• Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
• /
• 제20권6호
• /
• pp.2933-2940
• /
• 2018

과일의 경우 다른 작물보다 날씨의 영향을 많이 받으므로, 농업인의 고부가가치 창출을 위해서는 날씨를 고려한 작물모형개발이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 과실류 중에서 비교적 제한된 조건에서 생산되는 복숭아를 연구대상으로 선정하였으며, 옥답 4.0에서 제공하는 2015년부터 2017년까지 대구에서 거래된 복숭아자료를 사용하였다. 분석에 사용되는 기상자료는 재배면적에 대한 가중치를 부여하여 생성하였으며, 1일 전부터 7일 전까지 날씨자료 중 상관성이 높은 변수를 사용하였다. 분석 방법으로는 기계학습법에 해당하는 랜덤포레스트와 그래디언트부스팅(gradient boosting machine), XGboost을 사용하였다. 분석결과, XGboost의 성능이 가장 우수하게 나타났으며, 경락가격 예측은 비교적 잘 예측할 수 있었지만, 거래량 예측의 정확성은 그리 높지 않았다. 복숭아 거래량 예측에 영향을 미치는 상위 3개의 기상변수로는 최저온도, 평균최대온도, 강수량으로 나타났다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2009년도 제40회 하계학술대회
• /
• pp.575_576
• /
• 2009

최근 전력산업의 구조적인 측면에서는 수직적 형태의 분리 및 경쟁 도입, 그리고 민영화를 통한 효율 증진 등 전력산업 개편이 전세계적으로 이루어지고 있다. 전력산업의 개편 과정에서 전력공급자(ESP)는 불완전한 시장으로 인한 재정적인 위험에 직면한다. ESP가 재정적인 위험에서 근본적으로 벗어나기 위해서는 합리적인 전기 소매 가격의 책정이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 현재 적용되고 있는 고정 소매 가격제에 대한 문제점을 제시하고 이를 극복하기 위해서 전기 공급 도매 가격의 변동성을 예측함으로써 헤징을 통한 새로운 요금제의 도입의 필요성을 제안하는 것이 본 논문의 목적이다. 본 논문에서 소개될 새로운 요금제인 Critical Peak Pricing(CPP)에서 전기 공급 도매 가격의 변동성의 예측은 CPP 요금을 적용하는데 중요한 역할을 담당하는 지표로 활용된다. CPP 요금을 적용함으로써 ESP의 재정적인 위험을 최소화하고 수요 탄력성이 반영되어 전기 소비자들과의 관계 향상 또한 유도될 수 있다.[4],[6]

• 한국유기농업학회지
• /
• 제15권2호
• /
• pp.151-169
• /
• 2007

By the environment-friendly(hereafter EF) agricultural policy and toward the safety food of consumers, there is much glowing supply and demand fur EF agricultural products, in Korea. But, in general, EF agricultural products are blown as unique, unreasonable and high price system. This study aims to make clare the main bodies and competition structure in EF agricultural products and the different from the agricultural products. The mail results of this study are summarized as follows. Firstly, farmers and consumers directly participate in the distribution, and the major distributors participate in the market of EF agricultural products after the certification system is got ready. Because EF agricultural products is not dealt and the price system is not built up in agricultural wholesale market. Secondly, the distribution route of EF agricultural products is organized the unified organization by the main bodies such as farmers, consumers co-op, and special distributors. In any step of distribution, the main body of distribution surely deals with the contracted farmers, consumers co-op, and special distributors. Accordingly, it is said that EF agricultural products has the competition structure between the distribution route organized the unified organization rather than between main bodies in the each steps of distribution.

• 한국유기농업학회지
• /
• 제32권1호
• /
• pp.25-37
• /
• 2024

This study is to apply behavioral economics-an economics that studies actual human behavior based on cognitive psychology-to the farming decision-making process of onion and garlic farmers. Of behavioral economic theories, dual system theory and prospect theory (value function), heuristic and bias were surveyed and examined in the field. The reference point of farmers was farming experience of the previous year, and so they showed reference dependence and anchoring heuristic, not rational thinking on production cost plan. And they showed status quo bias that cultivated continuously the previous year or the present crop. This status quo bias is related to loss aversion propensity. Farmers did not usually change cultivating crops, in other words, they showed diminishing sensitivity-insensitive to those that the more revenue or loss was increased. This diminishing sensitivity is related to loss aversion propensity and status quo bias. Also, farmers had representativeness heuristic because they regarded auction price of Garakdong wholesale market as the standard price level despite various prices by production region. And farmers had the affect heuristic that they depended on producers' organization data more than the state-run research institute ones about cultivation intentions and actual situations.

• 한국축산식품학회지
• /
• 제37권5호
• /
• pp.663-669
• /
• 2017

This study were estimated the contribution of carcass traits to unit price, to analyze the marbling score as a categorical variable rather than a numerical variable, and to develop an optimal model that also includes the holiday effect and the raising period. The data for this study were acquired from the Quality Evaluation of the Korea Institute for Animal Products, and consisted of the trading records of 1,613,699 heads at 12 wholesale markets from 2010 to 2014. The unit price of a cow was estimated from the following parameters: -52.50 Won/mm, $8.93Won/cm^2$, 7.20 Won/kg, and -1.04 Won/day for backfat thickness, eye muscle area, carcass weight, and raising period, respectively. Parameters for the dummy variables of marbling scores varied from 0 to 8328.74 Won/kg, which means that each marbling score grade had a different price value. The unit price of a steer was estimated from the following parameters: - 92.12 Won/mm, $20.22Won/cm^2$, 1.30 Won/kg, and -1.72 Won/day for backfat thickness, eye muscle area, carcass weights, and raising period, respectively. Parameters for dummy variables of marbling scores varied from 0 to 7338.80 Won/kg, which means that the grades of each marbling score had different price values. The unit price of sales during traditional holidays was significantly higher (827.71 Won/kg for cows, and 645.15 Won/kg for steers) than during non-holidays.We conclude that the use of categorical values for marbling scores would be needed to evaluate the price of Hanwoo beef using multiple regression analysis based on carcass traits and environmental factors.

• 한국유기농업학회지
• /
• 제23권2호
• /
• pp.207-231
• /
• 2015

This study evaluate examines the efficiency and the improvement measurement of Oilseed crops (Sesame and Perilla). For this purpose, In the first stage, this study analyzes the current conditions of oilseed industry. In the second stage, this study evaluates the efficiency and super-efficiency of environmentally-friendly agricultural product producers. The result of this study show that: (1) Changes in annual wholesale price of Sesame and Perilla; (2) An efficiency and ranking of environmentally-friendly product producers; (3) The solutions and improvement measurements for inefficient producers.

• 한국유기농업학회지
• /
• 제23권2호
• /
• pp.159-183
• /
• 2015

This study examines the management performance of Oilseed crops (Sesame and Perilla). For this purpose, In the first stage, This study analyzes the current status of sesame and perilla industry. In the second stage, This study examines the management performance of environmental friendly agricultural products (Sesame and perilla). The result of this study show that : (1) Changes in annual wholesale price of Sesame and Perilla ; (2) Management performance of environmental friendly products (Sesame and perilla) ; (3) Feature comparison of productivity of oilseed crops.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제63권7호
• /
• pp.889-895
• /
• 2014

Korea electric power industry had been under vertical monopoly but is typically getting restructured for free competition. An ideal pricing system under the competitive market system is 'unbundled pricing system' and 'marginal pricing system', but the current pricing system still adheres to the traditional bundled system and the average cost pricing system. Especially, progressive electricity rates for residential use reflect governmental policy-making which is focused on income redistribution & welfare, industrial supports and energy saving. This study proposes new and reasonable residential electricity pricing systems which are Time-Of-Use (TOU) and Real-Time Pricing (RTP) to reflect variations in the wholesale price of electricity. It also presents examples of various tariffs for residential electricity pricing systems.

• 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국콘텐츠학회 2011년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.127-128
• /
• 2011

기존에는 통신시장에 진출하려면 막대한 설비투자와 사업권의 획득이 필요했으나 이제는 망을 비롯한 주요 설비 없이도 사업을 할 수 있는 기회가 열렸다. 이러한 통신사업에 대한 신규진출 규제완화 움직임은 이동통신시장 경쟁구도의 변화뿐만 아니라 통신 산업 전반에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 기대되고 있다. 본 연구는 정부의 재판매(MVNO)제도의 도입과 관련하여 합리적인 도매대가 산정방안에 대한 고찰을 목적으로 다음과 같은 결론을 도출하였다. COST PLUS 모형과 RETAIL MINUS 모형에 각각 영업이익률과 원가 대비이익률을 적용하여 도매대가를 산출한 결과 원가대비이익률을 적용하여 RETAIL MINUS 모형으로 산출했을 때 가장 높은 도매대가가 산출되었다. 반면 도매대가가 가장 작은 모형은 영업이익률 적용 RETAIL MINUS 모형으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 도매대가산정 시 비용의 구분과 이익률의 산정이 중요한 요소로 작용하였으며, 이를 통해 보다 정교한 MVNO 도매대가산정을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 복식
• /
• 제50권6호
• /
• pp.21-31
• /
• 2000

The purpose of this study was to characterize the attitudes of Net generation customers toward purchasing fashion products or apparels through Cyber communication media. This study targeted 333 individuals aged from 14 to 24 purchasing fashion apparels through the Interned or PC communication. The data were analyzed by using frequency analysis, factor analysis, t-test, ANOVA by SASS package. The results of this study are as follows : 1. Fashion life-style of Net generation is classified into four groups - Fashion attached type, Web entertainment type, Web information type, Web media purchasing type. Net-Generation shows a little preference for brand. 2. As a result of the statistical analysis of each group's demographic variables, price is not so important when purchasing and according to the analysis of age, it proves that twenties are trendier than teenagers. 3. The most significant factor of information search is watching others' clothes and the most popular place for purchase is wholesale mall. Net-Generation has a little intention to purchase through Cyber communication media.