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The Estimation of the Population by Using the Estimated Appropriate Rate Based on Customized Classification of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Industry

농축산식품산업 특수분류 기반 추정적격률을 이용한 모집단 추정

  • Received : 2022.10.17
  • Accepted : 2022.11.28
  • Published : 2023.03.31

Abstract

Through reorganization in 2008, The ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs integrated management of the food industry by transferred functions which was scattered in the Ministry of Health and Welfare, and established comprehensive policies covering the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries. In the agricultural industry sector, new business concepts such as smart farm and food tech have recently emerged alongside the fourth industrial revolution. In order for the Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs to develop appropriate policies for the fourth industrial revolution, it is necessary to accurately estimate the size of agricultural and livestock-related businesses. In 2017, the Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs initiated research for the agriculture, livestock and food industry's special classification, which was approved by the National Statistical Office in 2020. The estimation of the agriculture, livestock and food industry's size based on special classification is crucial because it has a substantial impact on the formulation and significance of policies. In this paper, the appropriate rate was derived from samples extracted from the special classification and the Korean standard industrial classification. Proposed are a method for estimating the population of the agricultural and livestock food industry, as well as a method for calculating the appropriate rate that more accurately reflects the population than the method currently in use.

농림축산식품부는 2008년 조직개편을 통해 식품 정책에 대한 기능이 이관되어 보건복지부 등에 산재하여 있던 식품산업을 통합관리 하게 되었고, 1, 2, 3차 산업을 포괄한 종합 정책을 수립하고 있다. 최근 4차 산업혁명과 더불어 농축산식품산업에도 스마트팜, 푸드테크 등 새로운 사업개념이 등장하였다. 농림축산식품부는 4차산업에 적합한 정책을 수립하기 위해 농축식품산업의 사업체 규모를 정확히 추정하는 것이 필요하게 되었다. 농림축산식품부는 전방과 후방 산업의 연계분석을 통한 부가가치 산출과 농축산식품산업의 정확한 모집단을 추정하기 위해서 2017년부터 농축산식품산업 특수분류를 위해 연구하기 시작하였고 통계청으로부터 농축산식품 특수분류 승인을 받았다. 특수 분류를 기반으로 한 농축산식품산업의 모집단 추정은 매출액, 종사자 수 등 전 산업에서 차지하는 비중이 정책의 수립과 중요도에 많은 영향을 미치기 때문에 매우 중요하다. 본 논문은 농축산식품 특수분류와 한국표준산업분류에서의 추출된 표본을 이용하여 현재적격률을 산정하고 모집단을 추정하는 과정과 현재적격률을 보완하기 위한 추정적격률을 제안하여 보다 모집단을 잘 반영하는 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

Keywords

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