• Title/Summary/Keyword: world risk society

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A Study on the Optimal Operation and Policy of the Boryeong Dam Diverion Pipe Line Using the SWAT Model (SWAT 모형을 이용한 보령댐 도수로 운영 방안 및 정책 연구)

  • Park, Bumsoo;Yoon, Hyo Jik;Hong, Yong Seok;Kim, Sung Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.546-558
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    • 2020
  • While industrialization has provided in abundance, the pollution it creates has caused untold damage to the environment, increasing the frequency and severity of natural disasters through changes in global climate patterns. The World Risk Forum's (WEF) World Risk Report presented the results of a survey of experts from around the world detailing the most influential risk factors over the next decade. Notably, the failure to respond to climate change ranked first and the global water crisis third. The extreme drought in the western Chungnam province was unexpected in 2016. At the time, the water level of Boryeong Dam was drastically decreased due to receiving less than half the average recorded rainfall in the region that year. The Boryeong Dam diversion pipeline has the capacity to solve the water shortage problem between these two regions by providing water from Geumgang to the western part of Chungnam, including Boryeong City. Current weather trends suggest drought is likely to continue in western Chungnam, which uses the Boryeong Dam as an intake source. This makes it necessary to operate Boryeong Dam diversion pipeline in an efficient and effective manner. SWAT is a watershed scale model developed to predict the impact of land management practices on water. The SWAT model was used in this study to evaluate the adequacy of the Boryeong Dam diversion pipeline operational plan by comparing it to present Boryeong Dam diversion pipeline operation. By investigating the number of days required to reach each reservoir stage, we determined that the number of days required to reach the boundary stage was less than that of the current operation. This determination accounts for the caveats that the Boryeong Dam waterway was not operated and only one pump will be operated from October to May of next year. As our results suggest, the most stable operation scenario is to operate two pumps at all times. This can be accomplished by operating two pumps from the caution stage to increase the number of pumps whenever the stage is raised. In addition to the stable operation of the Boryeong Dam pipeline, policy considerations are required with regard to imposing a water use charge on users of the Boryeong Dam region.

The Application of Safety Impact Assessment to Tunnel Construction (터널공사에서의 안전영향평가의 적용)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Choi, Bong-Joon;Seo, Jong-Won
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.545-548
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the concept of safety impact assessment to achieve 'Design-for-Safety' in design phase is introduced. For this purpose, safety impact assessment model was devised and a methodology using the risk-based safety impact assessment approach for NATM of tunnel projects is suggested. The suggested methodology includes safety information survey, classification of safety impact factors caused by design and construction, and quantitative estimation of magnitude and frequency of safety impact factors. A real-world case study on the safety impact assessment of a tunnel construction project is also provided in the paper.

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HbA1C value and Pre-diabetes Early Detection in the Independent Community Pharmacy

  • Oh, C.T.
    • Proceedings of the PSK Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.72.2-72.2
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    • 2003
  • Lifestyle change in the world is spawning an epidemic of Global Obesity. (Newsweek August 11. 2003) People with overweight are at great risk of developing Type II diabetes. The A1C value provides an objective assessment of glucose control over the previous six to eight weeks. The American Diabetes Association recommended values for blood glucose and A1C appear in TABLE 4. In case one who was found to have >7% HbA1C, he(she) may be a patient with pre-DM or DM II. (omitted)

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A Study on the Efficiency and Information for Future Market of Japan's Frozen Shrimp (일본 냉동새우 선물시장의 효율성과 정보흐름에 관한 연구)

  • Rhee, Byung-Kun;Jeon, Hye-Min;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.51-74
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to ascertain that how the futures market of the Japanese frozen shrimp that is the only fisheries asset all over the world can be efficient. Accordingly, this paper examines efficiency and information flow of the Japanese frozen shrimp market using data from Kansai Commodities Exchange frozen shrimp futures closing prices and spot prices. And then this paper estimates a forward price model using that data. From the model, risk premium is estimated and we could also analyse the future information flow into the futures market which reveals future spot prices. This thesis reached to conclusions as follows: First, the null of zero risk premium is rejected and the value of that is negative. Second, the time pattern of information flow into the futures market is that most of the information on future price arrives within a week and for the last week, most of relevant information is already incorporated. The result of this study contrasts with that of Stockman(1978) about currency futures market of U.S.

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Two dimensional reduction technique of Support Vector Machines for Bankruptcy Prediction

  • Ahn, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Lee, Ki-Chun
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.608-613
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    • 2007
  • Prediction of corporate bankruptcies has long been an important topic and has been studied extensively in the finance and management literature because it is an essential basis for the risk management of financial institutions. Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are becoming popular as a tool for bankruptcy prediction because they use a risk function consisting of the empirical error and a regularized term which is derived from the structural risk minimization principle. In addition, they don't require huge training samples and have little possibility of overfitting. However. in order to Use SVM, a user should determine several factors such as the parameters ofa kernel function, appropriate feature subset, and proper instance subset by heuristics, which hinders accurate prediction results when using SVM In this study, we propose a novel hybrid SVM classifier with simultaneous optimization of feature subsets, instance subsets, and kernel parameters. This study introduces genetic algorithms (GAs) to optimize the feature selection, instance selection, and kernel parameters simultaneously. Our study applies the proposed model to the real-world case for bankruptcy prediction. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of conventional SVM may be improved significantly by using our model.

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Lifestyle and Cancer Risk

  • Weiderpass, Elisabete
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.459-471
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    • 2010
  • The main behavioural and environmental risk factors for cancer mortality in the world are related to diet and physical inactivity, use of addictive substances, sexual and reproductive health, exposure to air pollution and use of contaminated needles. The population attributable fraction for all cancer sites worldwide considering the joint effect of these factors is about 35% (34 % for low- and middle-income countries and 37% for high-income countries). Seventy-one percent of lung cancer deaths are caused by tobacco use (lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death globally). The combined effects of tobacco use, low fruit and vegetable intake, urban air pollution, and indoor smoke from household use of solid fuels cause 76% of lung cancer deaths. Exposure to these behavioural and environmental factors is preventable; modifications in lifestyle could have a large impact in reducing the cancer burden worldwide. The evidence of association between lifestyle factors and cancer, as well as the main international recommendations for prevention are briefly reviewed and commented upon here.

Current Status of Spontaneous Adverse Reactions Reporting System on Herbal Medicine in China, Japan, Korea and WHO (중국, 일본, 한국, WHO의 한약 자발적부작용보고체계 현황)

  • Woo, Yeon-Ju;Chung, Soo-Youn;Park, Byung-Joo
    • The Journal of Internal Korean Medicine
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2014
  • Drugs may cause adverse effects, and spontaneous adverse drug reaction (ADR) reports have been used as the main method of drug safety evaluation after drugs have been released. The World Health Organization (WHO) collects ADR data reported from pharmacovigilance organizations in each nations. In China, pharmacovigilance centers operate with hierarchical structure at local, provincial and national levels. Also, Japan and Korea each operate their own respective independent pharmacovigilance organizations. WHO is collecting ADR reports for herbal medicine and 15~20% of all ADRs was related to herbal medicine in China. There are status reports of ADRs for herbal medicine in Japan as well. However, in Korea, there is no ADR reporting system regarding herbal medicine. In light of these overseas cases, a spontaneous ADR reporting system for herbal medicine in Korea should be necessary as well.

2018 심방세동 카테터 절제술 대한민국 진료지침: PART I

  • Park, Hyeong-Seop;Jeong, Dong-Seop;Yu, Hui-Tae;Park, Hui-Nam;Sim, Jae-Min;Kim, Ju-Yeon;Kim, Jun;Lee, Jeong-Myeong;Kim, Gi-Hun;No, Seung-Yeong;Jo, Yeong-Jin;Kim, Yeong-Hun;Yoon, Namsik
    • International Journal of Arrhythmia
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.186-234
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    • 2018
  • Catheter and surgical ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) have evolved from investigational procedures to their current role as effective treatment options for patients with AF. Surgical ablation of AF is available in most major hospitals throughout the world. Catheter ablation of AF is even more widely available, and is now the most commonly performed catheter ablation procedure. Management of patients with AF has traditionally consisted of three main components: (1) anticoagulation for stroke prevention; (2) rate control; and (3) rhythm control. With the emergence of large amounts of data, which have both defined and called attention to the interaction between modifiable risk factors and the development of AF and outcomes of AF management, we believe it is time to include risk factor modification as the fourth pillar of AF management. Catheter and surgical ablation of AF are highly complex procedures, therefore a decision to perform catheter or surgical AF ablation should only be made after a patient carefully considers the risks, benefits, and alternatives to the procedure.

Anemia as a Risk Factor of Mortality and Rehospitalization in Patients with Heart Failure : An Integrative Review (심부전 환자의 빈혈과 사망률 및 재입원 간의 관계에 대한 통합적 고찰)

  • Son, Youn-Jung;Kim, Bo-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Critical Care Nursing
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.94-108
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    • 2019
  • Purpose : Heart failure (HF) is considered an important medical burden with rehospitalization and mortality. Anemia is a major risk factor associated with the severity of HF. To improve the understanding of the impact of anemia in the population with HF, we explored the prevalence of anemia, its guidelines, relationship between anemia and mortality or rehospitalization, and limitation of reviewed papers of various populations with HF. Method: We used Whittemore and Knafl's integrative review methodology (2005), and thirty research papers were analyzed. PubMed, CINAHL, Cochrane, PsychInfo, Embase, Web of Science were searched for papers published between January 1960-June 2018. Results: Anemia in individuals with HF was primarily defined using the World Health Organization guideline. The prevalence of anemia in patients with HF varied from 9% to 56.7%. Moreover, such a condition significantly increases the prevalence of mortality or rehospitalization in patients with HF. The analyzed majority were non-prospective cohort study including secondary data analysis. Conclusion: Anemia in individuals with HF is a significant risk factor of mortality and rehospitalization. Prospective cohort studies should be designed to identify the optimal value for screening anemia and the impact of anemia on rehospitalization and mortality among HF patients.

Asbestos is Still with Us: Repeat Call for a Universal Ban

  • Ramazzini, Collegium
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2010
  • All forms of asbestos are proven human carcinogens. All forms of asbestos cause malignant mesothelioma, lung, laryngeal, and ovarian cancers, and may cause gastrointestinal and other cancers. No exposure to asbestos is without risk, and there is no safe threshold of exposure to asbestos. Asbestos cancer victims die painful lingering deaths. These deaths are almost entirely preventable. When evidence of the carcinogenicity of asbestos became incontrovertible, concerned parties, including the Collegium Ramazzini, called for a universal ban on the mining, manufacture and use of asbestos in all countries around the world. Asbestos is now banned in 52 countries, and safer products have replaced many materials that once were made with asbestos. Nonetheless, a large number of countries still use, import, and export asbestos and asbestos-containing products. And still today in many countries that have banned other forms of asbestos, the so-called "controlled use" of chrysotile asbestos continues to be permitted, an exemption that has no basis in medical science but rather reflects the political and economic influence of the asbestos mining and manufacturing industry. To protect the health of all people in the world, industrial workers, construction workers, women and children, now and in future generations - the Collegium Ramazzini calls again today on all countries of the world, as we have repeatedly in the past, to join in the international endeavor to ban all forms of asbestos. An international ban on asbestos is urgently needed.