• Title/Summary/Keyword: 단계적 회귀분석모형

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Correlations between Objective and Sensory Texture Measurement of Acorn Mook (객관적.주관적 검사방법에 의한 도토리묵의 텍스쳐 특성 연구)

  • 김영아;이혜수
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.68-74
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    • 1987
  • Objective and subjective methods were performed together for TPA analysis of acorn mook, and their correlations were analyzed. As the result of sensory evaluation, hardness and fracturability were most important factors for prediction of preference. Meanwhile, compression test with Instron Universal Testing Machine revealed that P1(maximum peak in first bite) was very effective factor representing the cheracteristics of first bite, and that P2 the latter peak in first bite) was valuable for prediction of characteristics of second bite.

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Time series analysis for Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases: HAR-TP-T model approach (한국 COVID-19 확진자 수에 대한 시계열 분석: HAR-TP-T 모형 접근법)

  • Yu, SeongMin;Hwang, Eunju
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.239-254
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    • 2021
  • This paper studies time series analysis with estimation and forecasting for Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases, based on the approach of a heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with two-piece t (TP-T) distributed errors. We consider HAR-TP-T time series models and suggest a step-by-step method to estimate HAR coefficients as well as TP-T distribution parameters. In our proposed step-by-step estimation, the ordinary least squares method is utilized to estimate the HAR coefficients while the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method is adopted to estimate the TP-T error parameters. A simulation study on the step-by-step method is conducted and it shows a good performance. For the empirical analysis on the Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases, estimates in the HAR-TP-T models of order p = 2, 3, 4 are computed along with a couple of selected lags, which include the optimal lags chosen by minimizing the mean squares errors of the models. The estimation results by our proposed method and the solely MLE are compared with some criteria rules. Our proposed step-by-step method outperforms the MLE in two aspects: mean squares error of the HAR model and mean squares difference between the TP-T residuals and their densities. Moreover, forecasting for the Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases is discussed with the optimally selected HAR-TP-T model. Mean absolute percentage error of one-step ahead out-of-sample forecasts is evaluated as 0.0953% in the proposed model. We conclude that our proposed HAR-TP-T time series model with optimally selected lags and its step-by-step estimation provide an accurate forecasting performance for the Korean COVID-19 confirmed cases.

A Measurement and Analysis of AIS Level in SMBs using Nolan Model (Nolan 모형을 이용한 중소기업 회계정보시스템 수준과 성과분석)

  • Lim, Kyu-Chan
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of the research was to identify the level of accounting information system for SMBs and environmental factors, and to analyze whether the level of accounting information system affects system performance. The research method measured the AIS level using Nolan's growth phase model, and the verification of the factors affecting the situation, AIS level, and performance was verified using the regression analysis model. The results of the study are summarized as follows: In measuring the level of an accounting information system, it was found that it was in the stage of integration, which is Step 4, and the analysis of the factors influencing the level of an accounting information system showed that the uncertainty in the environment was absolutely affected.

An Interval Travel Demand Estimation Method (구간추정법을 이용한 교통수요추정)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Yong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents the travel demand estimation using interval estimation methods during the trip generation stage, and then followed the other three stages of the four stage trip estimation. We have used real data of Dae-jun City. To estimate travel demand using the interval estimation method, a reliability level was set to 95% by a upper bound value, a middle value and a lower bound value. The four stage traffic demand analysis procedure was equally applied and finally interval traffic was estimated. The result showed a difference between maximum values and middle values depending on the destination during the trip generation stage. It depends on an explanation ability of regression analysis. Most of interval estimation ratio resulted in the traffic assignment stage showed ${\pm}5{\sim}18%$ difference on the average and ${\pm}30{\sim}50%$ at the most.

Fast robust variable selection using VIF regression in large datasets (대형 데이터에서 VIF회귀를 이용한 신속 강건 변수선택법)

  • Seo, Han Son
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.463-473
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    • 2018
  • Variable selection algorithms for linear regression models of large data are considered. Many algorithms are proposed focusing on the speed and the robustness of algorithms. Among them variance inflation factor (VIF) regression is fast and accurate due to the use of a streamwise regression approach. But a VIF regression is susceptible to outliers because it estimates a model by a least-square method. A robust criterion using a weighted estimator has been proposed for the robustness of algorithm; in addition, a robust VIF regression has also been proposed for the same purpose. In this article a fast and robust variable selection method is suggested via a VIF regression with detecting and removing potential outliers. A simulation study and an analysis of a dataset are conducted to compare the suggested method with other methods.

Statistical Prediction of Used Tablet PC Transaction Price among Consumers (소비자 사이의 중고 태블릿PC 거래 가격의 통계적 예측)

  • Younghee Go;Sohyung Kim;Yujin Chung
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to develop a predictive model to suggest a used sales price to sellers and buyers when trading used tablet PCs. For model development, we analyzed the real used tablet PC transaction data and additionally collected detailed product information. We developed several predictive models and selected the best predictive model among them. Specifically, we considered a multiple linear regression model using the used sales price as a dependent variable and other variables in the integrated data as independent variables, a multiple linear regression model including interactions, and the models from stepwise variable selection in each model. The model with the best predictive performance was finally selected through cross-validation. Through this study, we can predict the sales price of used tablet PCs and suggest appropriate used sales prices to sellers and buyers.

Box-Jenkins 예측기법 소개

  • 박성주;전태준
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.1
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 1984
  • Box-Jenkins 시계열 분석법은 변수에 관한 정보가 부족하거나 너무 많은 변수가 영향을 미치고 있는 경우에도 과학적인 예측치를 구할 수 있는 단기예측 방법이다. Box-Jenkins 모형은 자동회귀 모형(Autoregressive Model), 이동평균 모형 (Moving average Model), 계절적 시계열 모형을 통합한 일반적인 모형이기 때문에 특별한 불안정성을 보이지 않는 경우에는 모두 모형화 할 수 있으며, 모형에 관계된 계수의 수를 최소화 하면서 만족스러운 모형을 찾을 수 있다. Box-Jenkins예측방법은 모형선정, 매개변수추정, 적합성 검정의 3단계를 반복으로 수행함으로써 최적모형에 이르게 하게 하고 있기 때문에 최소의 가능한 모형으로부터 시작하여 부적당한 부분을 제거시켜 나감으로써 시행착오의 과정을 최소화 할 수 있다. 일반 사용자가 Box-Jenkins 시계열 분석법을 쉽게 사용할 수 있도록 Box-Jenkins Package가 개발되었으며 여기서는 KAIST 전산 개발 센터에 설치된 Package를 소개하고 그 사용예를 보였다.

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Moderating Effect of Health Motivation, Health Concern and Food Involvement on the Relationship between Consumption Value and Purchasing Intentions of Healthy Functional Food (건강기능식품 소비가치와 구매의도의 관계에 대한 건강동기, 건강염려, 식품몰입의 조절효과)

  • Cha, Myeong-Hwa;Kim, Yoo-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.1435-1442
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the influence of consumption value on healthy functional food choice. Also, this study explored the role of health motivation, health concern, and food involvement as a moderating variable in the relationship between consumption value and healthy functional food choice. A total of 281 responses were collected using on-site survey (response rate 96.0%) from college students in Daegu, Gyeoungbuk Province. The questionnaire contained questions on consumption value, health motivation, health concern, food involvement, and purchasing intention of healthy functional food. The respondents rated the items using a 5-point scale from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree). According to the confirmatory factor analysis, item evaluating using factor loading resulted in the retention of 25 consumption value items loading on seven factors, four health motivation items loading one factor, six health concern items loading on one factor, and four food involvement items loading on one factor with an internal consistency. Results of stepwise regression found that social value-I, emotional, functional, epistemic, and conditional values among consumption value determined the purchasing intention of healthy functional food. Results of hierarchical regression showed that health concern had a positive effect on the relationship between social value-I and purchasing intention of healthy functional food.

자료포락분석을 활용한 신약개발 분야 국가연구개발사업의 효율성 분석

  • Eom, Ik-Cheon;Baek, Cheol-U;Hong, Se-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2015.11a
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    • pp.430-443
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    • 2015
  • 신약개발은 국민의 건강권과 직결되며 국가 차원의 제약산업 육성을 위해 매우 중요하다. 그동안 신약개발 분야와 관련하여 다양한 연구가 수행되었지만, 신약개발 분야의 국가연구개발사업에 대한 효율성 분석은 매우 부족한 실정이다. 특히 R&D 분야는 연구개발시차, 일출효과(spill-over effect) 등으로 인해 투입과 산출의 일정한 방향성과 등비율적인 증감을 가정하는 CCR 모형이 적합하지 않다. 또한 가변규모수익을 가정하는 BCC 모형도 여유분(slack)으로 인해 의사결정단위간의 명확한 우선순위 도출이 어려운 한계점이 있다. 최근에는 R&D 분야의 특수성을 고려해서 자료포락분석 모형 중 RAM(Range Adjusted Measure) 모형을 활용한 분석방법이 제시되고 있다. RAM 모형은 가변규모수익 가정 하에 투입지향이나 산출지향처럼 방향성에 대한 사전적인 가정 없이 비효율성을 최대한 제거하는 방향으로 효율성을 측정하므로 R&D 분야의 효율성 분석에 적합하다. 특히 RAM 모형은 매우 강건한 단조성을 인해 의사결정단위 간 명확한 순위 구분도 용이하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 자료포락분석 모형 중 RAM 모형과 토빗 회귀분석이 결합된 2단계 접근법을 활용해서 범부처전기신약개발사업을 중심으로 신약개발 분야의 국가연구개발사업들에 대한 효율성을 분석하고 주요 시사점들을 논의하였다.

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A Study on Job Satisfaction and Turnover Behavior with 2-Stage Logistic Regression: In Case of Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey (2단계 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 직무만족도와 이직행동에 관한 연구 - 대졸자 직업이동 경로조사 자료를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Sung-Suk;Lee, Ki-Hoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.859-873
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    • 2008
  • Job satisfaction impacts on the turnover intention of employee, which affects the turnover behavior. This paper concerns with the impact of job satisfaction on the turn over behavior. Since turnover intention is highly correlated with job satisfaction, salary, employment status and etc, we should pay careful attention for modelling of those variables as independent variables and the turnover behavior as a dependent variable in the empirical study for the impact of factors on turnover behavior. We detect significant variables which effect the turnover behavior using 2-stage logistic regression inserting the turnover intention, an independent variable, with the chance estimates derived from the instrumental variables in Graduates Occupational Mobility Survey.