• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.1-13
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• 1998

The climatic characteristics of Korea are analyzed with the monthly variability of the temperature observed from 1961 to 1990 in 66 stations. The climate of Korea is composed of spring(April and May), summer(from June to September), autumn(October) and winter(from November to March). In the change of the variability of the temperature, it becomes the highest in winter and does the lowest in summer. In the distribution of the variability of the temperature, it shows the decreasing tendency along the transferring the southern and western coasts from the Yongso region distinctly in midsummer(August) and midwinter (December and January). The climatic regions are divided into two types : the central type and the southern one while the climatic regions of two types are subdivided into four patterns : the western coastal, the inland, the eastern coastal and the southern coastal patterns. In the distributive patterns of the climatic regions, pattern in summer is different from others, while the ones in the other seasons show similarity.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.439-447
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• 2021

Due to the frequent emergence of global abnormal climates, related studies on meteorological change is being actively proceed. However, the research on trend analysis using weather data accumulated over a long period of time was insufficient. In this study, the trend of temperature time series data accumulated from automated surface observing system (ASOS) for 40 years was analyzed by using a non-parametric analysis method. As a result of the Mann-Kendall test on the annual average temperature and seasonal average temperature time series data in South Korea, it has shown that an upward trend exists. In addition, the result of calculating the Sen's slope, which can determine the degree of tendency before and after the searched change point by applying the Pettitt test, recent data after the fluctuation point confirmed that the tendency of temperature rise was even greater.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.171-176
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• 2016

The distribution shapes of air and water temperatures are basic and essential information, which determine the frequency patterns of their occurrence. It is also very useful to understand the changes in long-term air and water temperatures with respect to climate change. The typical distribution shapes of air and water temperatures cannot be well fitted using widely used/accepted normal distributions because their shapes show multimodal distributions. In this study, Gaussian mixture distributions and kernel distributions are suggested as the more suitable models to fit their distribution shapes. Based on the results, the tail shape exhibits different patterns. The tail is long in higher temperature regions of water temperature distribution and in lower temperature regions of air temperature distribution. These types of shape comparisons can be useful to identify the patterns of long-term air and water temperature changes and the relationship between air and water temperatures. It is nearly impossible to identify change patterns using only mean-temperatures and normal distributions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.578-578
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• 2015

동아시아 지역의 대부분은 몬순의 영향으로 인해 수자원의 계절적 변동성이 크며 이로 인해 홍수 및 가뭄이 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 기후변화에 따른 기온과 강수량의 변화는 수자원의 변동성을 더욱 악화시킬 수 있으며, 수재해 피해를 더욱 가중시킬 것으로 전망되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 동아시아 지역의 기온 및 강수량의 변화를 전망하고, 그 특성을 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 CMIP5의 핵심실험인 2개 RCP시나리오(RCP4.5, RCP8.5)에 대한 다수의 GCMs 결과를 이용하였다. 구축한 기후시나리오를 이중선형보간법(bilinear interpolation)을 이용하여 공간적으로 상세화하였으며, Delta method를 이용하여 편의보정을 수행하였다. GCM 모의자료의 편의를 산정하기 위해 관측자료는 APHRODITE의 기온 및 강수량 자료를 이용하였다. GCM에 따라 차이가 나지만, 우리나라의 경우 평균적으로 100~300mm 정도 과소모의 되는 것으로 나타났다. 미래 기온 및 강수량 전망을 위해 과거기간은 1976~2005년, 미래기간은 2021~2050년(2040s), 2061~2090년(2070s)으로 구분하였다. 우리나라의 경우 RCP 4.5 하에서 연평균기온은 $1.4{\sim}1.7^{\circ}C$(2040s), $2.2{\sim}3.4^{\circ}C$(2070s) 정도 상승할 것으로 나타났으며, 연평균 강수량은 4.6~5.3% (2040s), 8.4~10.5% (2070s) 정도 증가할 것으로 나타났다. RCP 8.5에서는 연평균 기온은 RCP4.5에 비해 상승폭이 더 컸으며, 강수량은 유사한 결과가 나타났다. 또한, 동아시아 지역에서도 연평균 기온이 상승하고 연평균 강수량은 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 다만, 지역별로 계절별 기온 및 강수량이 매우 다른 양상으로 나타났다. 이는 동아시아 지역과 같이 계절별 강수량 발생패턴이 다른 지역에서는 홍수 및 가뭄에 매우 중요한 역할을 할 것이다. 따라서 지역적으로 계절별 강수량의 변화를 분석해야 할 것으로 판단되며, 추후 유출량 모의를 기반으로 홍수 및 가뭄의 영향을 직접적으로 분석해야할 것으로 판단된다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.419-442
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• 2020

The majority of the natural gas demand in South Korea is mainly determined by the heating demand. Accordingly, there is a distinct seasonality in which the gas demand increases in winter and decreases in summer. Moreover, the degree of sensitiveness to temperature on gas demand has changed over time. This study firstly introduces changing temperature response function (TRF) to capture effects of changing seasonality. The temperature effect (TE), estimated by integrating temperature response function with daily temperature density, represents for the amount of gas demand change due to variation of temperature distribution. Also, this study presents an innovative way in forecasting daily temperature density by employing functional principal component analysis based on daily max/min temperature forecasts for the five big cities in Korea. The forecast errors of the temperature density and gas demand are decreased by 50% and 80% respectively if we use the proposed forecasted density rather than the average daily temperature density.

• Proceedings of the Korea Air Pollution Research Association Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.516-517
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• 2003

IPCC 2001 보고서에 따른 최근 연구에 의하면, 20세기에 전 지구적으로 대략 0.4$^{\circ}C$~0.8$^{\circ}C$의 기온이 증가하는 결과를 보여주지만 이 증가경향이 시ㆍ공간적으로 일정하게 나타나는 것은 아니다. 지표기온의 변동성은 자연적인 원인과 인간의 활동에 의한 영향를 받을 수 있다. 한반도 온난화는 온실 기체와 도시화같은 원인에 의해 기온의 증가현상이 나타난다. 국지 혹은 지역적인 기후의 특성은 도시화와 같은 토지 이용도의 변화를 포함한 여러가지 인위적인 요소들에 의해 나타날 수 있다. (중략)

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.151-164
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• 1998

I analyzed the correlation between El-Nino phenomenon and our country's temperature and precipitation laying the stress on the anomaly, and the result of this analysis is as follows: (1) The extraction of the occurrences of El-Nino at the place of sea surface around Nino.3 which was known as the sea area under observation for El-Nino reveals that there are 9 years (1969, 1970, 1973, 1977, 1987, 1992, 1995, 1998) when the temperature anomaly in January is more than 1.0 during the period of research years ($1969{\sim}1998$). (2) The tendency of change of sea surface temperature around Nino.3 and that of our country are about the same, but the anomaly of Pusan and Inchon was much greater than that of Jangki in the East Coast. (3) The anomaly of sea surface temperature around Nino.3 and that of the ground temperature showed the similar changing tendency, the temperature of our country has something to do with that of sea surface as the correlation of ground temperature with the temperature of sea surface showed 0.31. Anomaly warm winter has something to do with El-Nino because the temperature of our country was high when El-Nino phenomenon appeared. (4) As for the precipitation, we can see that it has generally increased after 1989 when the phenomenon of warm climate was intense than before that year. But as we study the change of anomaly, the precipitation has less correlation in comparison with the ground temperature. The precipitation in 1973, 1983 and 1987 which were El-Nino years was correlated with El-Nino. While the change of sea surface temperature has showed a tendency of plus(+)increase since 1990, the precipitation has showed a tendency of minus (-)decrease. Therefore it seems that the temperature of sea surface has little correlation with the amount of rainfall.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.3
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• pp.197-205
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• 2016

Recently, natural hazards have occurred frequently due to climate change. The research need for predicting variability and tendency of precipitation and temperature has been increased. However, it is difficult to determine the characteristics of precipitation and temperature within a confidence range since they change due to complex factors with choppy and too many components. If their characteristics having more than one component are decomposed, then it can be useful for determining the variation of such characteristics more accurately. In this study, Korean precipitation and temperature were decomposed and their Intrinsic Mode Function (IMF) were extracted from Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD). Finally, the characteristics of Korean precipitation and temperature data were analyzed in terms of periodicity and tendency.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.49 no.3
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• pp.207-215
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• 2016

In this study, it is analyzed how large scale climate variation has an effect on climate systems over Korea using correlation analysis between climate indices and Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) of precipitation and temperature. For this purpose, the estimated IMFs of precipitation and temperature from the accompanying paper were used. Furthermore, cross correlation coefficients and lag time between climate indices and IMFs were calculated considering periodicities and tendencies. As results, more accurate correlation coefficients were obtained compared with those between climate indices and raw precipitation and temperature data. We found that the Korean climate is closely related with climate variations of $El-Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ in terms of periodicity and its tendency is followed with increasing sea surface temperature due to climate change.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.55-63
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• 2016

Temperature lapse rate within the planetary boundary layer shows a diurnal cycle with a substantial variation. The widely-used lapse rate value for the standard atmosphere may result in unaffordable errors if used in interpolating hourly temperature in complex terrain. We propose a simple method for estimating hourly lapse rate and evaluate whether this scheme is better than the conventional method using the standard lapse rate. A standard curve for lapse rate based on the diurnal course of temperature was drawn using upper air temperature for 1000hPa and 925hPa standard pressure levels. It was modulated by the hourly sky condition (amount of clouds). In order to test the reliability of this method, hourly lapse rates for the 500-600m layer over Daegwallyeong site were estimated by this method and compared with the measured values by an ultrasonic temperature profiler. Results showed the mean error $-0.0001^{\circ}C/m$ and the root mean square error $0.0024^{\circ}C/m$ for this vertical profile experiment. An additional experiment was carried out to test if this method is applicable for the mountain slope lapse rate. Hourly lapse rates for the 313-401m slope range in a complex watershed ('Hadong Watermark 2') were estimated by this method and compared with the observations. We found this method useful in describing diurnal cycle and variation of the mountain slope lapse rate over a complex terrain despite larger error compared with the vertical profile experiment.