• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.8
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• pp.795-805
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• 2013

Drought is one of the severe natural disasters and it can profoundly affect our society and ecosystem. Also, it is a very important variable for water resources planning and management. Therefore, the drought is analyzed in this study to understand the drought distribution and trend. The Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) is estimated using precipitation data obtained from 55 rain gauge stations in South Korea and the SPI based drought variables such as drought duration and drought severity were defined. Drought occurrence and joint probabilistic analysis for SPI based drought variables were performed with run theory and copula functions. And then the return period and spatial distribution of droughts on the South Korea was estimated. As the results, we have shown that Gongju and Chungju in Chungcheong-do and Wonju, Inje, Jeongseon, Taebeak in Gangwon-do have vulnerability to droughts.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.35 no.1B
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• pp.136-143
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• 2010

In this paper, we investigate decode-and-forward (DF) relaying systems with a direct link between the source and the destination node. The objective of this paper is to determine the better relaying strategy between 3-hop DF relaying and dual-hop DF relaying with the best relay selection. Assuming Rayleigh fading channels, we present closed-form outage probability of the 3-hop relaying and the dual-hop relaying, respectively, and compare the performances by numerical investigation. Numerical results show that if the channel is poor, the outage performance of the 3-hop relaying is better than the dual-hop relaying.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.1099-1112
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• 2018

The field of post-quantum cryptography (PQC) is an active area of research as cryptographers look for public-key cryptosystems that can resist quantum adversaries. Among those categories in PQC, code-based cryptosystem provides high security along with efficiency. Recent works on code-based cryptosystems focus on the side-channel resistant implementation since previous works have indicated the possible side-channel vulnerabilities on existing algorithms. In this paper, we recovered the secret key in HyMES(Hybrid McEliece Scheme) using a single power consumption trace. HyMES is a variant of McEliece cryptosystem that provides smaller keys and faster encryption and decryption speed. During the decryption, the algorithm computes the parity-check matrix which is required when computing the syndrome. We analyzed HyMES using the fact that the joint distributions of nonlinear functions used in this process depend on the secret key. To the best of our knowledge, we were the first to propose the side-channel analysis based on joint distributions of leakages on public-key cryptosystem.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.11
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• pp.545-551
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• 2016

In this study, we evaluate the braking performance of an urban railway vehicle to verify its basic safety condition. The braking performance evaluation methods, deceleration measurement and braked weight percentage, were compared for trains with different numbers of cars, in order to assess the advantages of each method and their compatibility. With a probabilistic braking model, the effect of the adhesion coefficient distribution was analyzed in accordance with the train composition. A train with many cars has a narrower deceleration distribution width than one with few cars. The braked weight percentage method is expected to be useful in the design of train signal systems, because it allows the braking distance to be calculated for various initial brake velocities. The deceleration distribution model and its results are expected to be useful as a basis for precise train signal design.

• Water for future
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.113-124
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• 1993

This study aims at the evaluation of the stationary distribution and the emptiness passage time for the effectiveness of water utility in the Keumgang estuary reservoir by two-step transition model. It was taken discrete Markovian correlated inflows for the joint probability of inflows and storage, and was used binomial distribution for inflows distribution. As the results, it was decreased from 0.952 to 0.904 the emptiness probability of the reservoir stationary distribution during 1952-1980, and from 0.900 to 0.829 during 1981-1989, and the average emptiness passage time was increased from 23 days to 37 days during 1952-1980, and from 29 days to 61 days during 1981-1989 at low state of storage. From this, it is found that the emptiness passage time is varied with the increase of the inflows auto-correlation coefficient in the Keumgang estuary reservoir. Therefore, it is understood that auto-correlation coefficient must be taken into consideration for the evaluation of water utility in a small reservoir at drought time.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2011.06a
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• pp.477-479
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 1차원 은닉 마코프 모델을 2차원으로 확장하기 위하여 노드들의 마코프 특성이 인과적인 관계를 갖는 마코프 메쉬 모델을 이용하여 완전한 2차원 HMM의 구조를 갖는 모델을 제안한다. 마코프메쉬 모델은 이웃시스템을 통하여 이전의 시점을 정의하고, 인과적인 관계를 통하여 전이확률의 계산을 가능하게 한다. 또한 영상의 최적의 분할을 위하여 계층적 디리슐레 과정을 사전분포로 두어 고정된 상태의 수가 아닌 무한의 상태 수를 갖는 2차원 HMM을 제안한다. HDP로 정의된 사전분포와 관측된 표본 자료의 정보를 갖는 우도함수를 결합한 사후분포의 베이스 추정은 깁스샘플링 알고리즘을 이용하여 계산된다.

• Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.179-194
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• 2020

A Bayesian approach was introduced to improve the belief of prior distributions of input parameters for the probabilistic safety assessment of radioactive waste repository. A GoldSim-based module was developed using the Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and implemented through GSTSPA (GoldSim Total System Performance Assessment), a GoldSim template for generic/site-specific safety assessment of the radioactive repository system. In this study, sequential Bayesian updating of prior distributions was comprehensively explained and used as a basis to conduct a reliable safety assessment of the repository. The prior distribution to three sequential posterior distributions for several selected parameters associated with nuclide transport in the fractured rock medium was updated with assumed likelihood functions. The process was demonstrated through a probabilistic safety assessment of the conceptual repository for illustrative purposes. Through this study, it was shown that insufficient observed data could enhance the belief of prior distributions for input parameter values commonly available, which are usually uncertain. This is particularly applicable for nuclide behavior in and around the repository system, which typically exhibited a long time span and wide modeling domain.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.4
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• pp.425-437
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• 2013

This study performed the bivariate drought frequency analysis for duration and severity of drought, using copula functions which allow considering the correlation structure of joint features of drought. We suggested the confidence intervals of duration-severity-frequency (DSF) curves for the given drought duration using stochastic scheme of monthly rainfall generation for 57 sites in Korea. This study also investigated drought risk via illustrating the largest drought events on record over 50 and 100 consecutive years. It appears that drought risks are much higher in some parts of the Nakdong River basin, southern and east coastal areas. However, such analyses are not always reliable, especially when the frequency analysis is performed based on the data observed over relatively short period of time. To quantify the uncertainty of drought frequency curves, the droughts were filtered by different durations. The 5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% confidence intervals of the drought severity for a given duration were estimated based on the simulated rainfall time series. Finally, it is shown that the growing uncertainties is revealed in the estimation of the joint probability using the two marginal distributions since the correlation coefficient of two variables is relatively low.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.91-99
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• 2006

Generally, a study of web caching is conducted on a performance improvement with structural approaches and a new hybrid method using existing methods, and studies on caching method itself. And existing analysis of reference-characteristic are conducted on a history analysis and a preference of users, a view point of data mining by log analysis. In this study, we analyze the reference-characteristic of web object on a view point of a characteristic of probability-distribution and a mean value of lifetime of a web-object. And using this result, we propose the new method for a performance improvement of a web-caching.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.10 no.2 s.34
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• pp.153-158
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• 2005

In this paper, an improved detection method is Proposed by supplementing multi-path gain for a MMSE detecter. This method is Proposed to complement the shortcomings of the conventional detection method which is used for multiuser detection in STBC CDMA system. We analyzed the improved method in bit error Probability viewpoint and compared the result with that of the conventional method In this result, we showed that the improved method obtains better performance of bit error probability than the conventional method when parameters such as delay, number of user and SNR are increased.