• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기술성장모형

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Bargaining Power Over Intermediate Goods Prices and Innovation: A Policy Analysis Using Schumpeterian Growth Model (중간재 생산자에 대한 납품단가 인하압력과기술혁신: 슘페터리안 성장모형을 이용한 정책효과 분석)

  • Ha, Joon-Kyung
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.91-120
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the effect of bargaining power over intermediate goods prices on innovation and economic growth using a Schumpeterian growth model. The notion of "intermediate goods prices" broadly indicates the reward to innovators including innovative SMEs as well as intermediate goods producers that are vertically integrated to big businesses. From this viewpoint, this paper sets up a Schumpeterian growth model that incorporates the market power between final goods producers and intermediate goods producers. The results show that the reduction of intermediate goods prices slows down long-run growth rates as it erodes the reward to innovations. Lower intermediate goods prices decrease marginal productivity of capital and real interest rates. However, the harmful effect of lower profits on innovations outweighs the beneficial effect of lower interest rates. Simulations using Korea's data for various cases show that in all cases the policies that raise the share of intermediate goods producers are as powerful as the R&D subsidy policies in raising growth rates. Therefore, fair trade policies that enable intermediate goods producers-especially SMEs to obtain more fruits of innovations will be helpful for long-run economic growth.

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A Study on the Validity of the Technology Appraisal Model through the Analysis of the Business Performance and Technology Appraisal Items (기술금융기업의 경영성과와 기술력 평가항목 간 분석을 통한 기술력 평가모형의 타당성 연구)

  • Jun-won Lee
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2020
  • This study started to identify the "Forward-looking" of the technology appraisal model introduced to diversify financing methods of SMEs and improve financial accessibility. The multivariate regression analysis was performed by setting the business performance(growth, profitability, and stability) of technology financing companies as dependent variables, technology appraisal items as independent variables, number of employees, age of the company, asset and the Korea Standard of Industry Classification related to firm size and industry characteristics as control variables. As a result of the analysis, the technology appraisal items did not explain the profitability of the company significantly and had a limited explanatory power on growth potential. However, in terms of stability, we confirmed that R&D capacity is a significant variable explaining the debt ratio of technology financing companies. Therefore, it is concluded that the 'Forward-looking' reflection on the growth and profitability of the company should be strengthened in the future adjustment of the technology appraisal model and the development of the technology appraisal model for investment.

국면전환 확산모형을 통한 정보통신산업 발전과정의 특성 국제비교

  • Gu, Jae-Beom;Lee, Jeong-Dong;Jeong, Jong-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2005.02a
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    • pp.268-286
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 OECD 주요 10개국을 대상으로 국가별 정보통신산업의 성장 추이를 각각 분석하고 국별 특성을 비교하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 바탕으로 각국의 정보통신산업이 경기순환 또는 단계별 발전 속성을 지니고 있는지를 파악하고 국가별 공통점과 특이점을 분석하고자 하였다. 방법론적으로 OECD 국가들의 정보통신산업 GDP 추이 및 성장률의 움직임을 국면전환 (regime change) 확산과정으로 묘사함으로써 각 국가별 정보통신산업 발전 양상의 특징 및 국면전환 시점 등을 포착해 내고자 하였다 추세를 갖는 대표적 확산과정인 GBM 모형과 평균회귀 성향을 갖는 대표적 확산과정인 Vasicek 모형에 각각 마코프 국면전환을 도입하여 국가별 정보통신산업 GDP 및 GDP 성장률의 추이에 있어 국면 전환 여부와 독특한 발전 특성을 비교 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과 정보통신산업 GDP의 성장률과 변동성 사이에는 높은 상관관계가 있었으며, 한국, 멕시코 등은 고성장, 고변동성을, 미국, 프랑스, 일본 등은 저성장, 저변동성의 특성을 보이는 것으로 나타났다 또한 한국의 경우 유일하게 성장률과 변동성 모두 국면전환이 일어나는 국가로 나타났다. 장기평균 성장률의 특성에 따라 분류한 결과, 한국, 일본, 미국, 멕시코, 뉴질랜드는 고성장에서 저성장으로의 국면전환, 핀란드와 덴마크는 경기 순환적 국면전환, 노르웨이, 프랑스, 캐나다는 단일 국면으로 분류할 수 있었다. 특히 한국의 경우 평균회귀 속도와 변동성이 타 국가에 비해 높은 특성을 보여주었다. 본 연구는 정보통신산업을 미시적 분석이나 세부 항목별 정량적 분석을 통해서가 아니라 산업의 발전 속성 및 경기 순환 등의 관점에서 분석함으로써 정보통신산업 정책의 수립 및 집행을 거시적 안목 하에 정립할 수 있게 한다는 데 의의를 가진다. 또한 경제변수를 묘사하는데 있어 국면전환 확산과정을 사용함으로써 향후 실물옵션 등을 통한 기술 및 무형자산의 가치평가에 있어 기초자산의 움직임을 보다 정확히 포착해 낼 수 있는 프로세스를 제공하였다는데 또 다른 의의를 갖는다고 하겠다.

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Nonlinear Dynamics between Economic Growth and Pollution (경제성장과 환경오염 간의 비선형동학 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Uk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.405-423
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    • 2006
  • This paper develops theoretical model between economic growth and pollution as follows: First, emissions are generated from final good production process and technology accumulation. Second, pollution is directly connected with increase in final good production or in consumption, Third, no pollution abatement activity would be undertaken. Fourth, reproducible factors associated with labor and capital input are used in production function. We also test the existence of nonlinear Dynamics between economic growth and pollution using an exponential smooth transition autoregressive model(ESTAR). We find the presence of nonlinear dynamics between economic growth and pollution with a time series data for Seoul. This result shows indirectly that an inverted U relationship between air pollution and economic growth exists.

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Long-run Relationship between R&D Expenditures and Economic Growth (공적분 관계를 고려한 연구개발과 경제성장의 상호관계 연구)

  • Han, Woongyong;Jeon, Yongil
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 2016
  • We empirically examine the validity of second generation endogenous growth theory suing 21 OECD countries' panel data(1981~2011). Due to non-stationarity in all variables, we test the cointegrated relationships strongly supporting the semi-endogenous growth model. In the estimation of total factor productivity growth function, the growth of domestic and foreign R&D investment levels statistically significantly affect total factor productivity growth. R&D intensity, however, has significant impacts on the total factor productivity growth only in a few models, and international technology gap also has positive impacts on GDP growth. Thus the semi-endogenous growth model is relatively supported while fully endogenous growth model is weakly and occasionally supported in OECD countries. The policy implication of supporting the semi-endogenous growth model is that the sustaining growth requires increasing R&D expenditures.

The Growth Pattern Of R&D Activities With Innovation in the Digital Economy

  • Park, Chu-Hwan;Shin, Yong-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.16-25
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    • 2002
  • 그 동안 R&D와 관련된 많은 연구는 다양한 성장모형을 이용해 경제성장과 연구개발 투자사이의 관계를 보이는데 중점을 두어왔으나, 디지털 경제에서의 지식 혁신에 의한 R&D활동의 성장패턴을 보이는 연구는 이루어지지 않고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 W기업의 생산과정에서 R&D활동에 따른 비중의 변화가 생산성을 증가시키는 성장의 패턴을 다양하게 할 수 있음을 보이고자 한다.

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The Growth Pattern of R&D Activities with Innovation in the Digital Economy

  • Park, Chuhwan;Shin, Yongtae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2002.05b
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2002
  • 그 동안 R&D와 관련된 많은 연구는 다양한 성장모형을 이용해 경제성장과 연구개발 투자사이의 관계를 보이는데 중점을 두어왔으나, 디지털 경제에서의 지식 혁신에 의한 R&D활동의 성장패턴을 보이는 연구는 이루어지지 않고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 IT기업의 생산과정에서 R&D활동에 따른 비중의 변화가 생산성을 증가시키는 성장의 패턴을 다양하게 할 수 있음을 보이고자 한다.

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Children's Trajectories of Elementary School Adjustment in Grades 1 through 4 (초등학교 1-4학년의 학교적응 변화유형)

  • En Ha Her;Sang Lim Kim
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.677-683
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of the study was to estimate the trajectories of elementary school adjustment in grades 1 through 4. For the purpose, the Korean Children's Panel data were analyzed using potential growth model and the growth mixture model. As the result, the linear model was selected as the optimal model. The four potential groups were derived as trajectories: high-level maintenance, low-level maintenance, low-level increase, and high-level decrease. In terms of group distribution, the most children were in high-level maintenance group and then low-level maintenance, low-level increase, and high-level decrease in order. Based on the findings that trajectories of elementary school adjustment changes as children growth, we suggest that schools and families need to carefully investigate and support their school adjustment in individual levels.

An Empirical Estimation on Contributions of Education Level to Economic Growth by (한국의 교육이 경제성장에 미친 영향 분석;내생성장모형과 $1975{\sim}'04$년간 자료를 이용하여)

  • Jang, Chang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Population Association of Korea Conference
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    • 2006.12a
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    • pp.113-128
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    • 2006
  • The main theme of this paper was to investigate the role of education as a source of economic growth in Korea. In this study, first, the objective mode was built by extending neoclassical Solow growth theory. Second, the capital deepening typical of an endogenous economic per-capita growth model was developed empirically for seven East-Asian economies as for the medium term, during $1975{\sim}2004$. And then we found the meaning of coefficients of growth factors, direct relative contribution of each input to per-capita growth in seven East-Asian countries, relative indirect contribution of education to per-capita growth in Korea, accounting for difference due to accumulation in Korea. The indirect relative contributions of secondary and higher education and R&D to per-capita growth change the results somewhat. Secondary education is still the largest single contributor 83.6 percent of predicted growth is due to secondary school enrollment in Korea. Primary education comes second with 37.5 percent and followed by higher education at -52.9 percent. Physical investment gives 62.3 percent and unimproved raw labor contributes only -1.4 percent.

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