• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간자기상관 분석

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A Comparative Study on the Goodness of Fit in Spatial Econometric Models Using Housing Transaction Prices of Busan, Korea (부산시 실거래 주택매매 가격을 이용한 공간계량모형의 적합도 비교연구)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup;Kim, Sung-Woo;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2012
  • The OLS(ordinary least squares) method is widely used in hedonic housing models. One of the assumptions of the OLS is an independent and uniform distribution of the disturbance term. This assumption can be violated when the spatial autocorrelation exists, which in turn leads to undesirable estimate results. An alterative to this, spatial econometric models have been introduced in housing price studies. This paper describes the comparisons between OLS and spatial econometric models using housing transaction prices of Busan, Korea. Owing to the approaches reflecting spatial autocorrelation, the spatial econometric models showed some superiority to the traditional OLS in terms of log likelihood and sigma square(${\sigma}^2$). Among the spatial models, the SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models) seemed more appropriate than the SAC(General Spatial Models) and the SEM(Spatial Errors Models) for Busan housing markets. We can make sure the spatial effects on housing prices, and the reconstruction plans have strong impacts on the transaction prices. Selecting a suitable spatial model will play an important role in the housing policy of the government.

Use of Space-time Autocorrelation Information in Time-series Temperature Mapping (시계열 기온 분포도 작성을 위한 시공간 자기상관성 정보의 결합)

  • Park, No-Wook;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.432-442
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    • 2011
  • Climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation tend to vary both in space and in time simultaneously. Thus, it is necessary to include space-time autocorrelation into conventional spatial interpolation methods for reliable time-series mapping. This paper introduces and applies space-time variogram modeling and space-time kriging to generate time-series temperature maps using hourly Automatic Weather System(AWS) temperature observation data for a one-month period. First, temperature observation data are decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. For trend component modeling, elevation data which have reasonable correlation with temperature are used as secondary information to generate trend component with topographic effects. Then, space-time variograms of residual components are estimated and modelled by using a product-sum space-time variogram model to account for not only autocorrelation both in space and in time, but also their interactions. From a case study, space-time kriging outperforms both conventional space only ordinary kriging and regression-kriging, which indicates the importance of using space-time autocorrelation information as well as elevation data. It is expected that space-time kriging would be a useful tool when a space-poor but time-rich dataset is analyzed.

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Spatial Autocorrelation of Disease Prevalence in South Korea Using 2012 Community Health Survey Data (2012년 전국 지역사회 건강조사 자료를 이용한 시·군·구 단위 질병 유병률의 공간 자기상관도에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Won Seob;Nguyen, Cong Hieu;Kim, Sang Min;Sohn, Jung Woo;Heo, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.253-262
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    • 2016
  • As a basic research to investigate geographical variations of diseases, this study analyzes and compares spatial patterns of 24 different diseases in South Korea using prevalence rate data provided by Community Health Survey in 2012. Descriptive statistical analysis, global Moran’s I computation, and disease mapping were conducted to examine spatial associations and patterns of each disease. After the unique spatial patterns and distinctive spatial associations of each disease were observed, we concluded that 12 diseases displayed statistically significant spatial autocorrelation while the other 12 showed no spatial associations. This study suggests that diseases are caused by different risk factors and possess different etiological mechanisms. Furthermore, the study may lay foundation for future studies of geographical variations of disease prevalence in South Korea.

Bayesian spatial analysis of obesity proportion data (비만율 자료에 대한 베이지안 공간 분석)

  • Choi, Jungsoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1203-1214
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    • 2016
  • Obesity is a risk factor for various diseases as well as itself a disease and associated with socioeconomic factors. The obesity proportion has been increasing in Korea over about 15 years so that investigation of the socioeconomic factors related with obesity is important in terms of preventation of obesity. In particular, the association between obesity and socioeconomic status varies with gender and has spatial dependency. In the paper, we estimate the effects of socioeconomic factors on obesity proportion by gender, considering the spatial correlation. Here, a conditional autoregressive model under the Bayesian framework is used in order to take into account the spatial dependency. For the real applicaiton, we use the obestiy proportion dataset at 25 districts of Seoul in 2010. We compare the proposed spatial model with a non-spatial model in terms of the goodness-of-fit and prediction measures so the spatial model performs well.

A Spatial Autoregressive Analysis on the Indian Regional Disparity (인도경제의 지역불균형 성장과 공간적 요소의 효과에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Cheul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.275-301
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the regional disparity in India between 24 states over the period 1980 to 2009. The traditional regressive and spatial autoregressive models are used that includes measures of spatial effects. The results provide no evidence that convergence is valid in India. However, the results indicate that spatial interaction is an important element of state growth in India. The result of spatial analysis excluded two outliner states reveals more strong relationship between the weighted spatial income level and the state growth rates. Moreover, the results find that the coefficients of spatial lag of initial per capital and error terms are significantly negative. The coefficient of variation measures that the distribution of state income level has diverged over time. Therefore, this study concludes that the growth of regional state income does not have a tendency to converge rater than diverge. The results is rational because as the Indian economy is growing rapidly, some states grow faster than the others while initial poor states become the poorest ones, which increases regional disparity in India.

A Study on the Methodology of Extracting the vulnerable districts of the Aged Welfare Using Artificial Intelligence and Geospatial Information (인공지능과 국토정보를 활용한 노인복지 취약지구 추출방법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jiman;Cho, Duyeong;Lee, Sangseon;Lee, Minseob;Nam, Hansik;Yang, Hyerim
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.169-186
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    • 2018
  • The social influence of the elderly population will accelerate in a rapidly aging society. The purpose of this study is to establish a methodology for extracting vulnerable districts of the welfare of the aged through machine learning(ML), artificial neural network(ANN) and geospatial analysis. In order to establish the direction of analysis, this progressed after an interview with volunteers who over 65-year old people, public officer and the manager of the aged welfare facility. The indicators are the geographic distance capacity, elderly welfare enjoyment, officially assessed land price and mobile communication based on old people activities where 500 m vector areal unit within 15 minutes in Yongin-city, Gyeonggi-do. As a result, the prediction accuracy of 83.2% in the support vector machine(SVM) of ML using the RBF kernel algorithm was obtained in simulation. Furthermore, the correlation result(0.63) was derived from ANN using backpropagation algorithm. A geographically weighted regression(GWR) was also performed to analyze spatial autocorrelation within variables. As a result of this analysis, the coefficient of determination was 70.1%, which showed good explanatory power. Moran's I and Getis-Ord Gi coefficients are analyzed to investigate spatially outlier as well as distribution patterns. This study can be used to solve the welfare imbalance of the aged considering the local conditions of the government recently.

Spatial Econometrics Analysis of Fire Occurrence According to Type of Facilities (시설물 유형에 따른 화재 발생의 공간 계량 분석)

  • Seo, Min Song;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.129-141
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, fast growing cities in Korea are showing signs of being vulnerable to more disasters as their population and facilities increase and intensify. In particular, fire is one of the most common disasters in Korea's cities, along with traffic accidents. Therefore, in this study, we analyze what type of factors affect the fire that threatens urban people. Fire data were acquired for 10 years, from 2007 to 2017, in Jinju, Korea. Spatial distribution pattern of fire occurrence in Jinju was assessed through the spatial autocorrelation analysis. First, spatial autocorrelation analysis was carried out to grasp the spatial distribution pattern of fire occurrence in Jinju city. In addition, correlation and multiple regression analysis were used to confirm spatial dependency and abnormality among factors. Based on this, OLS (Ordinary Least Square) regression analysis was performed using space weighting considering fire location and spatial location of each facility. As a result, First, LISA (Local Indicator of Spatial Association) analysis of the occurrence of fire in Jinju shows that the most central commercial area are fire department, industrial area, and residential area. Second, the OLS regression model was analyzed by applying spatial weighting, focusing on the most derived factors of multiple regression analysis, by integrating population and social variables and physical variables. As a result, the second kind of neighborhood living facility showed the highest correlation with the fire occurrence, followed by the following in the order of single house, sales facility, first type of neighborhood living facility, and number of households. The results of this study are expected to be useful for analyzing the fire occurrence factors of each facility in urban areas and establishing fire safety measures.

Estimation Methods for Linear Spatial Model on Lattice (Lattice형 공간정보의 선형모형 추정방법)

  • Gwon, O-Ryong;Yeom, Jun-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 1996
  • Linear models for spatial data are proposed by example in the paper. This method was introduced to Korea for the first time in the early part of 1990's. The correlation of spatial patterns is computed by Moran Index., and then correlogram is proposed as the method to identify correlation of spatial patterns. Due to computational difficulties with ML, an alternative estimator has been used as an eigenvalue method.

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Analysis of Total Crime Count Data Based on Spatial Association Structure (공간적 연관구조를 고려한 총범죄 자료 분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2010
  • Reliability of the estimation is usually damaged in the situation where a linear regression model without spatial dependencies is employed to the spatial data analysis. In this study, we considered the conditional autoregressive model in order to construct spatial association structures and estimate the parameters via the Bayesian approaches. Finally, we compared the performances of the models with spatial effects and the ones without spatial effects. We analyzed the yearly total crime count data measured from each of 25 districts in Seoul, South Korea in 2007.