• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.51-66
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• 2016

This study examines a degree of city decline and confirms a existence of inertia in the city decline process, and shows how to set the policy directions of cities as its situation. With understanding these things, we are carefully able to anticipate the future direction of cities'growth or decline. This study analyzes cross-tabulations with the comprehensive decline index, and the demographic-social index, industrial-economical index, physical-environmental index to compose the comprehensive decline index in during 2005~2010. We can confirm the existence of complexity and inertia of city decline. Some cities are likely to have adhesion of decline, and these cities should convert planning tools and concept of past growth era to new one to be used in changed environment in new era. Redefining a perspective for city decline, proper managing a change of physical environment from city decline, and flexible thinking would be requested as countermeasures with adjusting spatial policy framework.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.2153-2157
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• 2009

도시하천은 Eco-network의 근간이며, 하천을 통해 인간이 느낄 수 있는 정서적인 안정감, 친밀감, 쾌적함 등 어메니티의 모체로서, 최근 도심내 Open space로서의 위상을 높여가고 있다. 양재천을 위시하여 수원천, 전주천 등 지역을 대표하는 하천들이 자연형 하천으로 정비되어 하천 이용에의 관심이 고조되고, 청계천의 성공을 기점으로 하천의 친수공간으로서의 기능이 강조됨에 따라 도시하천에 대한 개발 요구도는 급속히 높아지게 되었다. 이러한 개발요구의 급속한 증가가 있음에도 불구하고 보전과 이용이 상충하는 도시하천의 어메니티 향상을 위한 기준은 마련되지 않고, 일부 하천에서 이용과 관리의 효율성을 고려하지 않은 무분별한 개발을 부추기게 되어, 오히려 어메니티 향상의 측면에서는 부정적인 결과를 초래하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 하천 특성에 적합한 어메니티 도입 기준을 설정하기 위하여 하천의 규모, 자연도, 이용지수를 기준으로 하천유형을 분류하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 지속적인 연구를 진행하여 선진사례와 국내하천조사를 통해 지표요소를 분석하고, 분석된 지표요소에 따라 유형을 추출해내는 과정을 통해 하천유형과 활동유형, 도입시설간의 관계를 설정하여 도시하천 어메니티 향상을 위한 기준으로서 하천복원모델(안)을 제시하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.1169-1173
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• 2010

기후변화의 영향은 전세계적으로 재해를 가중시키는 역할을 하고 있다. 특히 인구밀도와 자산가치가 높은 도시지역의 홍수피해가 급증함에 따라 이를 방지하기 위한 대책마련이 시급히 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 미래의 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 방안으로 도심지역에 LID(Low Impact Development)기법을 적용하여 도시 홍수의 저감방안으로서 그 적용성을 평가하고자 하였다. 이를 위해, 굴포천 유역을 대상으로 XP-SWMM을 이용하여 관망을 구축하고 현재 강우자료(1961~2000년)와 미래의 강우자료(KMA-A2 기후변화 시나리오, 2001~2090년)를 적용하여 현재와 미래의 강우조건에 따른 도심지역의 홍수범람 및 유출량을 산정하였다. 이 결과를 바탕으로 모델링된 지역 중, 기후변화 전후의 상습 홍수범람지역을 우선적으로 선정하여 LID기법을 적용하였다. 효율적인 LID기법의 적용을 위해 토지이용 변화에 따른 시나리오를 작성하고, 이에 따른 유출곡선지수(Curve Number, CN)값을 산정하여 도시홍수 범람지역 및 유출량의 변화를 검토하는데 이용하였다. 분석 결과, LID기법을 적용하였을 경우 기후변화에 따른 도심지역의 홍수 및 유출량을 현재 수준으로 낮출 수 있다는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통하여 개발이 완료된 도시지역에도 효율적인 LID기법의 적용에 따라 도시홍수 및 유출량을 효과적으로 저감할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라, 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 하나의 대응책으로써 충분한 역할을 할 수 있을 것이라고 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.981-981
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• 2012

최근 지구환경 변화에 따른 기후변화의 영향으로 자연재해의 형태는 점차 대형화, 다양화되고 있으며 극치사상의 발생 빈도가 계속해서 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 특히 도시하천의 경우 인구와 재산이 밀집해 있어 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성이 클 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구에서는 기후 변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 분석을 위하여 위험도 기반 불확실성을 다루는 수단으로 UQR-MCS (Upper Quartile Range-Monte Carlo Simulation)을 적용하였으며, 다양한 형태의 확률 분포로부터 특정변량(variable)의 확률분포 Quartile을 모의하였다. 또한 기후변화에 따른 도시하천의 홍수위험 및 취약성 평가를 위하여 도시하천에 적합한 홍수위험 및 취약성평가 지수(FVI: flood vulnerability index)를 산정하였으며, 홍수취약성지수는 기후변화(Climate change)와 도시화(Urbanization), 제방월류위험(Overtopping risk) 및 홍수범람 면적(Flood area) 등의 지표를 사용하였다. 각각의 지표는 엔트로피(Entropy) 기법을 적용하여 가중치를 부여하였으며, 표준화과정을 통한 일반화된 지표 값을 산정하였다. 우이천 유역의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 지표값은 KMA RCM A1B 시나리오자료를 바탕으로 추정한 미래 확률강수량과 각 인자별 재현기간에 따른 수문변량의 변화를 통하여 산정하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 도시하천의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험도분석 및 취약성 평가, 극치 수문사상에 대한 신뢰성 있는 분석과 더불어 예상치 못할 이상홍수에 대비한 하천방재 연구에 도움이 되리라 사료된다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.385-393
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• 2016

In this study, we analyzed th Cheonggyecheon watershed for urban flood risk index. SWMM model configuration based on each watershed data. And it was set as the final index calculated indicators related to the humanities, social and environmental. Each indicator was standardized and weighted using the Delphi method. Finally, select the danger area through urban flood risk index. Determined 12 indices according to the hazard and vulnerability. Vulnerability is selected the index divided by three factors. 21 watersheds were analyzed through urban flood risk index. The top of three areas of index is Jeongneung 1, Majang, Pil-dong, each index is 0.533, 0.494, 0.381. The lowest index is soongin 0.216. Urban flood risk index developed in this study can be applied to other regions in Korea for establishing national water resources management plan.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.1-16
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• 2015

It is widely believed that increasing socio-economic polarization inspired by globalization and economic restructuring worsens residential segregation by class in Korean cities. However, the existing literature falls short in showing the recent changes of the residential segregation, particularly after the 1997 financial crisis, with reliable and systematic segregation measures. Noting that there are the two major dimension in residential segregation - evenness-concentration and exposure-clustering - this study introduced not only global measure (dissimilarity index and isolation/interaction index) but also local measures (location quotient and Local Moran's I) for each dimension. These measures are applied to the case study of Seoul in the 2000s. The class is defined by education attainment and the data is obtain through the MicroData System Service System(MDSS). The result shows that the residential segregation by education attainment persists through 2000s and even get worse in some dimension. More significantly, it turns out that high-class and low-class residence are nearly mirror-images of each other, indicating high segregation.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.43-49
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• 2008

The objective of this research was to test a hypothesis that sprawl increases congestion, and so the estimated evacuation time become longer. For this, sprawl was thought to be poor accessibility so that vehicle miles of travel become longer. This research shows that the daily vehicle miles per lane mile that are thought to be an accessibility index had a strong and statistically significant relationship to the estimated evacuation time, while urban population density has no statistically significant relationship to the evacuation time. The result of this research recommends that we should consider sustainable land use patterns that decrease traffic demand by providing good accessibility.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.38 no.5_2
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• pp.781-791
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• 2022

It is crucial to provide forest fire risk forecast information to minimize forest fire-related losses. In this research, forecast models of forest fire risk at a mid-range (with lead times up to 7 days) scale were developed considering past, present and future conditions (i.e., forest fire risk, drought, and weather) through random forest machine learning over South Korea. The models were developed using weather forecast data from the Global Data Assessment and Prediction System, historical and current Fire Risk Index (FRI) information, and environmental factors (i.e., elevation, forest fire hazard index, and drought index). Three schemes were examined: scheme 1 using historical values of FRI and drought index, scheme 2 using historical values of FRI only, and scheme 3 using the temporal patterns of FRI and drought index. The models showed high accuracy (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.8, relative root mean square error <10%), regardless of the lead times, resulting in a good agreement with actual forest fire events. The use of the historical FRI itself as an input variable rather than the trend of the historical FRI produced more accurate results, regardless of the drought index used.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.37 no.6_1
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• pp.1719-1729
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• 2021

Leaf area index (LAI) provides valuable information necessary for sustainable and effective management of forests. Although global high resolution LAI data are provided by European Space Agency using Sentinel-2 satellite images, they have not considered forest characteristics in model development and have not been evaluated for various forest ecosystems in South Korea. In this study, we proposed a LAI estimation model combining machine learning and the PROSAIL radiative transfer model using Sentinel-2 satellite data over a local forest area in South Korea. LAI-2200C was used to measure in situ LAI data. The proposed LAI estimation model was compared to the existing Sentinel-2 LAI product. The results showed that the proposed model outperformed the existing Sentinel-2 LAI product, yielding a difference of bias ~ 0.97 and a difference of root-mean-square-error ~ 0.81 on average, respectively, which improved the underestimation of the existing product. The proposed LAI estimation model provided promising results, implying its use for effective LAI estimation over forests in South Korea.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.33-47
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• 2021

In urban declining areas, the population is decreasing, and drying environments such as buildings and facilities are aging. Therefore, it is vulnerable in the event of disaster, and recovery takes a lot of time and money. The purpose of this study is to develop an evaluation technique for comprehensively diagnosing disasters in declining areas and to present implications through case analysis. Evaluation indicators were selected to calculate the comprehensive diagnosis index of disasters, and weights were calculated for each class, including disaster types, components, and evaluation indicators, through Analytic Hierarchy Process analysis. The comprehensive diagnoses index for each type of disaster was calculated with the calculated weight, and the risk according to the level of urban decline was analyzed. As a result of analyzing Seoul as a case area, it was analyzed that the overall risk of disasters was high in southern regions such as Seocho-gu, Dongjak-gu, Geumcheon-gu, and Gangseo-gu, and relatively low in downtown and northern Seoul, parks and green areas. The results of this study are of academic significance in that they presented a comprehensive diagnostic index evaluation system and technique for each type of disaster, including natural and social disasters.