• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교역효과

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The Dynamic Trade Effect of Korea's Free Trade Agreements: Extensive Margins of Trade (한국 자유무역협정의 동태적 교역효과 분석: 무역외연효과를 중심으로)

  • Jae-Wook Jung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.307-329
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    • 2023
  • This paper studies how the free trade agreements (FTAs) have changed the dynamics of Korea's imports since 1996. Specifically, the dynamic regression analysis on the transition of trade liberalization discovers three main findings: (1) import values of Korea increase gradually as FTAs enter into force; (2) the extensive margins of import work as a major source of the trade effect in the transition episode of FTAs; (3) the extensive margins of import tend to increase even before FTAs enter into force. This noble forward-looking effect suggests some potential foreign exporters or exporting goods enter the Korean market, especially when FTAs negotiation starts. It supports the early entry behavior of potential exporters found in recent international trade literature.

Intra-European Trade Flow and Trade Structure (유럽연합 확대와 역내 교역흐름 및 교역구조 변화)

  • Moon, Nam-Cheol
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.406-420
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    • 2009
  • European economic integration and geographical enlargement brought change in the intra-european trade flow and a trade structure. The first, an european enlargement contributes to the increase in intra-european trade, but its effect relatively becomes smaller successive enlargement. The second, the intra-industry trade increases in the intra-european trade according as an european economic integration and enlargement make possible the economy of scale. In the intra-industry trade, the horizontal intra-industry trade decreases and the vertical intra-industry trade increases. The third, the Western Europe's trade is generally an intra-industry trade, the trade of Southern Europe, Central and Eastern Europe is an inter-industry trade. But the South Europe's trade and Central and Eastern Europe's trade change from the inter-industry trade to the intra-industry trade.

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Causes of the Decline in Terms of Trade in Korea since the Mid-1990s (1990년대 중반 이후 교역조건 하락추세의 원인분석)

  • Hahn, Chinhee;Ryu, Sunghyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.33-69
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the causes of the terms of trade decline in Korea since the mid-1990s, using the decomposition methodology suggested by Baxter and Kouparitsas (2000) as well as regression analysis. The main empirical results are summarized as follows. The decomposition exercise of changes in terms of trade showed that Korea's terms of trade decline for the past decade or so is attributable to goods price effect which were driven by the rise of oil prices relative to manufactures. The decomposition of terms of trade change for 55 countries showed that terms of trade decline due to goods price effect is a phenomenon that was commonly observed for exporters of manufactures since mid-1990s. These results suggest that external factors such as China's trade expansion, rather than internal factors, are mostly responsible for the decline in terms of trade. In accordance with these results, the regression results suggest that China's trade expansion contributed to Korea's terms of trade decline, especially in 2000s, by raising the import prices of oil and raw materials and lowering the export prices of manufacturing products.

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국제 절충교역 계약현황과 발전추세

  • Choe, Chan-Sik
    • Defense and Technology
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    • no.4 s.134
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    • pp.58-69
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    • 1990
  • 절충교역의 이용은 고용 및 기술의 이전효과를 가져오며, 여러 정부에 의해 비난과 동시에 찬사의 대상이 되고 있다. 비록 미국은 현재 다른 국가들이 방위구매에서 절충교역을 요구하는 것을 막으려 하고 있고, 이러한 절충교역의 이용을 금지시키거나 제한시키려는 정치적 움직임이 지지를 받아오긴 했으나, 이제 절충교역 조건의 확산과 이용을 중단시킬수 없는 것은 영국에서 "산업혁명"을 막을수 없던 것과 같다

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Analysis of Japan's CPTPP Trade Effect Using Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 일본의 CPTPP 교역 효과 분석)

  • Jongin Kim;Seong-Hyuk Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2023
  • The South Korean government announced its plan to pursue membership in the CPTPP in 2022, aiming to establish a stable supply chain within the Asia-Pacific region. The CPTPP, led by Japan, was ratified in 2018 by 11 countries with the goal of eliminating tariffs and establishing new trade rules. According to our analysis, since the implementation of the CPTPP, there has been a trade promotion effect among Japan and member countries, with greater effects observed in countries with higher GDP per capita and closer geographical distance. As long as tariff elimination and reduction proceed as planned, the trade promotion effects are expected to expand gradually. However, the expansion of trade between Japan and CPTPP member countries may also indicate a relative contraction in trade with non-member countries, potentially posing a threat to the stable supply chain in the Korean industry within the Asia-Pacific region. As Japan is Korea's fourth-largest trading partner, it is necessary to carefully consider the impact of CPTPP on Japan's future trade with member countries and engage in discussions regarding Korea's participation and negotiation content based on a thorough examination of the matter.

Trade Effect Analysis of Korea.ASEAN FTA using a Panel Analysis (패널분석을 이용한 한.ASEAN FTA의 교역효과 분석)

  • Son, Yongjung;Kim, Hyunduk
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.95-111
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to draw out the trade effect of the Korea ASEAN FTA by carrying out a panel analysis. For achieving such a purpose, Panel Unit Root, Panel Cointegration Test, Pooled OLS, Hausman Test, Fixed Effect, Random effect are performed. The last 15 years's data over the period of 1997 to 2011 concentrated on the ASEAN countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippine, Singapore, Thai, Vietnam is used in this study. Major implications are summarized as following. First, our government need to maximize the effect derived from conclusion of FTA(Free Trade Agreement) in order to enhance the competitive edge through obtaining a stable foreign market. Second, it necessary for our government to improve a national system by orienting a FTA conclusion complying with WTO's product and service-related regulation.

Empirical Analysis on Trade Pattern of Korean Motor Industry and Effect of Free Trade Agreement through Panel Gravity Model (패널중력모형을 통한 한국 자동차산업의 교역패턴과 자유무역협정의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Seog-Min;Jun, Eui-Cheon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.251-272
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    • 2010
  • This study was done through Panel Gravity Model to analyze the trade pattern of Korean motor industry and empirical analysis was also performed on the effect of regional economies joining to the Korean trade is to draw out some implications. Compared with per capita pattern regarding the income levels of both the countries, the results indicated that trade of Korean motor industry followed GDP pattern in accordance with the overall market. The results of effect on regional economic integration to Korean motor industry reflected 179% and 198% increase in motor trade industry and motor parts trade, respectively. To expand the trade of Korean motor industry at the international competitiveness level, focus should be made on smaller, smarter and greener car with lesser impact on the environment. Hence, the present investigation suggested that government should not delay in retaining the core technology as well as private sector should also aggressively invest in the market.

A Trade Effect Analysis of the Introducing the Euro in the Members of the Eurozone (유로존 국가들의 유로화 도입으로 인한 무역효과 분석)

  • Kang, Bo-Kyung
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.203-219
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    • 2010
  • Nowadays an instability of the exchange rate on accounts of global finance crisis brings on a lot of an economic damage such as recession, decreasing of total trade and so on. However some countries which belong to be membership of the eurozone could escape economic slump shortly and easier than others. The reason for this is that they share with the Euro as a their own currency which is the second vehicle currency all of the world. This paper analyzes the correlation of joining the Euro zone and trade with pooled OLS, random effect estimation, and fixed effect estimation. A membership of the Euro zone are able to increase trade 11.3% ~ 25.3% one another on average since some country belongs to the Euro zone. It is very important for some countries which have a plan to affiliate the Euro zone sooner or later to realize economic effect because of a protection of the Euro zone as well as political power.

Development of Key Performance Index for Maximizing Offset Outcomes (절충교역 성과 극대화를 위한 성과지표 개발)

  • Lee, Jae-Seok;Joung, Tae-Yun;Han, Bong-Yun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.860-888
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    • 2011
  • Offset is a peculiar trade form, the compensation of importing the weapon system, accompanied by the international weapon system contract. Korea has been applying offset to defense acquisition program for fostering the domestic defense industry and improving defense R&D ability since Korean offset policy was built up in 1983. However, there are not enough evidences for benefits of offset and it is rather believed that the performance management system of offset is not thoroughgoing enough because of lack of the systematic policy. It is essential to develop the well-organized performance management system in order to maximize outcomes from application of technology obtained by offset. The main objective of this paper is to propose key performance index that is practically useful to manage offset performance systematically and maximize outcomes of offset.

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A Study on the Re-purchase Intention and Country-of-Origin Effect for Vietnam's Country Image (베트남의 국가이미지에 따른 원산지 효과와 재구매 의도에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Je-Hong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study to measure the re-purchase intentions and country-of-origin effect in the Vietnam's image. This study was used to analysis the questionnaire date as SPSS ver. 12.0 statistical package. The major result of article can be summarized as follows. The factors of this study have been divided into 'political image', 'social image', 'cultural imge', 'economical image', and 'international image'. In the empirical result of the article, the country-of-origin effect for the Vietnam's country image would be shown in the results as the fellow. The first, 'cultural image', 'economical image', 'international image' are significantly positive country-of-origin effect. The second, 'political image', 'social image' are not as significantly positive statistically speaking. Also, country-of-origin effect show significantly positive re-purchase intention.

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