대한교통학회지 (Journal of Korean Society of Transportation)

  • 제35권1호
  • /
  • Pages.11-24
  • /
  • 2017
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  • 1229-1366(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2234-4217(eISSN)
대한교통학회 (Korean Society of Transportation)
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신호교차로의 과속운전자 특성 및 심각도 분석

Severity and Characteristics of Speeding Offenders at Signalized Intersection

  • 박정순 (도로교통공단 교통과학연구원) ;
  • 오주택 (한국교통대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 조규철 (도로교통공단 교통과학연구원)
  • PARK, Jeong Soon (Traffic Science Institute, Korea Road Traffic Authority) ;
  • OH, Ju Taek (Department of Urban Engineering, Korea National University of Transportation) ;
  • CHO, Kyu Chul (Traffic Science Institute, Korea Road Traffic Authority)
  • 투고 : 2016.06.10
  • 심사 : 2016.08.11
  • 발행 : 2017.02.28
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초록

교통안전을 저해하는 운전자의 과속을 감소시키기 위한 수많은 노력에도 불구하고 교통사고는 큰 변화가 없다. 청주의 39개 다기능단속카메라에서 수집한 과속단속 자료에는 최근 3년간의 과속단속 전력을 포함한 인구통계학적 특성들과 다양한 차량 및 도로환경적 요인들을 포함하고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 과속운전자의 특성과 과속심각도의 영향요인을 알아보기 위함으로 순서형 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용하였다. 주요 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 사업용차량 운전자들은 일반 차량운전자들에 비해 제한속도를 30km/h 이상 초과하는 심각한 수준의 상습적 과속운전자 집단이다. 둘째, 연구대상의 76.7%를 차지하는 중간 단계의 과속운전은 주로 도시외곽부와 지방부에서 많이 발생한다. 신호교차로에서의 과속심각도에 영향을 많이 주는 요인으로는 과속단속 전력, 제한속도, 주야간 시간대, 운전자의 성별 및 교로의 공간적 위치 변수가 선정되었다. 그리고 순서형 로지스틱 회귀분석에 의해 통계적으로 유의한 모형이 개발되었다(McFadden R-square : 0.296).

Although many efforts to stop speeding or inappropriate speed, it failed to reduce the number of speeding-related crashes. Therefore, it is important to analyze the characteristics of speeding offenders and the cause of speeding at hot spots. In this study, we investigate the level of severity in speeding by the characteristics of speeding offenders using the Ordered Logistics Regression Models(OLRM). For the analysis, we use the speeding data collected by 39 traffic enforcement cameras in city of Cheongju and other related data including the speeding ticket history of drivers during the most recent 3 years, their demographic characteristics, their own vehicles, and road environment factors. The major results of this study are as follows. Firstly, commercial fleet drivers are more likely to repeat the conviction of high-range speeding with more than 30km/h over speed limits than other drivers. Secondly, mid-range speeding are observed as 21,462 frequency which is 76.7% of total speeding frequency and occurred mostly at suburban and rural area. It concludes that contributory factors affecting the severity of speeding at signalized intersection are drivers' speeding offence history, posted speed limits, time of day, gender of driver, and location of the intersection as show by the OLRM developed in this study(McFadden R-square : 0.296).

키워드

참고문헌

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피인용 문헌

  1. 순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 버스 운송사업 유형 별 사고심각도 영향요인 분석 vol.36, pp.1, 2017, https://doi.org/10.7470/jkst.2018.36.1.013