Importance of technology evaluation cannot be overemphasized to support the effective investment policy. Most of the technology evaluation relies on either quantitative analysis for the value or qualitative comparison due to some attribute. When qualitative comparison is made, typically not only individual attribute. but also overall score is evaluated by the committee of experts. In this paper, we consider the qualitative evaluation procedure used in a venture incubating center and validate if the relationship between the average score of individual attribute and the overall score is significant. Additionally, we identify if the initially evaluated scores are good indicators for the realized future value of technology. Structural equation modeling approach is used and we expect that our approach can make important contributions on improving the currently used technology evaluation method.

The main purpose of this study is to measure and compare the state of the art (SOA) of DNA chips of Korea, Japan and the United States using Gordon's scoring model. From the comparison, Korea's SOAs of DNA chip were estimated to be 70% and 62% of those of the United States in terms of functional and technical parameters, whereas Japan's SOAs were 79% and 77%, respectively. The results of this study could be applied to the strategic technology planning for narrowing the technology gap, and used as one of the key criteria for resource allocation in national R&D programs and the fundamental information to formulate the biotechnology policy for the Korean government.

Technological systems are defined as network(s) consisting of technological infrastructure, industrial organization, and institutional infrastructure. This paper reviews SEMATECH in the U.S. and VLSI Program in Korea as a technological system for semiconductor, which is an advanced technology. Several issues are addressed : how did they get started\ulcorner ; how have they been evolved\ulcorner ; how have the actors and institutions within the system interacted\ulcorner ; what role has the government played in that process\ulcorner Both systems were created by their government, respectively, and they have been evaluated as successful. However, while SEMATECH became complete eough in terms of technological infrastructure, industrial organization, and institutional infrastructure to generate sufficient increasing returns to develop in a self-reinforcing way, a series of VLSI program in Korea is still operated discontinuously under the government subsidy. SEMATECH is more flexible and stable than Korea's VLSI program in that the system has a centralized structure and has been managed and staffed by industry substantially. In addition, both cases show that a technological system may evolve having connections with foreign technological systems and local sub-systems beyond nations, regions and industries. Many other similarities, contrasts, and insights for technological policy from each country's experiences are presented.

In this paper, we propose a novel framework for technology policy aimed both for the generation and diffusion of new technologies. Based upon critical examination of related theories and practice of technology policy, we identify two major problems in current technology generation policy, and the segregated approach to technology diffusion policy from technology generation policy. To remedy these problems, we argue that two goals of technology policy of generation and diffusion should be integrated and synchronized via unified policy framework, and propose the conceptual configuration for policy implementation which can serve the desired objective.

One of the systematic attempts for technological forecasting is Delphi Method that externalizes and manipulates unformalized experts opinion in a particular problem or subject. It has, however, a critical shortcoming that it can not reflect the degree of interaction that exists among forecast events or subject. Gordon and Hayward(1969) criticize that when the forecast events are strongly interrelated, a totally unrealistic consensus may result. They proposed a new forecasting method that considers the interaction of events, that is, Cross Impact Analysis (CIA). A number of related models have been developed after them. In this study, we examine a variety of research results related to CIA obtained by literature survey and propose the limitation and future research direction. This analysis would be expected to help us to create a strategic scenario on future technology development at the government and firm level.

This paper analyzed the R&D activities of foreign companies in Korea. A survey was conducted using questionnaires along with the field interviews. The survey results show that some foreign companies in Korea actively carry out R&D indicating that Korea is becoming a R&D location for the multinational companies. It also shows the wide differences by industries, corporate size, foreign equity ratio, and home country of mother companies. It is suggested that Korean government should utilize the inward foreign direct investment to strengthen the national innovation system of Korea. Various policy measures were recommended to encourage foreign companies to have easier access to domestic R&D resources, carry out R&D activities, and interact with domestic R&D actors. It is also argued that it is necessary to eliminate negative environmental barriers perceived by foreign companies.

This paper analyses characteristics of the numerical controller industry in market formation and the flow of information between users and producers and the characteristic of knowledge base of the industry and discuses the difficulties derived, from the characteristics, in accumulation of technological capability. In market formation between users and producers, the multi-layered market is not favorable to domestic producers in that lower end market is not large enough to provide cradle market to them which produce inferior quality and lower price than imported products. The credibility of the performance of a product is different to prove until a critical mass of products are sold. Therefore gaining market share is deterred by unproven credibility of the performance of the product. The flow of information between users and producers is limited. The flow of information on users environment through mass market to producers is essential for improving credibility of a product. The nature of knowledge base is tacit and the means of knowledge transmission is limited. Technological licensing and reverse engineering, which have been conventional means of knowledge transmission, are not useful in the numerical controller industry. These characteristics provide conditions of vicious circle in accumulation of technological capability of the numerical controller industry. This paper argues that these characteristics of the industry challenge existing approach to R&D management and framework of science and technology policy.

Bioindustry is rapidly changing. Many biologists redefine biotechnlolgy as 'reprogramming the genetic codes of living things to suit cultural and economic needs and desires.'We regarded this change as the 'paradigm shift'in bioindustry. The genome research is reorganizing agricultural and environmental industries as well as a pharmaceutical industry. By analysing patent data granted in the United States from 1997 to 1999, we tried to explore the international patterns and trends of technological innovation in bioindustry, especially in the genome research. As the result, we could find that the United States'monopolistic position in the bioindustry was consolidated by the genome research. Competitive positions in the countries such as Japan and Germany, however, have been aggravated continuously. Korean inventors weren't also active in many biotechnological areas as comparing to developed countries such as US and UK. Especially, the gaps between Korea and developed countries in genome research were greater than any other areas.