• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기후학 일반

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Study of combination of behavioral economics and IT for the rational decision making of electronics consumption (전력에너지소비의 합리적 의사결정을 위한 행동경제학과 IT기술의 결합에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Won-Ho;Jeong, Nam-Jun;Baek, Nam-Ok;Chae, Chang-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.622-623
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    • 2011
  • 산업화시대 이래로 과학기술의 진보, 물질문명의 발달과 더불어 에너지 소비량도 폭발적으로 증가하여 왔다. 이로 인한 환경문제, 지구온난화 등 범지구적인 차원의 이슈가 발생하였다. 기후변화에 대처하기 위한 에너지 절약은 정책당국자, 학계, 산업계뿐만 아니라 일반시민들에게 있어서도 오랫동안 고민되어온 화두가 되어 오고 있다. 또한, 최근 발생한 일본의 원자력 방사능 유출건도 일본 수도권의 막대한 전기 소비량을 뒷받침하기 위해 건설된 발전소로 인한 2차 피해라는 측면에서 보다 안전하고 환경 친화적 재생적인 에너지에 대한 관심은 더욱 높아갈 수 밖에 없는 실정이다. 그러나 이를 위해 수많은 캠페인들이 행해져 왔음에도 불구하고 에너지 과소비는 여전히 해결되지 않고 있는 난제 중에 하나이다. 이러한 오랜 이슈를 해결하기 위해 기존의 에너지 절감 정책의 틀에서 벗어나 인간의 실질적인 소비행태에 변화를 주려는 대안 모색을 목표로 경제학의 새로운 패러다임인 행동주의 경제학의 프레임워크를 동원하여 효과적인 에너지 절감방안을 사람들의 제한적 합리성에 근거하여 모색하고자 한다. 더불어 이러한 시도는 최신 IT기술과의 융합을 통해 그 효율성을 극대화할 수 있을 것이다. 따라서 행동주의 경제학의 이론적 개념과 실질적인 적용사례를 살펴보고, IT기술의 융합을 시도할 때 고려해야할 사항들에 대해서도 논의를 전개해 나갈 것이다. 이를 통해, 효과적이고 효율적인 에너지 절감정책을 발견하기 위한 정보의 전달방식, 정보의 영향력, 편익측면의 제약사항 등에 대한 다양한 실험적인 연구들을 촉구하고자 한다.

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Impacts assessment of Climate changes in North Korea based on RCP climate change scenarios II. Impacts assessment of hydrologic cycle changes in Yalu River (RCP 기후변화시나리오를 이용한 미래 북한지역의 수문순환 변화 영향 평가 II. 압록강유역의 미래 수문순환 변화 영향 평가)

  • Jeung, Se Jin;Kang, Dong Ho;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to assess the influence of climate change on the hydrological cycle at a basin level in North Korea. The selected model for this study is MRI-CGCM 3, the one used for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Moreover, this study adopted the Spatial Disaggregation-Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM), which is one of the stochastic downscaling techniques, to conduct the bias correction for climate change scenarios. The comparison between the preapplication and postapplication of the SDQDM supported the study's review on the technique's validity. In addition, as this study determined the influence of climate change on the hydrological cycle, it also observed the runoff in North Korea. In predicting such influence, parameters of a runoff model used for the analysis should be optimized. However, North Korea is classified as an ungauged region for its political characteristics, and it was difficult to collect the country's runoff observation data. Hence, the study selected 16 basins with secured high-quality runoff data, and the M-RAT model's optimized parameters were calculated. The study also analyzed the correlation among variables for basin characteristics to consider multicollinearity. Then, based on a phased regression analysis, the study developed an equation to calculate parameters for ungauged basin areas. To verify the equation, the study assumed the Osipcheon River, Namdaecheon Stream, Yongdang Reservoir, and Yonggang Stream as ungauged basin areas and conducted cross-validation. As a result, for all the four basin areas, high efficiency was confirmed with the efficiency coefficients of 0.8 or higher. The study used climate change scenarios and parameters of the estimated runoff model to assess the changes in hydrological cycle processes at a basin level from climate change in the Amnokgang River of North Korea. The results showed that climate change would lead to an increase in precipitation, and the corresponding rise in temperature is predicted to cause elevating evapotranspiration. However, it was found that the storage capacity in the basin decreased. The result of the analysis on flow duration indicated a decrease in flow on the 95th day; an increase in the drought flow during the periods of Future 1 and Future 2; and an increase in both flows for the period of Future 3.

A Study on Vulnerability Assessment and Prioritizing Sectors to Support Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change - Case Study of Gangwon Province - (기후변화 적응대책 수립 지원을 위한 취약성 평가 및 부문별 우선순위 선정 방안 연구 - 강원도 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Oh, Suhyun;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Yoo, Seongjin;Byun, Jungyeon;Park, Sunmin;Kwak, Hanbin;Cui, Guishan;Kim, Moonil;Jung, Raesun;Nam, Kijun;Shin, Donghee
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.245-257
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    • 2012
  • Vulnerability assessment has been required for establish climate adaptation plan to prevent damage from climate change. In this study we assessed vulnerability with 1 km resolution and determined which sectors have the highest priority in each municipality of Gangwon province based on the result of vulnerability assessment. All sectors of vulnerability assessment are composed of three criteria; sensitivity, exposure and adaptation capacity. And suitable indicators of each sector were selected and spatial data set was prepared using GIS. Priority of vulnerability was classified with the degree of vulnerability in present and variation in vulnerability between present and future. The results of vulnerability assessment were different among municipalities due to the contribution of indicators. Present and future trends in vulnerability showed similar results but high vulnerable area was predicted to expand in the future. In addition increase in temperature led whole area to be more vulnerable generally. The result of prioritizing sectors of vulnerability indicated the most considerable sectors within a municipality. Also, the municipalities which have similar geographic, climatic and social conditions tended to be classified as the same priority class. The method of vulnerability assessment and determining priorities suggested in this study could be used to support decision makers to establish adaptation plan of local area.

Ecoclimatic Map over North-East Asia Using SPOT/VEGETATION 10-day Synthesis Data (SPOT/VEGETATION NDVI 자료를 이용한 동북아시아의 생태기후지도)

  • Park Youn-Young;Han Kyung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.86-96
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    • 2006
  • Ecoclimap-1, a new complete surface parameter global database at a 1-km resolution, was previously presented. It is intended to be used to initialize the soil-vegetation- atmosphere transfer schemes in meteorological and climate models. Surface parameters in the Ecoclimap-1 database are provided in the form of a per-class value by an ecoclimatic base map from a simple merging of land cover and climate maps. The principal objective of this ecoclimatic map is to consider intra-class variability of life cycle that the usual land cover map cannot describe. Although the ecoclimatic map considering land cover and climate is used, the intra-class variability was still too high inside some classes. In this study, a new strategy is defined; the idea is to use the information contained in S10 NDVI SPOT/VEGETATION profiles to split a land cover into more homogeneous sub-classes. This utilizes an intra-class unsupervised sub-clustering methodology instead of simple merging. This study was performed to provide a new ecolimatic map over Northeast Asia in the framework of Ecoclimap-2 global database construction for surface parameters. We used the University of Maryland's 1km Global Land Cover Database (UMD) and a climate map to determine the initial number of clusters for intra-class sub-clustering. An unsupervised classification process using six years of NDVI profiles allows the discrimination of different behavior for each land cover class. We checked the spatial coherence of the classes and, if necessary, carried out an aggregation step of the clusters having a similar NDVI time series profile. From the mapping system, 29 ecosystems resulted for the study area. In terms of climate-related studies, this new ecosystem map may be useful as a base map to construct an Ecoclimap-2 database and to improve the surface climatology quality in the climate model.

Urban Flood Risk Assessment Considering Climate Change Using Bayesian Probability Statistics and GIS: A Case Study from Seocho-Gu, Seoul (베이지안 확률통계와 GIS를 연계한 기후변화 도시홍수 리스크 평가: 서울시 서초구를 대상으로)

  • LEE, Sang-Hyeok;KANG, Jung-Eun;PARK, Chang-Sug
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

Development of Korean Geomorphological Unit Hydrograph for Mountain Basins (산악지역을 위한 한국형 지형수문단위도 개발)

  • Kim, Hong-Tae;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 2009
  • The development of the method for flood runoff analysis representing Korean mountain basins have been one of big concerns for Korean hydrologists for several decades. Several traditional methods dealing with unit hydrograph have been restricted to be used in Korea basins, because of its drawbacks due to its originality from other countries and the uncertainties of control parameters as well as its linearity assumption between rainfall and runoff relationship. In this paper, several geomorphological similarity relationships for Korean mountain basins was developed by using the experimental data over 40 Korean basins. Then those were applied directly to geomorphological unit hydrograph theory to meet Korean geomorphological unit hydrograph. The developed method was applied to Andong Dam basin. The results show the applicability and simplicity of the developed Korean geomorphological unit hydrograph generally for Korean mountain basins in future. It might be needed for more validations and applications of this method over Korean regions.

Verify a Causal Relationship between Fine Dust and Air Condition-Weather Data in Selected Area by Contamination Factors (오염 요인별 지역선정을 통한 대기-기상자료의 미세먼지 인과관계 검증)

  • Han, Jeong-Min;Kim, Jae-Goo;Cho, Ki-Hyun
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2017
  • The gradual desertification in Northeastern China brought about by the industrial development and global warming, has affected the Korean peninsula as evident by the ultrafine dust geographically and seasonally. People with severe respiratory problems, senior citizens and the infants are susceptible to the ill effects of fine dust which could prove fatal to them. Hence, we need to study the root cause of fine dust emergence and the correlation verification between fine dust and its side effects. This study firstly analyzed clean and contaminated areas classified by industrial elements. We utilized air, weather and industrial data in the area. Next, we detected a change of fine dust in terms of weather and climate. We analyzed correlation of air and weather by influence from domestic and neighboring country. The result indicated that China is the culprit of the emergence of fine dust predicament. Consequently, we can prove that fine dust ($PM_{10}$) and ultrafine dust ($PM_{2.5}$) could arise from geographical, seasonal, and pollutant elements. Therefore, we propose the optimum to make countermeasures about fine dust in terms of industry, topography, population and living residence.

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A Study on the Weavigation Service for Smart Devices that Reflects the Real-Time Weather Conditions in Vulnerable Area (취약지역 실시간 기상상황을 반영한 스마트기기용 웨비게이션 서비스 연구)

  • Bae, Kwang Yong;Lee, Jae Eun;Kim, Young Beom
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we target to develop weather platform and services to use in smart devices which is in real-time mobility environment. The existing TPEG-based navigation service requires a dedicated terminal, DMB communication method, and service scalability, so there are limits. In this paper, we analyze, processing and storage the real-time weather information suitable for navigation on the end user's smart devices by weather information service platform has been developed that can provide a standardized. In addition, we develop weavigation services and API for the developer to develop weather services easily. And we introduce system for serving information of dangerous district forecast based on natural disaster dangerous district data.

Analysis of Consumer Preference on Mid to Long Term Power Sources by Using a Choice Experiment (선택실험법을 이용한 중장기 전원별 소비자 선호 분석)

  • Jung, Heayoung;Bae, Jeong Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.695-723
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    • 2018
  • Recently, extreme weather due to climate change has become more frequent, and increase of fine dust has worsen air quality in Korea. Therefore, not only negative perception on coal-fired power generation is dominant, but also the social acceptance of nuclear power generation declines. This study aims at deriving consumer preferences on the mid and long term power mix with various energy sources. Willingness to pay for each generation source was estimated and the preference heterogeneity of consumers was examined by using mixed logit and latent class models. Mixed logit estimation results show that the preference heterogeneity of consumers is especially large for the nuclear power relative to renewable or coal energy. According to the estimation results from the latent class model, group 1 prefers renewable energy while group 2 prefers coal energy. Group 3 shows lexicographic preference which means restricted rationality. As for the policy implication, it is necessary to understand the preference heterogeneity of consumer groups in planning the mid to long term power mix.

A Study on Environmental research Trends by Information and Communications Technologies using Text-mining Technology (텍스트 마이닝 기법을 이용한 환경 분야의 ICT 활용 연구 동향 분석)

  • Park, Boyoung;Oh, Kwan-Young;Lee, Jung-Ho;Yoon, Jung-Ho;Lee, Seung Kuk;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2017
  • Thisstudy quantitatively analyzed the research trendsin the use ofICT ofthe environmental field using the text mining technique. To that end, the study collected 359 papers published in the past two decades(1996-2015)from the National Digital Science Library (NDSL) using 38 environment-related keywords and 16 ICT-related keywords. It processed the natural languages of the environment and ICT fields in the papers and reorganized the classification system into the unit of corpus. It conducted the text mining analysis techniques of frequency analysis, keyword analysis and the association rule analysis of keywords, based on the above-mentioned keywords of the classification system. As a result, the frequency of the keywords of 'general environment' and 'climate' accounted for 77 % of the total proportion and the keywords of 'public convergence service' and 'industrial convergence service' in the ICT field took up approximately 30 % of the total proportion. According to the time series analysis, the researches using ICT in the environmental field rapidly increased over the past 5 years (2011-2015) and the number of such researches more than doubled compared to the past (1996-2010). Based on the environmental field with generated association rules among the keywords, it was identified that the keyword 'general environment' was using 16 ICT-based technologies and 'climate' was using 14 ICT-based technologies.