Prediction of Topographic Change in the Estuary of Nakdong River and Analysis of Its Contribution by External Force Condition

낙동강 하구 지형변화 예측 및 외력조건에 따른 기여도 분석

Abstract

It is very important to understand the mechanism of estuary topographic changes for the study of estuary management and treatment methods. In this study, the effects from the land-side, such as rainfall, river discharge, sediment discharge, and sea side, such as tide, tidal current, wave and surface sediments related to the topographic changes of the Nakdong river estuary were investigated and analyzed. Based on the analyzed data, topographic modeling was performed to analyze the topographic change and contribution of external force conditions. As a result of numerical modeling, the topographic change showed that erosion that predominates in the water directly affected by the discharge of the estuary barrage. The deposition predominates in the indirectly affected tideland. As sediments moved along the water way being sorted and distributed by the wave, the deposition predominated in the front of the barrier island. Compared with the deposition dominance, which is the result of the topographic change prediction, the impact of each external force condition gives larger erosion. However, the combined impact of each external force condition showed deposition dominant. Therefore, the topographic changes of the Nakdong river estuary are considered to be the result of various complex external factors. The impacts of each external force condition show the different contribution to each comparison area. These results should be considered when establishing the estuary management method. It must be understood that this is the result of complex interactions.

낙동강 하구의 지형변화 메커니즘을 파악하는 것은 하구의 관리방안과 처리방법 연구에 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 하구의 지형변화에 관여하는 강우, 하천유량, 유사량과 같은 육역으로부터 영향과 조석, 조류, 파랑, 표층퇴적물 등과 같은 해역으로부터의 영향을 조사 분석하였다. 분석된 자료에 근거하여 지형변화 실험을 수행하고, 지형변화와 외력조건별 기여도를 분석하였다. 수치실험 결과 지형변화는 하굿둑 방류 영향을 직접적으로 받는 수로부를 중심으로 침식이, 간접 영향권인 간석지를 중심으로 퇴적이 우세하게 나타났다. 수로부를 따라 이동되는 퇴적물이 파랑에 의해 분급, 배분되면서 울타리선 전면부에는 퇴적이 우세하였다. 지형변화 실험결과인 퇴적 우세현상과 비교하여, 외력조건별로 침식의 기여도가 크게 나타나고 있으나 각 외력조건의 복합적인 영향은 퇴적이 우세하게 나타나고 있다. 따라서, 낙동강 하구의 지형변화는 여러 복합적인 외력인자의 결과로 판단된다. 또한, 각 외력조건별 영향은 구역별로 상이한 기여도를 보이므로 하구관리방안 수립시 이러한 결과를 고려해야 하고, 반드시 복합적인 상호작용의 결과로 이해하고 있어야 할 것으로 사료된다.

Fig. 1 Computed area and grids

Fig. 2 Bathymertic chart and area for the calibration of topographic change model

Fig. 3 Time series of discharge during 2006-2016yr at Nakdong river estuary barrage

Fig. 4 Time series of suspended load during 2008-2016yr at Nakdong river estuary barrage

Fig. 5 Wave rose diagram at Geojedo buoy in 2016yr

Fig. 6 Calibration point for hydrodynamic model

Fig. 7 Calibration of tide at Gadukdo and Dadaepo

Fig. 8 Calibration of tide current at PC-1

Fig. 9 Calibration point for the topographic change model

Fig. 10 Calibration results of sediment rate

Fig. 11 Annual sedimentation rate

Fig. 12 Comparison area for the analysis of sedimentation rate

Fig. 13 Computed sedimentation rates for various time periods time

Fig. 14 Delft3D results about tide effects on sedimentation rates

Fig. 15 Delft3D results about river discharge effects on sedimentation rates

Fig. 16 Delft3D results about wave effects on sedimentation rates

Table 1 Sediment characteristics