Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment (환경영향평가)

Korean Society of Environmental Impact Assessment (한국환경영향평가학회)
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A Time-Series Study of Ambient Air Pollution in Relation to Daily Mortality Count in Yeosu

여수시의 대기오염과 일별 사망의 상관성에 관한 연구 - 미세먼지와 이산화황을 대상으로 -

  • Park, Hee-Jin (Department of Environmental Health Science, Soonchunhyang University) ;
  • Woo, Kyung-Sook (Department of Environmental Health Science, Soonchunhyang University) ;
  • Chung, Eun-Kyung (School of Public Health, Seoul National University) ;
  • Kang, Tack-Shin (National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Kim, Geun-Bae (National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Yu, Seung-Do (National Institute of Environmental Research) ;
  • Son, Bu-Soon (Department of Environmental Health Science, Soonchunhyang University)
  • Received : 2014.11.14
  • Accepted : 2015.02.03
  • Published : 2015.02.28
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Abstract

The association between daily total/cardiovascular mortality and air pollution in Yeosu was investigated over 11-year period (January 2001 to December 2011). The purpose of this study was to evaluate th relative importance of the major air pollutants [particulate matter ($PM_{10}$), sulfur dioxide ($SO_2$)] as predictors of daily total/cardiovascular mortality. People aged 65 and older showed total mortality increase by 5.0% with $SO_2$ concentration increase by 11.67ppb(IQR) was found to raise mortality caused by circulatory diseases by 8.6%, exhibiting a statistically significant result.

본 연구는 2001년 1월부터 2011년 12월까지 국가산단인 여수시 인구집단을 대상으로 일일 사망자료와 환경측정자료 및 기상자료를 이용하여 대기오염 물질 중 미세먼지($PM_{10}$)와 이산화황($SO_2$)이 일별 총 사망과 심혈관계 사망에 미치는 영향을 추정하였다. 대기오염과의 상관성분석은 S-Plus 프로그램을 이용한 generalized additive models(GAM)을 적용하여 시계열(Time-Series) 분석법을 실시하였다. 총 사망의 위해도는 65세 이상에서 $SO_2$의 농도가 11.67ppb(IQR) 증가함에 따라 5.0% 증가하였고, 심혈관계 사망의 위해도는 전체연령에서 8.6% 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 지연효과는 총 사망과 심혈관계 사망의 모든 연령 그룹에서 사망 당일부터 7일 전 $SO_2$농도와 가장 관련성이 높은 것으로 분석되었다.

Keywords

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