• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강우합성

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Flood Simulation using Vflo and Radar Rainfall Adjustment Data by Statistical Objective Analysis (통계적 객관 분석법에 의한 레이더강우 보정 및 Vflo를 이용한 홍수모의)

  • Noh, Hui Seong;Kang, Na Rae;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the use of radar rainfall data that can help tracking of the development and movement of rainfall's spatial distribution is drawing much attention in hydrology. The reliability of existing radar rainfall compared to gauge rainfall data on the ground has not yet been confirmed and so we have difficulties to apply the radar rainfall in hydrology. The radar rainfall for the applications in hydrology are adjusted merging method derived from gage. This study uses the Mean-Field Bias (MFB) and Statistical Objective Analysis (SOA) as correction methods to create adjusted grid-based radar rainfall data which can represent the temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall. This study used a storm event occurred in August 2010 for the adjustment of radar rainfall. In addition, the grid-based distributed rainfall-runoff model (Vflo), which enables more detailed examinations of spatial flux changes in the basin rather than the lumped hydrological models, has been applied to Gamcheon river basin which is a tributary of Nakdong River located in south-eastern part of the Korean peninsular and the basin area is $1005km^2$. The simulated runoff was compared with the observed runoff in an attempt to evaluate the usability of radar rainfall data and the reliability of the correction methods. The error range of peak discharge using each correction method was within 20 percent and the efficiency of the model was between 60 and 80 percent. In particular, the SOA method showed better results than MFB method. Therefore, the SOA method could be used for the adjustment of grid-based radar rainfall and the adjusted radar rainfall can be used as an input data of rainfall-runoff models.

Development of Geometric Moments Based Ellipsoid Model for Extracting Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Rainfall Field (강우장의 시공간적 특성 추출을 위한 기하학적 모멘트 기반 등가타원 모형 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;So, Byung-Jin;Kim, Min-Ji;Pack, Se-Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6B
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    • pp.531-539
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    • 2011
  • It has been widely acknowledged that climate system associated with extreme rainfall events was difficult to understand and extreme rainfall simulation in climate model was more difficult. This study developed a new model for extracting rainfall filed associated with extreme events as a way to characterize large scale climate system. Main interests are to derive location, size and direction of the rainfall field and this study developed an algorithm to extract the above characteristics from global climate data set. This study mainly utilized specific humidity and wind vectors driven by NCEP reanalysis data to define the rainfall field. Geometric first and second moments have been extensively employed in defining the rainfall field in selected zone, and an ellipsoid based model were finally introduced. The proposed geometric moments based ellipsoid model works equally well with regularly and irregularly distributed synthetic grid data. Finally, the proposed model was applied to space-time real rainfall filed. It was found that location, size and direction of the rainfall field was successfully extracted.

Study on Flood Prediction System Based on Radar Rainfall Data (레이더 강우자료에 의한 홍수 예보 시스템 연구)

  • Kim, Won-Il;Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Ahn, Won-Sik;Jun, Byong-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.1153-1162
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    • 2008
  • The use of radar rainfall for hydrological appraisal has been a challenge due to the limitations in raw data generation followed by the complex analysis needed to come up with precise data interpretation. In this study, RAIDOM (RAdar Image DigitalizatiOn Method) has been developed to convert synthetic radar CAPPI(Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator) image data from Korea Meteorological Administration into digital format in order to come up with a more practical and useful radar image data. RAIDOM was used to examine a severe local rainstorm that occurred in July 2006 as well as two other separate events that caused heavy floods on both upper and mid parts of the HanRiver basin. A distributed model was developed based on the available radar rainfall data. The Flood Hydrograph simulation has been found consistent with actual values. The results show the potentials of RAIDOM and the distributed model as tools for flood prediction. Furthermore, these findings are expected to extend the usefulness of radar rainfall data in hydrological appraisal.

Assessment and merging technique for GPM satellite precipitation product using ground based measurement (GPM 위성 강우자료의 검증과 지상관측 자료를 통한 강우 보정 기법)

  • Baik, Jongjin;Park, Jongmin;Kim, Kiyoung;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2018
  • Precipitation is a key variable to enhance the understanding of water cycle system and secure and manage the water resources efficiently. In this study, we evaluated the feasibility of GPM precipitation datasets through comparison with the 92 ASOS sites in South Korea during 2015. Additionally, three merging techniques (i.e., Geographical Differential Analysis, Geographical Ratio Analysis, Conditional Merging) were applied to improve accuracy of precipitation by fusing the advantages from point and satellite-based datasets. The results of this study are as follows. 1) GPM dataset indicated slightly overestimation with compared ASOS dataset, especially high uncertainties in summer season. 2) Validation of three merging techniques through jackniffe cross-validation showed that uncertainty were decreased as the spatial resolution increased. Especially, conditional merging showed the best performance among three methods.

Construction and evaluation of the radar-AWS accumulated rainfall calculation system (레이더-AWS 누적강수량 산출 시스템 구축 및 평가)

  • Ko, Hye-Young;Nam, Kyung-Yeub;Chang, Ki-Ho;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.94-94
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    • 2011
  • 최근에 산악지역에서의 국지성 강우에 의한 사고 발생이 증가하고 있고, 2009년에는 북한의 무단 댐방류로 인해 인명피해가 발생함에 따라서 산악이나 북한 지역과 같은 지역의 모니터링이 필요하게 되었으며, 강수량의 기후학적 분포의 특성과 같은 장기적인 강수량 정보가 필요하게 되었다. 레이더는 넓은 영역에 대해서 시 공간적으로 고해상도의 자료를 제공할 수 있기 때문에 국지 규모의 단시간 강수량 정보를 제공하는데 유용하다. 국립기상연구소(National Institute of Meteorological Research; NIMR)는 기존의 층운형 Z-R 관계식(Z=$200R^{1.6}$, Marshall-Palmer, 1948)을 이용한 레이더 강우강도 산출에서 과소추정 문제를 개선하기 위해 레이더-AWS 강우강도(Radar-AWS Rain rate; RAR) 산출 시스템을 개발하여 현재 운영하고 있다. RAR 산출 알고리즘은 각 레이더에 대해서 레이더 강우강도와 지상 AWS 우량계 자료를 비교하여 실시간으로 Z-R 관계식을 산출하여, 레이더 반사도를 강우강도로 변환하고, 이를 합성하여 한반도 영역에 대해서 강우강도 정보를 제공한다. 2010년에는 RAR 자료와 지상 AWS 우량계 자료를 이용하여 레이더-AWS 누적강수량을 산출하는 시스템을 구축하였으며, 현재 시험운영 중에 있다. 본 연구에서는 레이더-AWS 누적강수량의 정확도를 평가하기 위해서 2009년에 대해 레이더-AWS 누적강수량 자료와 지상 AWS 누적강수량 자료에 대해 RMSE, Bias 등의 통계값을 산출하였으며, 북한 지역에 대한 적용가능성을 분석하기 위해서 레이더 관측 반경 내의 북한 지역의 GTS 지점 자료를 이용하여 사례 분석하였다. 본 연구는 레이더 자료를 이용한 지상 관측 공백지역의 강수량에 대한 모니터링을 통하여 이러한 지역의 사고에 대비할 수 있고, 기후학적인 강수량 정보 제공 및 향후 유역별 레이더 면적강수지도 시험판 개발을 통하여 수문 기상 분야에 적용하여 효과적인 물관리에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Estimation of Flood Discharge using Satellite-derived Rainfall in Abroad Watershed (위성강우를 이용한 해외 유역 홍수량 추정)

  • Kim, Joo Hun;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyeong Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.250-250
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    • 2017
  • 글로벌 위성 기반의 강수량 관측에 대한 역사는 1979년에 Arkin의 의해 제안된 IR방법에 의해 위성으로부터 강우자료를 유도하는 개념이 도입된 이후 1987년 해양에서의 비교적 정확한 강수량 추정이 가능한 다중 채널의 마이크로파(MW) 복사계를 이용한 방법으로 위성강수 추정에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되었다. 이후 두 IR과 MW를 혼합한 방법에서, 또다시 1997년 TRMM위성의 PR(Precpipitation Radar)의 레이더를 이용하는 방법, 그리고 2014년 GPM 핵심 위성(GPM Core Observatory)에 탑재된 Dual PR에 의한 방법으로 위성강수의 정확도를 매우 높여가고 있다. 본 연구는 KOICA 사업으로 진행중인 모로코 세부강 유역 홍수방지 마스터플랜 사업에서 모로코 세부강 유역의 2010년 홍수사상에 대한 위성강우 및 지상계측 일일자료를 이용하여 홍수유출량을 추정하는 것으로 목적으로 하고 있다. 모로코 세부강(Oued Sebou) 유역은 모로코의 서북부에 위치하며 유역면적은 한강유역과 유사한 $38,380km^2$이고 하천연장은 450km로 모로코 국토면적의 약 7% 정도를 차지하며 모로코 농업생산의 중심지역이고 유역의 기후 및 기상 특성은 겨울철 온난다습하고 여름에 고온 건조한 지중해성 기후를 나타내며, 연강수량은 400mm이상으로 보고하고 있다(이산 등, 2015). 유역내 49개 관측소의 일일 강우량 자료를 분석한 결과 2000년부터 2010년까지의 유역 산술평균 강수량은 607.1mm/yr로 분석되었고, 2010년 가장 많은 강수를 기록한 지역은 Jbel oudka로 1874.1mm/yr였고, 가장 적은 강수량을 기록한 지역은 Allal Al Fassi - Barrage로 289.9mm/yr로 나타났다. 2010년 홍수가 발생한 시기인 2009년 12월 19일부터 2010년 1월 18일까지의 1시간 간격의 위성강우자료와 1일 관측 지상계측자료를 합성하여 위성보정강우량을 추정하였다. 보정 방법은 순위상관방법을 적용하였다. 사용한 모형은 일본 ICHARM에서 개발한 IFAS와 한국건설기술연구원의 MapWindow 기반 GRM 모형(mwGRM)을 이용하였다. 모형의 적용 결과 세부강 유역 본류의 첨두유출량은 $6,010m^3/s$(mwGRM)과 $5,878m^3/s$(IFAS)로 분석되었다. 향후 위성강우 및 지상계측 강우의 시계열적 정확도와 총강우량 등의 정확도 평가를 수행할 계획이다.

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Very short-term rainfall prediction based on radar image learning using deep neural network (심층신경망을 이용한 레이더 영상 학습 기반 초단시간 강우예측)

  • Yoon, Seongsim;Park, Heeseong;Shin, Hongjoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1159-1172
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    • 2020
  • This study applied deep convolution neural network based on U-Net and SegNet using long period weather radar data to very short-term rainfall prediction. And the results were compared and evaluated with the translation model. For training and validation of deep neural network, Mt. Gwanak and Mt. Gwangdeoksan radar data were collected from 2010 to 2016 and converted to a gray-scale image file in an HDF5 format with a 1km spatial resolution. The deep neural network model was trained to predict precipitation after 10 minutes by using the four consecutive radar image data, and the recursive method of repeating forecasts was applied to carry out lead time 60 minutes with the pretrained deep neural network model. To evaluate the performance of deep neural network prediction model, 24 rain cases in 2017 were forecast for rainfall up to 60 minutes in advance. As a result of evaluating the predicted performance by calculating the mean absolute error (MAE) and critical success index (CSI) at the threshold of 0.1, 1, and 5 mm/hr, the deep neural network model showed better performance in the case of rainfall threshold of 0.1, 1 mm/hr in terms of MAE, and showed better performance than the translation model for lead time 50 minutes in terms of CSI. In particular, although the deep neural network prediction model performed generally better than the translation model for weak rainfall of 5 mm/hr or less, the deep neural network prediction model had limitations in predicting distinct precipitation characteristics of high intensity as a result of the evaluation of threshold of 5 mm/hr. The longer lead time, the spatial smoothness increase with lead time thereby reducing the accuracy of rainfall prediction The translation model turned out to be superior in predicting the exceedance of higher intensity thresholds (> 5 mm/hr) because it preserves distinct precipitation characteristics, but the rainfall position tends to shift incorrectly. This study are expected to be helpful for the improvement of radar rainfall prediction model using deep neural networks in the future. In addition, the massive weather radar data established in this study will be provided through open repositories for future use in subsequent studies.

A study of Improvement on the Road Drainage Poor Site (도로배수 취약구간의 개선방안에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Man-Seok;Kim, Heung-Rae;Lee, Kyung-Ha;Kang, Min-Soo;Song, Min-Tae
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 2011
  • This research aims to investigate the cause of the occurrence of a weak road drainage section scientifically and specifically through a site survey for a poorly drained section occurring due to rainfalls during road operation. This paper deeply reviewed the existing research results and current situation data on the poorly drained sections accumulated in Korea Expressway Corporation in order to investigate the cause of the occurrence of a weak road drainage section, and deeply verified and analyzed the weak sections for the road surface drainage facilities and the other road drainage facilities by visiting the expressway controlled by the 6 local headquarters and 33 branches of Korea Expressway Corporation. As a result of site surveys for the weak road drainage sections, i) in a road surface section, occurrence of ponding in the road shoulder pavement due to slope changes, bad collection of water in the collecting well at a median strip, shortage of road shoulder dike height, and inferior construction, etc. was analyzed to be the main cause of the occurrence of poorly drained sections, and ii) in a road neighborhood section, the occurrence of pavement height difference in a main road and shoulder section due to inferior ditches on a slope and the bad drain age at the inlet and outlet of a culvert due to soil deposits, debris, etc. were analyzed to be the main cause of the occurrence of weak sections. Proposed as a plan to improve the poorly drainage section of road were i)calculation of capacity through material changes at the ditch, enhancement of vertical sections and hydraulic analysis in terms of construction and other aspects, ii)derivation of a combined slope considering a slope and a vertical linearity and maintenance of proper distance between drainage structures in a vertical concave section in terms of geometrical structure, and iii)calculation of the drainage facility installation interval using a minutely rainfall intensity formula and a non-uniform flow analysis technique in terms of hydraulics and hydrologics and prompt removal of rainfalls from the road surface according to a linear drainage method.

Technical Status of Microwave Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones (열대저기압 마이크로파 원격탐사의 기술 현황)

  • Choi, Geun-Chul;Yang, Chan-Su;Pack, Han-Il
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2006
  • This article reviews several microwave instruments employed in observation and analysis of tropical cyclones (TCs), typhoon, and hurricanes. Microwave signals are useful for observing tropical cyclones with severe storms since it isn't severely absorbed by the clouds and rain in the storm. The instruments discussed include scatterometers, microwave radiometers, synthetic aperture radars (SARs), and rain radar from space. The date such as winds, rainfall and cloud-distribution in the TCs obtained by microwave instruments provide important informations for forecasting the intensity and path of the typhoon. For example, there're wind-distribution provided by SSM/I which has a wide swath, detailed wind fields from ERS-1, 2 scatterometers and RADARSAT-1 SAR and TRMM's rain radar pro 떠 ding high resolution. Operational satellite instruments lunched recently have improved upon the problems of low resolution and narrow swath indicated at the beginning microwave remote sensing. Understanding and practical using sufficiently about the microwave instruments will serve for searching the features such as generation and development of the TCs.

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Improvement of Short-range Rainfall Forecasting Model using Multi-layer CAPPIs (다중 레이어 CAPPI를 이용한 단시간 강우 예보모형 개선)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Jong-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.623-626
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    • 2006
  • 일정한 시간간격으로 제공되는 연속된 두 장의 레이더 반사도(합성 CAPPI) 자료의 최대 상관계수를 찾아 냄으로써 강수의 움직임을 산출하는 TREC(Tracking Radar Echoes by Correlation) 기법은 동일 고도의 레이더 반사도 자료를 이용하기 때문에 수평방향의 2차원이며, 대류성 구름체계에서 발생되는 수직 활동을 표현할 수 없는 한계성을 지니고 있다. 본 연구에서는 여러 고도의 레이더 반사도 자료를 이용하여 기존의 TREC 기법을 이용한 단시간 예보모형을 개선하고자 하였다. 특정고도의 레이더 반사도를 이용하여 에코를 추적하는 TREC 기법의 단점을 보완하기 위하여 서로 다른 고도의 레이더 반사도를 이용함으로써 기존의 접근법보다 실제 강수의 움직임에 더욱 가깝도록 단시간 강우 예보 정확도를 개선하였다.

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