한국지구과학회지 (Journal of the Korean earth science society)

  • 제43권2호
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  • Pages.283-302
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  • 2022
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  • 1225-6692(pISSN)
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  • 2287-4518(eISSN)
한국지구과학회 (The Korean Earth Science Society)
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WRF-Chem 모델을 활용한 동아시아의 인위적 배출량 변동에 따른 한국 미세 먼지 장거리 수송 기여도 분석

Analysis of the Long-Range Transport Contribution to PM10 in Korea Based on the Variations of Anthropogenic Emissions in East Asia using WRF-Chem

  • 이혜진 (한국교원대학교 지구과학교육과) ;
  • 조재희 (한국교원대학교 자연과학연구소)
  • Lee, Hyae-Jin (Department of Earth Science Education, Korean National University of Education) ;
  • Cho, Jae-Hee (Natural Science Institute, Korean National University of Education)
  • 투고 : 2022.03.28
  • 심사 : 2022.04.18
  • 발행 : 2022.04.30
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초록

2020년 1월 23일 이후 중국에서 신종 코로나바이러스 감염증(COVID-19)으로 인한 봉쇄 조치가 전국으로 확대되고 있었다. 그러나, 한국에서는 2020년 2월 1-2일에 PM10 질량농도 일평균 최대 88-98 ㎍ m-3의 고농도 연무가 발생하였다. 이 기간에 동아시아 지역은 850 hPa 기온 아노말리가 양(+), 동서류 아노말리는 음(-)으로 온난하고 정체적인 기단의 영향을 받고 있었다. 동아시아 지역의 인위적 배출량 감소에 따른 한국의 PM10 장거리 수송의 영향을 분석하기 위하여 WRF-Chem을 활용하였다. WRF-Chem에 인위적 배출량을 변화 없이 적용한 BASE와 인위적 배출량을 50%로 감소시켜 적용한 CTL의 PM10을 한국의 지상 측정값과 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. CTL에서 PM10의 IOA는 0.71로 BASE의 0.67보다 높게 나타났다. 이것은 중국의 COVID-19 봉쇄 조치로 인해 인위적 배출량이 감소한 것으로 분석된다. 또한, 한국 이외의 지역 배출량을 0으로 설정한 BASE_ZEOK와 CTL_ZEOK를 모의하여 BASE와 CTL에서의 장거리 수송 기여도의 변동을 분석하였다. CTL은 BASE와 비교하여 배출량이 50%로 감소하였지만 PM10 장거리 수송 기여도는 10-20% 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 동아시아 지역의 배출량 감소에 따라 풍하측 한국의 PM10 장거리 수송 기여도 변동이 선형적으로 반응하지 않는 것은 종관 기상 변동이 영향을 주는 것으로 보인다. 2월 1-2일 한국의 고농도 PM10 연무 사례에 대한 CTL에서 PM10 에어로졸 성분의 장거리 수송 기여도는 기타 무기물이 80-90%로 가장 높았고, 질산염은 30-60%, 황산염은 0-20%, 암모늄은 30-60%를 나타내고 있었다. 중국의 봉쇄 조치로 인하여 교통 및 물류 수송이 감소하면서 2차 에어로졸이 감소한 것으로 보인다.

Despite the nationwide COVID-19 lockdown in China since January 23, 2020, haze days with high PM10 levels of 88-98 ㎍ m-3 occurred on February 1 and 2, 2020. During these haze days, the East Asian region was affected by a warm and stagnant air mass with positive air temperature anomalies and negative zonal wind anomalies at 850 hPa. The Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) was used to analyze the variation of regional PM10 aerosol transport in Korea due to decreased anthropogenic emissions in East Asia. The base experiment (BASE), which applies the basic anthropogenic emissions in the WRF-Chem model, and the control experiment (CTL) applied by reducing the anthropogenic emission to 50%, were used to assess uncertainty with ground-based PM10 measurements in Korea. The index of agreement (IOA) for the CTL simulation was 0.71, which was higher than that of BASE (0.67). A statistical analysis of the results suggests that anthropogenic emissions were reduced during the COVID-19 lockdown period in China. Furthermore, BASE and CTL applied to zero-out anthropogenic emissions outside Korea (BASE_ZEOK and CTL_ZEOK) were used to analyze the variations of regional PM10 aerosol transport in Korea. Regional PM10 transport in CTL was reduced by only 10-20% compared to BASE. Synthetic weather variables may be another reason for the non-linear response to changes in the contribution of regional transport to PM10 in Korea with the reduction of anthropogenic emissions in East Asia. Although the regional transport contribution of other inorganic aerosols was high in CTL (80-90%), sulfate-nitrate-ammonium (SNA) aerosols showed lower contributions of 0-20%, 30-60%, and 30-60%, respectively. The SNA secondary aerosols, particularly nitrates, presumably declined as the Chinese lockdown induced traffic.

키워드

과제정보

이 성과는 정부(과학기술정보통신부)의 재원으로 한국연구재단의 지원을 받아 수행된 연구임(No. NRF-2022R1C1C2007533).

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