• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기술성장모형

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A Causality Analysis of Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in China (중국의 전력소비와 경제성장의 인과관계 분석)

  • Li, Ming-Huan;Jung, Kun-Oh;Lim, Eung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.4506-4513
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the causality of electricity consumption and econmic growth and draw policy implications. To do this, we used Testing Prodedures of Unit Root and Cointegration and then VECM and Granger causality test using data taken from China over the period 1971 to 2008. As results, there are long and short term causalities between electricity consumption and economic growth of China. These results provide a few implications to policy analysts in China. First it is still available that the electricity comes before the economic development. The increase of electricity consumption promotes economic growth. Of course there are other factors to the economic growth, but the stable supply of electricity is necessary. Second, this paper confirms the assertion that the increase of GDP expands electric consumption is valid.

A Study on Estimating the Optimum Proportion and Size of Basic Research Budget from an Economic Point of View (경제적 관점에서 본 기초연구예산의 적정 투자 비중과 규모 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Pak, Cheolmin;Ku, Bonchul
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.51-82
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    • 2017
  • In terms of both economic growth and social welfare, this paper discusses the optimal proportion and size of basic research budget by adding knowledge stock to an endogenous growth model. On the basis of the modified endogenous growth model, this paper derived an equation that consists of kinds of parameters and suggested this equation as a criterion for determining whether allocated basic research budget has been appropriate. This paper also found that the theoretical optimal ratio between government investment spending and investment in basic research is equal to the ratio between the partial elasticity of output with respect of public capital stock and the partial elasticity of output with respect of knowledge stock. In addition, after the required parameters were specified based on precedent literatures, this paper estimated an optimum size of the basic research budget using the theoretical optimal ratio with official statistical records and compared the estimated size to its actual size. This paper therefore is expected to contribute to budget planning and allocation regarding establishing basic research policy, because the results of this paper presents a useful criterion for optimum level and an approximate size of investment in basic research. However, it should be noted that although the optimal solution is optimal in a economic sense, it may not be the best solution from a practical perspective.

A Study of the Human Capital Efficiency in the Korean Online Game Business using Non-parametric Analysis Model(DEA) (비모수 분석모형(DEA)을 활용한 국내 온라인게임 기업의 인적자본 효율성 연구)

  • Yoon, Gun-Woo;Ryu, Seoung-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to investigate human capital in Korea's online game industry (as the representative of IT-based creative services) under the knowledge-based economy paradigm. In recognition of the importance of intellectual capital closely intertwined with human capital and the economic potential of the online game industry, Korean government has begun to show active support. In this context, this study measures the human capital efficiency in online game business by using non-parametric analysis (Data Envelopment Analysis, DEA). Most previous studies (human capital theory, knowledge based economy theory, economic growth theory) have proved that human capital has a very positive effect on sustainable growth of corporate management and wealth of nations. As such, this paper uses the DEA to obtain the efficiency of the human capital (scale, investment, education, compensation). The results of this study will suggest strategic implications on maximizing the human capital in online game corporations and provide a reference frame for government policies.

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Role of the Korea Steel Industry in the National Economy Analysis (한국 철강산업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jung, Kun-Oh;Lim, Eung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.831-839
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    • 2008
  • The steel industry is becoming more important around the world and the demand of steel is increasing. Korea is the 5th country of steel producing in the world and the attention in the steel industry is growing. The steel industry is one of the key industry in leading the economic growth in Korea. This study attempts to analyze by time-series the economic impacts of the steel industry using an inter-industry analysis Specifically, the study investigates production-inducing effect, value added inducing effect and employ-inducing effect of the steel industry based on demand-driven model and the study deals with supply shortage effect and sectoral price effect of the steel industry by using supply-driven model and Leontief price model.

Moderating Effects of Personal Innovativeness in Mobile Banking Service (모바일뱅킹에서 개인혁신성의 조절효과)

  • Kwon, Soon-Jae
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.201-223
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    • 2013
  • 모바일뱅킹은 빠르게 성장하고있으며 은행서비스의 많은 부분이 모바일뱅킹에서 제공되고 있다. 하지만, 모바일뱅킹을 사용자들이 수용하는데 개인의 혁신성이 어떠한 영향을 미치는지에 대한 연구는 많이 이루어지지 않고 있다. 불행히도 모바일뱅킹은 그 특성상 제한된 화면을 사용자들이 사용하기가 용이하지 않다. 본 연구는 개인혁신성(PI)의 관점에서 모바일뱅킹을 수용하는데 영향을 미치는 요인을 밝히고 자하였다. 특히 다른 정보시스템에서 많이 사용된 지각된 유용성(USF) 및 사용의 용이성(EOU) 변수뿐만 아니라 지각된 즐거움(ENJ)의 요인을 추가하여 모바일뱅킹 수용에서 영향요인을 분석하고자 하였다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 336명의 모바일뱅킹의 사용자들에게 설문을 실시하였으며, 응답자들을 두 그룹(개인 혁신성이 높은 그룹과 낮은 그룹)으로 분류하여 구조방정식모형에서 집단간차이를 분석하였다. 본 연구결과 개인 혁신성(PI) 모바일뱅킹 수용에 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 세부적으로 분석해 보면 개인혁신성이 높은 그룹이 낮은 그룹 보다 더 많은 영향을 받는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히, 사용의도와 사용의 유용성 그리고 지각된 즐거움 사이의 경로계수 값의 크기가 개인혁신성이 높은 그룹이 낮은 그룹보다 높았다. 여기서 지각된 즐거움의 경우 개인 혁신성이 높은 그룹이 낮은 그룹 보다 더 많은 영향을 받는 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 연구의 결과는 모바일뱅킹 서비스의 성장과 확대에 실무적으로 사용할 수 있을 것으로 분석된다.

A kinetic study of pyrite in the lime roasting of a vertical cyclone (수직 싸이클론의 ${Ca(OH)}_{2}$ 배소에서 $FeS_{2}$의 열적반응에 관한 연구)

  • 조종상
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 1999
  • This research has been studied in terms of investigating the reaction behavior of pyrite with a cyclone reactor. The Mathematical model has developed pyrite oxidation and lime sulfation in this reactor. The model assumes a chemical control shrinking core behavior for the pyrite and a fluid film control shrinking core behavior for the lime. The model was solved and characterized numerically. Experiments have been performed to study the influence of reaction parameters such as reactor temperatures, pyrite particle sizes, air flow rates, feeding rates, and mixing ratio of pyrite and lime. The oxidation and sulfation products were characterized chemically and physically.

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Discovering Promising Convergence Technologies Using Network Analysis of Maturity and Dependency of Technology (기술 성숙도 및 의존도의 네트워크 분석을 통한 유망 융합 기술 발굴 방법론)

  • Choi, Hochang;Kwahk, Kee-Young;Kim, Namgyu
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.101-124
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    • 2018
  • Recently, most of the technologies have been developed in various forms through the advancement of single technology or interaction with other technologies. Particularly, these technologies have the characteristic of the convergence caused by the interaction between two or more techniques. In addition, efforts in responding to technological changes by advance are continuously increasing through forecasting promising convergence technologies that will emerge in the near future. According to this phenomenon, many researchers are attempting to perform various analyses about forecasting promising convergence technologies. A convergence technology has characteristics of various technologies according to the principle of generation. Therefore, forecasting promising convergence technologies is much more difficult than forecasting general technologies with high growth potential. Nevertheless, some achievements have been confirmed in an attempt to forecasting promising technologies using big data analysis and social network analysis. Studies of convergence technology through data analysis are actively conducted with the theme of discovering new convergence technologies and analyzing their trends. According that, information about new convergence technologies is being provided more abundantly than in the past. However, existing methods in analyzing convergence technology have some limitations. Firstly, most studies deal with convergence technology analyze data through predefined technology classifications. The technologies appearing recently tend to have characteristics of convergence and thus consist of technologies from various fields. In other words, the new convergence technologies may not belong to the defined classification. Therefore, the existing method does not properly reflect the dynamic change of the convergence phenomenon. Secondly, in order to forecast the promising convergence technologies, most of the existing analysis method use the general purpose indicators in process. This method does not fully utilize the specificity of convergence phenomenon. The new convergence technology is highly dependent on the existing technology, which is the origin of that technology. Based on that, it can grow into the independent field or disappear rapidly, according to the change of the dependent technology. In the existing analysis, the potential growth of convergence technology is judged through the traditional indicators designed from the general purpose. However, these indicators do not reflect the principle of convergence. In other words, these indicators do not reflect the characteristics of convergence technology, which brings the meaning of new technologies emerge through two or more mature technologies and grown technologies affect the creation of another technology. Thirdly, previous studies do not provide objective methods for evaluating the accuracy of models in forecasting promising convergence technologies. In the studies of convergence technology, the subject of forecasting promising technologies was relatively insufficient due to the complexity of the field. Therefore, it is difficult to find a method to evaluate the accuracy of the model that forecasting promising convergence technologies. In order to activate the field of forecasting promising convergence technology, it is important to establish a method for objectively verifying and evaluating the accuracy of the model proposed by each study. To overcome these limitations, we propose a new method for analysis of convergence technologies. First of all, through topic modeling, we derive a new technology classification in terms of text content. It reflects the dynamic change of the actual technology market, not the existing fixed classification standard. In addition, we identify the influence relationships between technologies through the topic correspondence weights of each document, and structuralize them into a network. In addition, we devise a centrality indicator (PGC, potential growth centrality) to forecast the future growth of technology by utilizing the centrality information of each technology. It reflects the convergence characteristics of each technology, according to technology maturity and interdependence between technologies. Along with this, we propose a method to evaluate the accuracy of forecasting model by measuring the growth rate of promising technology. It is based on the variation of potential growth centrality by period. In this paper, we conduct experiments with 13,477 patent documents dealing with technical contents to evaluate the performance and practical applicability of the proposed method. As a result, it is confirmed that the forecast model based on a centrality indicator of the proposed method has a maximum forecast accuracy of about 2.88 times higher than the accuracy of the forecast model based on the currently used network indicators.

An Analysis on Causalities Among GDP, Electricity Consumption, CO2 Emission and FDI Inflow in Korea (한국의 경제성장, 전력소비, CO2 배출 및 외국인직접투자 유입 간 인과관계 분석)

  • Park, Chang-dae;Kim, Sung-won;Park, Jung-gu
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2019
  • This article analyzes causal relationships among gross domestic product(GDP), electricity consumption, carbon dioxide($CO_2$) emission and foreign direct investments(FDI) inflow of Korea over the period from 1976 to 2014, using unit root test, cointegration test, and vector error correction model(VECM). As the results, this article found (1) a long-run bi-directional causality between GDP and electricity consumption, which may imply a negative impact of electricity consumption-saving policy on economic growth, (2) uni-directional short- and long-run causalities running from $CO_2$ emission to GDP, and a uni-directional long-run causality running from $CO_2$ emission to electricity consumption, which can result in a negative impact of $CO_2$ emission reduction policy on economic growth and electricity consumption, (3) a uni-directional long-run causality running from FDI to GDP, and uni-directional short- and long-run causalities running from FDI to electricity consumption, which may result from relatively lower electricity prices than investing countries, (4) no causality between FDI and $CO_2$ emission, which is based on the characteristics of FDI composed of service industries. Considering the above causal relationships among the four variables, the policy implication needs to focus on the electricity demand management based on the relevant R&Ds, and on the gradual transition from fossil fuel- to renewable-energy. Adaptive policy to increase the FDI inflow is also needed.

Determinants of Innovation of ICT firms listed on the Korea Stock Exchange (특허출원자료를 활용한 기업의 기술혁신 결정요인: 정보통신제조업 유가증권시장 상장사를 대상으로)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo;Choi, Moon-Jong
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.210-215
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 한국증권선물거래소 유가증원시장에 상장된 정보통신제조업체를 대상으로 기술혁신 결정요인을 분석하였다. 연구모형은 Romer(1990)에서 시작되는 내생적 경제성장 모험의 지식생산함수를 이용하였으며, 기술혁신의 측정은 특허청의 기업별 특허출원수를 활용하였다. 분석결과 연구개발집약도, 기술수준, 수출비중, 자본집약도는 기술혁신에 양(+)의, 반면 관계사 매입.매출비중은 기술혁신에 음(-)의 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 특히 관계사 매출비중보다 매일비중이 자사의 기술혁신에 보다 나쁜 영향을 미침을 확인하였다. 이는 경영자에게 자사의 기술혁신을 위해 무엇보다 관계사 매입비중을 감소시킬 것을 보여준다.

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Factors Affecting the Intention to Use of Personal Cloud Computing Service: A Case of Chinese Users (개인용 클라우드 컴퓨팅 서비스 수용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인: 중국 사례)

  • Kim, Soo-Hyun;Sun, Haoran
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.877-884
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    • 2013
  • As the Cloud Computing services are growing fast in the world, the number of Cloud Computing service users are being increased enormously in China. Studies on Intention-to-Use have been one of the interesting topics in the field of marketing. In this paper we investigate the factors influencing the intention-to-use of Cloud Computing services in China. Our research model is based on Technology Acceptance Model and includes 'privacy', 'information needs', 'service types', 'service appropriation', 'system quality', and 'system security'. We surveys the Chinese Cloud Computing service users and analyzes with Structural Equation Model. The results show that 'privacy', 'service appropriation', 'system quality', and 'system security' give positive effects to 'intention-to-use'. However, 'information needs' and 'service types' does not give positive effects.