• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간가중회귀

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Applicability of Missing Rainfall Data Estimation using Artificial Neural Networks (신경망 모형을 이용한 결측 강우 자료 추정방법의 적용성 연구)

  • Cho, Herin;Park, Hee-Seong;Kim, Hyoungseop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.512-512
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    • 2015
  • 시 공간적 관측에서 다양한 원인에 의해 강우 자료에 결측이나 오측이 발생할 수 있다. 강우를 측정하고 자료를 수집 관리하는 측면에서 결측 되거나 오측된 자료를 추정 보완할 필요가 있다. 현재까지 결측 강우 자료를 추정하기 위한 방법으로 결측 지점 인근의 관측소를 이용한 단순 가중 평균치 방법에서부터 복잡한 통계적 기반의 보간 방법에 이르기까지 많은 연구들이 진행되고있다. 본 연구에서는 결측 된 강우 자료를 추정하기 위해 인공 신경망을 이용하여 모형을 구축하고 주변 관측소의 강우자료를 이용해 신경망 학습을 실시하여 적용해 보았으며, 최근 관측의 단위가 짧아지고 있는 점을 고려하여 10분, 30분, 1시간 등 다양한 시간간격의 강우자료를 구축하고 선형회귀모형과 RDS 방법, 신경망 모형을 이용한 방법 등을 적용한 결과를 비교하여 신경망 모형의 적용성을 살펴보았다. 단순한 구조면에서는 기존의 RDS 방법에 대한 적용성이 높은 것으로 판단되었으나, 성능의 개선을 위한 별다른 방법이 없는 반면 신경망 모형은 입력 자료를 다양하게 변환하여 구성하는 경우 성능을 개선하여 적용성이 더 높아 질 수 있는 것으로 판단되었다. 향후 신경망 모형을 이용해 잘못 측정된 강우를 적절히 선별하고 결측된 보완함으로써 관측된 강우 자료의 활용성을 높일 수 있을 것이다.

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Determinants of Problem Drinking by Regional Variation among Adult Males in Single-Person Households: Geographically Weighted Regression Model Analysis (1인 가구 성인 남성 문제음주의 지역 간 변이요인에 관한 연구: 지리적 가중회귀모형을 이용하여)

  • Ahn, Junggeun;Choi, Heeseung;Kim, Jiu
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.101-114
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aimed to identify regional differences in problem drinking among adult males in single-person households and predict the determinants. Methods: This study used data from the 2019 Community Health Survey. Geographically weighted regression analysis was performed on 8,625 adult males in single-person households who had been consuming alcohol for the past year. The Si-Gun-Gu was selected as the spatial unit. Results: The top 10 regions for problem drinking among adult males in single-person households were located in the Jeju-do and Jeollanam-do areas near the southern coast, whereas the bottom 10 regions were located in the Incheon and northern Gyeonggi-do areas. Smoking, economic activity, and educational level were common factors affecting problem drinking among this population. Among the determinants of regional disparities in problem drinking among adult males in single-person households, personal factors included age, smoking, depression level, economic activity, educational level, and leisure activity, while regional factors included population and karaoke venue ratio. Conclusion: Problem drinking among adult males in single-person households varies by region, and the variables affecting each particular area differ. Therefore, it is necessary to develop interventions tailored to individuals and regions that reflect the characteristics of each region by prioritizing smoking, economic activity, and educational level as the common factors.

Impact of Living Retail Business by Type on Apartment Prices according to COVID-19: Focusing on Global and Local Time Series Effects (코로나19에 따른 유형별 소매유통시설의 아파트 가격 영향: 전역적·국지적 시계열 효과를 중심으로)

  • Myung Jin Kim;Wonseok Seo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2023
  • This study conducted an empirical analysis of how different types of living retail businesses affected housing prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, with a particular focus on both global and local time series effects. The main findings are three folds: First, from a global perspective, the study discovered that the presence of living retail businesses had a significant impact on prices of nearby apartment, varying according to their type. Secondly, the impact of COVID-19 on the retail industry varied depending on the type of business. Thirdly, when viewed from a local standpoint, the impact of the retail business sector on apartment prices due to COVID-19 pandemic was substantial, varying across regions and business types. This implies that external shocks like COVID-19 have the potential to alter the role and perception of living retail businesses. In light of this, the study has put forth policy implications aimed at mitigating the adverse effects of living retail businesses and enhancing residential quality.

Spatial Variation in Land Use and Topographic Effects on Water Quality at the Geum River Watershed (토지이용과 지형이 수질에 미치는 영향의 공간적 변동성에 관한 연구 - 금강 권역을 중심으로)

  • Park, Se-Rin;Choi, Kwan-Mo;Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we investigated the spatial variation in land use and topographic effects on water quality at the Geum river watershed in South Korea, using the ordinary least squares(OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models. Understanding the complex interactions between land use, slope, elevation, and water quality is essential for water pollution control and watershed management. We monitored four water quality indicators -total phosphorus, total nitrogen, biochemical oxygen demand, and dissolved oxygen levels - across three land use types (urban, agricultural, and forested) and two topographic features (elevation and mean slope). Results from GWR modeling revealed that land use and topography did not affect water quality consistently through space, but instead exhibited substantial spatial non-stationarity. The GWR model performed better than the OLS model as it produced a higher adjusted $R^2$ value. Spatial variation in interactions among variables could be visualized by mapping $R^2$ values from the GWR model at fine spatial resolution. Using the GWR model, we were able to identify local pollution sources, determine habitat status, and recommend appropriate land-use planning policies for watershed management.

Exploring NDVI Gradient Varying Across Landform and Solar Intensity using GWR: a Case Study of Mt. Geumgang in North Korea (GWR을 활용한 NDVI와 지형·태양광도의 상관성 평가 : 금강산 지역을 사례로)

  • Kim, Jun Woo;Um, Jung Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2013
  • Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression is the primary statistical method in previous studies for vegetation distribution patterns in relation to landform. However, this global regression lacks the ability to uncover some local-specific relationships and spatial autocorrelation in model residuals. This study employed geographically weighted regression (GWR) to examine the spatially varying relationships between NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) patterns and changing trends of landform (elevation, slope) and solar intensity (insolation and duration of sunshine) in Mt Geum-gang of North-Korea. Results denoted that GWR was more powerful than OLS in interpreting relationships between NDVI patterns and landform/solar intensity, since GWR was characterized by higher adjusted R2, and reduced spatial autocorrelations in model residuals. Unlike OLS regression, GWR allowed the coefficients of explanatory variables to differ by locality by giving relatively more weight to NDVI patterns which are affected by local landform and solar factors. The strength of the regression relationships in the GWR increased significantly, by showing regression coefficient of higher than 70% (0.744) in the southern ridge of the experimental area. It is anticipated that this research output will serve to increase the scientific and objective vegetation monitoring in relation to landform and solar intensity by overcoming serious constraints suffered from the past non-GWR-based approach.

Environmental Impact Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Accident using Spatial Information Modeling: A Case Study of Chernobyl (공간정보 모델링을 이용한 원전 사고의 환경 영향 평가: 체르노빌 사례연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Won;Song, Ah-Ram;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2012
  • This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of advanced spatial modeling techniques for environmental monitoring and impact assessment through a case study of Chernobyl nuclear accident occurred in 1986. Land-cover types changed after the accident are analysed by a post classification comparison method using bi-temporal Landsat TM data acquired in 1986 and 1992 near the accident site. Spatial modeling including various kriging algorithms are also applied to analyze the relationships between Cesium concentrations in soil and thyroid cancer incidence rates in Belarus, which was greatly damaged by the accident. The change detection results clearly showed the decrease of croplands and the increase of abandoned lands, and concrete structures were newly built around the nuclear plant to prevent the spread of radioactive contamination. In Belarus, high Cesium concentrations were observed in southern areas with high thyroid cancer risk estimated by Poisson kriging. Geographically weighted regression, which could account for geographic variations of independent variables including Cesium concentrations and distances from the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, was applied to extract the relationships between the independent variables and the thyroid cancer risk. The estimated risk values showed a correlation coefficient value of 0.98 with respect to the thyroid cancer risk values, which implied that the thyroid cancer risk in Belarus was affected by the accident. In conclusion, it is expected that advanced spatial modeling techniques applied in this study would be useful for environmental impact assessment and public health research.

Analyzing Spatial Pattern by moving Factors of out-migration people Related moving to the Provinces of Capital Region Firms (수도권 유출인구의 공간적 패턴분석 및 이동영향 요인 분석 - 수도권 기업의 지방이전과 관련하여 -)

  • Hong, Ha-Yeon;Lee, Kil-Jae
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.155-175
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    • 2014
  • This study targets to recognize needs of spatial pattern analysis and to draw the relationship between relocation of Capital Region firms and population outflow in Capital Region through the regression analysis. The population outflow in Capital Region has moved to and around Yesan-gun and Asan-si. Also, such outflow is found to compose mostly one or two household members for their jobs. In addition to this study has analyzed to find effect factors through the Geographically Weighted Regression. The results of the analysis has confirmed that the most decisive factors affecting population flow from Capital Region to Chungcheongnam-do were population factors and transportation factors and others. Thus, the below policy implications could be derived and also may be applied toward Sejong City which are currently experiencing the relocating of Public sectors and new constructions. Firstly, the effect of Capital Region firms movement on population inflows could be better observed in small-scale towns like "kun" than larger-scale towns like "si.". On the other hand, people in Capital Region moved to larger-scale towns like "si" unlike the Capital Region firms. This difference implicates that people select their residence according to not only their jobs but also residential environment. Secondly, moving people from Capital Region to another region for their jobs are expected to appear more in a form of family units rather than individual units. Sejong city, where public organizations are being relocated, should recognize this particular Chungcheonnam-do phenomenon and be prepared to be more effectively used in perspectives of land use as well as urban planning.

Minimizing Estimation Errors of a Wind Velocity Forecasting Technique That Functions as an Early Warning System in the Agricultural Sector (농업기상재해 조기경보시스템의 풍속 예측 기법 개선 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-ock;Park, Joo-Hyeon;Hwang, Kyu-Hong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.63-77
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    • 2022
  • Our aim was to reduce estimation errors of a wind velocity model used as an early warning system for weather risk management in the agricultural sector. The Rural Development Administration (RDA) agricultural weather observation network's wind velocity data and its corresponding estimated data from January to December 2020 were used to calculate linear regression equations (Y = aX + b). In each linear regression, the wind estimation error at 87 points and eight time slots per day (00:00, 03:00, 06:00, 09.00, 12.00, 15.00, 18.00, and 21:00) is the dependent variable (Y), while the estimated wind velocity is the independent variable (X). When the correlation coefficient exceeded 0.5, the regression equation was used as the wind velocity correction equation. In contrast, when the correlation coefficient was less than 0.5, the mean error (ME) at the corresponding points and time slots was substituted as the correction value instead of the regression equation. To enable the use of wind velocity model at a national scale, a distribution map with a grid resolution of 250 m was created. This objective was achieved b y performing a spatial interpolation with an inverse distance weighted (IDW) technique using the regression coefficients (a and b), the correlation coefficient (R), and the ME values for the 87 points and eight time slots. Interpolated grid values for 13 weather observation points in rural areas were then extracted. The wind velocity estimation errors for 13 points from January to December 2019 were corrected and compared with the system's values. After correction, the mean ME of the wind velocities reduced from 0.68 m/s to 0.45 m/s, while the mean RMSE reduced from 1.30 m/s to 1.05 m/s. In conclusion, the system's wind velocities were overestimated across all time slots; however, after the correction model was applied, the overestimation reduced in all time slots, except for 15:00. The ME and RMSE improved b y 33% and 19.2%, respectively. In our system, the warning for wind damage risk to crops is driven by the daily maximum wind speed derived from the daily mean wind speed obtained eight times per day. This approach is expected to reduce false alarms within the context of strong wind risk, by reducing the overestimation of wind velocities.

Local Analysis of the spatial characteristics of urban flooding areas using GWR (지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 도시홍수 피해지역의 지역적 공간특성 분석)

  • Sim, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ji-Sook;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, the frequency and scale of the natural disasters are growing rapidly due to the global climate change. In case of the urban flooding, high-density of population and infrastructure has caused the more intensive damages. In this study, we analyzed the spatial characteristics of urban flooding damage factors using GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression) for effective disaster prevention and then, classified the causes of the flood damage by spatial characteristics. The damage factors applied consists of natural variables such as the poor drainage area, the distance from the river, elevation and slope, and anthropogenic variables such as the impervious surface area, urbanized area, and infrastructure area, which are selected by literature review. This study carried out the comparative analysis between OLS(Ordinary Least Square) and GWR model for identifying spatial non-stationarity and spatial autocorrelation, and in the results, GWR model has higher explanation power than OLS model. As a result, it appears that there are some differences between each of the flood damage areas depending on the variables. We conclude that the establishment of disaster prevention plan for urban flooding area should reflect the spatial characteristics of the damaged areas. This study provides an improved understandings of the causes of urban flood damages, which can be diverse according to their own spatial characteristics.

The Estimation of Temporal Change Patterns associated with Economic Growth and Urban Areas in a Border Region using DMSP-OLS Nighttime Imagery Data: The Case Study of Jilin Province, China (DMSP-OLS 야간영상자료를 이용한 접경지역의 경제성장과 시가지 면적의 시계열 변화 패턴 추정: 중국 지린성을 사례로)

  • Kim, Minho;Joh, Young-Kug
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.458-471
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    • 2019
  • DMSP-OLS nighttime satellite imagery could be used to derive the sum of lights (SOL) and built-up area, and the two indices have been widely employed to make the estimation of socio-economic variables and the dynamics of urban developments. Considering it, this research investigated the spatiotemporal patterns of economic growth and urbanized area in Jilin Province, China, using DMSP-OLS data for a time span between 1992 and 2012. This study found the SOLs of both the province and most cities to tend to grow during the period. While SOL-weighted centroids' means moved towards northwestern direction, urban-area centroids' means followed the trend of south-eastern migration. These directional patterns could be associated with the Northeast Revitalization Plan of Chinese governments. Nonetheless, a future study will need to consider SNPP VIIRS DNB imagery in order to overcome temporal limitation of DMSP-OLS data. In addition, it is also necessary to estimate socio-economic indices, e.g., growth regional domestic product, using a regression model developed with correlation relationship between economic statistics ad SOL.