the similarity of rainfall field.

Development of a Flood Runoff and Inundation Analysis System Associated With 2-D Rainfall Data Generated Using Radar I. Quality Control and CAPPI Composite Calculation (레이더 정량강우와 연계한 홍수유출 및 범람해석 시스템 확립 I. 품질검사와 합성 CAPPI 산출)

  • Choi, Kyu-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Kyung-Eak;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.4 s.165
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    • pp.321-334
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    • 2006
  • The need for economical and accurate presentations of equivalent radar reflectivity( $Z_e$) data in an orthogonal coordinate system has existed for some time. So, in this study, a fast and efficient procedure has been developed which allows the systematic interpolation of digital reflectivity data from radar space into Cartesian space. At first, QC(Quality Control) of radar data has been executed for extracting uncontaminated Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator(CAPPI) data. The algorithm is designed so that only one ordered pass through the original Plan Position Indicator(PPI) scan data is necessary to complete the interpolation process. The model can calculate various resolution and altitude reflectivity data for many kinds of hydrological usage.

A Study on Application of Very Short-range-forecast Rainfall for the Early Warning of Mud-debris Flows (토사재해 예경보를 위한 초단기 예측강우의 활용에 대한 연구)

  • Jun, Hwandon;Kim, Soojun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to explore the applicability of very short-range-forecast rainfall for the early warning of mud-debris flows. An artificial neural network was applied to use the very short-range-forecast rainfall data. The neural network is learned by using the relationship between the radar and the AWS, and forecasted rainfall is estimated by replacing the radar rainfall with the MAPLE data as the very short-range-forecast rainfall data. The applicability of forecasted rainfall by the MAPLE was compared with the AWS rainfall at the test-bed using the rainfall criteria for cumulative rainfall of 6hr, 12hr, and 24hr respectively. As a result, it was confirmed that forecasted rainfall using the MAPLE can be issued prior to the AWS warning.

Technical Status of Microwave Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones (열대저기압 마이크로파 원격탐사의 기술 현황)

  • Choi, Geun-Chul;Yang, Chan-Su;Pack, Han-Il
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2006
  • This article reviews several microwave instruments employed in observation and analysis of tropical cyclones (TCs), typhoon, and hurricanes. Microwave signals are useful for observing tropical cyclones with severe storms since it isn't severely absorbed by the clouds and rain in the storm. The instruments discussed include scatterometers, microwave radiometers, synthetic aperture radars (SARs), and rain radar from space. The date such as winds, rainfall and cloud-distribution in the TCs obtained by microwave instruments provide important informations for forecasting the intensity and path of the typhoon. For example, there're wind-distribution provided by SSM/I which has a wide swath, detailed wind fields from ERS-1, 2 scatterometers and RADARSAT-1 SAR and TRMM's rain radar pro 떠 ding high resolution. Operational satellite instruments lunched recently have improved upon the problems of low resolution and narrow swath indicated at the beginning microwave remote sensing. Understanding and practical using sufficiently about the microwave instruments will serve for searching the features such as generation and development of the TCs.

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Estimation of Flood Discharge using Satellite-derived Rainfall in Abroad Watershed (위성강우를 이용한 해외 유역 홍수량 추정)

  • Kim, Joo Hun;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyeong Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.250-250
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    • 2017
  • 글로벌 위성 기반의 강수량 관측에 대한 역사는 1979년에 Arkin의 의해 제안된 IR방법에 의해 위성으로부터 강우자료를 유도하는 개념이 도입된 이후 1987년 해양에서의 비교적 정확한 강수량 추정이 가능한 다중 채널의 마이크로파(MW) 복사계를 이용한 방법으로 위성강수 추정에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되었다. 이후 두 IR과 MW를 혼합한 방법에서, 또다시 1997년 TRMM위성의 PR(Precpipitation Radar)의 레이더를 이용하는 방법, 그리고 2014년 GPM 핵심 위성(GPM Core Observatory)에 탑재된 Dual PR에 의한 방법으로 위성강수의 정확도를 매우 높여가고 있다. 본 연구는 KOICA 사업으로 진행중인 모로코 세부강 유역 홍수방지 마스터플랜 사업에서 모로코 세부강 유역의 2010년 홍수사상에 대한 위성강우 및 지상계측 일일자료를 이용하여 홍수유출량을 추정하는 것으로 목적으로 하고 있다. 모로코 세부강(Oued Sebou) 유역은 모로코의 서북부에 위치하며 유역면적은 한강유역과 유사한 $38,380km^2$이고 하천연장은 450km로 모로코 국토면적의 약 7% 정도를 차지하며 모로코 농업생산의 중심지역이고 유역의 기후 및 기상 특성은 겨울철 온난다습하고 여름에 고온 건조한 지중해성 기후를 나타내며, 연강수량은 400mm이상으로 보고하고 있다(이산 등, 2015). 유역내 49개 관측소의 일일 강우량 자료를 분석한 결과 2000년부터 2010년까지의 유역 산술평균 강수량은 607.1mm/yr로 분석되었고, 2010년 가장 많은 강수를 기록한 지역은 Jbel oudka로 1874.1mm/yr였고, 가장 적은 강수량을 기록한 지역은 Allal Al Fassi - Barrage로 289.9mm/yr로 나타났다. 2010년 홍수가 발생한 시기인 2009년 12월 19일부터 2010년 1월 18일까지의 1시간 간격의 위성강우자료와 1일 관측 지상계측자료를 합성하여 위성보정강우량을 추정하였다. 보정 방법은 순위상관방법을 적용하였다. 사용한 모형은 일본 ICHARM에서 개발한 IFAS와 한국건설기술연구원의 MapWindow 기반 GRM 모형(mwGRM)을 이용하였다. 모형의 적용 결과 세부강 유역 본류의 첨두유출량은 $6,010m^3/s$(mwGRM)과 $5,878m^3/s$(IFAS)로 분석되었다. 향후 위성강우 및 지상계측 강우의 시계열적 정확도와 총강우량 등의 정확도 평가를 수행할 계획이다.

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Precipitation Information Retrieval Method Using Automotive Radar Data (차량레이더 자료 기반 강수정보 추정 기법)

  • Jang, Bong-Joo;Lim, Sanghun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2020
  • Automotive radar that is one of the most important equipment in high-tech vehicles, is commonly used to detect the speed and range of objects such as cars. In this paper, in addition to objects detection, a method of retrieving precipitation information using the automotive radar data is proposed. The proposed method is based on the fact that the degree of attenuation of the returned radar signal differs depending on the precipitation intensity and the assumption that the distribution of precipitation is constant in short spatial and temporal observation. The purpose of this paper is to assesses the possibility of retrieving precipitation information using a vehicle radar. To verify the feasibility of the proposed method during actual driving, a method of estimating precipitation information for each time segment of various precipitation events was applied. From the results of driving field experiments, it was found that the proposed method is suitable for estimating precipitation information in various rainfall types.

Improvement of Radar Rainfall Estimation Using Radar Reflectivity Data from the Hybrid Lowest Elevation Angles (혼합 최저고도각 반사도 자료를 이용한 레이더 강우추정 정확도 향상)

  • Lyu, Geunsu;Jung, Sung-Hwa;Nam, Kyung-Yeub;Kwon, Soohyun;Lee, Cheong-Ryong;Lee, Gyuwon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.109-124
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    • 2015
  • A novel approach, hybrid surface rainfall (KNU-HSR) technique developed by Kyungpook Natinal University, was utilized for improving the radar rainfall estimation. The KNU-HSR technique estimates radar rainfall at a 2D hybrid surface consistings of the lowest radar bins that is immune to ground clutter contaminations and significant beam blockage. Two HSR techniques, static and dynamic HSRs, were compared and evaluated in this study. Static HSR technique utilizes beam blockage map and ground clutter map to yield the hybrid surface whereas dynamic HSR technique additionally applies quality index map that are derived from the fuzzy logic algorithm for a quality control in real time. The performances of two HSRs were evaluated by correlation coefficient (CORR), total ratio (RATIO), mean bias (BIAS), normalized standard deviation (NSD), and mean relative error (MRE) for ten rain cases. Dynamic HSR (CORR=0.88, BIAS= $-0.24mm\;hr^{-1}$, NSD=0.41, MRE=37.6%) shows better performances than static HSR without correction of reflectivity calibration bias (CORR=0.87, BIAS= $-2.94mm\;hr^{-1}$, NSD=0.76, MRE=58.4%) for all skill scores. Dynamic HSR technique overestimates surface rainfall at near range whereas it underestimates rainfall at far ranges due to the effects of beam broadening and increasing the radar beam height. In terms of NSD and MRE, dynamic HSR shows the best results regardless of the distance from radar. Static HSR significantly overestimates a surface rainfall at weaker rainfall intensity. However, RATIO of dynamic HSR remains almost 1.0 for all ranges of rainfall intensity. After correcting system bias of reflectivity, NSD and MRE of dynamic HSR are improved by about 20 and 15%, respectively.

The Study on Flood Runoff Simulation using Runoff Model with Gauge-adjusted Radar data (보정 레이더 자료와 유출 모형을 이용한 홍수유출모의에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Young-Hye;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2010
  • Changes in climate have largely increased concentrated heavy rainfall, which in turn is causing enormous damages to humans and properties. Therefore, it is important to understand the spatial-temporal features of rainfall. In this study, RADAR rainfall was used to calculate gridded areal rainfall which reflects the spatial-temporal variability. In addition, Kalman-filter method, a stochastical technique, was used to combine ground rainfall network with RADAR rainfall network to calculate areal rainfall. Thiessen polygon method, Inverse distance weighting method, and Kriging method were used for calculating areal rainfall, and the calculated data was compared with adjusted areal RADAR rainfall measured using the Kalman-filter method. The result showed that RADAR rainfall adjusted with Kalman-filter method well-reproduced the distribution of raw RADAR rainfall which has a similar spatial distribution as the actual rainfall distribution. The adjusted RADAR rainfall also showed a similar rainfall volume as the volume shown in rain gauge data. Anseong-Cheon basin was used as a study area and the RADAR rainfall adjusted with Kalman-filter method was applied in $Vflo^{TM}$ model, a physical-based distributed model, and ModClark model, a semi-distributed model. As a result, $Vflo^{TM}$ model simulated peak time and peak value similar to that of observed hydrograph. ModClark model showed good results for total runoff volume. However, for verifying the parameter, $Vflo^{TM}$ model showed better reproduction of observed hydrograph than ModClark model. These results confirmed that flood runoff simulation is applicable in domestic settings(in South Korea) if highly accurate areal rainfall is calculated by combining gauge rainfall and RADAR rainfall data and the simulation is performed in link to the distributed hydrological model.

Radar rainfall prediction based on deep learning considering temporal consistency (시간 연속성을 고려한 딥러닝 기반 레이더 강우예측)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Yoon, Seongsim;Choi, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we tried to improve the performance of the existing U-net-based deep learning rainfall prediction model, which can weaken the meaning of time series order. For this, ConvLSTM2D U-Net structure model considering temporal consistency of data was applied, and we evaluated accuracy of the ConvLSTM2D U-Net model using a RainNet model and an extrapolation-based advection model. In addition, we tried to improve the uncertainty in the model training process by performing learning not only with a single model but also with 10 ensemble models. The trained neural network rainfall prediction model was optimized to generate 10-minute advance prediction data using four consecutive data of the past 30 minutes from the present. The results of deep learning rainfall prediction models are difficult to identify schematically distinct differences, but with ConvLSTM2D U-Net, the magnitude of the prediction error is the smallest and the location of rainfall is relatively accurate. In particular, the ensemble ConvLSTM2D U-Net showed high CSI, low MAE, and a narrow error range, and predicted rainfall more accurately and stable prediction performance than other models. However, the prediction performance for a specific point was very low compared to the prediction performance for the entire area, and the deep learning rainfall prediction model also had limitations. Through this study, it was confirmed that the ConvLSTM2D U-Net neural network structure to account for the change of time could increase the prediction accuracy, but there is still a limitation of the convolution deep neural network model due to spatial smoothing in the strong rainfall region or detailed rainfall prediction.

Estimate of Flood Discharge using Fuzzy Regression in Mountainous Watershed (Fuzzy Regression 기법을 이용한 산지하천 유역 홍수량 산정)

  • Kim, Seung-Joo;Choi, Chang-Won;Yi, Jae-Eung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.25-25
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    • 2011
  • 우리나라는 국토의 60% 이상이 산지로 이루어져 있다. 최근 산지하천 유역에서 발생한 홍수와 토석류 등에 의해 많은 인적 물적 피해가 발생하고 있다. 현재 산지하천 유역은 유량자료에 비해 강우관측 자료는 비교적 많이 축적되어있으며, 최근에는 레이더를 이용한 강우관측도 지속적으로 이루어져 강우특성을 분석하는 것은 용이하다. 이에 비해서 산지하천 유역의 하천 유량에 대한 자료는 부족하거나 자료가 있더라도 결측치가 많고 보유연한이 분석에 필요한 만큼 충분하지 못하다. 또한 산지하천 유역의 유출특성을 분석하기 위해서는 강우관측 자료와 수위자료로부터 환산된 유량자료가 필수적인 인자이나 산지하천 유역의 수위관측소는 설치 및 유지관리 등의 어려움으로 인하여 유량자료가 상대적으로 부족한 실정이다. 이와 같은 제약을 해소하기 위해서는 많은 비용과 시간이 소요되므로 단 시간 내에 해결하는 것은 쉬운 일이 아니다. 따라서 유역의 물리적 특성을 이용하여 임의의 지점의 설계홍수량을 손쉽고, 정확하게 산정할 수 있다면 산지유역의 홍수와 토석류에 의해 발생하는 홍수 피해에 대한 대책을 마련하는데 큰 도움이 될 것이다. 일반적인 통계적 회귀분석은 여러 분야에서 널리 적용되고 있으나, 산지하천 유역의 강우-유출해석의 경우 관측자료의 수가 적고 발생하는 사상이 애매한 경우가 많아 일반적인 통계학적 선형 회귀분석을 적용하는 데 어려움이 많다. 이와 같은 어려움을 해결하기 위해 본 연구에서는 fuzzy regression 기법을 사용하였다. Fuzzy regression 기법의 하나인 possibilistic 모형을 사용하여 주어진 관측값과 산정값의 오차를 최소화함으로써 모형의 fuzziness를 최소화하였다. fuzzy regression 기법을 사용하면 변수들 간의 애매한 관계를 쉽게 해석하고 관측값과 산정값의 오차를 최소화하여 연구목적에 적합한 결과를 도출할 수 있다. 산지유역에서 발생하는 홍수는 많은 인명 및 재산피해뿐 아니라 사회 및 경제적 측면, 환경 및 생태계 그리고 인간의 정신적인 측면까지도 깊이 영향을 미친다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제안한 fuzzy regression 기법을 사용한 홍수량 산정기법을 통해 임의 지점의 빈도별 설계홍수량을 보다 신속하고 정확하게 산정하여 수공구조물의 설계에 적용하면 집중호우에 의해 발생하는 피해를 최소할 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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