On the Determination of Slope Stability to Landslide by Quantification(II)

수량화(數量化)(II)에 의한 산사태사면(山沙汰斜面)의 위험도(危險度) 판별(判別)

In order to get the fundamental information that could be useful to judge the potentiality of occurrence of rapid shallow landslide in the objective slope, factors selected on Jinhae regions in Korea, where many landslides were caused by heavy rainfall of daily 465 mm and hourly 52mm in August 1979, was carried out through the multiple statistics of quantification method (II) by the electronic computer. The net system with $2{\times}2cm$ unit mesh was overlayed with the contour map of scale 1:5000. 74 meshes of landslides and 119 meshes of non-landslide were sampled out to survey the state of vegetative cover and geomorphological conditions, those were divided into 6 items arid 27 categories. As a result, main factors that would lead to landslide were shown in order of vegetation, slope type, slope position, slope, aspect and numbers of stream. Particularly, coniferous forest of 10 years old, concave slope and foot of mountain were main factors making slope instability. On the contrary, coniferous forest of 20-30 years old, deciduous forest, convex slope and summit contributed to the stable against Landslide. The boundary value between two groups of existence and none of landslides was -0.123, and its prediction was 72%. It was well predicted to divide into two groups of them.

산사태안전도판별(山沙汰安全度判別)에 대한 기초자료를 얻기 위하여 1979년(年) 8월(月) 집중호우(集中豪雨)(일강우량(日降雨量) 465mm)에 의하여 산사태(山沙汰)가 발생한 진해지구(鎭海地區)를 모델로 하여 이 지구(地區)의 지형도상(地形圖上)($S=\frac{1}{5,000}$)에 $2cm{\times}2cm$(실면적(實面積) $100m{\times}100m=1ha$) 단위의 격자(格子)를 얹어 산사태지(山沙汰地) 74개, 비산사태지(非山沙汰地) 119개 계(計) 193개의 mesh에 대하여 산사태발생(山沙汰發生)의 각(各) 요인(要因) 및 수준(水準)을 계측(計測)하여 수량화(數量化)(II)의 수법(手法)에 의하여 해석(解析)한 결과 산사태발생(山沙汰發生)에 기여도(寄與度)가 높은 요인(要因)의 순위(順位)는 다음과 같다. 1) 식생(植生), 2) 종단사면형(縱斷斜面形), 3) 사면위치(斜面位置), 4) 경사(傾斜), 5) 방위(方位), 6) 곡수(谷數). 또 침엽수(針葉樹) 10년생(年生) 내외, 복합사면(複合斜面), 하강사면(下降斜面), 산록(山麓), 경사(傾斜), $10^{\circ}-15^{\circ}$, 방위(方位) NW, 곡수(谷數) 1개의 각(各) 수준(水準)이 불안전측(不安全側)에, 침엽수(針葉樹) 20~30년생(年生), 활엽수(濶葉樹), 상승사면(上昇斜面), 평형사면(平衡斜面), 산정(山頂) 등의 수준(水準)이 안전측(安全側)에 기여(寄與)하고 있다. 그리고 판별구분치(判別區分値)는 -0.123이고 적중률(適中率)은 72%로서 비교적 양호한 양(兩) group구분(區分)을 할 수 있었다.