• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간통계기법

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Analysis of Total Crime Count Data Based on Spatial Association Structure (공간적 연관구조를 고려한 총범죄 자료 분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2010
  • Reliability of the estimation is usually damaged in the situation where a linear regression model without spatial dependencies is employed to the spatial data analysis. In this study, we considered the conditional autoregressive model in order to construct spatial association structures and estimate the parameters via the Bayesian approaches. Finally, we compared the performances of the models with spatial effects and the ones without spatial effects. We analyzed the yearly total crime count data measured from each of 25 districts in Seoul, South Korea in 2007.

A Development of Multi-site Rainfall Simulation Model Using Piecewise Generalize Pareto Distribution (불연속 분포를 이용한 다지점 강수모의발생 기법 개발)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.123-123
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    • 2012
  • 일강수량은 수공구조물 설계 및 수자원계획을 수립하기 위한 입력 자료로 이용된다. 일반적으로 수자원계획은 장기적인 목적을 가지고 수행되어지며, 장기간의 일강수량 자료를 필요로 한다. 하지만 장기간의 일강수량 자료의 획득의 어려움으로 단기간의 일강수량자료를 이용하여 모의한 장기간 강수자료를 이용하게 된다. 이처럼 수자원계획의 수립에 있어서 일강수량 모의기법의 성능은 수자원계획의 신뢰성 및 결과에 큰 영향을 준다. 일강수량 모의기법은 국내외적으로 매우 활발하게 이루어지고 있으며, 수자원계획 및 수공구조물 설계 외에도 매우 다양한 목적으로 활용되어 지고 있다. 일강수량을 모의기법 중 강수계열의 단기간의 기억(memory)을 활용한 Markov Chain 모형이 가장 일반적이지만, 기존 Markov Chain 모형을 통한 일강수량 모의는 극치강수량을 재현하기 어렵다는 문제점이 있다. 또한, 일강수량 모의 기법의 목적인 수자원계획 및 수공구조물 설계 등의 입력자료로 활용되어지기 위해서는 모의 결과가 유역내 지점별 공간 상관성을 재현함으로써 모형의 우수성과 자료결과의 신뢰성을 확보할 수 있어야 하겠다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 내삽에서 우수한 재현능력을 갖는 핵 밀도함수와 극치강수량 재현에 유리한 GPD분포의 특징을 함께 고려할 수 있는 불연속 Kernel-Pareto Distribution 기반에 공간상관성 재현 알고리즘을 결합한 일강수량모의기법을 개발하였다. 한강유역의 18개 강수지점에 대해서 기존 Gamma분포를 사용한 Markov Chain 모형과 본 연구에서 제안한 방법을 적용하여 모형을 평가해 보고자 한다. Gamma 분포기반 Markov Chain 모형의 경우 일강수량 모의 시 1차모멘트인 평균과 2-3차 모멘트 모두 효과적으로 재현하지 못하는 문제점이 나타났다. 그러나 본 연구에서 적용한 다지점 불연속 Kernel-Pareto 분포 모형은 강수계열의 평균적인 특성뿐만 아니라 표준편차 및 왜곡도의 경우에도 관측치의 통계특성을 매우 효과적으로 재현하며, 100년빈도 강수량 모의결과 기존 모의모형의 문제점을 보완할 수 있는 개선된 결과를 보여주었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법론은 유역내의 공간상관성을 재현하며, 평균 및 중간값 등 낮은 차수의 모멘트 등 일강수량 분포특성을 더욱 효과적으로 모의할 수 장점을 확인하였다.

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Recognition of Handwritten Numerals using Eigenvectors (고유벡터를 이용한 필기체 숫자인식)

  • 박중조;김경민;송명현
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.986-991
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents off-line handwritten numeral recognition method by using Eigen-Vectors. In this method, numeral features are extracted statistically by using Eigen-Vectors through KL transform and input numeral is recognized in the feature space by the nearest-neighbor classifier. In our feature extraction method, basis vectors which express best the property of each numeral type within the extensive database of sample numeral images are calculated, and the numeral features are obtained by using this basis vectors. Through the experiments with the unconstrained handwritten numeral database of Concordia University, we have achieved a recognition rate of 96.2%.

Analysis of Spatio-temporal Pattern of Urban Crime and Its Influencing Factors (GIS와 공간통계기법을 이용한 시·공간적 도시범죄 패턴 및 범죄발생 영향요인 분석)

  • Jeong, Kyeong-Seok;Moon, Tae-Heon;Jeong, Jae-Hee;Heo, Sun-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.12-25
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the periodical and spatial characteristics of urban crime and to find out the factors that affect the crime occurrence. For these, crime data of Masan City was examined and crime occurrence pattern is ploted on a map using crime density and criminal hotspot analysis. The spatial relationship of crime occurrence and factors affecting crime were also investigated using ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) and SAR (Spatial Auto-Regression) model. As a result, it was found that crimes had strong tendency of happening during a certain period of time and with spatial contiguity. Spatial contiguity of crimes was made clear through the spatial autocorrelation analysis on 5 major crimes. Especially, robbery revealed the highest spatial autocorrelation. However as a autocorrelation model, Spatial Error Model(SEM) had statistically the highest goodness of fit. Moreover, the model proved that old age population ratio, property tax, wholesale-retail shop number, and retail & wholesale number were statistically significant that affect crime occurrence of 5 most major crimes and theft crime. However population density affected negatively on assault crime. Lastly, the findings of this study are expected to provide meaningful ideas to make our cities safer with U-City strategies and services.

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Analysis of Changes in Urban Spatial Structure for Balanced Urban Development (도시균형발전을 위한 도시공간구조 변화 진단)

  • KIM, Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.40-51
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to diagnose urban spatial structures using spatial modeling techniques for balanced urban development as part of sustainable urban growth management. Since urban spatial structure is an interaction of various activities, it is necessary to interpret the analysis results in conjunction with the analysis of changes in spatial structural elements. In this study, population and transportation were approached for research purposes. Population data were applied to the Getis-Ord Gi* method, a spatial statistical technique, to analyze the concentration-decreasing region of the population. Traffic data analyzed the trend of centrality change by applying commuting traffic O-D data to Social Network Analysis techniques. The analysis showed that urban imbalance was growing, and the centrality of transportation was changing. The results of the analysis of spatial structure elements could be interpreted by linking the results of each factor to each neighborhood unit, predicting changes in urban spatial structure and suggesting directions for sustainable urban growth management.These results could also be used as a decision-making tool for various urban growth management policies introduced to cope with rapid urban development and uncontrollable development in many cities around the world.

Trade Area Delimitation Using AMOEBA Technique (AMOEBA 기법을 활용한 상권 경계 탐지)

  • Kwon, Pil;Yu, Ki Yun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2015
  • In general, problems of delimitating trading area are that it takes much efforts depending on regions and the results are not scientific due to agencies' own rules and criteria. Especially, areas like Hongik University Station, where countless stores are opening and closing simultaneously, the field survey needs even more time and expenses. Despite of its drawbacks, it has been considered that the field survey is the most credible method in delimitating trading area. The purpose of this study, therefore, is reducing the field survey when agencies delimitate trade area by maximizing use of previously built GIS database and utilizing spatial analysis. Publicly notified individual land value and floating population of Gwanak-gu were utilized to delimitate trading areas. For an evaluation method, the study results were compared to other trading area boundaries.

Hydrogeochemical Characterization of Groundwater in Jeju Island using Principal Component Analysis and Geostatistics (주성분분석과 지구통계법을 이용한 제주도 지하수의 수리지화학 특성 연구)

  • Ko Kyung-Seok;Kim Yongie;Koh Dong-Chan;Lee Kwang-Sik;Lee Seung-Gu;Kang Cheol-Hee;Seong Hyun-Jeong;Park Won-Bae
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.38 no.4 s.173
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    • pp.435-450
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of the study is to analyze the hydrogeochemical characteristics by multivariate statistical method, to interpret the hydrogeochemical processes for the new variables calculated from principal components analysis (PCA), and to infer the groundwater flow and circulation mechanism by applying the geostatistical methods for each element and principal component. Chloride and nitrate are the most influencing components for groundwater quality, and the contents of $NO_3$ increased by the input of agricultural activities show the largest variation. The results of PCA, a multivariate statistical method, show that the first three principal components explain $73.9\%$ of the total variance. PC1 indicates the increase of dissolved ions, PC2 is related with the dissolution of carbonate minerals and nitrate contamination, and PC3 shows the effect of cation exchange process and silicate mineral dissolution. From the results of experimental semivariogram, the components of groundwater are divided into two groups: one group includes electrical conductivity (EC), Cl, Na, and $NO_3$, and the other includes $HCO_3,\;SiO_2,$ Ca, and Sr. The results for spatial distribution of groundwater components showed that EC, Cl, and Na increased with approaching the coastal line and nitrate has close relationship with the presence of agricultural land. These components are also correlated with the topographic features reflecting the groundwater recharge effect. The kriging analysis by using principal components shows that PC 1 has the different spatial distribution of Cl, Na, and EC, possibly due to the influence of pH, Ca, Sr, and $HCO_3$ for PC1. It was considered that the linear anomaly zone of PC2 in western area was caused by the dissolution of carbonate mineral. Consequently, the application of multivariate and geostatistical methods for groundwater in the study area is very useful for determining the quantitative analysis of water quality data and the characteristics of spatial distribution.

Spatial Analysis for Mean Annual Precipitation Based On Neural Networks (신경망 기법을 이용한 연평균 강우량의 공간 해석)

  • Sin, Hyeon-Seok;Park, Mu-Jong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 1999
  • In this study, an alternative spatial analysis method against conventional methods such as Thiessen method, Inverse Distance method, and Kriging method, named Spatial-Analysis Neural-Network (SANN) is presented. It is based on neural network modeling and provides a nonparametric mean estimator and also estimators of high order statistics such as standard deviation and skewness. In addition, it provides a decision-making tool including an estimator of posterior probability that a spatial variable at a given point will belong to various classes representing the severity of the problem of interest and a Bayesian classifier to define the boundaries of subregions belonging to the classes. In this paper, the SANN is implemented to be used for analyzing a mean annual precipitation filed and classifying the field into dry, normal, and wet subregions. For an example, the whole area of South Korea with 39 precipitation sites is applied. Then, several useful results related with the spatial variability of mean annual precipitation on South Korea were obtained such as interpolated field, standard deviation field, and probability maps. In addition, the whole South Korea was classified with dry, normal, and wet regions.

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Development of Subsurface Spatial Information Model System using Clustering and Geostatistics Approach (클러스터링과 지구통계학 기법을 이용한 지하공간정보 모델 생성시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.64-75
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    • 2008
  • Since the current database systems for managing geotechnical investigation results were limited by being described boring test result in point feature, it has been trouble for using other GIS data. Although there are some studies for spatial characteristics of subsurface modeling, it is rather lack of being interoperable with GIS, considering geotechnical engineering facts. This is reason for difficulty of practical uses. In this study, we has developed subsurface spatial information model through extracting needed geotechnical engineering data from geotechnical information DB. The developed geotechnical information clustering program(GEOCL) has made a cluster of boring formation(and formation ratio), classification of layer, and strength characteristics of subsurface. The interpolation of boring data has been achieved through zonal kriging method in the consideration of spatial distribution of created cluster. Finally, we make a subsurface spatial information model to integrate with digital elevation model, and visualize 3-dimensional model by subsurface spatial information viewing program(SSIVIEW). We expect to strengthen application capacity of developed model in subsurface interpretation and foundation design of construction works.

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Regionalization of Extreme Rainfall with Spatio-Temporal Pattern (극치강수량의 시공간적 특성을 이용한 지역빈도분석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Byung-Sik;Yoon, Seok-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1429-1433
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    • 2010
  • 수공구조물의 설계, 수자원 관리계획의 수립, 재해영향 검토 등을 수행할 때, 재현기간에 따른 확률개념의 강우량, 홍수량, 저수량 등을 산정하여 사용하게 되며, 보통 대상지역의 장기 수문관측 자료를 이용하여 수문사상의 확률분포를 산정한 후 재현기간을 연장하여 원하는 설계빈도에 해당하는 양을 추정하게 된다. 미계측지역 또는 관측자료의 보유기간이 짧은 지역의 경우는 지역빈도 분석 결과를 이용하게 된다. 지역빈도해석을 위해서는 강우자료들의 동질성을 파악하는 것이 가장 기본적인 과정이 되며 이를 위해 통계학적인 범주화분석이 선행되어야 한다. 지점 빈도분석의 수문학적 동질성 판별을 위해 L-moment 방법, K-means 방법에 의한 군집분석 등이 주로 사용되며 관측소 위치좌표를 이용한 공간보간법을 적용하여 시각화하고 있다. 강수량은 시공간적으로 변하는 수문변량으로서 강수량의 시간적인 특성 또한 강수량의 특성을 정의하는데 매우 중요한 요소이다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구를 통해 강수지점의 공간적인 좌표 및 강수량의 양적인 범주화에 초점을 맞춘 기존 지역빈도분석의 범주화 과정에 덧붙여 시간적인 영향을 고려할 수 있는 요소들을 결정하고 이를 활용할 수 있는 범주화 과정을 제시하고자 한다. 즉, 극치강수량의 발생 시기에 대한 정량적인 분석이 가능한 순환통계기법을 이용하여 관측 지점별 시간 통계량을 산정하고, 이를 극치강수량과 결합하여 시 공간적인 특성자료를 생성한 후 이를 이용한 군집화 해석 모형을 개발하는데 연구의 목적이 있다. 분석 과정에 있어서 시간속성의 정량화 및 일반화는 순환통계기법을 사용하였으며, 극치강수량과 발생시점의 속성자료는 각각의 평균과 표준편차를 이용하였다. K-means 알고리즘을 이용해 결합자료를 군집화 하고, L-moment 방법으로 지역화 결과에 대한 검증을 수행하였다. 속성 결합 자료의 군집화 효과는 모의데이터 실험을 통해 확인하였으며, 우리 나라의 58개 기상관측소 자료를 이용하여 분석을 수행하였다. 예비해석 단계에서 100회의 군집분석을 통해 평균적인 centroid를 산정하고, 해당 값을 본 해석의 초기 centroid로 지정하여, 변동적인 클러스터링 경향을 안정화시켜 해석이 반복됨에 따라 군집화 결과가 달라지는 오류를 방지하였다. 또한 K-means 방법으로 계산된 군집별 공간거리 합의 크기에 따라 군집번호를 부여함으로써 군집의 번호순서대로 물리적인 연관성이 인접하도록 설정하였으며, 군집간의 경계선을 추출할 때 발생할 수 있는 오류를 방지하였다. 지역빈도분석 결과는 3차원 Spline 기법으로 도시하였다.

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