The Journal of the Korea Contents Association (한국콘텐츠학회논문지)

The Korea Contents Association (한국콘텐츠학회)
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Trends of Import and Export by Each Continent in Korea and Plans to Increase Exports

한국의 각 대륙별 수출입 동향과 수출 증대방안

  • Received : 2018.09.11
  • Accepted : 2018.10.01
  • Published : 2018.11.28
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the trends of import and export of Korea by each continent and to find ways to increase export to Korea in the future. Each continent selected Asia, Europe, North America, Central and South America, and the Middle East. The analysis period was 220 months from January 2000 to April 2018, and data were collected from the KCS. Regression analysis showed that the coefficient was higher in Asia, Europe, North America, Middle East and Latin America. The markets of each continent moved independently of each other and were statistically significant at t statistic and p-value(${\leq}0.01$). As a result of this study, Asia and North America have been major export markets in Korea. Europe, the Middle East and Central and South America are emerging as new markets in Korea. In order to increase Korea's exports in the future, there is a need for continued interest in Asian markets including China & Southeast Asia.

본 연구의 목적은 각 대륙별 한국의 수출입액 동향을 살펴보고, 향후 한국 수출을 증대하기 위한 방안을 찾아보는데 있다. 각 대륙은 아시아, 유럽, 북미, 중남미, 중동을 선정하였다. 분석기간은 2000년 1월부터 2018년 4월까지 총 220개월이며, 관세청에서 자료를 수집하였다. 회귀분석결과, Coefficient가 아시아, 유럽, 북미, 중동, 중남미 순으로 높게 나왔다. 각 대륙별 시장은 서로 독립적으로 움직이고, t통계량과 p-value($${\leq_-}0.01$$)에서 통계적으로 유의하게 산출되었다. 최근 유럽, 중동, 중남미가 새로운 시장으로 부각되고 있다. 향후 한국의 수출 증대를 위해서는 중국과 동남아시아를 비롯한 아시아 시장에 대한 지속적인 관심이 필요하다. 또한 새로운 시장으로 떠오르는 유럽, 중동, 중남미에 대한 수출비중을 높이기 위해 효율적인 대응전략을 마련해야 한다.

Keywords

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_f0001.png 이미지

Figure 1. Growth Rate

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Figure 2. Change Rate

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_f0003.png 이미지

Figure 3. Distribution chart

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Figure 4. Scatter Chart

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Figure 5. ACF : Korea, Asia, Europe, North America, Central & South America, Middle East

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_f0006.png 이미지

Figure 6. Period according to Frequency

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Figure 7. Q-Q Charts

Table 1. Countries in each continent

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Table 2. Export Performance by Region

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0002.png 이미지

Table 3. Trade Balance by Region

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0003.png 이미지

Table 4. the Descriptive Statistics

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0004.png 이미지

Table 5. Correlation

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0005.png 이미지

Table 6. Regression Analysis: Dependent Variables - Korea

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0006.png 이미지

Table 7. Autocorrelation Function : Korea

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0007.png 이미지

Table 8. Missing Value Analysis

CCTHCV_2018_v18n11_285_t0008.png 이미지

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