• Title/Summary/Keyword: 등확률

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The Effect of Part-time Work on the Satisfaction of Personal Life - Using Seoul Survey - (시간제 근로 및 성별에 따른 개인의 삶의 만족도 분석 - 「서울서베이 도시정책지표조사」를 이용하여 -)

  • Kim, Jae Won;Lim, Up
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2019
  • Korea's average annual working hours are among the highest in the OECD. Such long-term work has been a factor that reduces the quality of life by discouraging workers' productivity and interrupting the compatibility of work and family, prompting the government to encourage flexible work systems, such as increasing part-time jobs, but a lack of quality part-time jobs. Part-time work enables flexible labor for workers, but at the same time, workers will involuntarily opt for part-time work as they have poor working conditions and negative social views. In this respect, the effect of the working type on an individual's life is expected to be different. In addition, for women, gender gaps exist in the labor market and the impact of part-time work on life satisfaction is expected to differ from men in terms of working and family alike. Using the data from the 2017 "Seoul Survey Urban Policy Indicator Survey", the ordered logistic regression model was used to analyze the cross-effect of working type and sex on satisfaction. The analysis of the study showed that when other factors were controlled, life satisfaction was high in the order of fulltime female, full-time male, part-time female, and part-time male. In addition, further analysis shows that the parttime female workers have the highest probability of choosing low life satisfaction, while the probability of choosing high life satisfaction is the lowest, and full-time male workers have the lowest probability of choosing low life satisfaction, while the highest probability of choosing high life satisfaction is the highest.

Study on Combat Efficiency According to Change in Quantity of Small Reconnaissance Drones in the Infantry Company Responsibility Area (중대급 작전지역에서 소형 감시정찰 드론의 수량 변화에 따른 전투 효율 연구)

  • Kyongsoo, Kim;Yongchan, Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2022
  • The development of innovative technology through the 4th Industrial Revolution is actively used in the defense field. In particular, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities using drones will be of great help to the development of military combat capabilities, such as preparing for future military personnel reductions and reinforcing alert capabilities. In this study, we analyze the combat efficiency of drones how helpful drones can be to the military operations through simulations. Drones and enemy move in the efficient shortest path within a two-dimensional space in which operational areas are mapped into number such as detection probability. Based on the detection probability of an enemy infiltrating along the path with the lowest detection probability, the detection probability change that occurs whenever a drone is additionally deployed is presented, and we analyze the combat efficiency according to the additional drone input. Simulation proves that the increase in combat efficiency decreases as more drones are added in small operational areas such as company-level operational areas. This study is expected to contribute to the efficient operation of a limited number of drones in company-level units and to help determine the most desirable quantity of drones for additional combat power improvement.

An Evaluation of Extreme Precipitation based on Local Downpour using Empirical Simulation Technique (Empirical Simulation Technique 기법을 이용한 집중호우의 극한강우 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2009
  • The occurrence causes of the extreme rainfall to happen in Korea can be distinguished with the typhoons and local downpours. The typhoon events attacked irregularly to induce the heavy rainfall, and the local downpour events mean a seasonal rain front and a local rainfall. Almost every year, the typhoons and local downpours that induced a heavy precipitation be generated extreme disasters like a flooding. Consequently, in this research, There were distinguished the causes of heavy rainfall events with the typhoons and the local downpours at Korea. Also, probability precipitation was computed according to the causes of the local downpour events. An evaluation of local downpours can be used for analysis of heavy rainfall event in short period like a flash flood. The methods of calculation of probability precipitation used the parametric frequency analysis and the Empirical Simulation Technique (EST). The correlation analysis was computed between annual maximum precipitation by local downpour events and sea surface temperature, moisture index for composition of input vectors. At the results of correlation analysis, there were revealed that the relations closely between annual maximum precipitation and sea surface temperature. Also, probability precipitation using EST are bigger than probability precipitation of frequency analysis on west-middle areas in Korea. Therefore, region of west-middle in Korea should prepare the extreme precipitation by local downpour events.

재해발생시간 분포 알고리즘에 관한 연구

  • 한정훈;이원근;김창은
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 1999
  • 안전공학이 추구하는 사회적인 목표는 산업에 종사하는 사람들의 생명과 건강을 지키고, 재해에 의한 생산설비나 원자재, 제품의 손실을 막는 것이다. 광범위한 산업안전 연구 중에서 재해 통계 분석에 관한 연구는 다양한 종류의 재해에 관한 기초적 정보를 제공함으로서, 이에 따른 문제점의 파악이나 안전대책의 설정 등 안전관리에 있어서 의사결정이나 연구 방향을 결정하는 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 현재 사업장 등에서 안전관리를 실시하는데, 안전수준의 평가로서 세계적으로 널리 이용되고 있는 계산식은 단위시간당의 재해발생 건수로 나타내어지는 도수율, 또는 근로자 1천만명당 재해발생 인원수를 나타내는 연 천인율이 등이 있다. 영국 A.H,A Wynn등이 광산재해의 예로 실시한 시간의 재해발생율의 차이를 재해발생 간격의 분포에 사용하여 검증했었다. 이것을 기반으로 재해발생 간격을 추정하고 검증함으로 재해발생 확률을 도출하여 안전관리의 새로운 척도를 제시하고자 한다. 이미 일본에서 많은 연구가 이루어져 왔으며, 이를 기초로 노동재해 발생수를 통한 통상의 검증법과 축차검증법의 이용으로 재해의 성향을 분석하여 그 결과를 재해의 예측에 이용함으로 재해예방을 실현하고자 한다. 그래서, 실제 국내에 정유공장의 데이터를 이용하여, 이 분포 알고리즘을 검증하는데 본 논문의 목적이 있다.

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Development of Smart Garden Control System Using Probabilistic Filter Algorithm Based on SLAM (SLAM기반 확률적 필터 알고리즘을 이용한 스마트 식물 제어 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Yang-Weon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.465-470
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    • 2017
  • This paper designs and implements a smart garden system using probabilistic filter algorithm using SLAM that can be used in apartment or veranda. To do this, we used Arduino and environtal sensors, which are open hardware controllers, and designed to control and observe automatic water supply, lighting, and growth monitoring with three wireless systems (Bluetooth, Ethernet, WiFi). This system has been developed to make it possible to use it in an indoor space such as an apartment, rather than a large-scale cultivation system such as a conventional plant factory which has already been widely used. The developed system collects environmental data by using soil sensor, illuminance sensor, humidity sensor and temperature sensor as well as control through smartphone app, analyzes the collected data, and controls water pump, LED lamp, air ventilation fan and so on. As a wireless remote control method, we implemented Bluetooth, Ethernet and WiFi. Finally, it is designed for users to enable remote control and monitoring when the user is not in the house.

Development of Daily Rainfall Simulation Model Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain (동질성 Hidden Markov Chain 모형을 이용한 일강수량 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae Jeong;Hwang, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1861-1870
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    • 2013
  • A climate change-driven increased hydrological variability has been widely acknowledged over the past decades. In this regards, rainfall simulation techniques are being applied in many countries to consider the increased variability. This study proposed a Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain(HMM) designed to recognize rather complex patterns of rainfall with discrete hidden states and underlying distribution characteristics via mixture probability density function. The proposed approach was applied to Seoul and Jeonju station to verify model's performance. Statistical moments(e.g. mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis) derived by daily and seasonal rainfall were compared with observation. It was found that the proposed HMM showed better performance in terms of reproducing underlying distribution characteristics. Especially, the HMM was much better than the existing Markov Chain model in reproducing extremes. In this regard, the proposed HMM could be used to evaluate a long-term runoff and design flood as inputs.

Modeling of the Effective Levels of Traffic Violation Fines (교통법규 위반 범칙금의 효율적 수준 설정 모형 개발 (신호와 제한속도 위반 중심))

  • Jang, Il-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2009
  • Factors causing traffic accidents are various and traffic law violations can be among them. The efforts to increase traffic law obedience rates of drivers are common in many other countries to reduce traffic accidents, and one of generally applied methods is to increase the amounts of violation fines. Expensive levels of traffic law violation fines could have drivers choose "obey the law" in their decision-making stages since they are economically better-off by following the law. In this sense, this study has developed an economic model to verify whether the current levels of the traffic violation fines of Korea are effective for drivers to choose "obey-the-law" decisions. Speed violations and traffic signal violations have been selected for the case study to verify the relationships between "expected probabilities of being-caught" and "levels of violations fines".

Critical Literature Review on Exposure Assessment Methods for Metalworking Fluids in Epidemiological Cancer Study (금속가공유 노출과 암 발생위험역학조사에서 금속가공유 노출 평가 방법에 대한 고찰)

  • Park, Donguk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.282-288
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    • 2007
  • 그 동안 많은 역학연구를 통해서 금속가공유(metalworking fluid, MWFs) 노출과 여러 조직에서 암 발생 위험과의 관계를 밝혔지만, 금속가공유 종류(비수용성, 수용성, 합성, 준합성)별로 구분된 위험은 아직 완전하게 규명되지 않았다. 역학조사에서 금속가공유 노출을 대체할 수 있는 인자(surrogate)로서 정성적(qualitative), 명목적(ordinal) 혹은 준정량적인(semi-quantitative) 변수들(금속가공유에 대한 노출 유무, 노출 정도: 높음, 낮음 등, 직업 유무, 근무기간 등)을 이용하여 금속가공유 노출을 평가하였다. 이러한 노출평가방법은 기본적으로 금속가공유 노출 강도(intensity)가 고려되지 않을 뿐만 아니라 노출 분류 오류(misclassification)도 항상 존재할 수 있어 금속가공유 노출은 물론이고 종류별 위험을 밝히기 어렵다. 일부 역학연구에서 금속가공유 종류별 누적 노출양(cumulative exposure level)과 암위험과의 관계를 밝혔다. 이러한 연구결과들은 모두 금속가공유 종류별로 과거노출을 추정할 수 있는 자료(정량적인 노출평가자료, 과거직업력, 취급했던 금속가공유 종류 등)가 잘 기록되어 있는 1개의 대규모 자동차공장에서 나온 것들이다. 따라서 금속가공유에 대한 노출자료가 부족하고 사용특성에 대한 기록이 없거나 부족한 일반 인구나 산업을 대상으로 한 역학연구에서는 금속가공유의 종류별 위험을 밝히는것은 불가능하다. 금속가공유 종류별로 과거 노출에 대한 확률(probability)을 추정하는데 일반적으로 활용할 수 있는 노출확률 메트릭스를 개발하는 것이 필요하다.

Validity assessment of VaR with Laplacian distribution (라플라스 분포 기반의 VaR 측정 방법의 적정성 평가)

  • Byun, Bu-Guen;Yoo, Do-Sik;Lim, Jongtae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1263-1274
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    • 2013
  • VaR (value at risk), which represents the expectation of the worst loss that may occur over a period of time within a given level of confidence, is currently used by various financial institutions for the purpose of risk management. In the majority of previous studies, the probability of return has been modeled with normal distribution. Recently Chen et al. (2010) measured VaR with asymmetric Laplacian distribution. However, it is difficult to estimate the mode, the skewness, and the degree of variance that determine the shape of an asymmetric Laplacian distribution with limited data in the real-world market. In this paper, we show that the VaR estimated with (symmetric) Laplacian distribution model provides more accuracy than those with normal distribution model or asymmetric Laplacian distribution model with real world stock market data and with various statistical measures.

Continuous Discovery of Dense Regions in the Database of Moving Objects (이동객체 데이터베이스에서의 밀집 영역 연속 탐색)

  • Lee, Young-Koo;Kim, Won-Young
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2008
  • Small mobile devices have become commonplace in our everyday life, from cellular phones to PDAs. Discovering dense regions for the mobile devices is one of the problems of grate practical importance. It can be used in monitoring movement of vehicles, concentration of troops, etc. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm on continuously clustering a large set of mobile objects. We assume that a mobile object reports its position only if it is too far away from the expected position and thus the location data received may be imprecise. To compute the location of each individual object could be costly especially when the number of objects is large. To reduce the complexity of the computation, we want to first cluster objects that are in proximity into a group and treat the members in a group indistinguishable. Each individual object will be examined only when the inaccuracy causes ambiguity in the final results. We conduct extensive experiments on various data sets and analyze the sensitivity and scalability of our algorithms.

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