대한교통학회지 (Journal of Korean Society of Transportation)

  • 제35권1호
  • /
  • Pages.25-36
  • /
  • 2017
  • /
  • 1229-1366(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2234-4217(eISSN)
대한교통학회 (Korean Society of Transportation)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

이륜자동차 안전검사제도 도입 시 교통사고절감효과 분석

Analysis of Traffic Accident Reduction Effect When Introducing Motorcycle Safety Inspection

  • 구자헌 (홍익대학교 도시계획과) ;
  • 장진영 (홍익대학교 도시계획과) ;
  • 추상호 (홍익대학교 건설도시공학부)
  • KOO, Jahun (Department of Urban Planning, Hongik University) ;
  • JANG, Jinyoung (Department of Urban Planning, Hongik University) ;
  • CHOO, Sang Ho (School of Urban & Civil Engineering, Hongik University)
  • 투고 : 2016.10.17
  • 심사 : 2017.02.22
  • 발행 : 2017.02.28
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

본 연구는 이륜자동차의 안전검사제도가 도입될 경우 교통사고 절감효과에 관한 분석을 다루고 있다. 이를 위하여 우선, 독일 차량 및 운전자 연방국의 차령별 결함률을 이용하여 국내 차령별 이륜자동차 결함대수를 추정하고, 도로교통공단의 4년간 차량결함에 따른 사고건수 자료를 바탕으로 차량결함으로 인한 교통사고 확률을 산정한 뒤, 검사제도로 인한 차량결함 제거비율을 적용하여 검사제도 도입으로 인한 교통사고 감소건수 및 감소된 교통사고비용을 추정하였다. 배기량별 제도도입을 가정하여 시나리오를 구분하여 분석하였는데, 전체 이륜자동차를 대상으로 안전검사제도를 도입 할 경우 교통사고 642건/연 및 교통사고비용 325억 원/연이 감소되는 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 2014년 국내교통사고비용 26조 5,725억 원/연의 약 0.1%에 해당되는 수준으로 이륜자동차 안전검사제도 도입 시 차량적 요인으로 인한 교통사고 및 교통사고비용이 감소되는 기대효과를 제시하였다.

The purpose of this study is to analyze traffic accident reduction effect of the introduction of motorcycle safety inspection. To analyze the effect of motorcycle inspection, we first estimate the number of defective motorcycles, and calculate the probability of accident occurrences caused by the defect using four year traffic accident data. Finally, we estimate the number of reduced accidents due to the introduction of the inspection and the total reduced accident cost. In this study, we analyzed three scenarios. It is analyzed that when the safety inspection system is applied to all motorcycles, 642 cases of traffic accidents and 325 million won per year of traffic accident costs are reduced. It is approximately 0.1% of 2014 total traffic accident cost of 26.5725 trillion won per year. It suggests that the cost of traffic accidents and traffic accidents due to vehicle factors are reduced when the safety inspection system is introduced.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Bang S. H., Lee J. S. (2013), An Analysis for Expected Effect of the Introduction of Motorcycle Safety Inspection, Journal of the Korean Society of Road Engineers, 15(5), Korean Society of Road Engineers, 157-166.
  2. Cho H. S., Shim J. I., Kim J. R. (2007), Quantitative Effectiveness Analysis of Vehicle Inspection, J. Korean Soc. Transp., 25(3), Korean Society of Transportation, 65-74.
  3. Choi J. W., Kum K. J. (2014), Analysis of Factors Influencing Severity of Motorcycle Accidents using Ordered Probit Model, International Journal of Highway Engineering, 16(5), Korea Society of Road Engineers, 143-154. https://doi.org/10.7855/IJHE.2014.16.5.143
  4. Christensen P., Elvik R. (2007), Effects on Accidents of Periodic Motor Vehicle Inspection in Norway, Accident Analysis and Prevention, 39, Accident Analysis and Prevention, 47-52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2006.06.003
  5. European union (2014), http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/, 2016.12.12.
  6. German Federal Bureau of Motor Vehicles and Drivers (2014), Fahrzeuguntersuchungen (FU) - Hauptuntersuchungen und Einzelabnahmen nach Überwachungsinstitutionen, German Kraftfahrt Bundesamt
  7. Hong J. Y., Lee S. B., Kim J. H. (2014), Development of Traffic Accident Frequency Prediction Model by Administrative zone: A Case of Seoul, Journal of the Korea Society of Civil Engineers, 35(6), Korea Society of Civil Engineers, 1297-1308. https://doi.org/10.12652/KSCE.2015.35.6.1297
  8. Iamtrakul P., Tanaboriboon Y., Hokao K. (2003), Analysis of Motorcycle Accidents in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Khon Kaen, Thailand, Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 5, the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 147-162.
  9. Josepth G. M., George A. O. (1982), Motor Vehicle Inspection and Accident Mortality: A Reexamination, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 49(3), The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 423-435. https://doi.org/10.2307/252496
  10. Korea Development Institute (2008), Standard Guidance on Preliminary Feasibility of Road and Railway, 346-347. (도 로․철도 부문 사업의 예비타당성조사 표준지침 수정․보완 연구)
  11. Korea Motorcycle Industry Association(KoMIA), http://www.komia.org, 2016.7.21.
  12. Korea Statistical Information Service(KOSIS), http://kosis.tr, 2016.7.21.
  13. Korea Transportation Safety Authority (2012), A Study on Ways to Improve Vehicle Inspection System, Gimcheon, South Korea, 1-530.
  14. Li Y., Qiu J., Liu G. D., Zhou J. H., Zhang L., Wang Z. G., Zhao X. C., Jiang Z. Q. (2008), Motorcycle Accidnets in China, Chinese Journal of Traumatology, 11(4), Chinese Journal of Traumatology, 243-246. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1008-1275(08)60050-4
  15. Lim S. J., Park J. T. (2013), Development of Traffic Accident Models in Seoul Considering Land Use Characteristics, Journal of the Korea Society of Disaster Information, 9(1), Korea Society of Disaster Information, 30-49.
  16. Park J. H., Yun D. G., Sung J. G. (2013), Analysis on Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity - Case Study: Arterial Included Curve Section, Journal of the Korean Society of Safety, 28(6), Korean Society of Safety, 84-89. https://doi.org/10.14346/JKOSOS.2013.28.6.084
  17. Road Traffic Authority (2009), Causal Analysis of Traffic Accidents: Analysis of a Character of Motorcycle Accidents, Seoul, South Korea, 3-112. (교통사고 요인분석: 이륜차사고 특성분석을 중심으로)
  18. Road Traffic Authority (2015), 2014 Cost Estimation and Evaluation of Road Traffic Accidents, Seoul, South Korea, 83. (2014 도로교통 사고비용의 추계와 평가)
  19. Shankar V., Mannering F. (1996), An Exploratory Multinomial Logit Analysis of Single-Vehicle Motorcycle Accident Severity, Journal of Safety Research, 27(3), Journal of Safety Research, 183-194. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-4375(96)00010-2
  20. The Korea Transport Institute (2013), The Plan of Introduction of Motorcycle Safety Inspection, Sejong, South Korea, 1-115. (이륜자동차 검사제도 도입방안 연구)
  21. Traffic Accident Analysis System(TAAS), http://taas.koroad.kr, 2016.7.21.