• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.127-146
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• 2008

Over the past four decades reproductive behavior has changed slowly in much of the African countries. The average total fertility rate has fallen from six or more to near five today. Between 1960 and 2000 the largest fertility decline occurred in such Northern African countries as Algeria, Libya, and Morocco. The mortality rate has decreased in most African countries. The purpose of this study is to review the pattern of demographic transition in African countries. At first, this study focuses on the fertility transition. In Africa, the total fertility rate has decreased from 6.59 to 4.85 between 1960 and 2000. The mortality rate has also decreased in most of African countries. It is also interesting to find that there is a clear difference among African countries. In terms of infant mortality rate, Libya shows the lowest rate(17), while Mali and Somalia remain still high rate(142 and 133, respectively). This study tests a path model in which infant mortality rate acts as an intermediate variable between three socioeconomic variables and the fertility rate. The findings of this paper substantiate some of our hypotheses on the interrelationships among socioeconomic variables, infant mortality rate, and fertility rate. The result also shows the indirect effects of socioeconomic variables on fertility rate via infant mortality.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.1
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• pp.81-88
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• 2018

The rainfall-runoff model made of sewer networks in the urban area is vast and complex, making it unsuitable for real-time urban flood forecasting. Therefore, the rainfall-runoff model is constructed and simplified using the sewer network of Daerim baisn. The network simplification process was composed of 5 steps based on cumulative drainage area and all parameters of SWMM were calculated using weighted area. Also, in order to estimate the optimal simplification range of the sewage network, runoff and flood analysis was carried out by 5 simplification ranges. As a result, the number of nodes, conduits and the simulation time were constantly reduced to 50~90% according to the simplification ranges. The runoff results of simplified models show the same result before the simplification. In the 2D flood analysis, as the simplification range increases by cumulative drainage area, the number of overflow nodes significantly decreased and the positions were changed, but similar flooding pattern was appeared. However, in the case of more than 6 ha cumulative drainage area, some inundation areas could not be occurred because of deleted nodes from upstream. As a result of comparing flood area and flood depth, it was analyzed that the flood result based on simplification range of 1 ha cumulative drainage area is most similar to the analysis result before simplification. It is expected that this study can be used as reliable data suitable for real-time urban flood forecasting by simplifying sewer network considering SWMM parameters.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.387-387
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• 2019

우리나라는 최근 10년간 자연재난 중 호우로 인해 인명피해 약 120명, 재산피해 약 1조 4천억원을 기록하였으며, 또한 기후변화로 인해 강한 국지성 집중호우의 발생빈도가 높아질 것으로 예상됨에 따라 호우에 의한 침수피해가 증가될 것으로 예상된다. 특히 본 연구 대상지역인 인천시의 경우 도시화로 인해 인구밀도 및 불투수지역이 증가함에 따라 침수피해가 대형화되고 있는 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 인천시와 같은 도심지역에서의 침수발생을 사전에 예측하고 침수발생에 대한 대비 대응을 위해 하수관망 해석을 위한 SWMM 모델과 침수해석을 위한 2DIS 모델을 연계하여 인천시 침수심 생산체계를 구축하고자 한다. 본 연구에 적용한 침수심 생산과정은 크게 강우자료 생산, 유역 및 하수관망 해석, 침수 해석 등 총 3단계 과정으로 구성된다. 강우자료 생산과정에서는 유역 및 하수관망 해석과 침수 해석을 위한 10분 단위 유역평균 강우량자료를 생산한다. 유역 및 하수관망 해석과정에서는 지형자료 및 강우자료를 이용하여 SWMM 모델을 통해 맨홀에서의 월류량 자료를 생산한다. 마지막으로 침수해석과정에서는 지형자료와 함께 앞서 두 과정을 통해 생산된 강우 및 맨홀 월류량 자료를 입력자료로 하여 2DIS 모델을 통해 10분 단위의 시계열 침수심 정보 및 격자별 최대 침수심정보를 생산한다. 본 연구에서의 공간해상도는 도심지역의 도로단위 고해상도 침수심 정보 생산을 위해 6m 단위로 하였으며, 시간해상도는 단시간에 발생하는 도심지역의 침수특성 반영을 위해 10분으로 하였다. 또한, 침수발생 시 발생한 강우의 지표흐름 영향을 반영하기 위해 빗물받이효율 변화에 다른 침수심을 분석하였다. 본 연구를 통해 도출된 모의 침수심 결과를 실제 침수피해사례 및 풍수해저감종합계획 결과와 비교하였으며, 다수 지역에서 실제 침수발생지역과 동일하게 침수가 발생한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 전체적인 침수 양상이 유사하게 발생함을 확인하였다. 향후 관측자료를 이용한 하수관망 및 침수해석 모델의 최적화, 하천유량 예측을 통한 하류 기점수위의 반영 등을 통해 정확도를 개선할 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 이를 통해 인천시 침수발생을 사전에 예측하여 침수피해에 대비 및 대응과 침수피해 발생 시 정확하고 상세한 원인 분석 및 예측이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.50-57
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• 2018

Based on research projects and maintenance plans that have been carried out to observe changes in the appearance of buildings in Yangdong Village, Gyeongju, this study analyzed the process of changes in roof materials since the 1970s and drew the following conclusions. First, as the proportion of houses used in the yanggi and yanggi in the 1970s appears similar to that of Wagawa, it is believed that the village landscape has changed due to the use of modern materials by modernization and urbanization. Second, the initial stage of readjustment was designated as a folk data protection zone in 1977 and important folk data designation in 1984. However, due to the lack of a budget for repair and indiscriminate repair, the effectiveness of the project did not seem to have been high. As a result, the trend of decreasing the initial price of the previous period and increasing the use of materials such as yanggi and slate were continuing. Third, in the 1990s, the Cultural Heritage Administration pushed for restoration to the traditional method through extensive renovation projects, making efforts to restore traditional materials, such as reduction of the yanggi and roof, removal of the Hamseok roof, and an increase in the price of grass. Fourth, in the 2000s and thereafter, various readjustment projects were completed in the previous period, with the ratio of Wagwa and Choga greatly increased and the number of houses on the roof of slate reduced by about half, and the level of maintenance of the village's retirement homes was readjusted after the World Heritage List in 2010.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.2
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• pp.105-119
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• 2021

An increase in the frequency and intensity of both floods and droughts has been recently observed due to an increase in climate variability. Especially, land-use change associated with industrial structure and urbanization has led to an imbalance between water supply and demand, acting as a constraint in water resource management. Accurate rainfall-runoff analysis plays a critical role in evaluating water availability in the water budget analysis. This study aimed to explore various continuous rainfall-runoff models over the Soyanggang dam watershed. Moreover, the ensemble modeling framework combining multiple models was introduced to present scenarios on streamflow considering uncertainties. In the ensemble modeling framework, rainfall-runoff models with fewer parameters are generally preferred for effective regionalization. In this study, more than 40 continuous rainfall-runoff models were applied to the Soyanggang dam watershed, and nine rainfall-runoff models were primarily selected using different goodness-of-fit measures. This study confirmed that the ensemble model showed better performance than the individual model over different flow regimes.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.41 no.1
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• pp.75-83
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• 2021

Over-urbanization has contributed to the increase in traffic problems. This makes the need for effective road planning and design more important than ever. I have been able to learn how to build a new road, and how to use it. However, in spite of the importance of good road planning, there are no systematic standards or methods for calculating traffic volume on railroad routes. Therefore, in this study, to strengthen the competitiveness of railroads, the concept of line capacity is introduced to railroads, and a clear standard and method for calculating railroad line capacity are presented. Based on the results, the line capacity of main railway lines for domestic railways was calculated. By applying the method of calculating the line capacity presented in this study, the capacity of existing railway lines and newly expanded routes can be calculated. It is expected that our findings will be able to provide systematic standards that can be applied to yield a more effective investment and design planning stage; the findings will also help improve the efficiency of railroad operation.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.67-73
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• 2021

As the impermeable area increases due to urbanization and industrialization, the influence of non-point pollutants caused by rainfall runoff on the water system is increasing. In the past, the best management practices(BMP) were used a lot to manage non-point pollutants, but recently, technology that naturally treats them through LID (Low Impact Development) technology is widely used. In this study, various rainfall events were simulated through the SWMM model based on the data of rainfall monitoring in bioretention among natural facilities. The characteristic of LID modeling research is that it is difficult to build accurate modeling data with short-term data because real data is the result obtained through natural facilities, and it is difficult to implement an accurate model. In this study, the data monitored for 3 years It is significant in that it has built a precise model. The actual data monitored a total of 18 times was simulated, and the inflow and outflow and the removal efficiency of five pollutants were simulated. As a result of performing the performance evaluation, most of the 7 items showed excellent indicators, and the TN and TP showed relatively low simulation performance. In the future, it is expected that Korea will introduce an integrated water management system in which the water supply system and the sewage system are substantially integrated and operated. Therefore, the results of this study are considered to play an important role in the initial stage of rainfall management in the future integrated water management system, and the extent of rainfall runoff reduction and pollutant reduction in the expected installation area can be predicted in advance. This is expected to prevent overdesign of bioretention.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.241-249
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• 2022

Humans and wild birds coexist in cities, where habitat fragmentation due to urbanization threatens the habitat and movement of birds. In this study, in order to identify landscape features associated with wild bird collide, we characterized landscape composition within a 500 m radius and points of wild bird carcasses in Suwon-city, South Korea. Dead birds were identified as having a Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) of 0.3, Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI) of -0.05, and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) of -0.16 at the points of collide. And there were NDVI of 0.34, NDBI of -0.01, NDWI of -0.18, building height of 13.8 m, and soundproof wall length of 227.3 m within a radius of 500 m. Land cover type was dominated by grassland, used area, and bare land. In particular, the edges of urbanized areas, where apartments bordered forests, reservoirs, and golf courses, were identified as high-risk spaces. In order to minimize bird mortality risk in urban environments, the impact of changes to a vertical landscape should be reviewed from an environmental impact assessment approach. In addition, a preventive management plan that considers the temporal and spatial features that wild animals can safely avoid and adapt to in urbanized spaces should be prepared.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.316-316
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• 2023

2022년 8월 수도권 이상폭우로 인해 서울 도심지역의 지하시설, 도로, 주택 등에 침수가 발생하면서 인명 및 재산피해가 발생하였으며, 특히 동서로 가로지르는 정체전선으로 좁고 긴 비구름이 집중되면서 국지적으로 피해가 집중되었다. 서울시의 경우 도시화에 따른 불투수지역 증가 및 내수배제 불량에 따른 빗물 역류로 인한 피해가 지속적으로 발생하고 있으며, 최근에는 기후변화에 따른 방재성능목표 강우량을 초과하는 빈도의 이상폭우로 인해 하천범람과 내수배제 불량에 따른 복합적인 원인으로 침수피해 가중되고 있는 실정이다. 또한 서울시의 경우 전체 자연적, 사회적, 경제적, 환경적 요인 등의 지역적 편차가 매우 큰 도시로 지형적인 특성뿐만 아니라 취약시설(병원, 학교 등), 수방시설물(하천, 배수시설, 빗물펌프장 등) 및 방재시설(대피소, 구호소 등) 밀도 등에 따른 침수 취약성 및 위험성 등의 편차가 매우 크기 때문에 지역특성에 대한 피해사례가 다원화 되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 30년 이상의 종관기상관측(ASOS)과 서울시 자치구별 20년 이상의 방재기상관측(AWS)자료를 기반으로 CMIP6 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, 공통사회 경제경로)시나리오에 따른 극한기후 지수(강수강도, 호우일수, 지속기간, 1일 최대강수량, 95퍼센타일 강수일수 등)에 대한 재현성을 평가하고 공간자기상관분석 등 시공간적인 강우특성에 대한 변화를 전망하였다. 특히 여름철 강우의 경우 자치구별 편차가 크게 나타났고 이를 통해 대도시의 도심지역의 경우 세분화하여 지역의 정확한 강우특성을 파악하는 것이 필요하다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과는 도심지의 방재성능 초과강우 정의와 기준을 수립하고, 장기적인 수자원 및 도시계획 차원의 대책을 마련하는데 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 기후위기에 따른 기록적인 호우(지역별 방재성능을 초과하는 강우)에 따른 재해는 구조적인 대책을 통해 모두 저감할 수 없는 한계가 있다. 하지만 인명피해를 최소화하는 것을 목표로 기후위기에 대한 적응단계로 인식하고 수리·수문학적, 사회경제학적 등 지역특성에 따른 방재성능목표 강우량에 대한 재검토와 더불어 법제도(풍수해보험, 저류조설치 의무화 등), 개인별 재해예방, 취약계층 안전망 확보, 반지하주택 침수안전대책, 재해지도 개선 등 구조적/비구조적인 대책을 통합 수립 및 보완하는 것이 필요한 시점이다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.5B
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• pp.445-458
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• 2010

The effects of geographical and climatic factors on annual and monthly pan and Penman evaporation were analyzed. 52 climatological stations were selected and trend analyses were performed. Furthermore, cluster analysis and multiple linear regression analysis were performed to understand the effects of geographical and climatic factors on pan and Penman evaporation. Based on stepwise multiple linear regression analysis, annual pan evaporation is proved to be mainly controlled by urbanization as geographical factor, and annual pan evaporation is also controlled by temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation as climatic factor. Especially wind speed is considered to be most significant climatic factor which affects pan evaporation. Meanwhile, Penman evaporation is not affected by geographical factors but it is affected by climate factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation except precipitation. Furthermore, the study results show that only proximity to coast affects pan evaporation trend on July; however, geographical and climatic factors do not affect pan evaporation trends in annual basis and monthly basis (January, April, and October). On the other hand, Penman evaporation trends were not affected by geographical factors in annual and monthly basises.