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선택 실험법을 이용한 친환경 보일러의 시장 점유율 예측

  • Kim, Mi-Jeong;Bae, Jeong-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.595-625
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    • 2012
  • Recently environment-friendly pellet boilers have interests as emissions of greenhouse gases are regulated internationally and energy security becomes more important to oil addicted countries including Republic of Korea. But the Korean market for pellet boilers is on the initial stage due to the high production costs relative to other conventional boilers. Hence the Korean government has supported financially and promoted the pellet boiler business. In this sense, it would contribute market stratergy and effective promotion policy for both of the government and private companies if we can forecast market shares of pellet boilers appropriately. For this purpose, this study surveyed potential consumers' preferences on pellet boilers among various alternatives using a choice experiment reflecting intangible costs. As the market share of new technology increases, intangible costs decline. According to different intangible cost scenarios, we experimented people's preferences on oil, gas, electric, and pellet boilers. A multinomial logit model was employed to estimate coefficient parameters of common attributes for various alternative boilers. Based on the estimates, we forecasted market shares of individual boilers. We found that as intangible costs decline, the market share of pellet boiler increase substantically while market shares of electric and gas boilers decrease dramatically. The market share of oil boiler did not change significantly. Meanwhile, as people are more rich, more educated, and exposed to advertisement on pellet boilers, the likelihood of choosing the pellet boiler increases.

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Untitled Effect: Effect of Type of Artwork Title on Audience Reaction (무제의 효과: 미술품 제목의 유형이 관람자 반응에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Ju-Yeon;Shin, Hyung-Deok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.600-611
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the impacts of types of titles of artworks, especially 'untitled', on audience reponse. Generally, naming can be a tool to represent characteristics of objects, affecting their market value and price. Since contemporary artworks are often untitled, this study aimed to investigate how naming 'untitled' would affect audience response. As the size of arts market increasing, how the audience, potential buyer of artworks, responds to artworks is important. Based on prior research, we hypothesized that the audience would have different level of understanding, attention, attractiveness and curiosity to untitled artworks, controlling other factors. In the regression results from the data of 305 respondents, we found that people had significantly lower level of understanding and attention on untitled artworks than on artworks of explanatory or associative titles. In addition, respondents showed significantly higher level of curiosity when the artwork was an painting. This study confirmed the assertions of prior research that titles are indeed important, and further implied that artwork creators should be more concerned on naming their artworks since titles as well as artworks themselves could actually affect audience response.

Dependence of 0.01M CaCl2 Soluble Phosphorus on Extractable P and P Sorptivity in Upland Soil (밭토양(土壤)에서 유효린산함량(有效燐酸含量)과 인산흡수능(燐酸吸收能)에 따른 0.01M CaCl2 가용(可溶) 인산농도(燐酸濃度) 변화(變化))

  • Yoon, Jung-Hui;Jung, Beung-Gan;Kim, Yoo-Hak
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.266-270
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    • 1998
  • The identification of soil P level that exceed crop requirement is a prerequisite in implementing sustainable management of fertilizer and manure P to prevent soil and freshwater from contamination. To investigate the relationship between 0.01M $CaCl_2$ soluble P, and available P and P sorption capacity of 40 soils, P content and P sorptivity were analyzed. Single linear relationship revealed the dependence of 0.01M $CaCl_2-P$ on available P($r^2=0.479$), bioavailable P($r^2=0.281$), P sorption($r^2=-0.465$) and P absorption coefficient($r^2=-0.056^{NS}$). Thus available P as $P_2O_5$(AVP) and P sorption (PS) were most important factors in determining the concentration of 0.01M $CaC1_2-P$($CaC1_2-P$). In multinomial equation related $CaC1_2-P$ with AVP and PS, the determination coefficient was improved to 0.745. The logarithm of $CaC1_2-P$ was linearly related to AVP/PS. Consequently, the equation, $0.01M\;CaCl_2-P=0.1284e^{0.3288AVP/PS}$ could be suggested to estimate the concentration of P in 20mL of 0.01M $CaCl_2$ solution containing 2g of soil shaken for 17 hours.

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Mode Choice Behavior Analysis of Commuter Feeder Passengers to Subway System (통근.통학자의 지하철 연계교통수단 선택행태분석)

  • 정헌영;김정주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2000
  • When new subway lines are considered to construct in a large city, there is a need to establish the appropriate transfer systems between subway and other transit modes, so as to increase the use of subway system. In this study, a multi-nominal logit model is developed to analyze the travel characteristics and the mode choice of subway Passengers transferring to and from the buses, minibuses and taxi. These passengers represent a large Portion of transit Passengers in Pusan city It shows that the explanatory variables that affect Passengers\` mode choice are in order of OVIT(Out-of-Vehicle Travel Time), IVTT(In-Vehicle Travel Time), transit fare,. income, gender, and age in modeling. In particular, OVTT is shown to have more significant impact on the mode choice than IYTT due to the fact that transfer trip is involved only in a short distance. Variables associated with the travel costs, however, do have an insignificant impact on the mode choice. It shows that it would be a better Policy to improve the quality of transit service using additional financial resource by increasing transit fare rather than by reducing the fare to increase travel demand. It also shows that value of travel time of OVTT is remarkably higher than that of IVTT and value of travel time of taxi Passengers is much higher than that of minibus Passengers .

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Family, Self or State as a Desired Source of Support for the Elderly (노후부양의 바람직한 자원으로서의 가족, 자신 및 국가에 관한 한국 노인들의 태도)

  • 김정석;이가옥
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.197-220
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    • 1999
  • Family, Self or State as a Desired Source of Support for the Elderly As Korean society has undergone rapid socioeconomic transformation and reached the final stage of its demographic transition, the central emphasis of population policies in Korea has shifted from fertility and population control to aging issues. Recently, it has been advocated that the Korean government should provide more intensive public services to supplement self-care and family caregiving, heightening the need to know more about the norms and expectations of old-age support and how they will change. Using the Survey of the Living Status of the Korean Elderly in 1994, this study investigates the extent to which the Korean elderly themselves view family, self, or the state as desired sources of support. The multinomial log it model analysis reveals that the elderly without a son are less likely to emphasize the traditional view of family, while economically and physically better off elderly are more likely to favor the view of self-support. However, the idea that the emphasis on the 'state responsibility' may be found among those elderly who are in need of financial help and in poor health is not supported. The implications and suggestions for further research are discussed.

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Statistical significance test of polynomial regression equation for Huff's quartile method of design rainfall (설계강우량의 Huff 4분위 방법 다항회귀식에 대한 유의성 검정)

  • Park, Jinhee;Lee, Jaejoon;Lee, Sungho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2018
  • For the design of hydraulic structures, the design flood discharge corresponding to a specific frequency is generally used by using the design storm calculated according to the rainfall-runoff relationship. In the past, empirical equations such as rational equations were used to calculate the peak flow rate. However, as the duration of rainfall is prolonged, the outflow patterns are different from the actual events, so the accuracy of the temporal distribution of the probability rainfall becomes important. In the present work, Huff's quartile method is used for the temporal distribution of rainfall, and the third quartile is generally used. The regression equation for Huff's quadratic curve applies a sixth order polynomial equation because of its high accuracy throughout the duration of rainfall. However, in statistical modeling, the regression equation needs to be concise in accordance with the principle of simplicity, and it is necessary to determine the regression coefficient based on the statistical significance level. Therefore, in this study, the statistical significance test for regression equation for temporal distribution of the Huff's quartile method, which is used as the temporal distribution method of design rainfall, is conducted for 69 rainfall observation stations under the jurisdiction of the Korea Meteorological Administration. It is statistically significant that the regression equation of the Huff's quartile method can be considered only up to the 4th order polynomial equation, as the regression coefficient is significant in most of the 69 rainfall observation stations.

The Influence of Water Temperature on Filtration Rates and Ingestion Rates of the Blue Mussel, Mytilus galloprovincialis (Bivalvia) (수온에 따른 지중해담치 (Mytilus galloprovincialis; Bivalvia) 의 여과율과 섭식율 변동)

  • Lee, Seo E;Shin, Hyun Chool
    • The Korean Journal of Malacology
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2015
  • This study was performed to describe the influence of temperature on the clearance rate and ingestion rate of the blue mussel, Mytilus galloprovincialis with three food organisms and habitat location (shell size) of mussel. Food organisms used in this experiments were Isochrysis galbana, Chaetoceros didymus and Prorocentrum dentatum. The size of mussels inhabiting higher midlittoral zone was smaller than those of lower midlittoral zone. Regardless of the kind of food organisms, filtration rates and ingestion rates of higher midlittoral mussels were higher than those of lower midlittoral mussels in experiment temperature conditions. The variation of filtration rate and ingestion rate showed same tendency with temperature. Filtration rates and ingestion rates increased with temperature, and recorded maximum values at $20-25^{\circ}C$ of temperature, and thereafter decreased gradually. Theoretical optimum temperatures showing maximum filtration rates and ingestion rates estimated from polynomial regression curves were also in the range of $20-25^{\circ}C$. Blue mussels showed different variation of filtration rate and ingestion rate with the kind of food organisms. Filtration rates and ingestion rate based on cell number were similar regardless of habitat location(tidal elevation) and food organisms. Ingestion rates based on carbon content showed very high values in case of P. dentatum beside I. galbana and C. didymus as food organism.

Identifying Latent Classes in Early Adolescents' Overt Aggression and Testing Determinants of the Classes Using Semi-parametric Group-based Approach (준모수적 집단 중심 방법을 적용한 청소년기 초기의 공격성 변화에 따른 잠재계층 분류와 관련요인 검증)

  • No, Un-Kyung;Hong, Se-Hee
    • Survey Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.37-58
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study were to identify the subgroups (i.e., latent classes) depending on early adolescents' change patterns in aggression and to test the effects of individual-background variables on determining the latent classes. For these goals, we applied Nagin's(1999) semi-parametric group-based approach to the Korean Youth Panel Study. Results showed that four latent classes were identified, which could be defined based on the patterns as low-level group, increasing group, intermediate-level group, and high-level group. By adding gender, self-control, parent attachment, teacher attachment, and the number of delinquent friends to the unconditional latent class model, we tested the effects of the variables on the latent classes. Multinomial logit analysis showed that gender, self-control, teacher attachment, and the number of delinquent friends were significant determinants of the latent classes. Findings from this study suggest the need to consider heterogeneity in the study of early adolescents' aggression to facilitate more refined targeting of intervention program.

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The new approach to maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arch forms - In Korean normal occlusion models (상하악 전치부 치열궁 형태에 대한 새로운 접근 - 한국성인 정상교합자 모델에서)

  • Ha, Man-Hee;Son, Woo-Sung;Yang, Hoon-Chul
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.31 no.3 s.86
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    • pp.347-355
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    • 2001
  • Maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arches often have the problems of occlusal relation and esthetics by malformations of teeth, congenital missing, et at. Though the clinician usually use the anterior ratio to overcome this problems, he has the limitation of a direct application this ratio to the prediction of anterior occlusal relationship by the change of anterior ratio as dental arch form, intercanine width, segment depth and arch perimeter. So this study examine maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arch forms by least square method using Korean normal occlusion models(man : 20 casts, woman : 20 casts). Maxillary and mandibular anterior dental arches of Korean normal occlusion models are curve fitted to polynomial function, beta function, hyperbolic cosine function in order. And this accuracy of curve fitting is constant regardless of man/woman and maxilla/mandible. The relationships between intercanine width, segment depth, and arch perimeter based on this owe fitted dental arch form are acquired. This relationships will give the prediction of anterior dental arch form and the information of more accurate anterior ratio according to intercanine width.

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A Study on the Prediction of Referral Intension based on Customer Satisfaction in Construction Management (CM에서 고객만족도에 기반한 추천의향 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Min;Lee, Ghang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.100-110
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    • 2010
  • The main roots of CM service contracts include existing customer repurchases and those made by new customers by existing ones. The study on customers and loyalty can be factors to strengthen CM's competitiveness. However, there have been little attempt to study customer satisfaction and customer loyalty. Construction Management (CM), the advanced construction management method, was introduced 15 years ago in the mid 1990's in the domestic market. The aim of this research is to build a model that can predict customer loyalty based on how much customers are satisfied with CM service. To measure customer satisfaction and loyalty, this research surveyed 135 decision-makers who have experienced CM services. Customer satisfaction was tested and analyzed according to different phases: planning, designing, procurement, construction, and post construction. Referral intention was tested based on NPS theory. Customer types were divided into detractors, passively satisfied and promoters according to the tested measurement and multinomial logistic regression between the satisfaction by construction phases and customer types. This research resulted to a model that can predict customer types: detractors, passively satisfied and promoters, which were determined according to satisfaction level. The initial planning phase also revealed which factor is most influential for a customer to become promoter. These results can be used to acquire customer loyalty by managing the satisfaction of customers through a project under an Internet-based environment. Such can provide the needed information in quickly exploring positive and negative word-of-mouth feedbacks.