• Title/Summary/Keyword: 금융시장

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The impact of market fear, uncertainty, stock market, and maritime freight index on the risk-return relationship in the crude oil market (시장 공포, 불확실성, 주식시장, 해상운임지수가 원유시장의 위험-수익 관계에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2022
  • In this study, daily data from January 2002 to June 2022 were used to investigate the relationship between risk-return relationship and market fear, uncertainty, stock market, and maritime freight index for the crude oil market. For this study, the time varying EGARCH-M model was applied to the risk-return relationship, and the wavelet consistency model was used to analyze the relationship between market fear, uncertainty, stock market, and maritime freight index. The analysis results of this study are as follows. First, according to the results of the time-varying risk-return relationship, the crude oil market was found to be related to high returns and high risks. Second, the results of correlation and Granger causality test, it was found that there was a weak correlation between the risk-return relationship and VIX, EPU, S&P500, and BDI. In addition, it was found that there was no two-way causal relationship in the risk-return relationship with EPU and S&P500, but VIX and BDI were found to affect the risk-return relationship. Third, looking at the results of wavelet coherence, it was found that the degree of the risk-return relationship and the relationship between VIX, EPU, S&P500, and BDI was time-varying. In particular, it was found that the relationship between each other was high before and after the crisis period (financial crisis, COVID-19). And it was found to be highly associated with organs. In addition, the risk-return relationship was found to have a positive relationship with VIX and EPU, and a negative relationship with S&P500 and BDI. Therefore, market participants should be well aware of economic environmental changes when making decisions.

Study on Fairness Consolidation of Real Estate Auctions Secured for Bank NPLs (은행 부실채권(NPL) 담보부동산 경매의 공정성 강화방안 연구)

  • No, Han-Jang
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.397-409
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    • 2015
  • The Global Financial Crisis and introduction of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) urged the banks to strengthen their asset qualities. The banks dispose their non performing loans(NPLs) consistently to maintain a sufficient BIS capital adequacy ratio. Accordingly, the interests in auctions, as a disposal method, of real estates that secured for NPLs are on the increasing. This study suggest an alternative for fairness consolidation of real estate auctions which secured for NPLs. First, the impartial entry barriers for NPL sales markets need to be eliminated for fair bidding competition in auctions for real estate that secured for NPLs. In addition, the portion of NPL disposal by real estate auctions need to be expanded. Second, the asymmetry of trade information in the retail markets of NPLs and the abuse of offset by NPL owners' also should be restricted. The Fairness improvement of NPL trading process and real estate auction process that secured for them would of great use in the protection of bidders. Futhermore, it would also contribute to the revitalization of real estate auction markets and the resolution of NPLs of banks through fair disposal of distressed assets.

Differentiation of the Startups Jobs and Their Qualities in Local Labour Market Areas in Korea (지역노동시장권별 창업에 의한 일자리 창출 격차 및 일자리 질 비교)

  • An, Eunkyung;Lee, Hee Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.168-189
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    • 2015
  • The job creation has been the most pressing issue after financial crisis in many countries around the world. Various policies for creating jobs have been implemented in order to revitalize regional economy in Korea. It has been known that the jobs have been created more in low-wage and part-time work than high-wage and full-time work. The purpose of this study is to analyze the differentiation of startups job in local labor market areas(LLMAs) in terms of job quantity as well as job quality. As the spatial unit, 121 local labor market areas which were delineated based on self-containment rate(demand and supply side of labor market) and numbers of resident workers are used. Also due to difference of the size of employment, LLMAs are classified into 3 groups: large, Medium, small LLMAs. The major results are as follows: First, the characteristics of the job creation are varied among 3 groups in terms of the quantitative and qualitative aspects. Highly waged and highly value-added jobs have been created more in large LLMAs, but full-time jobs created more in small LLMAs. Secondly, the job creation of LLMAs is somewhat weakly correlated to regional economic performance. While the quality of jobs is correlated to regional economic performance in Medium LLMAs, the quantity of jobs is significantly correlated to regional economic performance in small LLMAs. The results of this research give some implications for implementing the effective policy to create jobs related to regional economy, indicating that differentiated strategies for 3 groups of LLMAs is critically important.

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Herding Behavior of the Seoul Apartment Market (서울시 아파트시장의 군집행동 분석)

  • Kim, Jung Sun;Yu, Jung Suk
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the occurrence and degree of herding behavior as a market participant behavior in a housing market were analyzed. For the analysis method, the actual sales price was applied in the CSAD (Cross-sectional Absolute Deviation) model, which has been used the most of late for herding behavior analysis. For the analysis contents, these were subdivided into region, elapsed year, size, and market condition to analyze the regionality and the internal and external factors. For the study results, first, there was no herding behavior in the entire region of Seoul. By region, herding behavior occurred in the downtown, southeast, and northwest regions, which coincided with the results of the precedent study (Ngene et al., 2017). Second, in the market analysis by elapsed year, herding behavior was captured in dilapidated dwellings. By size, herding behavior was observed in small-scale ($60m^2$ or less) apartments and in $85m^2$ or higher and less than $102m^2$ national housing units. Third, during the time of the global financial crisis, herding behavior was not observed in all the regions, whereas when the market situations were in a boom cycle, it was observed in the northwest region. These results suggest that there is a difference from the stock market, where in a period of recession, herding behavior occurs intensively with the expanding fear of incurring losses. This study is significant in that it analyzed the market participant behaviors in the behavioral economic aspects to better understand the abnormal phenomenon in a housing market, and in that it additionally provides a psychological factor - market participant behavior - in market analysis.

The Role of stock market management and social media - Analyzing the types of individual investor and topic - (주식시장관리제도와 소셜 미디어의 역할 - 개인 투자자 집단 유형과 토픽 분석 -)

  • Kim, Jung-Su;Lee, Suk-Jun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.23-47
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    • 2015
  • In the Korea stock market, individual investors have perceived stock as short arbitrage investment, not long-term investment strategy. In order to reinforce stock market transparency and soundness, it is important to enforce the measures for stock market management. Especially, stock market event caused by financial policy can be given individual investors negative information regarding a stock trading. Thus, it is a need for investigating whether comprehensive review of listing eligibility is influenced on individual investors' responses and stock behaviors in respect of effectiveness. The purpose of this study to examine the relations between such stock market management and transitional aspect of individual investors' trading types and response on the based of pre- and post-event occurrence. Using an dataset of user's text messages on 9 firms posted on the firm-based social media (i.e., Naver, Daum, Paxnet) over the period 2009 to 2014. And we performed text-clustering and topic modeling according to keywords for classifying into investors group and non-investors groups and two types of investors were categorized depending on main topic transition by event windows in Comprehensive review of listing eligibility. The results indicated that a variety of stockholders existed in the stock. And the ratio of non-investors group was on the decrease, on the other hand, the proportion of investors group veer onto the side of pre-pattern after comprehensive review of listing eligibility. A distinctive feature of our study is to explain the influence of stock market management on response changes of individual investors as well as to categorize in accordance with time progression. Implications an suggestions for future research were also discussed.

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코스닥시장 IPO의 초과수익률 원인 분석

  • Park, Su-Ung;Lee, Myeong-Cheol;Nam, Gi-Pung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.157-188
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 IPO시장에서 나타나고 있는 초과수익률의 원인을 밝히고자 최근 벤처금융의 중심으로 급부상하고 있는 KOSDAQ시장의 공모 IPO를 대상으로 실증분석을 시도하였다. 연구결과 상장일 표본전체 IPO의 초과수익률(AR1)이 9.91%로 나타났으며, 벤처캐피탈투자 IPO는 5.13%, 비투자 IPO는 13.29%로 나타났다. 상한가의 행진이 종료된 날을 기준으로 한 표본전체 IPO의 초과수익률(AR2)은 30.97%, 벤처캐피탈 투자기업 IPO는 24.34%, 비투자기업 IPO는 34.67%로 나타났다. 초과수익률의 원인을 분석하기 위한 8개의 변수 중 IPO의 수요증감 척도인 KOSDAQ 지수는 초과수익률(AR)과는 양(+)의 관계로, 벤처캐피탈리스트들의 능력 및 가치책정의 행태를 엿볼 수 있는 변수인 본질가치와 공모가액의 차이는 음(-)의 관계로, 사업규모나 자본조달의 크기를 엿볼 수 있는 공모금액의 크기는 양(+)의 관계로 1% 유의수준에서 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 여타 변수들은 통계적으로 유의성을 확보하지는 못하였으나 초과수익률의 원인이론으로 '신호이론'과 '투기적 거품가설'에 의한 설명이 가능하였으며 분석결과를 다음과 같이 정리할 수 있었다. 첫째, IPO 본질가치에 대한 신뢰와 IPO의 발행규모에 대한 신뢰수준이 통계적으로 유의한 결과로 나타났는바 이러한 결과는 기업가치와 벤처 또는 사업의 계속적 수행 등에 대한 신호역할을 수행하고 있다고 할 수 있으며 상장초기 초과수익률은 주로 이러한 신호역할에 의한 수요집중으로 발생된 결과인 것으로 사료되었다. 둘째, 노련한 벤처캐피탈회사로 선정된 KTB의 투자기업들은 상장 후 4주간의 거래에 있어 AR 평균이 음(-)으로 여타 벤처캐피탈이 투자된 기업보다 손실 폭이 더욱 켰음에도 불구하고 상장일 초과수익률 AR2가 매우 높게 나타나 우리나라 IPO시장에 있어 과민반응(fads) 현상이 존재하고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 셋째, 벤처캐피탈 투자 IPO의 초과수익률이 상대적으로 낮아 벤처캐피탈 투자여부가 IPO의 저가발행 수준을 축소하고 있어 벤처캐피탈리스트의 제 3자 보증역할이 어느 정도는 수행되고 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

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A SWOT based ANP Application for Strategy Development to enter Overseas Water Market (해외 수처리 시장 진출 전략 개발을 위한 SWOT-ANP 적용 모델 개발)

  • Choi, Jae-Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.305-316
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    • 2014
  • The current global water market has been reshaped with a few multinational water companies, water-specialized companies, and other non-construction companies such as manufacturing and financial companies. Each has different business objectives along with the value chain of water industry. In this context, a SWOT-ANP model is proposed to prioritize strategic alternatives for a non-construction company in Korea and the result is validated through a comparison with the AHP model and real business strategies of the company examined from the recent news reports. The validation was confirmed that the company's strategies are very much similar to the priority list and the rankings of the strategic alternatives are identical with those from AHP model, while the weights are slightly changed from the weights in AHP result.

PER 유효성(有效性)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究)

  • Gang, Byeong-Uk;Choe, Seong-Seop
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.245-268
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    • 2003
  • 전통적인 방법에 의한 PER는 단순히 그 지표의 일반적인 높고 낮음에 따라 소위 '저평가 종목'이라는 이름으로 투자자들에게 추천되고 있다. 그러나 이런 방법은 개별기업의 구체적 내용을 정확하고 종합적으로 고려하지 못하고 있다. 본 연구는 전통적인 방법으로 사용되는 PER지표의 문제점을 개선코자 배당평가 모형으로부터 도출한 PER지표의 구성요소들을 독립변수로 활용 회귀분석을 했다. 그리고 이를 근거로 이론 지표를 만든 후, 그 이론 지표를 투자의사결정에 적용하였을 때의 유효성을 검증했다. PER지표를 구성하는 독립변수는 Kisor & Whitbeck(1963), Malkiel & Cragg(1970), A. Damodaran(1996)에 의해 연구된 것을 원용, PER지표의 구성요소들로 기업의 배당성향, 이익 성장을, 그리고 위험변수로서의 베타계수를 선정했다. 투자성과는 포트폴리오 투자가 일반적인 현실을 감안해 가치가중수익률을 사용한 포트폴리오의 투자성과를 측정했고, 표본은 국내 거래소 시장에 1991년부터 2001년까지 계속 상장된 금융업종을 제외한 전종목을 대상으로 했다. 실증분석에 사용된 기간은 1997년부터 2001년까지 5년 동안의 자료이며, 투자성과를 검증하기 위한 검증모형으로 위험 프리미엄 모형을 사용했다. 먼저 동 분석기간 중 전통적인 방법에 의한 PER효과는 나타나지 않았고, 아울러 기업규모 효과도 찾을 수 없었다. 그러나 회귀분석을 통해 구해진 이론 지표를 활용할 경우, 이론 지표에 비해 시장 지표가 과소 평가된 그룹이 과대 평가된 그룹과 비교할 때 투자성과가 더 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 이론 지표를 통해 PER수준이 낮아짐에 따라 투자성과가 더 높아지는 PER효과도 발견됐다. 이와 같이 이론 지표에 의해 나타나는 PER효과는 기업규모 효과와는 독립적인 것으로 보인다. 외환위기 이후 우리시장에 나타난 차별화 장세 속에 아직도 PER효과나 기업규모 효과와 같은 시장이례 현상이 존재하는지는 관심의 대상이 됐다고 본다. 본 연구에 의하면 기업규모 효과와는 별개의 PER효과가 여전히 존재하며, 다만 이 PER 효과는 전통적 의미의 일반적으로 낮은 PER종목이 초과수익률을 내는 것이 아니라, 기업규모가 크더라도 그 기업의 개별특성을 고려했을 때 이와 비교해 상대적으로 PER가 낮은 종목에 투자하면 초과수익을 낼 수 있음을 의미한다.

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A study on Activation Measures of Local Mobile Easy-to-use Payment (국내 모바일 간편결제 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Gi Seog
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2015
  • Thanks to popularization of smart phone, mobile payment market is growing rapidly. As the obligatory use of digital certificate is abolished, easy-to-use payment that can settle with only password is being launched one after another. But its spreading speed is not fast highly. Because of concern about personal information leakage and security, unchangeability of payment habit, insufficiency of consumer protection, inadequacy of payment infrastructure and all sorts of regulations, easy-to-use payment is not activated. Recently global IT companys are entering mobile payment market competitively. It is because the sense of crisis that their survival can be dangerous from now on if they get left behind Fintech innovation and the mentality that they try to take the leadership of mobile payment market process. In this situation, the thorough preparation and a lot of effort are required to promote our autonomous easy-to-use payment growth without dependance on foreign country's. In this paper, the problems of local mobile easy-to-use payment are addressed in depth and the activation measures such as flexible and discriminative security, construction of customer protection system, law system maintenance, service differentiation are proposed.

How Does Technological Convergence Influence Firm Performance?: A Case Study of Automobile Firms Adopting Aircraft Technologies (기술 융합이 기업 성과에 미치는 영향: 항공기 기술을 사용한 자동차 기업을 중심으로)

  • Park, Junwoo;Moon, Seongwuk
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.197-231
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    • 2017
  • We investigate the effect of technology convergence and spillover on firm performance. In doing so we specifically examine how automobile firms adapting aircraft technologies perform in stock market and product market. In order to use technology convergence and spillover, we investigate the patent citation relationship between aircraft and automobile related patents and construct the measures on automobile firms' adaptation of aircraft technologies. We also measure automobile firms' performance based on market value of firms in the stock market and revenues in product market. We find that the market value increases as automobile firms use the knowledge of aircraft technologies more. However, there is no relationship between the use of the aircraft technology and the revenue of automobile firms. This suggests that the use of advance aircraft technology plays a positive signaling role in financial market while it is not associated with generating revenues in product market.